Bitcoin
Bitcoin Plunges Under $54K As Weak US Jobs Data Shakes Markets
Bitcoin fell below $54,000 on September 6, 2024, after cruising earlier in the day to $57,000 following the US nonfarm payrolls. The report showed that the economy added only 142,000 jobs in August, which was much below expectations and threw the crypto market into volatility.
The abrupt U-turn drove the crypto ecology into a tailspin. After striking a low of $53,780, Bitcoin lost roughly 4% in the past 24 hours and traded for $54,101. Following the dismal job count, there was conjecture on Federal Reserve interest rate cuts; estimates of a 70% probability of a 25 basis-point drop at the next FOMC meeting on September 18.
BTC down in the last 24 hours. Source: Coingecko
Altcoins Also In The Red
The liquidation wasn’t unique to bitcoin. Major altcoins were also off: ether was down 4.6% over the past 24 hours, changing hands at $2,261. Others with notable losses included Ripple’s XRP and DOGE, each down more than 4%.
Liquidations And Market Turbulence
The wild swings in price ensured heavy liquidations occurred in the crypto market. According to some reports, about $93 million were liquidated within a four-hour frame. These liquidations largely belonged to leveraged longs that caught traders off guard who were expecting a further rally.
BTC market cap currently at $1.07 trillion. Chart: TradingView.com
Potential Fed Rate Cut Looms
The dismal jobs number has sparked speculation about upcoming interest rate actions. Some investors now expect the possibility of rate cuts, with a 70% chance seen for a 25-bp cut at the next FOMC meeting on September 18.
“Ultimately, the nature of the cut – whether bullish or bearish – depends on economic data and Fed commentary, but all things being equal I still view 25 bps as better for asset prices than 50 bps,” Sean Farrell, digital asset research head at Fundstrat, said.
A smaller cut would be more favorable to risk assets, since a 50bp cut could suggest the Fed is getting worried about a recession in the US economy. The nature of the cut will come down to economic data and Fed commentary.
Bitcoin: Bearish Pressure Remains Low
Although the broader market is in decline, data shows that bearish pressure for Bitcoin remains low. This is indicative that the current bearish momentum might be due to unaggressive selling pressure.
While the failure of Bitcoin to hold above $54,000 after the US jobs report brings into light some volatility in the cryptocurrency market, a possible central bank rate cut increased uncertainty and made the participants in the market look closely at the next move from the Fed.
Like all other cryptocurrencies, the altcoins have also taken a beating and fallen below their key resistance levels, with the broader crypto market retreating. According to analysts, the bearish pressure might not be that serious as it seems.
Featured image from Pexels, chart from TradingView
Bitcoin
Bitcoin Bull Saylor Hints at Expanding MicroStrategy’s Holdings
Michael Saylor, co-founder of MicroStrategy, has hinted at the possibility of additional Bitcoin purchases.
In a November 24 post on X (formerly Twitter), Saylor teased the company’s plans following its successful $3 billion fundraising round on November 22.
MicroStrategy’s $3 Billion Raise Could Fuel New Bitcoin Purchases
The Bitcoin bull mentioned that MicroStrategy’s portfolio tracker, SaylorTracker, “needs more green dots.” These markers symbolize the company’s each Bitcoin acquisition, fueling speculation about another significant purchase.
Saylor’s recent hints echo his previous two Sunday posts, which preceded announcements of large-scale Bitcoin acquisitions. During this period, MicroStrategy added approximately 80,000 BTC to its holdings, worth over $6 billion at the time.
Meanwhile, the recent $3 billion funding — raised through the issuance of convertible debt — could be instrumental in financing these new acquisitions. The convertible notes, sold privately to institutional investors under US securities laws, will mature on December 1, 2029. These notes carry a 55% premium and an implied strike price of $672 per share of MicroStrategy’s Class A common stock.
Market observers noted that this fundraiser aligns with MicroStrategy’s ambitious “21/21” initiative, which aims to raise $42 billion over three years through a mix of equity and fixed-income instruments.
The company remains the largest Bitcoin-holding public entity, with 331,200 BTC valued at over $32.7 billion. According to Saylor, MicroStrategy’s treasury operations have delivered a year-to-date Bitcoin yield of 41.8%, generating a net benefit of around 79,130 BTC, or roughly 246 BTC daily, without the operational costs associated with mining.
Additionally, this strategy has also bolstered MicroStrategy’s stock performance. MSTR shares have surged over 515% since the start of the year, making it one of the most actively traded stocks in the US.
Saylor emphasized that MicroStrategy’s operations are driven by its Bitcoin holdings, which are optimized through strategic financial tools like ATM offerings, enabling the company to reduce risk and volatility while enhancing shareholder value.
“MicroStrategy is powered by its Bitcoin treasury operations. We sell volatility through our ATM offerings, strip BTC risk, volatility, and performance from our fixed-income securities, and transfer that performance to our MSTR equity holders,” he stated.
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Bitcoin
$100K Bitcoin Is Only The Beginning, VanEck Targets $180K
Recent gains in Bitcoin are owed in part to changes in the political environment, particularly in the US. Incoming US President Donald Trump is backing cryptocurrencies, sparking renewed market optimism among investors.
From reforms in regulatory structures to a proposal for a national Bitcoin reserve, the policies he enforces provide Bitcoin an exceptional outlet for growth in an increasingly open and friendly new landscape. These changes places the US in a strategic position as the world’s leader in crypto innovation while giving a fertile ground for Bitcoin to continue growing.
