Bitcoin
Analyst Uses Bitcoin Past Cycles To Pinpoint Start Of Bull Market – The Timeline Will Shock You

Renowned analyst Lark Davis is forecasting a bullish trajectory for Bitcoin by the summer of 2025. This optimistic outlook is grounded in historical patterns observed in BTC’s previous price cycles, in which BTC has experienced three major bull runs, each spanning approximately four years and culminating in a significant price peak within a year of a Bitcoin halving event.
Analyst Data Shows Bullish Fourth Quarter for Bitcoin
In a recent post on X, Lark Davis pointed to impressive quarterly returns in previous halving years—2016 and 2020. He emphasized that the fourth quarter following halving events has consistently been bullish. Furthermore, in the years after the halving, such as 2017 and 2021, Bitcoin saw bullish price action from the first to the third quarter.
Davis further added, “If history repeats itself, it could unleash mind-blowing gains that most people can’t even fathom,” forecasting significant growth opportunities in 2025.
Adding to this bullish sentiment is Rekt Capital, who recently told his 501,200 followers on X (formerly Twitter) that Bitcoin could see a strong fourth quarter. Rekt Capital highlighted that Bitcoin has historically averaged a 22.9% return in October since its inception, with only two instances where it closed lower than it opened in October.
Meanwhile, Bitcoin has averaged a -5% return in September. The only two times BTC saw a decline in October were in 2014 (-12.95%) and 2018 (-3.83%), both during bear markets. He also noted that BTC is currently in a halving year, adding to the potential for positive price movement.

Rekt Capital further predicts that Bitcoin could reach its cycle peak in the second half of 2025, assuming it follows the traditional halving cycle. He explained, “In the 2015-2017 cycle, BTC peaked 518 days post halving. In the 2019-2021 cycle, Bitcoin peaked 546 days post halving.” If history repeats, and the next bull market peak occurs 518-546 days post halving, BTC could peak in mid-September to mid-October 2025.”
BTC’s Last Resistance Before The Bull Run
Bitcoin’s price experienced a significant uptick from September 8, reaching a high of $60,771 on September 14, according to Geckoterminal. This surge marked a return above the $60,000 psychological level for the first time since August 30.
However, following this rally, Bitcoin’s price underwent a corrective phase, forming a rounding top pattern. This bearish formation suggests that sellers might attempt to push the price lower towards the $55,137 support zone.

With the RSI now on a downward trend, there is a possibility that buyers might capitalize on the perceived undervaluation of the asset. A surge in demand at this level could lead to a bullish reversal, propelling Bitcoin towards the $64,000 monthly high and potentially igniting a broader bull run into 2025.
Featured image created with Dall.E, chart from Tradingview.com
Bitcoin
Strategy Adds 22,048 BTC for Nearly $2 Billion

Michael Saylor announced that Strategy purchased nearly $2 billion worth of Bitcoin. This is a massive leap over last week’s purchase, which was already quite substantial.
Nonetheless, the firm was only able to make this acquisition thanks to major stock offerings. Bitcoin’s price has been sinking over the last few weeks, and this could mature into a potential liquidation crisis.
Strategy Maintains Bitcoin Purchases
Since Strategy (formerly MicroStrategy) began acquiring Bitcoin, it’s become one of the world’s largest BTC holders. This plan has totally reoriented the company around its massive acquisitions, inspiring other firms to take up the same plan.
Today, the firm’s Chair, Michael Saylor, announced another purchase, much larger than the last few.
“Strategy has acquired 22,048 BTC for ~$1.92 billion at ~$86,969 per bitcoin and has achieved BTC Yield of 11.0% YTD 2025. As of 3/30/2025, Strategy holds 528,185 BTC acquired for ~$35.63 billion at ~$67,458 per bitcoin,” Saylor claimed via social media.
Strategy’s latest Bitcoin acquisition, worth just shy of $2 billion, is a major commitment. In February, the firm made a similar $2 billion purchase, and it was followed by a tiny $10 million buy and a $500 million one. The $500 million purchase, which took place on March 24, only happened thanks to a huge new stock offering. This move further cements Strategy’s faith in BTC.
By making these billion-dollar buys, Strategy is able to buttress the entire market’s confidence in Bitcoin. However, investors should be aware of a few potential cracks.
First of all, Bitcoin’s performance is a little subpar at the moment. Despite hitting an all-time high recently, Bitcoin is having its worst quarter since 2019, and there is not much forward momentum.

This could cause a unique problem for the company. Since Strategy is a cornerstone of market confidence, it is unable to offload its assets without jeopardizing Bitcoin’s price.
The firm’s debts are growing at a fast rate, and this could have dangerous implications if Bitcoin keeps falling. Strategy could be forced to liquidate, even if that seems unlikely now.
Still, it’s important to remember that these are only possible scenarios. Strategy has maintained its consistent Bitcoin investments for nearly five years, and it’s paid off tremendously well. However, if it keeps taking on billions in fresh debt obligations, this faith will turn into a gamble with very high stakes.
Disclaimer
In adherence to the Trust Project guidelines, BeInCrypto is committed to unbiased, transparent reporting. This news article aims to provide accurate, timely information. However, readers are advised to verify facts independently and consult with a professional before making any decisions based on this content. Please note that our Terms and Conditions, Privacy Policy, and Disclaimers have been updated.
Bitcoin
BTC Price Rebound Likely as Long-Term Holders Reenter Market

