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Bitcoin Price Support At $54,450: Four Factors To Watch

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Bitcoin’s (BTC) price is down 24% since topping out at $71,758 in early June. As sentiment remains soar, the next directional bias for the pioneer cryptocurrency hinges on four critical narratives that continue to unfold.

Retail traders adjust their trading strategies based on market sentiment, which explains the highly volatile nature of crypto.

Critical Factors Impacting Bitcoin Price Now

The $54,450 level has presented as a possible support for Bitcoin price. Two failed breakdowns after the Relative Strength Index (RSI) tested the critical threshold of 30 suggest that BTC may have bottomed out.

Bitcoin price performance
Bitcoin Price Performance. Source: TradingView

Nevertheless, whether a recovery is sustainable will depend on how the four macro market movers play out.

  1. Ethereum ETFs Launch Could Inspire Positive Market Sentiment

Crypto supporters join Ethereum token holders to see whether Spot Ethereum ETFs (Exchange-traded funds) will begin trading this week. The US Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) collected final S-1 Forms from prospective ETH ETF issuers on Monday. This suggests progress in the approval process for these financial instruments.

Crypto financial services platform Matrixport shares the optimism. The firm anticipates possible launches this week as the deadline for issuers to submit amended S-1 filings reaches.

According to the report, progress could be as swift as in May, when the regulator green-lit the 19b-4 forms only three days after submissions.

Ethereum ETF Approval
Ethereum ETF Approval. Source: Matrixort

Along with the expected launch, the Matrixport report anticipates a 12% recovery in the Ethereum price to $3,400. This speculation comes as ETH jumped 20% in May after approval of 19-b filings. Bullish sentiment from an approval is expected to spill over to Bitcoin, supporting a recovery.

Also Read: Ethereum ETF Explained: What It Is and How It Works

2. Mt. Gox Impact May Already Be Priced In

Anxiety around Mt. Gox repayments continues to fade as the market has already accounted for or priced in the impact. Mt. Gox Rehabilitation Trustee initiated repayments in Bitcoin and Bitcoin Cash (BCH) last week.

Bitstamp exchange, in agreement with Mt. Gox, indicated that it will ensure that investors are compensated as soon as possible. It highlighted a 60-day timeline for token distribution, with some creditors already confirming receipt. Kraken, one of the five exchanges the trustee will use for reimbursement, has a 90-day timeline.

Japan’s Bitbank and SBI VC Trade exchanges have already received and reportedly distributed their allocated funds. In so doing, they effectively beat their 14-day timeline. As creditor reimbursement by the defunct exchange’s trustee continues, optimism continues to be restored in the market.

This could bode well for Bitcoin price, especially if creditors do not cash in upon reception.

“Many of these creditors are long-term Bitcoiners, early adopters who are technologically adept and have previously rejected aggressive offers to liquidate their claims for cash,” Alex Thorn, Galaxy’s head of research opined.

3. German Government’s Bitcoin Sell-off

Since June 19, the German government has moved more than 10,000 BTC. This is worth almost $1 billion in Bitcoin moved to various crypto wallets and exchanges. This catalyzed the recent Bitcoin sell-off as investors front-run a possible supply shock.

However, based on Arkham data, token balances are depleting in the govenment’s reserve.

German government BTC Transactions,
German government BTC Transactions, Source: Arkham

There is speculation that the German government will eventually slow down on Bitcoin transactions, which could play in favor of the flagship crypto asset. One of the country’s MPs, Joana Cotar, who is a renowned crypto activist, said German’s local media had captured the call out, with investors in the country expressing anger.

“The German press picks it up,” Cotar wrote.

Read more: Who Owns the Most Bitcoin in 2024?

4. Federal Reserve Chair Testimony This Week

Inflation is steadily decelerating in the US, and the country’s economy is showing strength but is still far away from satisfactory levels. With these, a soft landing seems likely, especially after the July 5 positive payroll data. The Federal Reserve’s long-awaited pivot in monetary policy now looks like a possibility.

“Fed’s latest projections are keeping investors cautious. Fewer rate cuts than hoped for are putting pressure on riskier assets. Political uncertainty in Europe and a stronger USD are pushing BTC down,” a popular account on X wrote.

Crypto markets continue to feel the heat of these macro events. This week is critical as Fed Chair Jerome Powell prepares to address Congress on July 9 and 10.