Crypto On The Rise
These possible changes have been well taken by market participants, who have seen the highest market dominance of BTC at 59%. A bill being worked out may permit state-chartered banks to mint stablecoins without seeking prior approval from the Federal Reserve, putting the US in a very commanding position in the race to dominate financial innovation. Furthermore, proposals to deregulate the energy industry may favor crypto mining, which will place the US in a better position in the global race for blockchain.
🧐 Bitcoin’s flirtation with $100K continues as crypto’s top market cap has now reached an ATH of $99,850. As its price continues to hit round numbers and fulfill limit sell orders, it is widely being perceived as only a matter of time. pic.twitter.com/Qb1LTznuij
— Santiment (@santimentfeed) November 22, 2024
Historic Rally: BTC Approaching $100K
Bitcoin is trading at nearly $99,850 and is on the verge of the long-awaited $100,000 milestone. Similar to other bull runs, including the one witnessed after the elections in 2020, when the price of Bitcoin nearly doubled in a matter of a few months, some believe institutional interest coupled with friendly economic conditions and increased on-chain activity are the drivers of this phenomenal appreciation of the price of Bitcoin.
Source: VanEck
According to VanEck’s latest report, Bitcoin still is in its early stages of the rally, and there is minimal technical resistance in its way. With investor enthusiasm building, growing calls for the alpha coin to be adopted as a strategic reserve, and with a supportive US government, this rally appears well-positioned to continue. Experts are optimistic that Bitcoin is going to push forward and hit new highs.
The Future Of Bitcoin: Cautious Optimism
Analysts, while acknowledging that momentum is strong, point out that the market may run too hot, and early signs in the development are a rise in funding rates and increased unrealized profits. However, even from this stage, long-term prospects appear bright given strong institutional demand, solid on-chain metrics, and supportive regulatory changes, according to the forecast of $180,000 by VanEck for Bitcoin in the current cycle.
While historical data may indicate the crypto asset’s growth is decelerating as the markets mature, the cryptocurrency still shows hopeful prospects in the near term. So far, this rally displays the confidence of investors and has incrementally acquired recognition regarding Bitcoin’s role in a changed financial sector.
Featured image from CNBC, chart from TradingView
Bitcoin
Bitcoin Whales Remain Determined, $3.96 Billion Worth Of BTC Gobbled Up In 96 Hours
All eyes are on Bitcoin, especially as many traders continue to anticipate a break above the $100,000 mark. This anticipation has cascaded into a spike in activity, especially among Bitcoin whales. Interestingly, Bitcoin whales are making bold statements amidst the anticipation, with on-chain data pointing to an accumulation of over 40,000 BTC in just 96 hours among this holder cohort.
This interesting accumulation coincides with the Bitcoin price reaching a peak of $99,645 in the last 24 hours, adding further momentum to the narrative of a possible historic price milestone.
Examining The Holding Patterns Of Bitcoin Whales
Bitcoin’s recent price dynamics have put the spotlight on Bitcoin whales. Ali Martinez, a well-known cryptocurrency analyst, drew attention to the remarkable activity of Bitcoin whales on social media platform X.
While highlighting Santiment data, Martinez revealed that Bitcoin whales have bought over 40,000 BTC worth approximately $3.96 billion in the past 96 hours. Notably, the Bitcoin whales referred to in this metric by Santiment consist of addresses holding between 100 and 1,000 BTC.
This aggressive accumulation comes at a critical juncture for Bitcoin, with prices flirting near the much-anticipated $100,000 mark. Such whale activity typically reduces the available supply of Bitcoin on the open market, which is expected to keep pushing up the Bitcoin price.
Despite the increase in whale accumulation, on-chain data from Glassnode suggests that long-term holders have upped their profit-taking in tandem. Particularly, over 128,000 BTC has been sold by long-term holders since early October.
However, this long-term holder profit taking has so far been offset by the demand from US Spot Bitcoin ETFs. These ETFs have acted as a counterbalance, absorbing nearly 90% of the Bitcoin sold by long-term holders.
A possible explanation is that long-term holders are exiting their self-custody of Bitcoin and are instead diverting their holdings into Spot Bitcoin ETFs in order to benefit from their regulatory clarity. According to data from SoSoValue, Spot Bitcoin ETFs in the US witnessed consecutive days of inflows throughout last week to bring the total inflow to $3.38 billion, which is the largest weekly inflow since their launch in January 2024.
What’s Next For Bitcoin Price?
Looking ahead, the Bitcoin price is definitely on its way to break above $100,000 in the next few days. However, it remains to be seen what happens after that. Crypto analyst Tony Severino has speculated that the Bitcoin price peak could double within a timeframe of two weeks to two months following the break above $100,000.This prediction is based off of the Bitcoin price performance after it first broke above the $10,000 price level in 2017.
On the other hand, veteran analyst Peter Brandt suggests there could be some sort of selling pressure among bulls once the Bitcoin price breaks above $100,000.
“What I had in mind here is the possibility that bulls will sell their BTC sub $100,00 thinking they will buy a correction that does not come, then turn bearish if Bitcoin goes to $120,000 believing price must come down,” he said.
Nevertheless, the current crypto market landscape is set in place for a continued Bitcoin price increase in the next few weeks and months.
Featured image from DALL-E, chart from TradingView
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