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Bitcoin, Ethereum Traders Eye $1.4 Billion Options Expiration

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The cryptocurrency market is preparing for short-term volatility, with approximately $1.4 billion worth of Bitcoin and Ethereum options expiring today.

With Bitcoin options totaling $1.066 billion in notional value and Ethereum options accounting for $284.99 million, traders are eyeing the expiration for its potential impact on prices.

Analysts Predict A Market Shakeout Amid Expiring Options

Data on Deribit shows 17,448 Bitcoin options contracts will expire on October 4. The contracts have a put-to-call ratio of 0.75 and a maximum pain point of $63,000.

Expiring Bitcoin Options
Expiring Bitcoin Options, Source: Deribit

At the same time, Ethereum’s options market is set to expire with 119,599 contracts. Today’s expiring Ethereum contracts have a put-to-call ratio of 0.68, with a maximum pain point of $2,500.

Read more: An Introduction to Crypto Options Trading

Expiring Ethereum Options
Expiring Ethereum Options, Source: Deribit

n options trading, the put-to-call ratio serves as a key sentiment indicator by comparing the volume of put options traded to call options. A put-to-call ratio of 0.75 for Bitcoin suggests that more call options are being traded, indicating bullish market sentiment. Similarly, Ethereum’s put-to-call ratio of 0.68 also points to optimism, as more calls than puts are being exchanged.

For those unfamiliar with the concept, a put-to-call ratio below 1 generally signals bullish sentiment, as more investors expect market gains. In contrast, a ratio above 1 often reflects bearish sentiment, signaling concerns about a market decline.

Price Implication Based on BTC and ETH Maximum Pain Points

The current market prices for Bitcoin and Ethereum are below their respective maximum pain points. BTC is trading at $61,209 and ETH at $2,381. This suggests that if the options were to expire at these levels, it would generally signify gains for options holders.

The outcome for options traders can vary significantly depending on the specific strike prices and positions they hold. To accurately assess potential gains or losses at expiration, traders must consider their entire options position, along with current market conditions.

Analysts at Greeks.live suggest that additional market factors could emerge, influencing overall trends and affecting trader decisions. Therefore, comprehensive evaluation is essential before drawing conclusions on options trades.

“Friday’s unemployment rate and non-farm payrolls data, and now the windy A-share market compared to the US stock market is much less favorable. However, the cryptocurrency market is more connected to US stocks, and the only connection between A-shares and crypto might be that many people are out of gold speculating in stocks, knocking down the price of u fiat currency,” they wrote.

The analysts also say crypto markets are entering a shakeout before what has historically been a bullish month. A shakeout is when the otherwise “weak hands” are triggered to sell based on scary market conditions. Geopolitical tensions could aggravate the sell-off, which continues to escalate.

“Today is going to be a big day. Very important job data is coming in the next 7 hours, which will impact the US stock market heavily. We can get a super pump or heavy dump. Israel planning to launch a counterattack on Iran today. Bitcoin needs to hold $60,000 for a bounce but if $60,000 breaks we can see a quick dump to $56,000-$57,000. The best strategy is to hold your positions and not be shaken out,” analyst Ash Crypto advised.

Meanwhile, crypto markets remain subtly optimistic amid bullish US economic data. The Federal Reserve’s decision to cut interest rates amid cooling inflation inspires optimism for riskier assets. Economists expect more rate cuts in 2024, but this remains to be seen. This is as the Fed continues to exercise its dual mandate- to achieve maximum employment and keep prices stable.

Read more: 9 Best Crypto Options Trading Platforms

Traders are therefore advised to remain cautious, as historically, options expiration often leads to short-term instability in the market. The weekend will also be crucial as it is often characterized by high volatility.  

Disclaimer

In adherence to the Trust Project guidelines, BeInCrypto is committed to unbiased, transparent reporting. This news article aims to provide accurate, timely information. However, readers are advised to verify facts independently and consult with a professional before making any decisions based on this content. Please note that our Terms and ConditionsPrivacy Policy, and Disclaimers have been updated.



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Bitcoin Could Serve as Inflation Hedge or Tech Stock, Say Experts

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Bitcoin may be a useful hedge against inflation in the near future as market uncertainty is growing. In the long run, it may also be useful to envision Bitcoin differently, treating it as a barometer for the tech industry.

