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Bitcoin (BTC) Price Analysis Offer Optimistic Signs

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Over the weekend, Bitcoin (BTC) ‘s price circled between $54,424 and $58,215. However, as the new week begins, the coin presents an interesting revelation on-chain that could influence its next direction.

To put it in perspective, this condition has been historically crucial to BTC’s recovery. Will it be the same this time?

Bitcoin Oversold, Drives Multiple Bids

The metric in question is the NVT Golden Cross. NVT stands for Network Value to Transaction. Defined as a reformed index of the NVT ratio, the metric gauges if Bitcoin has hit the bottom or is at the top. 

When the value of this metric is 2.20 or above, it means the coin has hit the top, and a decline is imminent. As seen in the image below, this happened in December 2023, March 2024, and most recently, May.

Bitcoin is oversold
Bitcoin NVT Golden Cross. Source: CryptoQuant

Comparatively, if the NVT Golden Cross is under -1.60, it means that BTC is near or has hit the bottom. 

Currently, the metric is at -1.39, a potential sign of overselling. This selling pressure can be linked to Mt. Gox’s recent movement of BTC. 

Apart from that, the numerous transfers by the German government played a part. However, as it stands, the coin may be on the path of recovery, as overselling could foreshadow a rebound.

Furthermore, market participants seem to be waiting in line to buy BTC at the current discount prices. BeInCrypto discovered this after examining the Exchange On-chain Market Depth.

Read More: How to Buy Bitcoin (BTC) on eToro: A Step-by-Step Guide

This metric considers the activities on the order books of the top 20 exchanges. Divided into two parts, Exchange On-chain Market Depth considers the bid (buy) and ask (sell) segments.

According to IntoTheBlock, participants have placed bids for 22,075 BTC at an average price of 55,671. However, the total value of BTC set to be offloaded is 11,514 BTC at an average price of $55,673

Bitcoin buying pressure
Bitcoin Exchange On-Chain Market Depth. Source: IntoTheBlock

Considering the higher value to be bought, Bitcoin’s price may evade another downturn and recover some of its recent losses.

BTC Price Prediction: No More Collapse

At press time, Bitcoin is trading at $56,752. However, the Liquidation Heatmap suggests that the price could be higher in the short term.

Liquidations Heatmap uses color variations to gauge the intensity of buy and sell orders in the market. Cooler colors like purple indicate a low level of activity. But when colors like green or yellow appear, it means the liquidity is concentrated at a price level.

By analyzing the heatmap, one can spot potential areas of interest, resistance, and support levels.

According to Coinglass, there is a high level of liquidity at $57,516 and another at $58,037. This high level of liquidity could attract a Bitcoin price increase in these regions.

Read More: Bitcoin (BTC) Price Prediction 2024/2025/2030

Bitcoin liquidation heatmap
Bitcoin Liquidation Heatmap. Source: Coinglass

The Relative Strength Index (RSI), which measures momentum, also supports this potential. On the daily BTC/USD chart, it is at 34.61. 

When the indicator’s reading is below 30.00, it is oversold. When it is above 70.00, it is overbought. Therefore, the RSI’s position implies that Bitcoin has left the oversold region and aims for substantial recovery.

Going by the positions of the Fibonacci Retracements, which spot supports and resistance points, BTC may retest $58.251 if it breaks through $57,016.

Bitcoin price analysis and prediction
Bitcoin Daily Analysis. Source: TradingView

Meanwhile, RektCapital, a pseudonymous analyst on X, also commented on Bitcoin’s price action. According to him, the coin may have left sideways trading while closing in on re-accumulation.

“Bitcoin is on the cusp of performing its first Weekly Candle Close below the Re-Accumulation Range Low for the first time in the over four months that this range has existed,” Rekt Capital posted.

However, the coin still trades below the 20-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA), which tracks price changes to determine a trend’s strengths or weaknesses. 

If Bitcoin’s price is above the 20-day EMA, it would indicate a solid bullish trend. However, as long as the coin wobbles below the threshold, it risks retracement to $55,019.

Disclaimer

In line with the Trust Project guidelines, this price analysis article is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial or investment advice. BeInCrypto is committed to accurate, unbiased reporting, but market conditions are subject to change without notice. Always conduct your own research and consult with a professional before making any financial decisions. Please note that our Terms and ConditionsPrivacy Policy, and Disclaimers have been updated.