Disclaimer

In line with the Trust Project guidelines, this price analysis article is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial or investment advice. BeInCrypto is committed to accurate, unbiased reporting, but market conditions are subject to change without notice. Always conduct your own research and consult with a professional before making any financial decisions. Please note that our Terms and ConditionsPrivacy Policy, and Disclaimers have been updated.



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ECB Chairman Rejects Bitcoin Reserve as Czech Considers It

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European Central Bank (ECB) President Christine Lagarde does not expect any EU country to adopt a Bitcoin reserve, reflecting strong skepticism about cryptocurrency’s role in central bank reserves.

Her remarks came in response to Czech National Bank (CNB) Governor Aleš Michl, who recently gained approval from the CNB board to explore alternative assets for the country’s reserves. 

Lagarde’s Skepticism Might Not Align with Some EU Nations

Michl has openly discussed the possibility of allocating up to 5% of the Czech Republic’s reserves to Bitcoin. However, the proposal has drawn mixed reactions from officials.

Lagarde insisted that Bitcoin does not meet the criteria required for inclusion in central bank reserves. She reinforced the ECB’s long-standing stance against cryptocurrency adoption within the EU’s monetary system.

“I love how Lagarde wants a liquid, secure & safe reserve, and then laughs at Bitcoin. She either didn’t do her homework, or as an agenda. Probably both,” wrote European crypto influencer Robin Seyr. 

While the Czech Republic is part of the EU, it does not use the euro. So, its central bank has more flexibility in financial decisions. 

The country has also shown strong pro-Bitcoin sentiment in recent months. In December, the country introduced new policies to ease crypto taxation rules

Meanwhile, the debate over Bitcoin reserves is not limited to the Czech Republic. Last month, former German Finance Minister Christian Lindner suggested exploring the idea. 

Also, Switzerland has initiated a push to include Bitcoin alongside gold in its national reserves. Swiss lawmakers must gather 100,000 signatures by mid-2025 for a referendum to advance the proposal.

“Let the ECB roll out their CBDC while EU nations hedge against EUR control with Bitcoin reserves in their own treasuries—breaking free from the ECB’s Fed-first, treasonous policies,” wrote Simon Dixon.

In the US, momentum for Bitcoin reserves is growing at the state level. Over 15 states have introduced bills to allocate funds for Bitcoin purchases. 

Texas has named Bitcoin reserves a top priority for 2025. Illinois and Indiana are also considering similar legislation

On a national level, former President Donald Trump signed an executive order to study the creation of a digital asset stockpile. Bitcoin’s potential as a reserve asset remains a topic of global discussion. 

Central banks and policymakers are weighing the risks and benefits of integrating digital assets into their financial systems.

Disclaimer

In adherence to the Trust Project guidelines, BeInCrypto is committed to unbiased, transparent reporting. This news article aims to provide accurate, timely information. However, readers are advised to verify facts independently and consult with a professional before making any decisions based on this content. Please note that our Terms and ConditionsPrivacy Policy, and Disclaimers have been updated.



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Grayscale Launches Bitcoin Miners ETF Under ‘MNRS’ Ticker

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Grayscale has introduced the Grayscale Bitcoin Miners ETF (MNRS), providing investors with exposure to companies operating in the Bitcoin mining industry. 

This ETF focuses on firms included in the Indxx Bitcoin Miners Index, which tracks businesses that generate most of their revenue from Bitcoin mining or related services, including hardware, software, and infrastructure.

Grayscale Continuous to Innovate with Crypto ETFs

The latest ETF offers an alternative for those looking to invest in the Bitcoin mining sector without directly holding digital assets. It caters to investors interested in companies linked to Bitcoin’s price movements. 

The fund will appeal to investors who may not want or have the ability to invest in cryptocurrencies directly.

However, the fund does not invest in Bitcoin, other digital currencies, derivatives, or initial coin offerings. It may have indirect exposure to digital assets through investments in companies that use or hold them as part of their business operations.

Overall, Grayscale remains a dominant player in developing products that are taking crypto to the retail investment scene. 

“Bitcoin Miners, the backbone of the network, are well-positioned for significant growth as Bitcoin adoption and usage increases, making MNRS an appealing option for a diverse range of investors,” David LaValle, Global Head of ETFs at Grayscale told BeInCrypto.

