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Crypto Analyst Says Bitcoin Decline Is A Bear Trap, Can Price Recover Above $70,000?

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Bitcoin is currently on a recovery path, which tracks to analysts’ prediction that the price decline over the last two days has been more of a bear trap. Crypto analyst Orson Fawley elaborates more on this in his analysis and shows that the BTC price remains inherently bullish given its recent movements.

Bitcoin Recovery Is Strong

Fawley took to the TradingView website to share his analysis on Bitcoin, covering its surge from last weekend through to the price decline on Monday. The crypto analyst pointed out that with the weekend surge that began on Friday, Bitcoin was able to form a wide-ranging bullish D1 candlestick close to its high.

Now, the thing about wide-ranging D1 candlesticks is that they are used to measure buying pressure. Given that this candlestick closed near the Bitcoin high on Friday, Fawley explains that this means that the price was being pushed up due to strong and sustained BTC buying pressure.

Furthermore, the analyst explains that the candlestick had also broken Bitcoin’s previous “Inside Bar pattern”. This pretty much tells the same story as the wide-ranging D1 candlestick closing to close its high, meaning that buying pressure has been sustained for the digital asset.

As a result of this price surge, Bitcoin had been able to break above $60,000, which the crypt analyst identifies to be a major psychological level. Breaking this $60,000 level has been positive for the coin, and this fuels Fawley’s sentiment that the price decline was a false break. In other words, the decline was a bear trap.

Bitcoin price chart from Tradingview.com

Source: Tradingview.com

For those unfamiliar, bear traps are crashes in price after a period of price recovery that makes investors believe that the price has peaked. This draws in more bears who continue to short the price, thinking it will keep falling, but eventually, the price resumes its upward trajectory. Since the BTC price decline has been identified as a bear trap, it means that the cryptocurrency’s price is expected to continue its climb toward its all-time highs.

BTC Buying Pressure Continues

Fawley also analyzed the Bitcoin price going forward, using the 4-hour chart as the point of focus. In this chart, the crypto analyst confirmed that BTC had formed a V-shaped pattern as a result of the strong buying pressure from the bottom of the dip.

He also points out that the coin had broken above its downward trend line resistance. This comes as the Bitcoin price is forming an accumulation zone around its recent high, which has been around $64,000. According to the analyst, if Bitcoin “ can break above this price high and the PPZ area, Bitcoin H4 will revert to the uptrend structure on the H4 timeframe.”

Presently, the BTC price is still holding above $64,000 after a sharp surge in the early hours of Tuesday. Its daily volume has also risen 45%, lending credence to Fawley’s analysis that buying pressure remains strong. “The false break creating a bear trap on Friday and sustaining through Saturday and Sunday shows Bitcoin D1 is strengthening,” Fawley states.

Bitcoin price chart from Tradingview.com

BTC price drops below $64,000 | Source: BTCUSD on Tradingview.com

Featured image from Forkast News, chart from Tradingview.com



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Bitcoin

Justin Sun Plans $2.3 Billion Bitcoin Purchase

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Crypto mogul Justin Sun has expressed his intention to buy a massive trove of Bitcoin, valued at approximately $2.3 billion. Sun made this bold claim as the crypto markets witnessed significant panic, particularly from the German government’s recent extensive Bitcoin transactions.

Governments seize illicit crypto during various operations. Then they periodically auction off these digital assets, thereby introducing selling pressure into the market.

German Government Moves $174.3 Million Worth of Bitcoin

Over the past few weeks, the German government has been actively moving its crypto assets. It has transferred large amounts of Bitcoin to various wallets and exchanges.

Recent blockchain data analysis by Arkham shows that just today, the German crypto wallet moved 3,000 Bitcoin (BTC) worth roughly $174.3 million. The government distributed this BTC to several destinations, including major crypto exchanges like Bitstamp, Kraken, and Coinbase.

Read more: Who Owns the Most Bitcoin in 2024?

These movements are part of a broader trend that started on June 19, with the government shifting about 6,500 BTC, pushing the total value transferred to exceed $425.49 million. The origins of these assets are likely tied to criminal enterprises. Arkham suggested a connection to the defunct pirated movie site, Movie2k.

