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Bitcoin’s 2-5 Year UTXO Signals Bull Market Continuation

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The Bitcoin bull season continues to present several twists and turns as expected of a highly volatile market. In line with the heightened hopes of several investors, certain network metrics indicate the price gains are far from over. Currently, the maiden cryptocurrency trades above $104,400 following a significant price surge in the past week.

Bitcoin Still Presents Upside Potential – Analyst 

In a Quicktake post on CryptoQuant, an analyst with username onchained provides an intriguing market analysis based on the Bitcoin Unspent Transaction Outputs (UTXOs) over the past two to five years (2Y-5Y).

For context, UTXO refers to the remaining balance of a cryptocurrency transaction that has not yet been spent by the recipient.  UTXOs are the building blocks of blockchain transactions and can be used to interpret holders’ behavior, market sentiment, and price cycle dynamics among other things.

The 2Y-5Y UTXOs represent Bitcoin held by long-term holders who have not moved their funds during this time. Data from the 2Y-5Y UTXOs showed that these holders started recording profits when Bitcoin hit $68,000 in early November.

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Source: CryptoQuant

However, onchained stated historically such profit realization suggests renewed momentum rather than the end of the bull market. This is because the selling pressure is neutralized by an equal demand from other participants and in this case short-term holders.

Onchained further explains that this profit-taking produces a negative weekly change in the realized price of long-term holders which is vital for a healthy market structure with the potential for further price gains.

In addition, the MVRV ratio for this 2Y-5Y UTXO cohort has consistently reached 1 to signal any macro market bottom in previous bull cycles. The MVRV measures the market value to realized value and is used to indicate potential reversals by determining if an asset is overvalued or undervalued.

Currently, the MVRV ratio is nearing 4 supporting the notion that Bitcoin still has much room for price growth in this bull run.

Coinbase Index Moves Above 100

In other news, the Bitcoin Coinbase Premium Index has now surged above 100 indicating strong whale activity. However, crypto analyst with CryptoQuant username Avocado_onchain stated this surge is not significant enough to suggest any accumulation battles among whales.

Avocado_onchain further states that both positive and negative Coinbase Premium Index are needed to signal a continuation of Bitcoin’s current. At press time, Bitcoin trades at $103,601 after a 2.44% gain in the past 24 hours. On bigger timeframes, Bitcoin is in stable profit as Indicated by gains of 10.76% and 2.31|% in the past seven and 30 days respectively.

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BTC trading at $103,649 on the daily chart | Source: BTCUSDT chart on Tradingview.com

Featured image from Forbes, chart from Tradingview



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Polymarket Under Fire in Thailand, But Bitcoin ETF is a Possibility

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Thailand’s Technology Crime Suppression Division (TCSD) announced its proposal to block Polymarket, a global prediction market platform that facilitates betting on major world events using cryptocurrency.

Despite the country’s clampdown against Polymarket, it is making headway with Bitcoin ETFs (exchange-traded funds).  

Local media reported that Pol. Lt. Gen. Trairong Phiwpaen, commander of the TCSD, revealed the news at a press conference on January 14. He said that the platform’s operations violate Thailand’s gambling laws and pose risks to economic and social stability. According to Pol. Lt. Gen. Trairong, the rise of Web 3.0 and cryptocurrency has complicated enforcement efforts.

“The use of cryptocurrency for transactions increases the difficulty of inspection and tracking,” he stated.

He also emphasized the need for international cooperation in monitoring and shutting down such platforms. Against this backdrop, the TCSD has set up a specialized task force to collect data and collaborate with both domestic and international agencies to tackle illegal crypto-based activities effectively.

“This action is crucial to protecting the public and preventing the misuse of cryptocurrencies in illegal activities,” Lt. Gen. Trairong added.

Polymarket’s legal issues extend far beyond Thailand. In France, the platform has faced a gambling probe, resulting in restrictions on French traders. The situation escalated further when the FBI seized electronic devices from Polymarket’s CEO as part of an investigation. Similarly, Singapore has imposed stringent limitations on the platform, reflecting the global regulatory push to oversee crypto-based betting platforms.

