Bitcoin
Bitcoin Price Can Still Reach $100,000 Despite Sell-Off
Bitcoin’s potential to hit $100,000 remains a topic of keen interest among investors. Various market dynamics and economic indicators suggest that this ambitious target is still within reach.
Experts share insights on what it will take for Bitcoin to achieve this milestone.
The Path to a $100,0000 Bitcoin
Felix Mohr, co-founder of MohrWolfe, told BeInCrypto about Bitcoin’s potential, emphasizing the growing demand and increasing Open Interest (OI). Recently, Bitcoin futures OI surged by $2.02 billion in just three days.
“This increased buying interest in Bitcoin is no coincidence. Investors have made it clear they anticipate two US Federal Reserve rate cuts by the end of the year,” Mohr explained.
Indeed, investor sentiment is significantly influenced by speculations surrounding the Federal Reserve’s monetary policy. A Reuters poll indicates a potential rate cut in September, although there is a risk of fewer cuts or none at all.
“Nearly two-thirds of economists, 74 of 116, in the May 31-June 5 Reuters poll predicted the first cut in the Fed funds rate to a 5.00%-5.25% range would come in September. That was the same conclusion as last month’s poll, with a similar majority,” reads the Reuters report.
Historically, Bitcoin benefits from a bullish stock market, which could be invigorated by Fed rate cuts. However, Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell remains cautious and economic indicators further complicate the picture.
The Consumer Price Index (CPI) increased by 3.4% over the past year, while Core CPI rose by 3.9%. The Producer Price Index (PPI) also exceeded expectations, climbing 2.2% annually. These figures suggest persistent inflation, which may deter the Fed from aggressive rate cuts.
“Amid the flurry of subpar economic data, the SP500 is at a record high, indicating a potential for reversal. Bitcoin and traditional markets have historically moved in tandem. A correction in traditional markets could collapse the Bitcoin price,” Mohr told BeInCrypto.
Read more: How to Protect Yourself From Inflation Using Cryptocurrency
Nonetheless, Bitcoin’s trajectory is also influenced by institutional interest. The approval of Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs) by the SEC has been a significant catalyst.
The anticipation of Ethereum ETF approvals by major financial institutions later this year could also drive substantial price increases.
“Bitcoin has surpassed that all-time high to establish a new high of nearly $74,000 set in mid-March. The march towards $100,000 by year’s end begins again if indeed, the Fed cuts rates twice,” Mohr concluded.
Such an optimistic scenario is supported by Bernstein Research. The firm projects Bitcoin to reach $200,000 by 2025, $500,000 by 2029, and $1 million by 2033.
Bernstein’s analysts argue that Bitcoin ETFs, which have seen initial retail-driven allocations, are poised for broader adoption as major wirehouses and private banks prepare to offer these investment products.
Read more: Bitcoin (BTC) Price Prediction 2024 / 2025 / 2030
This institutional basis trade, they contend, acts as a “trojan horse” for wider adoption, potentially transforming Bitcoin into a mainstream asset class. Therefore, Bitcoin’s path to $100,000 and beyond remains achievable, contingent on favorable economic policies and continued institutional interest.
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The cryptocurrency market has not had a clear direction in 2025, reflecting the uncertain condition of the digital asset industry. Bitcoin, the world’s largest cryptocurrency by market capitalization, is currently 24% away from its record-high price of $108,786 reached in January 2025.
With the premier cryptocurrency steadily drifting away from its all-time high, there have been questions about what phase of the cycle the market is currently in. Interestingly, recent on-chain data offers some insight into the current state of the Bitcoin market and the reaction of the participants.
Are Seasoned BTC Investors Anticipating A Price Surge?
In a Quicktake post on the CryptoQuant platform, analyst Axel Adler Jr. shared an analysis of the current Bitcoin cycle, offering insight into the behavior of an important group of investors. According to the online pundit, seasoned BTC players are back to accumulating the flagship cryptocurrency.
Adler Jr. revealed that the experienced BTC investors have been involved in four phases of accumulation (January 2023, October 2023, October 2024, March 2025) in the current cycle. On the flip side, the selling activity of these market participants has reached four distinct peaks, including January 2024, April 2024, July 2024, and January 2025.
The relevant on-chain indicator here is the Value Days Destroyed (VDD) metric, which tracks the spending behaviour of long-term investors. The chart below shows that the VDD metric has been steadily declining since the start of 2025.
Source: CryptoQuant
Using the chart as a basis, Adler Jr. mentioned that three major features define the current phase of the Bitcoin cycle. Firstly, the seasoned investors, who were actively distributing their BTC at local peaks, have now shifted their strategy toward holding and accumulating their coins.
Additionally, the Value Days Destroyed metric suggests an absence of significant selling pressure, which means that the experienced traders are skeptical about profit at the current Bitcoin price. Moreover, periods of low VDD values have historically preceded significant upward price movements, as investors accumulate in anticipation of a price surge.
Ultimately, this positive shift in the behavior of seasoned Bitcoin holders suggests that there might be room for further price growth for Bitcoin in the medium term.
Bitcoin Price At A Glance
As of this writing, the price of BTC sits at around $83,200, with an over 2% decline in the past 24 hours. According to data from CoinGecko, the flagship cryptocurrency is also down by about 2% on the weekly timeframe.