The recent transactions have noticeably impacted the crypto market, creating waves of concern among investors and traders. Indeed, the sensitivity of the market to such large-scale disposals became evident today as Bitcoin reached the $57,000 mark for the first time in two months. This surge was further fueled by an incident involving a crypto whale who sold $400 million worth of Bitcoin.

Amidst this volatility, Justin Sun has proposed to purchase the entire cache of Bitcoin currently held by the German government, amounting to 40,359 BTC.

“I am willing to negotiate with the German government to purchase all BTC off-market in order to minimize the impact on the market,” Justin Sun posted to his 3.5 million followers.

Read more: How To Make Money With Intel-To-Earn on Arkham Intelligence

German Government's Bitcoin Wallet
German Government’s Bitcoin Wallet. Source: Arkham

Sun’s strategy could potentially stabilize the market by preventing a large-scale sell-off on public exchanges, which might otherwise precipitate a sharp decline in Bitcoin prices. More than direct price impact, this move can ease the panic amongst crypto investors.

Disclaimer

In adherence to the Trust Project guidelines, BeInCrypto is committed to unbiased, transparent reporting. This news article aims to provide accurate, timely information. However, readers are advised to verify facts independently and consult with a professional before making any decisions based on this content. Please note that our Terms and ConditionsPrivacy Policy, and Disclaimers have been updated.



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Bitcoin ETFs Fuel $15 Billion Crypto Boost

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Spot Bitcoin ETF approval in January marked a shift in the crypto industry. Investment bank Architect Partners lauds the product for significantly driving capital inflows in the first half of 2024.

The financial instrument gave institutional players a seat at the table when it delivered BTC to Wall Street. More exposure is expected as Ethereum (ETH) and Solana (SOL) ETFs align. 

BTC ETFs Among Catalysts for $750 Billion Crypto Surge

Architect Partners’ financial report indicates that Bitcoin Spot ETFs have attracted more than $15 billion to the cryptocurrency market since their launch on January 11. This, combined with more than $700 billion in value growth among crypto tokens and over $11 billion in growth among publicly listed cryptocurrency companies, brings total H1 growth to at least $750 billion year-to-date.

The approval of BTC spot ETFs jump-started the industry after the previous bear market instigated by Terra’s collapse and FTX’s implosion in 2022. According to insights by Architect, crypto’s recovery outpaces that of the internet from its crash in 2000.

Read more: What Is a Bitcoin ETF? All You Need to Know

Crypto market vs. Internet Recovery, Bitcoin ETF helps
Crypto Market vs. Internet Recovery. Source: Architect Partners insights

According to the report, this growth signifies a comeback for the industry, with market confidence and momentum increasing.

“The significant influence of BTC Spot ETFs on the digital assets market is evident from the distribution of trading volume throughout the week. From January to June 2024, weekend trading volume accounted for only 16% of the total, the lowest ever recorded for this period (H1 of a year). This indicates increased activity from traditional finance investors, with trading volume concentrated during Monday to Friday. It is particularly strong during US market hours, decreasing after the US market closes,” Matteo Greco, Research Analyst at Fineqia, told BeInCrypto.

Architect Partners’ report also acknowledged increasing “professionalism, risk management, and ethical behavior.” It highlights the spirit of ‘doing it right’ in the industry, adding that these are the foundational principles of crypto.

Analyst Decries Stagnating BTC ETF Flows

Despite the significant contribution to the industry, BTC ETFs’ capital flows have stagnated lately.

“US Bitcoin ETF flows have mostly stagnated. Not seeing tons of inflows, not seeing tons of outflows. Net inflows since launch sits at very healthy $14.7 billion,” wrote Bloomberg ETF analyst James Seyffart.

Seyffart also noted a drop in BTC ETF trading volumes, highlighting that this metric has not hit $3 billion since mid-May. Fineqia’s analyst, Greco, told BeInCrypto that traditional finance investors concentrate their trading volumes between Monday and Friday, focusing on US market hours.

