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Bitcoin Price Is Trying To Break 200-MA That Led To Parabolic Surge In The Past, Will It Succeed Again?

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The Bitcoin price started this week on a high in what was an unprecedented move for many market participants. After spending the early days of October to disappoint investors, the Bitcoin price banged over $66,000 for the first time in many weeks. 

Interestingly, this price action has seen the Bitcoin price once again approaching a critical technical level with the 200-day moving average. Historically, breaking above this key indicator has signaled the start of explosive rallies, often resulting in parabolic price increases. The question now is can Bitcoin repeat this historical pattern and ignite another massive surge?

Bitcoin Price Approaches The 200-MA. What Does This Mean?

The 200-day moving average provides a clear view of an asset in the long term. A break above the 200-day moving average suggests the cryptocurrency is now trading for a positive difference compared to an average over 200 days. For Bitcoin in particular, this indicator has often served as a tipping point between bullish and bearish sentiment for its price.

Crypto analyst Ali Martinez noted that in the past, Bitcoin’s price break above the 200-day moving average has consistently marked the onset of parabolic bull runs. The last three times the Bitcoin price broke above the 200-day moving average each kickstarted parabolic bull runs. The first time was in 2016, which saw Bitcoin continue on a 7,513% increase that lasted for almost two years. 

Again, in 2021, Bitcoin’s price crossed above the 200-day moving average for the second time, which led to a 705% price increase that peaked in April 2021. Most recently in 2023, Bitcoin’s price broke above the 200-MA for the third time, sparking yet another significant price rally. This time, Bitcoin saw a 275% increase from its breakout level.

These previous instances show the importance of the 200-day moving average for bullish price action. Recent price action has seen the Bitcoin price break slightly above the 200-day moving average again, which is currently situated around $65,844. Consequently, this price point has now become a major point of interest for both bullish and bearish traders. 

Bitcoin price
Source: X

What’s Next For BTC Price?

The Bitcoin price reached as high as $66,000 in the past 24 hours, although it has retraced a bit and is now trading just below. A reconfirmation above the $66,000 would finally cause a break above the 200-day moving average and potentially kickstart another bull rally. 

As Bitcoin attempts to break above this key level, all eyes are on whether it can replicate the parabolic moves seen in previous cycles. However, the price returns have each reduced time in the last three breakouts. 

Nonetheless, even a return between 100% and 150% would translate to a price target between $132,000 and $165,000 from the current price. Bitcoin could also easily break out of the 200-day moving average and reach these price points quickly, especially with growing institutional inflows through Spot Bitcoin ETFs.

Bitcoin price chart from Tradingview.com
BTC price holds steady above $65,000 | Source: BTCUSD on Tradingview.com

Featured image created with Dall.E, chart from Tradingview.com



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Bhutan’s Bitcoin Treasure Crosses $1 Billion Mark – A 2024 Success Story

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A small Asian country sitting in the Himalayas is now among the largest holders of Bitcoin in the world.

Bhutan might be occupying a small land area but it achieved a huge milestone in its cryptocurrency investments hitting $1 billion worth of Bitcoin.

Strategic Move

The landlocked Himalayan country has been increasing its presence in the crypto space by building its Bitcoin reserves. This move which analysts see as a strategic investment approach now bore positive results.

Arkham Intelligence reported that Bhutan became a major player in the cryptocurrency industry, owning $1 billion worth of BTC, an outstanding feat for such a small country.

Analysts said that this key milestone highlighted the calculated steps taken by Bhutan’s government to diversify its economy to mitigate the impact of the COVID pandemic on its tourism sector.

According to Arkham Intelligence, Druk Holdings, the firm managing the BTC investments of Bhutan, holds 12,568 Bitcoins, firmly placing the Himalayan country as one of the premier BTC investors in the world.

Tapping Hydropower Resources For Bitcoin

Bhutan utilizes its abundant hydropower to fund its BTC investments as the country now ranked fourth among nations with crypto holdings, joining countries like El Salvador, a South American nation that declared BTC as its national currency.