Standard Chartered’s Head of Digital Assets Research and WeFi’s Head of Growth both shared exclusive comments with BeInCrypto regarding this topic.

Bitcoin: Inflation Hedge or Magnificent 7 Candidate?

Since the early days of the crypto space, investors have been using it as a hedge against inflation. However, it’s only recently that institutional investors are beginning to treat it the same way. According to Geoff Kendrick, Head of Digital Assets Research at Standard Chartered, the trend of Bitcoin as an inflation hedge is increasing.

Still, this view may be too narrow in a few ways. Since the Bitcoin ETFs were first approved, BTC has been increasingly well-integrated with traditional finance. Kendrick noted this, saying that it is highly correlated with the NASDAQ in the short term. He claimed that Bitcoin might represent more than an inflation hedge, instead serving as an ersatz tech stock:

“BTC may be better viewed as a tech stock than as a hedge against TradFi issues. If we create a hypothetical index where we add BTC to the ‘Magnificent 7’ tech stocks, and remove Tesla, We find that our index, ‘Mag 7B’, has both higher returns and lower volatility than Mag 7,” Kendrick said in an exclusive interview with BeInCrypto.

This comparison is particularly apt for a few reasons. Tesla’s stock price is heavily entangled with Bitcoin, but it’s also been dropping due to political controversies. If Bitcoin were to replace Tesla’s position in the Magnificent 7, it may be a welcome addition. Of course, there is currently no mechanism to cleanly treat Bitcoin as a similar type of product. That could change.

However, Bitcoin’s role as an inflation hedge might be more immediately relevant. As Trump’s Liberation Day approaches, the crypto markets are becoming increasingly nervous about new US tariffs. As Agne Linge, Head of Growth at WeFi, said in an exclusive interview, these fears are impacting all risk-on assets, Bitcoin included.

“Crypto markets are closely tracking investor sentiment ahead of Trump’s…tariff announcement, with growing concerns over the potential economic impact. Bitcoin’s increasing correlation with traditional markets has amplified its exposure to broader macroeconomic trends, making it more sensitive to the risk-off sentiment that has affected equity markets,” Linge claimed.

She went on to state that US economic uncertainty was at record levels, surpassing both the 2008 financial crisis and the pandemic in April 2020. In these circumstances, recent inflation indicators are showing expected rates above expectations.

In such an environment, the crypto market is sure to take a hit, but traditional finance and the dollar is also in great jeopardy. All that is to say, Bitcoin is likely to be a solid inflation hedge in the near future. Even if it falls dramatically, it has worldwide appeal and the ability to rebound.

Disclaimer

In adherence to the Trust Project guidelines, BeInCrypto is committed to unbiased, transparent reporting. This news article aims to provide accurate, timely information. However, readers are advised to verify facts independently and consult with a professional before making any decisions based on this content. Please note that our Terms and ConditionsPrivacy Policy, and Disclaimers have been updated.



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$500 Trillion Bitcoin? Saylor’s Bold Prediction Shakes the Market!

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Michael Saylor, one of the most outspoken supporters of Bitcoin, is back and bolder than ever. In a recent statement, the former MicroStrategy CEO predicted that the alpha coin will potentially hit a $500 trillion market cap. Saylor’s bold prediction for the world’s top digital asset comes during the intensified push for a Strategic Bitcoin Reserve (SBR). 

In his latest pro-crypto statement, Saylor argued that the digital asset will “demonetize gold”, then it will demonetize real estate, which he calculated as 10x more than gold. To summarize his argument, Saylor further states that Bitcoin will demonetize “all long-term store of value”.

Push For SBR Gains Ground

Saylor’s latest statement comes as Congress intensifies its efforts to build the country’s BTC holdings. United States President Donald Trump formalized the plans to build crypto holdings through an executive order to establish a strategic crypto reserve that will initially include $17 billion worth of BTC that the country currently controls.

According to the president, additional acquisitions of cryptocurrency are allowed, provided these are done through “budget-neutral” approaches. Senator Cynthia Lummis initially proposed in the Senate, through the Bitcoin Act, the plan to create a Bitcoin reserve. Under the proposal, the administration can purchase 1 million Bitcoin to complement the reserve.

