Bitcoin
$4 Billion Bitcoin, Ethereum Options Expiring
The crypto market will witness $3.98 billion in Bitcoin (BTC) and Ethereum (ETH) options contracts expire today. This massive expiration could impact short-term price action, especially as both assets have recently declined.
With Bitcoin options valued at $3.4 billion and Ethereum at $581.57 million, traders are bracing for potential volatility.
High-Stakes Crypto Options Expirations: What Traders Should Watch Today
According to Deribit data, Bitcoin options expiration involves 38,566 contracts, compared to 48,794 contracts last week. Similarly, Ethereum’s expiring options total 189,018 contracts, down from 294,380 contracts the previous week.
For Bitcoin, the expiring options have a maximum pain price of $79,500 and a put-to-call ratio of 0.85. This indicates a generally bullish sentiment despite the asset’s recent pullback. In comparison, their Ethereum counterparts have a maximum pain price of $3,000 and a put-to-call ratio of 0.92, reflecting a similar market outlook.
The maximum pain point is a crucial metric that often guides market behavior. It represents the price level at which most options expire worthless, inflicting maximum financial “pain” on traders.
Meanwhile, the put-to-call ratios below 1 for both Bitcoin and Ethereum suggest optimism in the market, with more traders betting on price increases. While the put options represent bets on price declines, call options point to bets on price increases. Taken together, this metric (put-to-call ratio) gauges market sentiment.
Traders and investors should brace for volatility, as options expirations often cause short-term price fluctuations, which create market uncertainty.
“The market could be very volatile, so trade with caution,” top Asian crypto influencer Wise Advice warned.
However, markets usually stabilize soon after as traders adapt to the new price environment. With today’s high-volume expiration, traders and investors can expect a similar outcome, potentially influencing future crypto market trends. As Bitcoin and Ethereum options near expiration, both assets could approach their respective strike prices.
This is a result of the Max Pain theory, which predicts that options prices will converge around the strike prices where the largest number of contracts — both calls and puts — expire worthless.
More Headwinds With Year-End Crypto Options Expiry
With markets still optimistic, the general sentiment is that Bitcoin’s upside potential remains viable, potentially reaching $100,000 before year-end. Nevertheless, bigger problems lie ahead, with many crypto options due for expiry at the end of the month and, potentially, even more (around $11.8 billion for BTC) on December 27.
These dates are significant given Bitcoin bull runs tend to end precisely at the end of the year, between November and December. However, considering they only started between October and November, they have often extended into the early months of the new year.
The expiration of these Bitcoin options at the end of the year may present as a major catalyst. It could influence immediate price action as well as the trajectory into the new year, 2025. With bulls looking at the year’s end expiration as a unique opportunity to foray into unchartered territory beyond $100,000, bears commit to limiting the price discovery to defend their positions.
“Looking at the options market, the market is clearly polarized and trading is very fragmented, with some of the larger traders heading for the sky to go long, while more traders are currently on the short side of the market,” Greeks.live shared.
Should the positioning battle intensify towards the end of the year, the fallout from these options expiring could ripple beyond December, setting new standards for Bitcoin and Ethereum.
The latest data shows that Bitcoin’s trading value has dropped by 2.46% to $87,813. Similarly, Ethereum has fallen by 5.43%, now trading at $3,053.
Disclaimer
In adherence to the Trust Project guidelines, BeInCrypto is committed to unbiased, transparent reporting. This news article aims to provide accurate, timely information. However, readers are advised to verify facts independently and consult with a professional before making any decisions based on this content. Please note that our Terms and Conditions, Privacy Policy, and Disclaimers have been updated.
Bitcoin
Polymarket Under Fire in Thailand, But Bitcoin ETF is a Possibility
Thailand’s Technology Crime Suppression Division (TCSD) announced its proposal to block Polymarket, a global prediction market platform that facilitates betting on major world events using cryptocurrency.
Despite the country’s clampdown against Polymarket, it is making headway with Bitcoin ETFs (exchange-traded funds).
Polymarket Legal Woes Reach Thailand
Local media reported that Pol. Lt. Gen. Trairong Phiwpaen, commander of the TCSD, revealed the news at a press conference on January 14. He said that the platform’s operations violate Thailand’s gambling laws and pose risks to economic and social stability. According to Pol. Lt. Gen. Trairong, the rise of Web 3.0 and cryptocurrency has complicated enforcement efforts.
