Bitcoin
Bitcoin (BTC) Price Teeters Below Key Support: Is $60,000 Next?
History shows that Bitcoin (BTC) price correction is inevitable whether it is a bull market or not. However, this cycle has been different, especially as BTC reached a new all-time high before the halving in April.
Since the boom in the first quarter of 2024, the cryptocurrency’s price has been downhill. On-chain analysis dives into Bitcoin’s price prediction. Will respite appear, or are we in for another round of decline?
Bitcoin Slides Down Crucial Point
In Q1, the inflows into the approved Bitcoin ETFs drove the price to $73,750. Over the past few months, there has been a dearth of institutional capital. Thus, the ETFs no longer dictate the direction of the coin.
Instead, the activities of Short-Term Holders (STH) move BTC. STH refers to investors who purchased Bitcoin within the last 155 days. To assess Bitcoin’s potential in the short term, we will analyze the STH Realized Price.
The STH-Realized Price, also known as the on-chain cost basis, refers to the average price of the STH supply, valued at the period each coin last transacted on-chain.
As of this writing, BTC trades at $62,367. However, according to Glassnode, the STH-Realized Price is $64,410.
Read More: Who Owns the Most Bitcoin in 2024?
Historically, when the metric falls below the coin value, it supports the price. Hence, it leads to a higher value within a short period. On the other hand, a rise above Bitcoin’s price leads the cryptocurrency to a further decline.
BeInCrypto found evidence of this after examining the performance in 2018 and 2021. For instance, in December 2021, the STH Realized Price was $52,967. At that time, BTC changed hands at $50,492.
In less than two months, the price fell to $42,721. In January 2018, it was no different, with a Realized Price of $11,012 and BTC at $9,965. Before March, the price plunged to $7,852.
Whales, Retail Pass Vote of No-Confidence
Should Bitcoin fail to rise above the metric mentioned above, a further decline toward $60,000 could be next. While Bitcoin’s price has been falling for some time, whale accumulation has prevented it from another notable correction.
However, that position seemed to have changed based on the Balance By Holdings indicator. This on-chain metric tells if holders are adding to their balance and selling some coins. But this time, it’s not just whales letting go of some of their coins. The retail cohort is doing the same.
In the last 30 days, addresses holding BTC worth $100 to $10 million have been selling. Using the basic laws of demand and supply, these sell-offs put Bitcoin at risk of a major decline.
Meanwhile, Checkmatey, a pseudonymous analyst, posted on X that consolidation and correction are necessary before the price increases again.
“After 18 months of pure up-only price action, a period of several months of consolidating and correcting is not only expected but required.” He wrote.
BTC Price Prediction: No Support in Sight
On the 4-hour timeframe, Bitcoin mirrors a pattern that led to a price decrease on June 12. Around that time, BTC fell from $69,747 to $66,633. On June 20, a similar thing occurred as the price dropped from $66,292 to $63,811.
Validation of the movement may send BTC to $61,560 for a start. If bulls fail to defend this, the coin’s price might slip below the $60,000 threshold.
Further, the Aroon indicator suggests a decline. The Aroon indicator allows traders to identify the direction in which a cryptocurrency trends. The indicator is divided into — Aroon Up (orange) and Aroon Down (blue).
When the Aroon Up is higher, it means the price will move upward. Conversely, the price will decrease if the Aroon Down outpaces its opposite number. At press time, the Aroon Down is much higher, indicating that Bitcoin will continue to fall.
Read More: What Is a Bitcoin ETF?
However, inflows in Bitcoin ETFs can invalidate this prediction. Last week, the financial products registered a net outflow, helping to put downward pressure on BTC’s price.
If capital flows into the products this week increase, Bitcoin will rebound. Another possible catalyst is retail participation and network growth. Compared to previous bull markets, the coin lacks these. The decreasing number of new unique addresses shows proof of this.
Should an influx of retail market participants start to buy BTC in large numbers, the price may not fall to $60,000. Instead, it may bounce to $66,000 or $67,000 in the short term.
Disclaimer
In line with the Trust Project guidelines, this price analysis article is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial or investment advice. BeInCrypto is committed to accurate, unbiased reporting, but market conditions are subject to change without notice. Always conduct your own research and consult with a professional before making any financial decisions. Please note that our Terms and Conditions, Privacy Policy, and Disclaimers have been updated.
Bitcoin
Roger Ver Supporters Call for Clemency after Ulbricht’s Pardon
Elon Musk, who leads President Donald Trump’s Department of Government Efficiency (D.O.G.E), has committed to exploring the pardon of ‘Bitcoin Jesus’ Roger Ver.
It comes after US President Trump recently granted Ross Ulbricht, the founder of the Silk Road, clemency.