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Strategy Adds 22,048 BTC for Nearly $2 Billion

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Michael Saylor announced that Strategy purchased nearly $2 billion worth of Bitcoin. This is a massive leap over last week’s purchase, which was already quite substantial.

Nonetheless, the firm was only able to make this acquisition thanks to major stock offerings. Bitcoin’s price has been sinking over the last few weeks, and this could mature into a potential liquidation crisis.

Strategy Maintains Bitcoin Purchases

Since Strategy (formerly MicroStrategy) began acquiring Bitcoin, it’s become one of the world’s largest BTC holders. This plan has totally reoriented the company around its massive acquisitions, inspiring other firms to take up the same plan.

Today, the firm’s Chair, Michael Saylor, announced another purchase, much larger than the last few.

“Strategy has acquired 22,048 BTC for ~$1.92 billion at ~$86,969 per bitcoin and has achieved BTC Yield of 11.0% YTD 2025. As of 3/30/2025, Strategy holds 528,185 BTC acquired for ~$35.63 billion at ~$67,458 per bitcoin,” Saylor claimed via social media.

Strategy’s latest Bitcoin acquisition, worth just shy of $2 billion, is a major commitment. In February, the firm made a similar $2 billion purchase, and it was followed by a tiny $10 million buy and a $500 million one. The $500 million purchase, which took place on March 24, only happened thanks to a huge new stock offering. This move further cements Strategy’s faith in BTC.

By making these billion-dollar buys, Strategy is able to buttress the entire market’s confidence in Bitcoin. However, investors should be aware of a few potential cracks.

First of all, Bitcoin’s performance is a little subpar at the moment. Despite hitting an all-time high recently, Bitcoin is having its worst quarter since 2019, and there is not much forward momentum.

Bitcoin (BTC) Price Performance
Bitcoin (BTC) Price Performance. Source: BeInCrypto

This could cause a unique problem for the company. Since Strategy is a cornerstone of market confidence, it is unable to offload its assets without jeopardizing Bitcoin’s price.

The firm’s debts are growing at a fast rate, and this could have dangerous implications if Bitcoin keeps falling. Strategy could be forced to liquidate, even if that seems unlikely now.

Still, it’s important to remember that these are only possible scenarios. Strategy has maintained its consistent Bitcoin investments for nearly five years, and it’s paid off tremendously well. However, if it keeps taking on billions in fresh debt obligations, this faith will turn into a gamble with very high stakes.

Disclaimer

In adherence to the Trust Project guidelines, BeInCrypto is committed to unbiased, transparent reporting. This news article aims to provide accurate, timely information. However, readers are advised to verify facts independently and consult with a professional before making any decisions based on this content. Please note that our Terms and ConditionsPrivacy Policy, and Disclaimers have been updated.



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BTC Price Rebound Likely as Long-Term Holders Reenter Market

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Bitcoin (BTC) is on track to end Q1 with its worst performance since 2019. Without an unexpected recovery, BTC could close the quarter with a 25% decline from its all-time high (ATH).

Some analysts have noted that experienced Bitcoin holders are shifting into an accumulation phase, signaling potential price growth in the medium term.

Signs That Veteran Investors Are Accumulating Again

According to AxelAdlerJr, March 2025 marks a transition period where veteran investors move from selling to holding and accumulating. This shift is reflected in the Value Days Destroyed (VDD) metric, which remains low.

VDD is an on-chain indicator that tracks investor behavior by measuring the number of days Bitcoin remains unmoved before being transacted.

A high VDD suggests that older Bitcoin is being moved, which may indicate selling pressure from whales or long-term holders. A low VDD suggests that most transactions involve short-term holders, who have a smaller impact on the market.

BTC: Value Days Destroyed. Source: CryptoQuant.
BTC: Value Days Destroyed. Source: CryptoQuant

Historically, low VDD periods often precede strong price rallies. These phases suggest that investors are accumulating Bitcoin with expectations of future price increases. AxelAdlerJr concludes that this shift signals Bitcoin’s potential for medium-term growth.

“The transition of experienced players into a holding (accumulation) phase signals the potential for further BTC growth in the medium term,” AxelAdlerJr predicted.