Adding to the mounting pressure, the US Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) subpoenaed Coinbase amid an ongoing investigation into Polymarket. These developments highlight the growing efforts by regulators worldwide to impose oversight on decentralized platforms that operate in legal gray areas.

Thailand Considers Approving Bitcoin ETFs

Despite its crackdown on Polymarket, Thailand remains a prominent player in the crypto space. According to Bloomberg, the country’s Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) is reportedly considering allowing Thailand’s first Bitcoin ETF (exchange-traded funds).

 “Like it or not, we have to move along with more adoption of cryptocurrencies worldwide,” Bloomberg reported, citing Thailand’s SEC Secretary-General Pornanong Budsaratragoon.

She noted that the regulator is exploring ways to offer more crypto investment options while ensuring proper investor protection. Thailand’s efforts to foster innovation in digital finance also include proposals for stablecoins backed by government bonds and a sandbox for Bitcoin transactions in tourism-centric regions like Phuket.

If approved, this move could bolster Thailand’s position as a digital assets hub in the Asia-Pacific region. Specifically, it could see it compete with crypto-friendly jurisdictions like Singapore and Hong Kong. Thailand’s regulatory tightening aims to strike a balance between fostering innovation and ensuring financial stability.

Disclaimer

In adherence to the Trust Project guidelines, BeInCrypto is committed to unbiased, transparent reporting. This news article aims to provide accurate, timely information. However, readers are advised to verify facts independently and consult with a professional before making any decisions based on this content. Please note that our Terms and ConditionsPrivacy Policy, and Disclaimers have been updated.



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Trump Pardons Silk Road Founder Ross Ulbricht

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US President Donald Trump pardoned Ross Ulbricht on Tuesday, ending the double life sentence handed down to the Silk Road founder. 

Ulbricht, aged 40, was convicted of creating and operating the Silk Road marketplace, where illegal goods and services were sold using Bitcoin.  generating over $200 million in transactions.

Ross Ulbricht is Finally Free After More Than a Decade of Imprisonment

This move fulfilled Trump’s campaign promise to release Ulbricht, whose case had become a landmark in the legal and crypto worlds. His arrest in 2013 marked one of the first major prosecutions involving the emerging use of cryptocurrencies for illicit activities.

The Silk Road platform operated between 2011 and 2013. It hosted over 100,000 users engaged in the sale of illegal drugs and services worth approximately $214 million. 

“I just called the mother of Ross William Ulbright to let her know that in honor of her and the Libertarian Movement, which supported me so strongly, it was my pleasure to have just signed a full and unconditional pardon of her son, Ross. He was given two life sentences, plus 40 years. Ridiculous,” said US President Donald Trump. 

The FBI dismantled the marketplace in 2013 and seized 69,370 Bitcoins, which are now valued at more than $6 billion. Last month, the Biden administration authorized the sale of these Bitcoins before leaving office.

Trump had previously announced his intention to commute Ulbricht’s sentence during a speech at the Libertarian National Convention in May. 

The Libertarian Party had long advocated for his release. They criticized the case as government overreach and used it as an example in their broader push for drug policy reform.

“Ulbricht was sentenced to two life sentences, plus 40 years, a sentence worse than the worst drug sellers on the site,” wrote Collin Rugg.

Prediction platform Polymarket had estimated a 93% chance that Trump would grant clemency to Ulbricht during the first 100 days. That prediction materialized in just two days.

There was speculation that Trump might use the confiscated BTC to establish a national Bitcoin reserve. However, those assets had already been liquidated under Biden’s administration.

A Punishment Too Harsh? 

Back in 2022, BeInCrypto sat down with Ross’s mother, Lyn Ulbricht, who gave an honest account of her son.  

Lyn mentioned that she doesn’t condone her son’s actions and thinks Ross Ulbricht deserves the punishment. However, like most of the community, she was concerned about the severity and longevity of the sentencing.