Elon Musk to “Inquire” on Roger Ver’s Pardon
Ross Ulbricht’s presidential pardon has ignited a spirited online campaign for the pardon of Roger Ver, another high-profile figure in the crypto arena. As BeInCrypto reported, Ulbricht’s full and unconditional pardon on Tuesday was widely celebrated. Trump called his previous sentence of two life terms “ridiculous.”
Amid the celebratory discussions, however, attention quickly shifted to Bitcoin Jesus. Ray Youssef, an executive at the crypto platform Noonesapp, was among the first to call for Ver’s release.
“Ross is free. A full unconditional pardon has been signed. Thank God. Don’t forget Roger Ver and all the builders who have been through hell,” Youssef said.
Roger Ver was a vocal proponent of Bitcoin Cash and an early adopter of cryptocurrency. He faced legal troubles over tax evasion allegations. Nine months ago, US authorities accused Ver of owing $48 million in taxes, allegedly stemming from his expatriation process.
Ver challenged these charges two months ago, asserting that he relied on expert advice to ensure compliance with the law. His defense also cited constitutional violations, including claims that privileged communications with his legal team were subpoenaed. Critics have argued that this represents overreach and a troubling precedent for attorney-client privilege.
“Please look into a pardon for Roger Ver. That privileged communications with his lawyers were subpoenaed is a terrible precedent for privacy and the ability to defend oneself,” said Naomi Brockwell, founder of Ludlow Institute.
They also say potentially exculpatory evidence was withheld during grand jury proceedings. Meanwhile. Angela McArdle, chair of the Libertarian National Committee, also expressed her support for Ver’s release. Following these calls, Elon Musk said he would inquire about it.
“Will inquire,” Musk tweeted.
Ver’s supporters argue that a pardon would correct a perceived injustice and reinforce the principles of privacy and due process. The parallels with Ulbricht’s case highlight the dangers of excessive sentencing and systemic government overreach. Taken together, these have strengthened the calls for Ver’s pardon.
Elon Musk’s acknowledgment of the issue has brought renewed attention to the case, potentially amplifying the push for clemency. Many hope that his platform, D.O.G.E, and influence will pressure leaders to address what they see as an unjust precedent. This is amidst a broader campaign for freedoms essential to innovation and prosperity in the cryptocurrency space.
“Roger Ver deserves a pardon to liberate him from the malicious prosecution he still faces–lawfare that threatens to take his freedom for 109 years for an exotic crime he *clearly* did not commit. Pardoning Roger is the strongest signal the President could send that Biden’s war on crypto is over. Please, President Trump, Free Roger Ver,” Bret Weinstein lamented.
Meanwhile, others see Bitcoin Jesus’ case as emblematic of the tension between individual liberties and state power.
“Also (preemptively) Roman Storm while you’re at it please Elon Musk. Publishing open-source privacy tools is an act of free speech — not an act in furtherance of a conspiracy. Whatever crimes committed with the software — developers should not be held vicariously liable for them,” another user added.
Disclaimer
In adherence to the Trust Project guidelines, BeInCrypto is committed to unbiased, transparent reporting. This news article aims to provide accurate, timely information. However, readers are advised to verify facts independently and consult with a professional before making any decisions based on this content. Please note that our Terms and Conditions, Privacy Policy, and Disclaimers have been updated.
Bitcoin
Brian Armstrong’s Bold Bitcoin Prediction: Multi-Millions Ahead
Coinbase CEO Brian Armstrong has expressed the belief that Bitcoin could eventually reach a price in the multi-million dollar range. This comes as BTC peaked at a new all-time high just hours before Donald Trump returned to the Oval Office for a second term.
Armstrong attributed Bitcoin’s impressive growth to increasing institutional interest and rising national-level adoption.
Coinbase CEO’s $1 million Bitcoin vision
Speaking on CNBC’s Squawk Box, Armstrong described Trump’s presidency as the “dawn of a new day” for cryptocurrency.
Although the first round of executive orders under Trump’s new term did not directly mention crypto, the CEO remained optimistic about Bitcoin’s long-term potential.
“I think over time we’ll see Bitcoin get into the multiple millions price range,” Armstrong predicted.
He attributed this confidence to the growing demand from institutional players. For instance, on January 21, MicroStrategy purchased 11,000 BTC worth $1.1 billion in Bitcoin. This acquisition increased the company’s total reserves to a staggering 461,000 BTC.
Armstrong also pointed to Bitcoin ETFs as a significant factor contributing to the asset’s growth. Approved in January 2024, these ETFs have attracted substantial inflows. According to data from Farside Investors, Bitcoin ETFs have seen cumulative net inflows of $38.9 billion so far.
Additionally, the ETFs recorded four consecutive days of inflows, with the daily net inflow reaching $802.6 million as of January 21.
US Bitcoin Strategic Bitcoin Reserve: A Possibility?
