Bitcoin
Bitcoin, Ethereum Face $5 Billion Options Expiry Today
Traders and investors in the crypto market should brace for volatility, with $5.26 billion worth of Bitcoin and Ethereum options expiring today.
Specifically, Bitcoin (BTC) options due for expiry total $4.25 billion in notional value, while Ethereum (ETH) options account for $1.01 billion. With this, markets await the impact of such expansive contracts’ expiring.
What $5 Billion Bitcoin, Ethereum Options Expiry Means
According to data on Deribit, an expansive 62,657 Bitcoin options contracts will expire on October 25, with a put-to-call ratio of 0.66 and a maximum pain point of $64,000.
At the same time, Ethereum’s options market is set to expire with 403,426 contracts. Today’s expiring Ethereum contracts have a put-to-call ratio of 0.97, with a maximum pain point of $2,600.
Read more: An Introduction to Crypto Options Trading.
The put-to-call ratio is an important sentiment indicator in options trading. It compares the volume of put options traded to call options. When this metric is below 1, it generally signals bullish sentiment, with more investors expecting market gains. On the other hand, a ratio above 1 often suggests bearish sentiment, signaling concerns about a market decline.
Meanwhile, based on BeInCrypto data, Bitcoin is trading at $67,962 as of this writing, while Ethereum is trading at $2,490. This means that while BTC is trading above its maximum paint point, Ethereum is trading below it.
Price Implication Based On Max Pain Point Theory
With Bitcoin price currently above its max pain point, if the options expire at the current level, it would generally signify losses for options contract holders. The reverse applies to Ethereum, which is below its strike price as options holders stand to benefit. This is based on the Max Pain theory, which predicts that options prices will converge around the strike prices where the largest number of contracts — calls and puts alike — expire worthless.
Therefore, it means that as the options contracts near expiration, Bitcoin and Ethereum prices are likely to draw toward their respective maximum pain points. This means BTC value may drop while ETH price could rise in a calculated move by smart money. Nevertheless, the pressure on BTC and ETH prices will reduce after 08:00 UTC on Friday, when Deribit settles the contracts.
It is also worth mentioning that the volume of BTC and ETH options expiring today is significantly higher than what was seen earlier in the month. BeInCrypto reported $1.4 billion in the trading week ending October 4, followed by $1.6 billion in the week ending October 11.
Subsequently, the week ending October 18 saw up to $1.62 billion option contracts expire. The leap to over $5 billion options expiring is therefore significant, with a sustained rising trend. Meanwhile, analysts at BloFin Academy say there is also a notable change in implied volatility (IV) ahead of the US elections.
“The change in implied volatility first reflects the election’s impact on the expected volatility of the crypto market. Whether it is BTC or ETH options, the implied volatility level of options expiring on November 8 has increased significantly and exceeded that of far-month options,” said the analysts.
They ascribe the change in IV to investors’ hedging and speculative needs. The analysts also observe relatively higher increases in BTC’s “election day option.” This shows that BTC is relatively more sensitive to macro events. For now, however, most investors remain on the sidelines, limiting the amount of volatility that should be expected in October.
Read more: 9 Best Crypto Options Trading Platforms.
“Interestingly, investors seem to believe that there will not be much volatility in the rest of October. As most investors are on the sidelines before the election, the performance of the crypto market is mainly consolidation, which also boosts investors’ confidence in pricing lower volatility. Of course, affected by supply, demand, and sentiment, options expiring on Nov 8 are becoming more expensive,” BioFin Academy analysts added.
Another influencing factor, according to the analysts, is policy uncertainties in the US by the Federal Reserve.
Disclaimer
In adherence to the Trust Project guidelines, BeInCrypto is committed to unbiased, transparent reporting. This news article aims to provide accurate, timely information. However, readers are advised to verify facts independently and consult with a professional before making any decisions based on this content. Please note that our Terms and Conditions, Privacy Policy, and Disclaimers have been updated.
Bitcoin
Grayscale Launches Bitcoin Miners ETF Under ‘MNRS’ Ticker
Grayscale has introduced the Grayscale Bitcoin Miners ETF (MNRS), providing investors with exposure to companies operating in the Bitcoin mining industry.
