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This Week’s 3 Major US Events to Watch for Crypto Market

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Crypto markets are eyeing several US macroeconomic events this week that could influence Bitcoin’s price. In 2024, macro developments have regained their effect on crypto assets, marking a shift from 2023, when their impact had largely faded.

Bitcoin (BTC) remains below $60,000, a concerning price drop given the lower highs on the daily chart. The decline comes on the back of market sentiment shifting from fear to extreme fear.

US Macro Events This Week

Given this, investors are paying close attention to upcoming data releases and policy announcements that may impact market sentiment, potentially sparking volatility. With several events on the US economic calendar this week, three stand out as key triggers for potential price swings in Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies. 

US Macro Events This Week, Source: MarketWatch
US Macro Events This Week. Source: MarketWatch

Minutes of Fed’s July FOMC Meeting

The Federal Reserve (Fed) will release minutes from its July Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting on Wednesday, August 21. The release will provide insights into the Central Bank’s thinking regarding interest rates and monetary policy.

Any hints of a dovish or hawkish stance could cause waves in the financial markets, including cryptocurrencies. A dovish tone suggesting potential rate cuts could boost risk on assets like Bitcoin, while a more hawkish tone might lead to a sell-off.

10x Research data revealed a strong correlation between Bitcoin price and inflation trends as the influence of macroeconomics on crypto resumes. As BeInCrypto reported, the Fed kept interest rates steady at 5.25% to 5.50%, aligning with market expectations.

Read more: How to Protect Yourself From Inflation Using Cryptocurrency

After last week’s US CPI (Consumer Price Index) inflation data, traders have fully priced in a 25-basis-point rate cut in September. They also anticipate a 24.5% chance of 50 basis points (bps) move, with futures pointing to over 90 bps worth of easing by the end of 2024.

Initial Jobs Claims

Crypto markets also look forward to Thursday’s weekly report on initial jobless claims. The US Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) will use this data to offer a snapshot of the labor market’s health and could influence investor sentiment.

A lower-than-expected number of jobless claims may indicate a strong economy, potentially driving investors towards riskier assets like cryptocurrencies. Conversely, more claims could spark concerns about a slowing economy, leading to a flight to safety and possible declines in Bitcoin and crypto prices.

In hindsight, both crypto and broader financial markets faced a turbulent start to the month, largely due to weaker-than-expected US economic data, especially a disappointing July jobs report. This triggered significant market volatility, driven by growing concerns over a potential recession.

Notably, these concerns have begun to ease, as seen by traditional safe-haven assets like the Japanese yen giving up some of their early August gains. If the economic data released on Thursday, August 22, falls below expectations, Bitcoin could benefit as investors shift back to risk-on assets.

Jerome Powell’s Speech at the Jackson Hole Retreat

Traders and investors also anticipate Fed chair Jerome Powell’s Friday speech at the annual Jackson Hole Economic Policy. Markets will be laser-focused on what Powell has to say in retreat.

The title of remarks from last year’s Jackson Hole economic symposium was ‘Inflation: Progress and the Path Ahead.’ Then, he said policymakers are prepared to hold rates at restrictive levels until they are confident inflation is moving sustainably down to 2%.

Like in 2023, the Friday event will interest traders and investors. Powell will either endorse or push back market pricing as policymakers commit to deciding the next rate move based on data.

Therefore, Powell’s comments on the state of the economy, inflation, and monetary policy could set the tone for market expectations. Traders will be listening closely for any clues about future interest rate decisions, which could influence the direction of Bitcoin and cryptocurrency prices.

Bitcoin Price Outlook Ahead Of US Macro Events

Bitcoin is consolidating within a symmetric triangle. This means the next directional bias will only be revealed after the price breaks out from this technical formation. Based on the Relative Strength Index (RSI) outlook, which measures momentum, BTC could continue range bound for the short term. This is as the RSI remains below 50, suggesting a lack of conviction among the bulls.

The volume profiles reinforce the same supposition, with the bullish and bearish spikes (orange and grey, respectively) showing leeriness from both sides.  Similarly, the Awesome Oscillator (AO) position in negative territory with red histogram bars accentuates this thesis.