Currently, its Bitcoin Trust (GBTC) manages more than $20 billion in assets. Despite being the pioneer of Bitcoin ETF, GBTC currently ranks third behind BlackRock’s IBIT and Fidelity’s FBTC. 

The firm has expanded its ETF offerings in recent months, broadening access to crypto-related investments.

In addition to launching MNRS, Grayscale has applied for a spot Litecoin ETF, which the SEC could approve ahead of other altcoin ETFs. The company also submitted an application for a Solana ETF months ago.

Grayscale recently disclosed a list of 40 digital assets, including AI and meme tokens, that may be integrated into its investment products. 

In December, it opened its Horizen Trust (HZEN) to accredited investors, a product that had been maintained for years but was not previously available over-the-counter (OTC). 

The firm has also introduced new trusts for Stellar (XLM), Lido DAO, and Optimism, further expanding its crypto-focused offerings.

Disclaimer

In adherence to the Trust Project guidelines, BeInCrypto is committed to unbiased, transparent reporting. This news article aims to provide accurate, timely information. However, readers are advised to verify facts independently and consult with a professional before making any decisions based on this content. Please note that our Terms and ConditionsPrivacy Policy, and Disclaimers have been updated.



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Will Trump’s Crypto Order Disrupt Bitcoin’s Cycle?

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Matt Hougan, Chief Investment Officer at Bitwise, said that President Donald Trump’s executive order could have a significant effect on Bitcoin’s (BTC) four-year cycle. 

While Hougan acknowledged that the market has not fully overcome the cycle, he expects any pullbacks to be shorter and less intense compared to previous years.

Impact of Trump’s Executive Order On Bitcoin’s Cycle

In his latest weekly memo, Hougan highlighted the President’s executive order and the Securities and Exchange Commission’s (SEC) recent pro-crypto shifts as major catalysts for Bitcoin’s mainstream adoption.

On January 23, President Trump signed an official order to establish a “national digital asset stockpile.” As a result, crypto inflows surged to $1.9 billion.

“It created a pathway for the largest Wall Street banks and investors to move aggressively into the space,” Hougan wrote.

According to Hougan, the current crypto cycle started in March 2023. This was when Grayscale secured a significant early victory in its legal battle with the SEC over a Bitcoin ETF

The ETFs launched in January 2024, with hundreds of billions of dollars entering the market from new investors. Nonetheless, Hougan sees the executive order as a catalyst for an even more significant transformation.

“But the full mainstreaming of crypto—the one contemplated by Trump’s executive order, where banks custody crypto alongside other assets, stablecoins are integrated broadly into the global payments ecosystem, and the largest institutions establish positions in crypto—I’m convinced will bring trillions,” the note read.

Notably, Bitcoin’s four-year cycle is a pattern driven by halving events. The price typically experiences a bearish accumulation phase. This is followed by a bull market due to reduced supply and then a bear market after the peak. This cycle repeats approximately every four years as the block reward for miners is halved.

BTC experienced downturns in 2014, 2018, and 2022. If this pattern holds, the next pullback could occur in 2026. Despite this, Hougan remained optimistic about crypto’s long-term trajectory.

“The crypto space has matured; there’s a greater variety of buyers and more value-oriented investors than ever before. I expect volatility, but I’m not sure I’d bet against crypto in 2026,” Hougan acknowledged. 

He also predicted 2025 to be a favorable year for crypto. 

“We’re on the record predicting that bitcoin’s price will double this year to above $200,000, driven by flows into ETFs and bitcoin purchases by corporations and governments,” stated the CIO. 

However, Hougan added that the forecast might be conservative. Lastly, he pointed out that the impact of Trump’s executive order and broader regulatory shifts will unfold over years rather than months. 

According to Hougan, establishing a new crypto regulatory framework will take at least a year. Moreover, Wall Street firms may require even more time to adapt.

Meanwhile, the CIO stated that leverage will build, excesses will emerge, and bad actors will surface. This may potentially lead to a sharp pullback. 

Nonetheless, Hougan believes any correction is likely to be “shorter”  and “shallower.” This is because of the crypto market’s maturity and a more diverse, value-driven investor base.

Disclaimer

In adherence to the Trust Project guidelines, BeInCrypto is committed to unbiased, transparent reporting. This news article aims to provide accurate, timely information. However, readers are advised to verify facts independently and consult with a professional before making any decisions based on this content. Please note that our Terms and ConditionsPrivacy Policy, and Disclaimers have been updated.



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