This ETF focuses on firms included in the Indxx Bitcoin Miners Index, which tracks businesses that generate most of their revenue from Bitcoin mining or related services, including hardware, software, and infrastructure.
Grayscale Continuous to Innovate with Crypto ETFs
The latest ETF offers an alternative for those looking to invest in the Bitcoin mining sector without directly holding digital assets. It caters to investors interested in companies linked to Bitcoin’s price movements.
The fund will appeal to investors who may not want or have the ability to invest in cryptocurrencies directly.
However, the fund does not invest in Bitcoin, other digital currencies, derivatives, or initial coin offerings. It may have indirect exposure to digital assets through investments in companies that use or hold them as part of their business operations.
Overall, Grayscale remains a dominant player in developing products that are taking crypto to the retail investment scene.
“Bitcoin Miners, the backbone of the network, are well-positioned for significant growth as Bitcoin adoption and usage increases, making MNRS an appealing option for a diverse range of investors,” David LaValle, Global Head of ETFs at Grayscale told BeInCrypto.
Currently, its Bitcoin Trust (GBTC) manages more than $20 billion in assets. Despite being the pioneer of Bitcoin ETF, GBTC currently ranks third behind BlackRock’s IBIT and Fidelity’s FBTC.
The firm has expanded its ETF offerings in recent months, broadening access to crypto-related investments.
In addition to launching MNRS, Grayscale has applied for a spot Litecoin ETF, which the SEC could approve ahead of other altcoin ETFs. The company also submitted an application for a Solana ETF months ago.
Grayscale recently disclosed a list of 40 digital assets, including AI and meme tokens, that may be integrated into its investment products.
In December, it opened its Horizen Trust (HZEN) to accredited investors, a product that had been maintained for years but was not previously available over-the-counter (OTC).
The firm has also introduced new trusts for Stellar (XLM), Lido DAO, and Optimism, further expanding its crypto-focused offerings.
Disclaimer
In adherence to the Trust Project guidelines, BeInCrypto is committed to unbiased, transparent reporting. This news article aims to provide accurate, timely information. However, readers are advised to verify facts independently and consult with a professional before making any decisions based on this content. Please note that our Terms and Conditions, Privacy Policy, and Disclaimers have been updated.
Bitcoin
Will Trump’s Crypto Order Disrupt Bitcoin’s Cycle?
Matt Hougan, Chief Investment Officer at Bitwise, said that President Donald Trump’s executive order could have a significant effect on Bitcoin’s (BTC) four-year cycle.
While Hougan acknowledged that the market has not fully overcome the cycle, he expects any pullbacks to be shorter and less intense compared to previous years.
Impact of Trump’s Executive Order On Bitcoin’s Cycle
In his latest weekly memo, Hougan highlighted the President’s executive order and the Securities and Exchange Commission’s (SEC) recent pro-crypto shifts as major catalysts for Bitcoin’s mainstream adoption.
On January 23, President Trump signed an official order to establish a “national digital asset stockpile.” As a result, crypto inflows surged to $1.9 billion.
“It created a pathway for the largest Wall Street banks and investors to move aggressively into the space,” Hougan wrote.
According to Hougan, the current crypto cycle started in March 2023. This was when Grayscale secured a significant early victory in its legal battle with the SEC over a Bitcoin ETF.
The ETFs launched in January 2024, with hundreds of billions of dollars entering the market from new investors. Nonetheless, Hougan sees the executive order as a catalyst for an even more significant transformation.
“But the full mainstreaming of crypto—the one contemplated by Trump’s executive order, where banks custody crypto alongside other assets, stablecoins are integrated broadly into the global payments ecosystem, and the largest institutions establish positions in crypto—I’m convinced will bring trillions,” the note read.
Notably, Bitcoin’s four-year cycle is a pattern driven by halving events. The price typically experiences a bearish accumulation phase. This is followed by a bull market due to reduced supply and then a bear market after the peak. This cycle repeats approximately every four years as the block reward for miners is halved.