A break and close below the lower trendline on the daily timeframe could see Bitcoin foray into the demand zone. This would provide late bulls and sidelined traders with another buying opportunity between $53,485 and $57,050.

Nevertheless, if such a move happens and BTC closes below the $53,313 midline, the downside potential could extrapolate Bitcoin’s ability to collect the sell-side liquidity.

Read more: Bitcoin (BTC) Price Prediction 2024/2025/2030

Bitcoin Price Performance
BTC/USDT 1D Chart. Source: TradingView

Conversely, a break and close above the upper trendline could encourage more buy orders. Based on the orange spikes of the volume profile, several bulls await to interact with BTC prices above $63,000. Buying pressure above this level could invigorate the upside potential.

Nevertheless, only a decisive candlestick close above $67,000, the midline of the supply zone, would confirm the continuation of the uptrend.

Disclaimer

In adherence to the Trust Project guidelines, BeInCrypto is committed to unbiased, transparent reporting. This news article aims to provide accurate, timely information. However, readers are advised to verify facts independently and consult with a professional before making any decisions based on this content. Please note that our Terms and ConditionsPrivacy Policy, and Disclaimers have been updated.



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Bitcoin Analyst Sets $88,800 Target As BTC Breaks ATH 3 Days In A Row – Details

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Bitcoin is on a record-breaking run, reaching new all-time highs for three consecutive days following Donald Trump’s victory in the US election and a recent 25 basis point rate cut by the Federal Reserve. This combination of political and economic shifts has fueled a renewed wave of investor interest in BTC, driving prices into uncharted territory. 

Top crypto analyst and investor Daan has shared an optimistic outlook, highlighting that BTC is now in price discovery mode with the potential for significant further upside to the $88,800 mark.

As Bitcoin rallies to new highs, the current bull trend appears to be in its early stages. Analysts and investors are closely watching BTC’s price action, with many expecting strong momentum as institutional demand surges. With key macroeconomic shifts favoring alternative assets, BTC is uniquely positioned to benefit, further supported by increasing volumes and heightened demand in U.S. markets.

The next few weeks will be crucial as Bitcoin tests new price levels and traders gauge just how far this bull run can go. As BTC enters price discovery, breaking prior resistance levels, the stage is set for a potentially transformative period, fueling optimism for both seasoned investors and newcomers to the crypto space.

Bitcoin Enters Price Discovery

Bitcoin has entered a new bullish phase, marking the start of a price discovery period after three consecutive days of consistently breaking all-time highs. This move has set a bullish tone not just for BTC but for the entire crypto market. As BTC pushes higher, it reinforces its position as the market leader, driving optimism and interest in altcoins as well.

Top analyst Daan recently shared a technical analysis on X, suggesting that Bitcoin’s next target in its price discovery phase is $88,888. He emphasized that while Bitcoin is unlikely to reach this target in a straight line, the bigger trend remains bullish, and the market has been waiting for this breakout for eight months. Daan cautioned that the journey to these higher levels will be bumpy, with volatility expected as the market works through this new phase.

Bitcoin enters price discovery
Bitcoin enters price discovery | Source: Daan on X

The coming months are likely to see significant volatility as Bitcoin tests new resistance levels and investors digest the implications of a broader bull market. However, the underlying sentiment is overwhelmingly positive, fueled by strong demand from institutional investors and continued macroeconomic support. 

As Bitcoin breaks through key price barriers, it will continue to drive the narrative for the entire crypto market, with many analysts predicting further upside if the current momentum is maintained. The road ahead may be volatile, but the long-term outlook remains extremely bullish for Bitcoin.

BTC Testing Uncharted Territory

Bitcoin is currently consolidating at the $76,400 mark after an aggressive surge over the past week, with bulls firmly in control. The price has managed to break above previous all-time highs, pushing past the key resistance at $73,800. This level is now crucial, as it could turn into a strong demand zone following its breakout. If BTC manages to stay above $73,800 in the coming days, it will signal continued bullish momentum, potentially pushing the price higher.