Saylor Explains Crypto’s Role During Blockchain Summit

Saylor’s latest prediction on Bitcoin was made during his appearance at the DC Blockchain Summit. He was joined on stage by Jason Les, the CEO of Rito Platforms, and Lummis, the principal author of the Bitcoin Act.

BTC is now trading at $83,238. Chart: TradingView

During the program, Saylor was asked about America’s need for Bitcoin. Saylor answered with conviction, saying the rising importance of BTC is inevitable and will happen with the US’ participation. During his talk, he shared that Bitcoin, created by the enigmatic Satoshi Nakamoto, is unstoppable. 

Image: Gemini Imagen

Saylor added that the premier digital asset is the next stage in money’s evolution, and it’s currently absorbing value from traditional assets like currency reserves and real estate.

Saylor Predicts Top Coin Will Reach $500 Trillion In Market Cap

During his talk, Saylor predicted that BTC will eventually grow from $2 billion to $20 billion, which can hit $200 billion and beyond. Finally, he thinks the asset can achieve a $500 trillion market capitalization, reflecting more than 29,000% increase from its current market capitalization of $1.67 trillion.

Saylor’s recent bold prediction aligns with his firm conviction and support for the asset. He argues that Bitcoin’s unique features, its decentralized nature and fixed supply, make it a perfect hedge against economic uncertainties like inflation.

Featured image from Gemini Imagen, chart from TradingView

Editorial Process for bitcoinist is centered on delivering thoroughly researched, accurate, and unbiased content. We uphold strict sourcing standards, and each page undergoes diligent review by our team of top technology experts and seasoned editors. This process ensures the integrity, relevance, and value of our content for our readers.





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Big Bitcoin Buy Coming? Saylor Drops a Hint as Strategy Shifts

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A top executive of Strategy, formerly MicroStrategy, posted a cryptic post on X, fueling speculation that the company might be positioning itself to make another Bitcoin acquisition soon.

Strategy Executive Chairman Michael Saylor suggested in an X post that the company would purchase additional Bitcoins to boost its current BTC holding of $42 billion.

Saylor To Buy More Bitcoin 

In a typical Saylor fashion, the Strategy top honcho disclosed the company’s BTC investment portfolio tracker, an indicator that the company is planning an upcoming Bitcoin acquisition.

“Needs even more Orange,” Saylor said in the post, referring to the orange circles in the graph (below), which represents the company’s Bitcoin purchases since September 2020.

Once again, Saylor’s post intrigued the crypto community because many believe the graph conveys a message that Strategy will buy more BTC soon.

Strategy Stockpile: Over $40B BTC

According to Saylor, Strategy’s Bitcoin holding now stands at more than $42 billion. Despite the company’s already huge investment in BTC, it seems the company will continue to increase its holdings, believing in the value of crypto.

Strategy has made great strides in building its BTC reserve from its initial Bitcoin purchase of 21,454 coins worth $250 million in August 2020.

On March 17, the company announced its latest acquisition of 130 Bitcoins for about $10.7 million in cash, with an average price of around $82,981 per coin.

BTC is now trading at $84,287. Chart: TradingView

Meanwhile, Onchain Lens reported on Sunday that Strategy moved a considerable number of its coins to new addresses.

“Strategy (formerly MicroStrategy) transferred 7,383.25 $BTC worth $612.92M to three new addresses on March 30,” Onchain Lens said in a post.

Analysts believe the company is influencing the crypto market to strengthen its position, as its chairman has consistently urged others never to sell their Bitcoin.

Fueling BTC Adoption

Many market observers argued that Saylor’s BTC investment strategy might have driven crypto adoption. Ironically, Saylor was pessimistic about Bitcoin’s future in 2013, predicting that the flagship crypto would fail.

However, in 2020, Saylor became one of Bitcoin’s staunch advocates and has now been preaching the merits of the firstborn crypto, urging companies to acquire Bitcoin.

For example, Visa planned to let its customers spend digital assets directly at 70 million merchants. At the same time, financial institutions such as JPMorgan and Morgan Stanley have begun offering crypto investments to wealthy clients and institutional investors.

Featured image from Times Now, chart from TradingView

Editorial Process for bitcoinist is centered on delivering thoroughly researched, accurate, and unbiased content. We uphold strict sourcing standards, and each page undergoes diligent review by our team of top technology experts and seasoned editors. This process ensures the integrity, relevance, and value of our content for our readers.





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