“The use of cryptocurrency for transactions increases the difficulty of inspection and tracking,” he stated.
He also emphasized the need for international cooperation in monitoring and shutting down such platforms. Against this backdrop, the TCSD has set up a specialized task force to collect data and collaborate with both domestic and international agencies to tackle illegal crypto-based activities effectively.
“This action is crucial to protecting the public and preventing the misuse of cryptocurrencies in illegal activities,” Lt. Gen. Trairong added.
Polymarket’s legal issues extend far beyond Thailand. In France, the platform has faced a gambling probe, resulting in restrictions on French traders. The situation escalated further when the FBI seized electronic devices from Polymarket’s CEO as part of an investigation. Similarly, Singapore has imposed stringent limitations on the platform, reflecting the global regulatory push to oversee crypto-based betting platforms.
Adding to the mounting pressure, the US Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) subpoenaed Coinbase amid an ongoing investigation into Polymarket. These developments highlight the growing efforts by regulators worldwide to impose oversight on decentralized platforms that operate in legal gray areas.
Thailand Considers Approving Bitcoin ETFs
Despite its crackdown on Polymarket, Thailand remains a prominent player in the crypto space. According to Bloomberg, the country’s Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) is reportedly considering allowing Thailand’s first Bitcoin ETF (exchange-traded funds).
“Like it or not, we have to move along with more adoption of cryptocurrencies worldwide,” Bloomberg reported, citing Thailand’s SEC Secretary-General Pornanong Budsaratragoon.
She noted that the regulator is exploring ways to offer more crypto investment options while ensuring proper investor protection. Thailand’s efforts to foster innovation in digital finance also include proposals for stablecoins backed by government bonds and a sandbox for Bitcoin transactions in tourism-centric regions like Phuket.
If approved, this move could bolster Thailand’s position as a digital assets hub in the Asia-Pacific region. Specifically, it could see it compete with crypto-friendly jurisdictions like Singapore and Hong Kong. Thailand’s regulatory tightening aims to strike a balance between fostering innovation and ensuring financial stability.
Disclaimer
In adherence to the Trust Project guidelines, BeInCrypto is committed to unbiased, transparent reporting. This news article aims to provide accurate, timely information. However, readers are advised to verify facts independently and consult with a professional before making any decisions based on this content. Please note that our Terms and Conditions, Privacy Policy, and Disclaimers have been updated.
Bitcoin
Trump Pardons Silk Road Founder Ross Ulbricht
US President Donald Trump pardoned Ross Ulbricht on Tuesday, ending the double life sentence handed down to the Silk Road founder.
Ulbricht, aged 40, was convicted of creating and operating the Silk Road marketplace, where illegal goods and services were sold using Bitcoin. generating over $200 million in transactions.
Ross Ulbricht is Finally Free After More Than a Decade of Imprisonment
This move fulfilled Trump’s campaign promise to release Ulbricht, whose case had become a landmark in the legal and crypto worlds. His arrest in 2013 marked one of the first major prosecutions involving the emerging use of cryptocurrencies for illicit activities.
The Silk Road platform operated between 2011 and 2013. It hosted over 100,000 users engaged in the sale of illegal drugs and services worth approximately $214 million.
“I just called the mother of Ross William Ulbright to let her know that in honor of her and the Libertarian Movement, which supported me so strongly, it was my pleasure to have just signed a full and unconditional pardon of her son, Ross. He was given two life sentences, plus 40 years. Ridiculous,” said US President Donald Trump.
The FBI dismantled the marketplace in 2013 and seized 69,370 Bitcoins, which are now valued at more than $6 billion. Last month, the Biden administration authorized the sale of these Bitcoins before leaving office.
Trump had previously announced his intention to commute Ulbricht’s sentence during a speech at the Libertarian National Convention in May.
The Libertarian Party had long advocated for his release. They criticized the case as government overreach and used it as an example in their broader push for drug policy reform.
“Ulbricht was sentenced to two life sentences, plus 40 years, a sentence worse than the worst drug sellers on the site,” wrote Collin Rugg.
Prediction platform Polymarket had estimated a 93% chance that Trump would grant clemency to Ulbricht during the first 100 days. That prediction materialized in just two days.
There was speculation that Trump might use the confiscated BTC to establish a national Bitcoin reserve. However, those assets had already been liquidated under Biden’s administration.