“He wants to solve problems and to help make the world a better place, which is a lot of why he loves Bitcoin, because it opens up prosperity for people who can’t get a bank account and people. That’s his idealism,” said Lyn.

Lyn told BeInCrypto that Ross already severed a decade and learned his lesson. His true intention was never to facilitate illegal trade.

Ross Ulbricht and his mother
Ross Ulbricht and His Mother. Source: BeInCrypto

Rather, he wanted a marketplace where people could interact and communicate freely. However, he failed to consider the malicious actors. 

Overall, today’s presidential pardon will allow Ross Ulbricht to regain some of his life. 

Disclaimer

In adherence to the Trust Project guidelines, BeInCrypto is committed to unbiased, transparent reporting. This news article aims to provide accurate, timely information. However, readers are advised to verify facts independently and consult with a professional before making any decisions based on this content. Please note that our Terms and ConditionsPrivacy Policy, and Disclaimers have been updated.



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US Lawmakers Propose Oklahoma and Texas Bitcoin Reserve

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Lawmakers in Oklahoma and Texas are pushing forward proposals to establish a strategic Bitcoin reserve, reflecting the growing adoption of the digital asset in public finance.

In Texas, State Senator Charles Schwertner introduced a bill to make Bitcoin a reserve asset, allowing the state to collect taxes, fees, and donations in BTC. 

States are Pushing for a Bitcoin Reserve 

With the largest budget surplus among US states, Texas aims to leverage Bitcoin as part of its financial strategy. According to Schwertner’s proposal, the state wants to be the first to establish such a reserve to become a leader in this space. 

“It’s time for Texas to lead the way in establishing a Strategic Bitcoin Reserve. That’s why I filed SB 778, which, if passed and signed into law, would make Texas the first state in the nation to establish a Strategic Bitcoin Reserve,” Schwertner wrote on X (Formerly Twitter). 

President-elect Trump’s inauguration is less than a week away, and it’s evident that Republican state leaders will relentlessly try to adopt BTC as a strategic reserve asset – at least at the state level, if not as a national reserve. 

Meanwhile, Oklahoma Representative Cody Maynard introduced House Bill 1203 today, dubbed the Strategic Bitcoin Reserve Act. The bill proposes allocating a portion of the state’s pension funds and savings accounts to Bitcoin.

Like other states, Oklahoma also wants to use BTC as a potential hedge against inflation

“Bitcoin represents freedom from bureaucrats printing away our purchasing power. It is the ultimate store of value for those who believe in financial freedom and sound money principles,” Maynard stated.

US Lawmakers are Recognizing BTC’s Store of Value

The movement to integrate Bitcoin into state finances is not limited to these states. 

In November 2024, Pennsylvania lawmakers proposed the state Treasury invest up to 10% of its assets in Bitcoin. Representative Mike Cabell emphasized that Pennsylvania could follow private asset managers like BlackRock and Fidelity

On January 10, North Dakota and New Hampshire joined the trend, introducing their own Bitcoin reserve bills. Notably, New Hampshire’s legislation uses broader terminology like “digital assets.” This indicates a potential interest in cryptocurrencies beyond Bitcoin.

Currently, 13 US states are considering Bitcoin reserve legislation, marking a significant shift in its role within public finance.

Globally, interest in Bitcoin reserves is growing as well. Countries like Japan, Switzerland, and Russia are exploring strategies to incorporate BTC into their financial systems. Vancouver, for example, has already approved Bitcoin as part of its municipal reserves.

Also, asset management firm VanEck predicts that adopting Bitcoin reserves could reduce the US national debt by 36% by 2025. These developments signal Bitcoin’s rising significance as governments and institutions seek innovative solutions to strengthen their financial resilience.

Disclaimer

In adherence to the Trust Project guidelines, BeInCrypto is committed to unbiased, transparent reporting. This news article aims to provide accurate, timely information. However, readers are advised to verify facts independently and consult with a professional before making any decisions based on this content. Please note that our Terms and ConditionsPrivacy Policy, and Disclaimers have been updated.



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