BTCUSD trading at $91,005 on the daily chart: TradingView.com

Analysts said that the Royal Government of Bhutan leveraged its natural resources to steadily increase its cryptocurrency reserves, allowing it to reach this milestone. They said that the country implemented a consistent Bitcoin mining strategy by tapping its rich natural resources to keep its operational costs low.

Its rich hydropower resources help the Himalayan country sustain its crypto mining which is a major contributor to the country’s economy.

A scenic view of Bhutan. Image: Responsible Adventures

According to data, more than 25% of the country’s GDP comes from mining Bitcoin. It shows that Bhutan’s government is committed to turning cryptocurrency into an economic asset.

The country has already mined 13,011 BTC, making it a government with the biggest holding of BTC.

A Global Trend

Analysts said that the achievement of Bhutan shows a worldwide trend of many nations seeing the value of crypto as an asset. Bhutan and El Salvador are among the countries embracing cryptocurrency as a financial tool.

The firstborn cryptocurrency is gaining appeal as more countries are starting to explore the potential of BTC as part of their national reserve. One country, El Salvador, announced in 2021 that it will adopt Bitcoin as a legal tender.

Bhutan is another excellent example of a crypto adopter, but analysts said other countries can learn from Bhutan’s alternative model of hydropower-powered mining strategy.

Featured image from OneSafe, chart from TradingView





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$4 Billion Bitcoin, Ethereum Options Expiring

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The crypto market will witness $3.98 billion in Bitcoin (BTC) and Ethereum (ETH) options contracts expire today. This massive expiration could impact short-term price action, especially as both assets have recently declined.

With Bitcoin options valued at $3.4 billion and Ethereum at $581.57 million, traders are bracing for potential volatility.

High-Stakes Crypto Options Expirations: What Traders Should Watch Today

According to Deribit data, Bitcoin options expiration involves 38,566 contracts, compared to 48,794 contracts last week. Similarly, Ethereum’s expiring options total 189,018 contracts, down from 294,380 contracts the previous week.

Expiring Bitcoin Options
Expiring Bitcoin Options. Source: Deribit

For Bitcoin, the expiring options have a maximum pain price of $79,500 and a put-to-call ratio of 0.85. This indicates a generally bullish sentiment despite the asset’s recent pullback. In comparison, their Ethereum counterparts have a maximum pain price of $3,000 and a put-to-call ratio of 0.92, reflecting a similar market outlook.

Expiring Ethereum Options
Expiring Ethereum Options. Source: Deribit

The maximum pain point is a crucial metric that often guides market behavior. It represents the price level at which most options expire worthless, inflicting maximum financial “pain” on traders.

Meanwhile, the put-to-call ratios below 1 for both Bitcoin and Ethereum suggest optimism in the market, with more traders betting on price increases. While the put options represent bets on price declines, call options point to bets on price increases. Taken together, this metric (put-to-call ratio) gauges market sentiment.

Traders and investors should brace for volatility, as options expirations often cause short-term price fluctuations, which create market uncertainty.

“The market could be very volatile, so trade with caution,” top Asian crypto influencer Wise Advice warned.

However, markets usually stabilize soon after as traders adapt to the new price environment. With today’s high-volume expiration, traders and investors can expect a similar outcome, potentially influencing future crypto market trends. As Bitcoin and Ethereum options near expiration, both assets could approach their respective strike prices.

This is a result of the Max Pain theory, which predicts that options prices will converge around the strike prices where the largest number of contracts — both calls and puts — expire worthless.

More Headwinds With Year-End Crypto Options Expiry

With markets still optimistic, the general sentiment is that Bitcoin’s upside potential remains viable, potentially reaching $100,000 before year-end. Nevertheless, bigger problems lie ahead, with many crypto options due for expiry at the end of the month and, potentially, even more (around $11.8 billion for BTC) on December 27. 

