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Reasons Why Bitcoin Price Is Dropping Despite Fed Rate Cut Odds?
The crypto market braces for impact as Bitcoin and Ethereum options worth $1.4 billion are set to expire today, CME BTC futures close, and PPI data. Traders look for cues of market recovery as CPI inflation falls to a year low, anticipating Fed rate cuts to start in September. Let’s check details about reasons why Bitcoin price is dropping despite higher odds of a Fed rate cuts starting in September.
Bitcoin And Ethereum Options Worth $1.4 Billion to Expire
Almost $1.4 billion in Bitcoin and Ethereum options will expire on July 12, according to data from the largest crypto derivatives exchange Deribit. BTC price has dropped to a 24-hour low of $56,561, with no support from trading volumes for Bitcoin price recovery.
Over 23,722 BTC options with a notional value of $1.36 billion expire today on Deribit. The put-call ratio is extremely high at 1.08 as put open interests are 12,328.50 against 11,393.50 call open interests, raising skepticism over recovery in the coming days.
Moreover, the max pain is at $58,500 strike price, with put options more than call options at the strike price. Currently, the max pain point is higher than Bitcoin price. It indicates bearishness among traders continues to persist and Bitcoin remains under selling pressure.
Historical Volatility has continued to surge while BTC Volatility Index (DVOL) shows signs of drop. Options traders continue to remain cautious amid German government Bitcoin selloff.
Meanwhile, ETH options of notional value $0.48 billion are set expire. The put-call ratio is 0.37 and the max pain price is $3,100. ETH price is currently trading below the max pain point, implying that traders still have some room to recover amid the spot Ether ETF sentiment.
PPI Inflation Data Looms
Producer prices index (PPI) annual inflation data in the US is expected to come in at 2.3%, higher than 2.2% in May. The monthly reading is expected at 0.1% against -0.2% last month.
Meanwhile, economists expect Core PPI YoY for June at 2.5%, a 0.2% increase as compared to last month. Also, Core PPI MoM is expected to come in at 0.2%, higher than the previous month’s core PPI data.
Recently, US CPI cooled to 3%, causing odds of Fed rate cuts to increase above 90%. Bitcoin also rebounded above $58,000 amid market optimism. However, the price has dropped amid negative sentiment.
Also Read: Crypto Market Crash Fails To Dent VanEck CEO’s Bullish Outlook
Bitcoin Price Falls As CME Futures Closes
Traders sold BTC futures as CME closed futures trading for the week, causing Bicoin price to fall below $57,000. CME BTC futures trading will open on Sunday.
The crypto market rebounded slightly this week, with volatility falling sharply to a new low since March. The quarterly delivery and large fluctuations created a perfect entry opportunity for sellers. This week, option sellers opened large number of positions, which also became a driving force to lower the IV of major maturities.
Coinglass data indicates CME BTC futures open interest fell over 1% in the last 24 hours. The BTC futures OI has dropped to $8.26 billion.
Also Read: Bitcoin Enters Extreme Fear Zone For The First Time In 18 Months: Market To Crash?
The presented content may include the personal opinion of the author and is subject to market condition. Do your market research before investing in cryptocurrencies. The author or the publication does not hold any responsibility for your personal financial loss.
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Dogecoin Price To $3, XRP To $5, And PNUT To $5? Analyst Shocks Crypto With 12-Month Forecast
Bullish sentiment is at its peak and crypto market participants are projecting a continued upside for the Dogecoin pice in the coming weeks and months. According to crypto analyst Ash Crypto, the crypto market is going to continue on this run into the next six to twelve months. Notably, he projects the Bitcoin price reaching between $150,000 and $250,000 in the next six to 12 months, with the Ethereum price also climbing to highs between $10,000 and $15,000
However, his projection extends beyond these prominent cryptocurrency heavyweights. Most notable is the Dogecoin price prediction of $3, XRP to $5, and PNT to $5.
Interesting Price Targets For Dogecoin Price, XRP, And PNUT
Ash Crypto shared an optimistic outlook on 16 cryptocurrencies with his 1.2 million followers on social media platform X, all with seemingly ultra-bullish price targets. Although the bullish outlook wasn’t accompanied by a technical analysis, it resonates with a currently bullish crypto community.
Unsurprisingly, Dogecoin, who has been on a crazy surge in the past four weeks, made the cut. At the time of writing, Dogecoin has surged by 235% in the past 30 days, currently trading around $0.39, and reached as high as $0.4289 within the last 24 hours. Interestingly, Ash Crypto believes this surge will continue into the next six to twelve months, with the Dogecoin price reaching between $1 and $3. Achieving this range would signify gains of 133% to 600% from the current price.
One of the more intriguing predictions focused on Peanut the Squirrel (PNUT), a relatively new entrant in the cryptocurrency market. Newly launched on the Solana blockchain, PNUT has quickly established itself as a standout performer. Within 48 hours of its Binance listing, PNUT’s market cap surged past the $1 billion mark, making it one of the fastest-growing assets in this cycle.
At the time of writing, PNUT is trading at $2.05, having surged by 3,785% in 30 days. Ash Crypto has projected PNUT’s price could climb to a range of $3 to $5 within the next six to twelve months. However, given its current trajectory and rapid price gains, it’s possible that these targets could be achieved sooner before the end of the year.