Armstrong explained that Trump’s campaign promise to establish a strategic Bitcoin reserve could further accelerate the adoption of cryptocurrency on a national scale. It could also act as a catalyst for other G20 nations, which have already shown interest, to follow suit.
“Bitcoin has a long way to go. It’s going to become the new gold standard, and crypto is much bigger than that too,” noted the Coinbase CEO.
Notably, Trump has already fulfilled one of his initial promises by pardoning Silk Road founder Ross Ulbricht, effectively ending his life sentence. This move has sparked renewed hope that the President may deliver on other promises, including creating a strategic Bitcoin reserve.
“If Ross Ulbricht got the pardon, we are definitely getting the Strategic Bitcoin Reserve,” CEO of Professional Capital Management, Anthony Pompliano, said in an X post.
Prediction platform Polymarket corroborated this sentiment, showing a 37% probability that Trump would create a Bitcoin reserve within his first 100 days in office. This was a noticeable recovery from the previous day’s low of 29%.
As these developments unfold, Bitcoin continues to soar. At the time of writing, the leading cryptocurrency was trading at $105,366. This marked a 3.0% increase over the past 24 hours.
With increasing institutional involvement, rising ETF inflows, and potential national-level initiatives, Armstrong’s multi-million-dollar Bitcoin prediction may not be far-fetched.
Disclaimer
In adherence to the Trust Project guidelines, BeInCrypto is committed to unbiased, transparent reporting. This news article aims to provide accurate, timely information. However, readers are advised to verify facts independently and consult with a professional before making any decisions based on this content. Please note that our Terms and Conditions, Privacy Policy, and Disclaimers have been updated.
Bitcoin
Polymarket Under Fire in Thailand, But Bitcoin ETF is a Possibility
Thailand’s Technology Crime Suppression Division (TCSD) announced its proposal to block Polymarket, a global prediction market platform that facilitates betting on major world events using cryptocurrency.
Despite the country’s clampdown against Polymarket, it is making headway with Bitcoin ETFs (exchange-traded funds).
Polymarket Legal Woes Reach Thailand
Local media reported that Pol. Lt. Gen. Trairong Phiwpaen, commander of the TCSD, revealed the news at a press conference on January 14. He said that the platform’s operations violate Thailand’s gambling laws and pose risks to economic and social stability. According to Pol. Lt. Gen. Trairong, the rise of Web 3.0 and cryptocurrency has complicated enforcement efforts.
“The use of cryptocurrency for transactions increases the difficulty of inspection and tracking,” he stated.
He also emphasized the need for international cooperation in monitoring and shutting down such platforms. Against this backdrop, the TCSD has set up a specialized task force to collect data and collaborate with both domestic and international agencies to tackle illegal crypto-based activities effectively.
“This action is crucial to protecting the public and preventing the misuse of cryptocurrencies in illegal activities,” Lt. Gen. Trairong added.
Polymarket’s legal issues extend far beyond Thailand. In France, the platform has faced a gambling probe, resulting in restrictions on French traders. The situation escalated further when the FBI seized electronic devices from Polymarket’s CEO as part of an investigation. Similarly, Singapore has imposed stringent limitations on the platform, reflecting the global regulatory push to oversee crypto-based betting platforms.
Adding to the mounting pressure, the US Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) subpoenaed Coinbase amid an ongoing investigation into Polymarket. These developments highlight the growing efforts by regulators worldwide to impose oversight on decentralized platforms that operate in legal gray areas.
Thailand Considers Approving Bitcoin ETFs
Despite its crackdown on Polymarket, Thailand remains a prominent player in the crypto space. According to Bloomberg, the country’s Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) is reportedly considering allowing Thailand’s first Bitcoin ETF (exchange-traded funds).
“Like it or not, we have to move along with more adoption of cryptocurrencies worldwide,” Bloomberg reported, citing Thailand’s SEC Secretary-General Pornanong Budsaratragoon.
She noted that the regulator is exploring ways to offer more crypto investment options while ensuring proper investor protection. Thailand’s efforts to foster innovation in digital finance also include proposals for stablecoins backed by government bonds and a sandbox for Bitcoin transactions in tourism-centric regions like Phuket.
If approved, this move could bolster Thailand’s position as a digital assets hub in the Asia-Pacific region. Specifically, it could see it compete with crypto-friendly jurisdictions like Singapore and Hong Kong. Thailand’s regulatory tightening aims to strike a balance between fostering innovation and ensuring financial stability.
Disclaimer
In adherence to the Trust Project guidelines, BeInCrypto is committed to unbiased, transparent reporting. This news article aims to provide accurate, timely information. However, readers are advised to verify facts independently and consult with a professional before making any decisions based on this content. Please note that our Terms and Conditions, Privacy Policy, and Disclaimers have been updated.
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