BTC hits new ATH 3 days in a row
BTC hits new ATH 3 days in a row | Source: BTCUSDT chart on TradingView

However, if BTC struggles to break above the $77,000 mark, a healthy retrace to lower demand levels around $72,500 is likely. This pullback would allow the market to find support before pushing higher. A retrace would also provide a much-needed reset for the market, clearing out weak positions and allowing for more sustainable growth.

In the short term, the $73,800 level is critical for maintaining bullish sentiment. If BTC holds above this area, it is likely to continue its upward trend. But, should the price fail to maintain this support, traders will be watching for signs of a deeper correction. Overall, the market sentiment remains positive, and Bitcoin has the potential to continue its bullish trajectory if key levels hold.

Featured image from Dall-E, chart from TradingView



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Top 10 Crypto Promises from President-Elect Donald Trump

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Donald Trump convincingly won the US Presidential election and will assume office in January. He ran as a pro-crypto candidate on the campaign trail and is now empowered to enact sweeping, friendlier policies.

Trump will focus on halting anti-crypto actions from federal regulators and the legislature and passing comprehensive new laws for the industry.

Donald Trump’s Total Blowout

In a surprising upset, Donald Trump significantly overperformed in last night’s US Presidential election, coasting to a confident victory. Polling beforehand suggested a tossup election; however, Trump made substantial gains across nearly the entire map. He made crypto advocacy a cornerstone of his campaign, and now the industry must assess the benefits of his win.

Read More: Crypto Regulation: What Are the Benefits and Drawbacks?

Areas Trump Outperformed His 2020 Campaign
Areas Trump Outperformed His 2020 Campaign. Source: The New York Times

President Trump made a vast array of pro-crypto campaign promises, supporting Bitcoin in particular. For example, he vowed to create a Bitcoin reserve and halt attempts to sell off the US government’s holdings.

However, he also lambasted the notion of supporting an official “digital dollar” CBDC. In other words, it looks like he will focus more on existing crypto assets.

Other than this, his promises have generally included the broader industry. In August, he vowed to make the US a “crypto capital,” offering to enact a suite of friendlier regulations. A cornerstone of this new strategy is his promise at Nashville’s Bitcoin Conference to fire SEC Chair Gary Gensler. This pledge drew raucous applause, and he seems very likely to enact it.

“I didn’t know he was that unpopular! I didn’t know he was THAT unpopular. Let me say it again: on day one, I will fire Gary Gensler!” Trump claimed in July, reacting to the crowd’s outsized approval.

Once Gensler is out of office, Trump plans to enact a series of productive crypto policies. First and foremost, he promised to stop the SEC and other regulators from continuing their crackdown on exchanges and other businesses. Several crypto opponents also lost their races, which will help blunt the momentum of hostile legislation.

Read More: Who Is Gary Gensler? Everything To Know About the SEC Chairman

As a final symbol of his plan to end crypto hostility, Donald Trump also pledged to free Silk Road founder Ross Ulbricht. This non-violent offender and early Bitcoin adopter has spent ten years in prison since his arrest and has become a cause célèbre in the community. If Ulbricht is released under Trump’s authority, it will be a real milestone for government reconciliation.

Critically, however, Trump has vowed to make positive impacts on the industry, not just reverse negative ones. Policy advisors are creating a comprehensive list of executive actions he could take once in office, as well as a strategy for a comprehensive new regulation for the space. Trump has also explored more novel use cases, such as crypto’s role in alleviating national debt.

Overall, Trump campaigned on a certifiable bonanza of possible benefits to the space. If even half of these promises get fulfilled, it could permanently alter the industry’s mercurial relationship with the federal government.

“The GOP’s commitment to clear crypto regulations and making Bitcoin a strategic reserve asset is set to be a game-changer for industry growth. Just like with the space race or recent Bitcoin mining developments, we’ve always believed that when America steps up in crypto adoption, it’ll do so with gusto—and ultimately take the lead globally. Now, we’re about to see this shift happen, making widespread U.S. crypto adoption feel more like a sure thing than ever before,” Jean-Marie Mognetti, CEO of CoinShares, told BeInCrypto.