Bitcoin’s Sell-Side Risk Ratio Hits Low

At the same time, analyst Ali highlighted another bullish indicator: Bitcoin’s sell-side risk ratio had dropped to 0.086%.

Bitcoin Sell-side Rish Ratio. Source: Glassnode
Bitcoin Sell-side Rish Ratio. Source: Glassnode

According to Ali, over the past two years, every time this ratio fell below 0.1%, Bitcoin experienced a strong price rebound. For example, in January 2024, Bitcoin surged to a then-all-time high of $73,800 after the sell-side risk ratio dipped below 0.1%.

Similarly, in September 2024, Bitcoin hit a new peak after this metric reached a low level.

The combination of veteran investors accumulating Bitcoin and a sharp decline in the sell-side risk ratio are positive signals for the market. However, a recent analysis from BeInCrypto warns of concerning technical patterns, with a death cross beginning to form.

Additionally, investors remain cautious about potential market volatility in early April. The uncertainty stems from President Trump’s upcoming announcement regarding a major retaliatory tariff.

Disclaimer

In adherence to the Trust Project guidelines, BeInCrypto is committed to unbiased, transparent reporting. This news article aims to provide accurate, timely information. However, readers are advised to verify facts independently and consult with a professional before making any decisions based on this content. Please note that our Terms and ConditionsPrivacy Policy, and Disclaimers have been updated.



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Marathon Digital to Sell $2 Billion in Stock to Buy Bitcoin

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Marathon Digital Holdings, one of the largest Bitcoin mining companies in the US, made headlines with its announcement of a $2 billion stock offering to increase its Bitcoin holdings. 

This strategic move, detailed in recent SEC filings, shows Marathon’s aggressive approach to capitalize on the growing crypto market. 

Marathon’s $2 Billion Stock Offering: Key Details

On March 30, 2025, Marathon Digital Holdings announced a $2 billion at-the-market (ATM) stock offering to fund its strategy of acquiring more Bitcoin. The company filed a Form 8-K with the SEC, outlining its plan to raise capital through the sale of shares, with the proceeds primarily aimed at increasing its Bitcoin holdings. 

According to the SEC filing (Form 424B5), Marathon intends to use the funds for “general corporate purposes,” which include purchasing additional Bitcoin and supporting operational needs.

Marathon holds 46,376 BTC, making it the second-largest publicly traded company in Bitcoin ownership, behind MicroStrategy. The company’s Bitcoin holdings have grown significantly in recent years, from 13,726 BTC in early 2024 to the current figure. 

“We believe we are the second largest holder of bitcoin among publicly traded companies. From time to time, we enter into forward or option contracts and/or lend bitcoin to increase yield on our Bitcoin holdings.” Marathon confirmed

This $2 billion stock offering continues Marathon’s strategy to bolster its balance sheet with Bitcoin, a move that aligns with its long-term vision of leveraging cryptocurrency as a store of value.

Marathon’s strategy mirrors that of MicroStrategy. MicroStrategy’s stock price has soared with Bitcoin’s value, providing a blueprint for companies like Marathon to follow. By increasing its Bitcoin holdings, Marathon aims to position itself as a leader in the crypto mining sector while diversifying its revenue streams beyond traditional mining operations.

Marathon Digital CEO Fred Thiel advises investing small amounts in Bitcoin monthly, citing its consistent long-term growth potential.

The issuance of new shares to raise $2 billion could dilute the ownership of existing shareholders, potentially impacting the company’s stock price (MARA). As of March 31, 2025, MARA stock has experienced volatility, trading at around $12.47 per share, down from a 52-week high of $24, according to data from Yahoo Finance.

Moreover, Marathon’s heavy reliance on Bitcoin exposes it to the cryptocurrency’s price fluctuations. If Bitcoin’s price were to decline significantly, the value of Marathon’s holdings would decrease, potentially straining its financial position.

Disclaimer

In adherence to the Trust Project guidelines, BeInCrypto is committed to unbiased, transparent reporting. This news article aims to provide accurate, timely information. However, readers are advised to verify facts independently and consult with a professional before making any decisions based on this content. Please note that our Terms and ConditionsPrivacy Policy, and Disclaimers have been updated.



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