A Punishment Too Harsh?
Back in 2022, BeInCrypto sat down with Ross’s mother, Lyn Ulbricht, who gave an honest account of her son.
Lyn mentioned that she doesn’t condone her son’s actions and thinks Ross Ulbricht deserves the punishment. However, like most of the community, she was concerned about the severity and longevity of the sentencing.
“He wants to solve problems and to help make the world a better place, which is a lot of why he loves Bitcoin, because it opens up prosperity for people who can’t get a bank account and people. That’s his idealism,” said Lyn.
Lyn told BeInCrypto that Ross already severed a decade and learned his lesson. His true intention was never to facilitate illegal trade.
Rather, he wanted a marketplace where people could interact and communicate freely. However, he failed to consider the malicious actors.
Overall, today’s presidential pardon will allow Ross Ulbricht to regain some of his life.
Disclaimer
In adherence to the Trust Project guidelines, BeInCrypto is committed to unbiased, transparent reporting. This news article aims to provide accurate, timely information. However, readers are advised to verify facts independently and consult with a professional before making any decisions based on this content. Please note that our Terms and Conditions, Privacy Policy, and Disclaimers have been updated.
Bitcoin
US Lawmakers Propose Oklahoma and Texas Bitcoin Reserve
Lawmakers in Oklahoma and Texas are pushing forward proposals to establish a strategic Bitcoin reserve, reflecting the growing adoption of the digital asset in public finance.
In Texas, State Senator Charles Schwertner introduced a bill to make Bitcoin a reserve asset, allowing the state to collect taxes, fees, and donations in BTC.
States are Pushing for a Bitcoin Reserve
With the largest budget surplus among US states, Texas aims to leverage Bitcoin as part of its financial strategy. According to Schwertner’s proposal, the state wants to be the first to establish such a reserve to become a leader in this space.
“It’s time for Texas to lead the way in establishing a Strategic Bitcoin Reserve. That’s why I filed SB 778, which, if passed and signed into law, would make Texas the first state in the nation to establish a Strategic Bitcoin Reserve,” Schwertner wrote on X (Formerly Twitter).
President-elect Trump’s inauguration is less than a week away, and it’s evident that Republican state leaders will relentlessly try to adopt BTC as a strategic reserve asset – at least at the state level, if not as a national reserve.
Meanwhile, Oklahoma Representative Cody Maynard introduced House Bill 1203 today, dubbed the Strategic Bitcoin Reserve Act. The bill proposes allocating a portion of the state’s pension funds and savings accounts to Bitcoin.
Like other states, Oklahoma also wants to use BTC as a potential hedge against inflation.
“Bitcoin represents freedom from bureaucrats printing away our purchasing power. It is the ultimate store of value for those who believe in financial freedom and sound money principles,” Maynard stated.
US Lawmakers are Recognizing BTC’s Store of Value
The movement to integrate Bitcoin into state finances is not limited to these states.
In November 2024, Pennsylvania lawmakers proposed the state Treasury invest up to 10% of its assets in Bitcoin. Representative Mike Cabell emphasized that Pennsylvania could follow private asset managers like BlackRock and Fidelity.
On January 10, North Dakota and New Hampshire joined the trend, introducing their own Bitcoin reserve bills. Notably, New Hampshire’s legislation uses broader terminology like “digital assets.” This indicates a potential interest in cryptocurrencies beyond Bitcoin.
Currently, 13 US states are considering Bitcoin reserve legislation, marking a significant shift in its role within public finance.
Globally, interest in Bitcoin reserves is growing as well. Countries like Japan, Switzerland, and Russia are exploring strategies to incorporate BTC into their financial systems. Vancouver, for example, has already approved Bitcoin as part of its municipal reserves.
Also, asset management firm VanEck predicts that adopting Bitcoin reserves could reduce the US national debt by 36% by 2025. These developments signal Bitcoin’s rising significance as governments and institutions seek innovative solutions to strengthen their financial resilience.
Disclaimer
In adherence to the Trust Project guidelines, BeInCrypto is committed to unbiased, transparent reporting. This news article aims to provide accurate, timely information. However, readers are advised to verify facts independently and consult with a professional before making any decisions based on this content. Please note that our Terms and Conditions, Privacy Policy, and Disclaimers have been updated.
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