Bitcoin (BTC) is on track to end Q1 with its worst performance since 2019. Without an unexpected recovery, BTC could close the quarter with a 25% decline from its all-time high (ATH).
Some analysts have noted that experienced Bitcoin holders are shifting into an accumulation phase, signaling potential price growth in the medium term.
Signs That Veteran Investors Are Accumulating Again
According to AxelAdlerJr, March 2025 marks a transition period where veteran investors move from selling to holding and accumulating. This shift is reflected in the Value Days Destroyed (VDD) metric, which remains low.
VDD is an on-chain indicator that tracks investor behavior by measuring the number of days Bitcoin remains unmoved before being transacted.
A high VDD suggests that older Bitcoin is being moved, which may indicate selling pressure from whales or long-term holders. A low VDD suggests that most transactions involve short-term holders, who have a smaller impact on the market.

Historically, low VDD periods often precede strong price rallies. These phases suggest that investors are accumulating Bitcoin with expectations of future price increases. AxelAdlerJr concludes that this shift signals Bitcoin’s potential for medium-term growth.
“The transition of experienced players into a holding (accumulation) phase signals the potential for further BTC growth in the medium term,” AxelAdlerJr predicted.
Bitcoin’s Sell-Side Risk Ratio Hits Low
At the same time, analyst Ali highlighted another bullish indicator: Bitcoin’s sell-side risk ratio had dropped to 0.086%.

According to Ali, over the past two years, every time this ratio fell below 0.1%, Bitcoin experienced a strong price rebound. For example, in January 2024, Bitcoin surged to a then-all-time high of $73,800 after the sell-side risk ratio dipped below 0.1%.
Similarly, in September 2024, Bitcoin hit a new peak after this metric reached a low level.
The combination of veteran investors accumulating Bitcoin and a sharp decline in the sell-side risk ratio are positive signals for the market. However, a recent analysis from BeInCrypto warns of concerning technical patterns, with a death cross beginning to form.
Additionally, investors remain cautious about potential market volatility in early April. The uncertainty stems from President Trump’s upcoming announcement regarding a major retaliatory tariff.
Disclaimer
In adherence to the Trust Project guidelines, BeInCrypto is committed to unbiased, transparent reporting. This news article aims to provide accurate, timely information. However, readers are advised to verify facts independently and consult with a professional before making any decisions based on this content. Please note that our Terms and Conditions, Privacy Policy, and Disclaimers have been updated.
Bitcoin
Marathon Digital to Sell $2 Billion in Stock to Buy Bitcoin

Marathon Digital Holdings, one of the largest Bitcoin mining companies in the US, made headlines with its announcement of a $2 billion stock offering to increase its Bitcoin holdings.
This strategic move, detailed in recent SEC filings, shows Marathon’s aggressive approach to capitalize on the growing crypto market.
Marathon’s $2 Billion Stock Offering: Key Details
On March 30, 2025, Marathon Digital Holdings announced a $2 billion at-the-market (ATM) stock offering to fund its strategy of acquiring more Bitcoin. The company filed a Form 8-K with the SEC, outlining its plan to raise capital through the sale of shares, with the proceeds primarily aimed at increasing its Bitcoin holdings.
According to the SEC filing (Form 424B5), Marathon intends to use the funds for “general corporate purposes,” which include purchasing additional Bitcoin and supporting operational needs.
Marathon holds 46,376 BTC, making it the second-largest publicly traded company in Bitcoin ownership, behind MicroStrategy. The company’s Bitcoin holdings have grown significantly in recent years, from 13,726 BTC in early 2024 to the current figure.
“We believe we are the second largest holder of bitcoin among publicly traded companies. From time to time, we enter into forward or option contracts and/or lend bitcoin to increase yield on our Bitcoin holdings.” Marathon confirmed
This $2 billion stock offering continues Marathon’s strategy to bolster its balance sheet with Bitcoin, a move that aligns with its long-term vision of leveraging cryptocurrency as a store of value.
Marathon’s strategy mirrors that of MicroStrategy. MicroStrategy’s stock price has soared with Bitcoin’s value, providing a blueprint for companies like Marathon to follow. By increasing its Bitcoin holdings, Marathon aims to position itself as a leader in the crypto mining sector while diversifying its revenue streams beyond traditional mining operations.
Marathon Digital CEO Fred Thiel advises investing small amounts in Bitcoin monthly, citing its consistent long-term growth potential.
The issuance of new shares to raise $2 billion could dilute the ownership of existing shareholders, potentially impacting the company’s stock price (MARA). As of March 31, 2025, MARA stock has experienced volatility, trading at around $12.47 per share, down from a 52-week high of $24, according to data from Yahoo Finance.
Moreover, Marathon’s heavy reliance on Bitcoin exposes it to the cryptocurrency’s price fluctuations. If Bitcoin’s price were to decline significantly, the value of Marathon’s holdings would decrease, potentially straining its financial position.
Disclaimer
In adherence to the Trust Project guidelines, BeInCrypto is committed to unbiased, transparent reporting. This news article aims to provide accurate, timely information. However, readers are advised to verify facts independently and consult with a professional before making any decisions based on this content. Please note that our Terms and Conditions, Privacy Policy, and Disclaimers have been updated.