According to data from investment management company Farside Investors, BTC ETFs experienced total net outflows of $13.7 million on Tuesday. This marked a break from five consecutive trading days of positive flows. Grayscale recorded up to $32.4 million in outflows, effectively topping the day’s negative flows.

Read more: How To Trade a Bitcoin ETF: A Step-by-Step Approach.

The instrumental role of Bitcoin spot EFTs in driving capital into the crypto industry cannot be overlooked. As they account for 2% of the growth in six months, it becomes imaginable how much more could be achieved with more such financial instruments in the market.

Meanwhile, the market awaits a possible Ethereum (ETH) spot ETF launch within the month. The countdown is also on for a prospective Solana (SOL) ETF following VanEck’s move to pioneer the application in the US.

Disclaimer

In adherence to the Trust Project guidelines, BeInCrypto is committed to unbiased, transparent reporting. This news article aims to provide accurate, timely information. However, readers are advised to verify facts independently and consult with a professional before making any decisions based on this content. Please note that our Terms and ConditionsPrivacy Policy, and Disclaimers have been updated.



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Crypto Whale Sells $400 Million in Bitcoin; Price Drops to $57,800

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Retail investors are showing remarkable confidence by buying the dip despite a significant sell-off by a prominent crypto whale. The recent transactions have stirred up the Bitcoin and crypto markets, particularly influencing the market’s short-term trajectory.

Early Thursday in Asian trading hours, Bitcoin’s price plummeted to $57,800, marking a two-month low. Despite this drop, the price recovered up to $59,000 by the time of writing.

Crypto Whale Sold Over $400 Million Worth of Bitcoin

Amidst the Bitcoin volatility, a crypto whale wallet, 3G98j, deposited an eye-watering 1,800 BTC, valued at $106.08 million, into Binance. Hours after the first deposit, the crypto whale again sent 1,800 BTC worth nearly $100 million to the same platform.

Typically, such large deposits to a crypto exchange suggest a potential sale. In the past week alone, this crypto whale has transferred a total of 5,281 BTC—worth around $423 million to Binance.

Despite these considerable sell-offs, the reaction from retail investors has been notably bullish. According to data from Santiment, a behavior analytics platform, the retail sector is aggressively purchasing Bitcoin under the $60,000 mark.

“The crowd is showing signs of seeing this as a buy-the-dip opportunity. Ideally, we wait for their enthusiasm to settle down. The time to buy is when they are impatient and skeptical,” Santiment explained.

Read more: Bitcoin (BTC) Price Prediction 2024/2025/2030

Frequency of "Buy the Dip" Mentions on Social Platforms
Frequency of “Buy the Dip” Mentions on Social Platforms. Source: Santiment

Cold Blooded Shiller, a pseudonymous crypto analyst on X (formerly Twitter), echoes this sentiment. He provided a nuanced take on the current market conditions, noting novice traders’ challenges.

“Conditions remain significantly weighted on the downside, and the momentum is all there. Adapting to the side with the momentum is incredibly important, but that doesn’t make it a necessity to trade,” he advised.

Furthermore, Cold Blooded Shiller elaborated on the risks and strategies in current market conditions. He emphasized the need for patience and strategic disengagement, suggesting that many’s best course of action might be to avoid active trading.

“For many of you, sitting on the sidelines and doing other things is the biggest alpha I can bestow upon you,” Cold Blooded Shiller stated.

Moreover, he highlighted the psychological aspect of trading under such volatile conditions. He advised retail traders to let things settle down and reduce their emotions when timing the market, reinforcing the need for strategic patience until the market shows signs of a positive momentum shift.

Read more: Cryptocurrency Trading Courses Tailored for Beginners

The contrast between the crypto whale’s actions and retail investors’ enthusiasm paints a complex picture of the Bitcoin market. While large holders appear to be cashing out, the broader investor base remains optimistic, seeing the lower prices as an attractive entry point.

Disclaimer

In adherence to the Trust Project guidelines, BeInCrypto is committed to unbiased, transparent reporting. This news article aims to provide accurate, timely information. However, readers are advised to verify facts independently and consult with a professional before making any decisions based on this content. Please note that our Terms and ConditionsPrivacy Policy, and Disclaimers have been updated.



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