These dates are significant given Bitcoin bull runs tend to end precisely at the end of the year, between November and December. However, considering they only started between October and November, they have often extended into the early months of the new year. 

The expiration of these Bitcoin options at the end of the year may present as a major catalyst. It could influence immediate price action as well as the trajectory into the new year, 2025. With bulls looking at the year’s end expiration as a unique opportunity to foray into unchartered territory beyond $100,000, bears commit to limiting the price discovery to defend their positions.

“Looking at the options market, the market is clearly polarized and trading is very fragmented, with some of the larger traders heading for the sky to go long, while more traders are currently on the short side of the market,” Greeks.live shared.

Should the positioning battle intensify towards the end of the year, the fallout from these options expiring could ripple beyond December, setting new standards for Bitcoin and Ethereum.

The latest data shows that Bitcoin’s trading value has dropped by 2.46% to $87,813. Similarly, Ethereum has fallen by 5.43%, now trading at $3,053.

Disclaimer

In adherence to the Trust Project guidelines, BeInCrypto is committed to unbiased, transparent reporting. This news article aims to provide accurate, timely information. However, readers are advised to verify facts independently and consult with a professional before making any decisions based on this content. Please note that our Terms and ConditionsPrivacy Policy, and Disclaimers have been updated.



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Bhutan Bitcoin Sales Hit $100 Million As BTC Drops Below $90,000

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The Royal Government of Bhutan recently sold 367 Bitcoin, valued at approximately $33.5 million, via Binance.

Data from Arkham Intelligence shows the transaction occurred on Thursday morning when Bitcoin’s price exceeded $90,000. Since then, Bitcoin has dropped over 3% to $87,000.

Bhutan Is Still the First-largest Government Bitcoin Holder 

This sale follows a $66 million Bitcoin transaction two weeks ago, executed when BTC reached $70,000. Combined, Bhutan has liquidated nearly $100 million worth of Bitcoin in the past month.

Arkham data shows that Bhutan still holds 12,206 Bitcoin, currently worth nearly $1.11 billion. These assets are managed by Druk Holding & Investments. The government appears to capitalize on price surges, selling portions of its holdings during market rallies.

Bhutan ranks as the fifth-largest government holder of Bitcoin, trailing the United States, China, the United Kingdom, and Ukraine. Unlike other nations, which often acquire Bitcoin through asset seizures, Bhutan mines its Bitcoin, leveraging its hydroelectric resources.

Royal Government of Bhutan’s overall crypto holdings. Source: Arkham Intelligence

Governments Continue to Benefit From the Market Rally

Much like Bhutan, several governments are looking to reap economic benefits from their Bitcoin reserves in the current market rally. El Salvador is leveraging the Bitcoin surge to buy back its national debt

In 2021, El Salvador became the first country to adopt Bitcoin as legal tender. Since then, the country’s BTC reserve has grown to over $515 million. The country even recently raised $1.6 billion in funding to build the first Bitcoin City

Bitcoin has been rapidly progressing towards mainstream adoption throughout this year. The approval of Bitcoin ETFs back in January drove significant retail investment in the cryptocurrency. There’s also a prominent regulatory shift in the US after Donald Trump’s re-election. 

Earlier today, US Republican senator Lummis proposed a bill to sell the Federal Reserve’s gold and buy 1 million BTC to boost the government’s Bitcoin reserves. 

The state of Pennsylvania also introduced a bill to allocate 10% of state funds to buying BTC. The state proposes to use Bitcoin as a hedge to combat inflation and diversify its investments.

Disclaimer

In adherence to the Trust Project guidelines, BeInCrypto is committed to unbiased, transparent reporting. This news article aims to provide accurate, timely information. However, readers are advised to verify facts independently and consult with a professional before making any decisions based on this content. Please note that our Terms and ConditionsPrivacy Policy, and Disclaimers have been updated.



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