Disclaimer

In adherence to the Trust Project guidelines, BeInCrypto is committed to unbiased, transparent reporting. This news article aims to provide accurate, timely information. However, readers are advised to verify facts independently and consult with a professional before making any decisions based on this content. Please note that our Terms and ConditionsPrivacy Policy, and Disclaimers have been updated.



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Bitcoin Surpasses Meta, Now World’s 9th Largest Asset

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Bitcoin has reached a milestone, surpassing Meta to secure the 9th position in global market capitalization rankings.

The rally, driven by investor optimism following Donald Trump’s win in the 2024 US presidential election, has propelled Bitcoin to a market cap of $1.48 trillion, once again edging out Meta’s $1.44 trillion.

Bitcoin is Now the 9th Largest Asset Worldwide

With each Bitcoin now valued at approximately $74,900, the cryptocurrency has surpassed Meta’s market cap with notable resilience.

This marks the second time Bitcoin has overtaken Meta, following a rally in March when it briefly surged above $73,000. The milestone highlights Bitcoin’s increasing relevance and competitive positioning alongside other major tech giants.

Read more: Bitcoin (BTC) Price Prediction 2024/2025/2030

The list is topped by gold, which has a market cap of $17.95 trillion. Chip maker NVIDIA is next at $3.57 trillion, followed by Apple at $3.36 trillion.

Other companies in this ranking include Microsoft, Amazon, and Alphabet (Google). Bitcoin’s latest valuation places it just behind silver in 9th place. This development demonstrates Bitcoin’s evolution from a niche digital asset to a globally significant store of value.

Can Bitcoin Overtake Silver?

As Bitcoin climbs the global market cap rankings, many are now wondering if it could soon surpass silver. Silver currently holds a market cap of approximately $1.75 trillion, placing it just above Bitcoin’s $1.48 trillion.

In March 2024, Bitcoin briefly overtook silver as Bitcoin became the 8th-ranking global asset.

“I could potentially see Bitcoin to become the 21st century digital gold. Let’s not forget that gold was also volatile historically. But it is important to keep in mind that Bitcoin is risky: it is too volatile to be a reliable store of value today. And I expect it to remain ultra-volatile in the foreseeable future,” said Marion Laboure, analyst at Deutsche Bank Research.

At that time, its valuation surged to $1.42 trillion, surpassing silver at $1.387 trillion, with a 4% increase to an all-time high beyond $72,000. With Bitcoin’s recent momentum and continued interest from institutional investors, this event is likely to repeat.

Surpassing silver would further solidify Bitcoin’s position as a digital gold and strengthen its reputation as a valuable asset in the broader financial arena. If Bitcoin continues on this trajectory, overtaking silver could be the next milestone in its journey.

Mainstream Bitcoin Adoption

Bitcoin’s ascent into the world’s top assets is accompanied by growing interest, as shown by investment flows into various exchange-traded funds (ETFs).

For instance on November 6, the majority of Bitcoin products showed positive inflows. Fidelity’s FBTC led with a substantial $308.8 million inflow, suggesting strong investor interest. Bitwise’s BITB and Ark’s ARKB also gained, receiving $100.9 million and $127 million, respectively.

Grayscale’s GBTC, despite previous outflows, managed a modest change of $30.9 million. This day’s inflows highlight a general uptick in interest across various ETFs, contrasting with recent periods of volatility and outflows in other funds. Total inflows reached $621.9 million, reflecting a demand for Bitcoin products.

Read more: What Is a Bitcoin ETF?

As Bitcoin continues to solidify its position among the world’s largest assets, these investment patterns suggest that mainstream adoption is on the horizon. With institutional support growing and infrastructure maturing to facilitate broader access, Bitcoin is positioned as a viable asset in traditional finance.

Disclaimer

In adherence to the Trust Project guidelines, BeInCrypto is committed to unbiased, transparent reporting. This news article aims to provide accurate, timely information. However, readers are advised to verify facts independently and consult with a professional before making any decisions based on this content. Please note that our Terms and ConditionsPrivacy Policy, and Disclaimers have been updated.



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