BTC experienced downturns in 2014, 2018, and 2022. If this pattern holds, the next pullback could occur in 2026. Despite this, Hougan remained optimistic about crypto’s long-term trajectory.
“The crypto space has matured; there’s a greater variety of buyers and more value-oriented investors than ever before. I expect volatility, but I’m not sure I’d bet against crypto in 2026,” Hougan acknowledged.
He also predicted 2025 to be a favorable year for crypto.
“We’re on the record predicting that bitcoin’s price will double this year to above $200,000, driven by flows into ETFs and bitcoin purchases by corporations and governments,” stated the CIO.
However, Hougan added that the forecast might be conservative. Lastly, he pointed out that the impact of Trump’s executive order and broader regulatory shifts will unfold over years rather than months.
According to Hougan, establishing a new crypto regulatory framework will take at least a year. Moreover, Wall Street firms may require even more time to adapt.
Meanwhile, the CIO stated that leverage will build, excesses will emerge, and bad actors will surface. This may potentially lead to a sharp pullback.
Nonetheless, Hougan believes any correction is likely to be “shorter” and “shallower.” This is because of the crypto market’s maturity and a more diverse, value-driven investor base.
Disclaimer
In adherence to the Trust Project guidelines, BeInCrypto is committed to unbiased, transparent reporting. This news article aims to provide accurate, timely information. However, readers are advised to verify facts independently and consult with a professional before making any decisions based on this content. Please note that our Terms and Conditions, Privacy Policy, and Disclaimers have been updated.
Bitcoin
Bitcoin Gains Propel Tesla’s Q4 Profits—Here’s What Changed
Tesla saw a boost in its financial performance in the fourth quarter of 2024, thanks in part to its Bitcoin holdings.
The company reported a $600 million gain due to a change in accounting rules. The move allowed Tesla to value its Bitcoin at market prices.
Tesla Makes $600 Million on Bitcoin
This shift in accounting standards stems from a new rule by the Financial Accounting Standards Board (FASB). The rule mandates that starting in 2025, companies holding digital assets must mark those assets to market each quarter.
The new FASB rule gives companies the option to implement this change earlier, which Tesla appears to have done. Before this rule, companies were required to report their digital assets based on the lowest valuation of those assets during their time of ownership.
Now, after adjusting values to current market prices, Tesla saw a marked increase in the valuation of its Bitcoin holdings. Moreover, as per its earnings release, Tesla did not sell any Bitcoin in Q4.
In Q4 2024, Tesla’s Bitcoin holdings were valued at $1.076 billion, up from just $184 million in previous quarters after the rule change. The dramatic increase reflects the changing market value of Bitcoin, which has seen fluctuations over time.
This increase in Bitcoin’s market value contributed to a $600 million gain, boosting Tesla’s financial performance. The company’s total GAAP income for Q4 reached $2.3 billion, meaning that Bitcoin gain played a key role in the results.
“It’s important to point out that the net income in Q4 was impacted by a $600 million mark-to-market benefit from Bitcoin due to the adoption of a new accounting standard for digital assets,” CFO Vaibhav Taneja reportedly noted on the earnings call.
According to Bitcoin Treasuries, Tesla holds 9,720 BTC, making it the sixth-largest publicly traded company holding Bitcoin.
Tesla entered the Bitcoin market in 2021 with the purchase of 43,200 BTC. Following this initial purchase, Tesla sold part of its Bitcoin holdings over the years.
The change in Tesla’s Bitcoin valuation has also raised questions about the effect the new accounting rules will have on Microstrategy earnings.
“What on earth is going to happen when MicroStrategy announce their earnings next week. They have 471,107 Bitcoin and most likely will also take advantage of the new FASB accounting rule,” a X user posted.
Disclaimer
In adherence to the Trust Project guidelines, BeInCrypto is committed to unbiased, transparent reporting. This news article aims to provide accurate, timely information. However, readers are advised to verify facts independently and consult with a professional before making any decisions based on this content. Please note that our Terms and Conditions, Privacy Policy, and Disclaimers have been updated.
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