BTC price reclaims $83,000 level on the daily timeframe | Source: BTCUSDT chart on TradingView
Featured image created by DALL-E, chart from TradingView
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Popular CryptoQuant analyst Maartunn reports that 8,000 Bitcoin (BTC) which have been dormant for five to seven years have been moved suddenly, adding to current bearish concerns in the crypto. This development comes after a rather adventurous week as BTC prices struggled to break above $89,000, following an initial steady bullish climb, before succumbing to heavy selling pressures driven by US President Donald Trump’s hawkish tariff policy.
$674 Million In Old BTC Transfers In Single Block – Cause For Alarm?
The Spent Output Age Bands is a crucial metric to measure how long Bitcoin tokens remain inactive before moving. According to Maartuun in an X post, this metric has recently revealed that 8,000 BTC worth $674 million that was last transferred between 2018 and 2020 have been moved recently in a single block drawing significant market attention.
This transfer follows a string of recent activations of dormant Bitcoin stashes. On March 24, a 14-year inactive Bitcoin wallet suddenly moved 100 Bitcoin valued at $8.5 million. Meanwhile, in early March, six ancient Bitcoin wallets also transferred nearly 250 BTC worth $22 million.
Notably, the most recent transaction reported by Maartuun is of far larger size with potentially strong implications for an uncertain Bitcoin market. Generally, a movement of such a large amount of BTC from long-term dormancy is usually interpreted as a signal for incoming selling pressure leading to major price corrections.
However, there are other potential non-bearish motives behind such transactions such as internal wallet shuffling by institutional investors or large holders as well as a cold storage reorganization. Currently, the owners of the new wallets receiving the 8000 is unknown thus reducing the potential of a bearish reaction from BTC holders.
Bitcoin Price Overview
In the last day, Bitcoin prices declined by 4.00% after the US Government announced intentions to impose a 25% tariff on auto imports and goods from China, Mexico, and Canada starting from April 3. This marks the latest negative reaction of the crypto market to President Trump’s international trade policies following similar incidents in early February and mid-March.
These measures by the Donald Trump administration are flaming fears of a potential economic slowdown which could further push high-risk assets such as BTC out of investors’ portfolios leading to a further downside.
At press time, Bitcoin currently trades at $83,693 reflecting a decline of 0.72% and 2.53% in the last seven and 30 days respectively. Meanwhile, the asset’s daily trading volume is up by 19.38% and is valued at $31.58 billion. The BTC market cap now stands at $1.66 trillion and still represents a dominant 61.1% of the total crypto market.
BTC trading at $83,727 on the daily chart | Source: BTCUSDT chart on Tradingview.com
The Bitcoin price seemed to be breaking out of its consolidation range early on in the week, rising to as high as $88,500 on Monday, March 24. However, the flagship cryptocurrency appears to be back to ground zero, retracing to around $84,000 on Friday, March 28.
This recent price correction came following the release of inflation data in the United States. With the latest inflation data suggesting delayed rate cuts by the US Federal Reserve, risk assets — including cryptocurrencies — experienced significant downward pressure to close the week.
Here’s How BTC Price Could Fall To $62,000
The story gets a little grim for the world’s largest cryptocurrency after popular crypto analyst Crypto Capo put forward a bearish projection for the Bitcoin price in their latest post on the X platform. According to the crypto trader, the price of BTC could be on its way to a new low in this cycle.
Crypto Capo highlighted in their analysis of the BTC 12-hour chart that the $84,000 – $85,000 is pivotal for the premier cryptocurrency’s future trajectory. The online pundit noted that the Bitcoin price action could go one of two ways over the next few weeks.
In the first scenario, Crypto Capo expects the price of Bitcoin to enjoy a short-lived bullish burst to within the $95,000 – $100,000 range. This initial price run-up would be a bull trap for investors, according to the analyst. For context, a bull trap is a pattern that lures long traders (bulls) into the market by an initial upward surge followed by a quick reversal.
Fittingly, Crypto Capo predicts that Bitcoin will experience a capitulation event that will see its value plummet to the next main support. As seen in the chart below, this next major support lies within the $62,000 – $69,000 bracket, containing the April and November all-time high prices.
Source: @CryptoCapo_ on X
In the alternate scenario, Crypto Capo highlighted how the first bull trap idea could be invalidated. According to the trader, if the Bitcoin price successfully closes beneath the $84,000 – $85,000 range, it could fall to the $62,000 – $69,000 bracket.
Bitcoin Price At A Glance
As of this writing, the price of Bitcoin is moving around the $83,300 level, reflecting a 3% decline in the past 24 hours. This single correction event has wiped out the premier coin’s early-week profit, with CoinGecko data showing no significant gain or loss in the last seven days.
The price of BTC slides beneath $84,000 on the daily timeframe | Source: BTCUSDT chart on TradingView
Featured image created by DALL-E, chart from TradingView
Editorial Process for bitcoinist is centered on delivering thoroughly researched, accurate, and unbiased content. We uphold strict sourcing standards, and each page undergoes diligent review by our team of top technology experts and seasoned editors. This process ensures the integrity, relevance, and value of our content for our readers.
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