Pivoting to XRP, which is currently trading at $0.6885, Ash Crypto highlighted an XRP price range of $3 to $5 in the next six to 12 months. This would see the XRP price finally breaking past its $3.40 all-time high that has held on for the past seven years.
Other Notable Price Targets
Other predictions for the next six to 12 months are BNB between $900 and $1,400, SOL between $450 and $800, DOT between $50 and $120, APT between $60 and $100, SUI between $6 and $8, LINK between $250 and $500, AVAX between $200 and $300, ICP between $120 and $160, INJ between $180 and $250, TIA between $100 and $150, and MANTA between $30 and $70.
Featured image created with Dall.E, chart from Tradingview.com
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XRP Price Rally As Gary Gensler Hints At Resignation
XRP price has grown substantially, reaching a six-month high of $0.83, spurred by favorable regulatory developments and heightened investor sentiment. The recent announcement of a potential resignation by SEC Chair Gary Gensler has fueled optimism within the crypto sector. This is because investors anticipate a more favorable regulatory environment under new leadership.
XRP Price Hits Six-Month High Amid Gary Gensler’s Resignation Speculation
XRP price has surged by 20% in the last 24 hours, reaching $0.8, reflecting a notable shift in market sentiment. This rise is fueled by growing optimism about regulatory changes that could benefit Ripple and XRP. The potential resignation of SEC Chair Gary Gensler has spurred positive expectations within the cryptocurrency sector. Investors speculate on a more crypto-friendly regulatory approach under the new Trump leadership.
Ripple, the organization behind XRP, has faced longstanding regulatory challenges with the SEC, and Gensler’s exit could pave the way for a more favorable stance. The resignation speculation comes amid heightened interest in XRP, with investors showing renewed enthusiasm.
In addition, XRP price rally coincides with a favorable ruling for Ripple in its ongoing XRP lawsuit. In a recent decision, a U.S. court granted Ripple Labs and its CEO, Brad Garlinghouse, a judgment and stay on class claims filed against them. This ruling reflects a legal victory for Ripple and its executives, allowing them to move toward a final resolution while temporarily halting specific claims.
Ripple’s win in this phase of the litigation has lifted market sentiment, signifying the weakening of the SEC’s arguments against XRP as an unregistered security. The court’s decision effectively supports Ripple’s claim that XRP transactions on secondary markets do not qualify as securities offerings, a stance that could further boost XRP price gains.
Whale Movements Signal Potential Accumulation
In a parallel development, substantial XRP whale activity has been observed, adding further intrigue to the XRP price movement. A transfer of 105 million XRP tokens, valued at approximately $76.5 million, was executed from Binance to an unknown wallet. Such large-scale transfers are signs of potential accumulation, indicating that investors are holding XRP for longer-term gains.
The movement of XRP from exchanges to private wallets reduces its immediate availability for trading, which can amplify upward price pressure if demand continues to grow. This reduction in liquid supply, combined with the favorable regulatory development could set XRP price for further upward momentum.
At press time, Ripple stands at $0.83, marking a 21.70% surge over the past 24 hours. This rally has pushed its market cap to $47.45 billion, followed by increased trading volume, now at $8.04 billion. According to the latest XRP prediction, the Ripple token may rally to $1.5 after breaking out from a 40-month symmetrical triangle.
Disclaimer: The presented content may include the personal opinion of the author and is subject to market condition. Do your market research before investing in cryptocurrencies. The author or the publication does not hold any responsibility for your personal financial loss.
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How High Will Dogecoin Price Climb This November?
DOGE has been topping the gainers’ chart for the whole of November, and according to market signals, there might be a possible shift in Dogecoin price soon pushing its price well over $1. Analyst Kaleo highlighted that Dogecoin is currently in an accumulation phase just above a significant resistance level on the higher timeframe, laying the groundwork for a potential bullish move.
He noted that this accumulation trend has previously served as a launchpad for rallies, and he believes it could lead to a similar surge in the near future.
Dogecoin Price to Surpass $1 in November?
Crypto analyst KALEO recently gave a very encouraging outlook for Dogecoin price based on his study of the DOGE to BTC pair. Even though he thinks there’s still a lot of room to run up if history once again rhymes with itself, the price of $1.00 and even more should happen in the next few weeks. Speaking about the DOGE to BTC trading pair, he said that since the first half of 2021, it has been subjected to a downtrend characterized by lower highs and lower lows.
Just a reminder: The last time the $DOGE / $BTC pair had this type of a breakout, it had a swift 175% pump to its previous all time highs.
With the way the market has moved recently, and how much strength Dogecoin has shown after Trump was elected and Elon starting to push… pic.twitter.com/FD18Ys0fc8
— K A L E O (@CryptoKaleo) November 13, 2024
The recent breakout above the upper trendline has given cause for cheer. KALEO said that the last time such a breakout had occurred was early in 2021. That was only 24 hours before DOGE had a massive 175% rally that had taken the price to an all-time high of $0.7316. In his view, this is similar to the price action now, meaning that the top meme coin might be up for another rapid rise to more than just $1 in not more than a few weeks.
He said:
“With the way the market has moved recently, and how much strength Dogecoin has shown after Trump was elected and Elon starting to push again, I wouldn’t be surprised to see something similar here.”
Moreover, KALEO saw an interesting accumulation phase in the DOGE/BTC pair since the breakout of the past 48 hours. He added that consolidation above a critical resistance level sets a strong foundation for the next bullish move. Past trends have shown that a significant rally follows such accumulation phases, and KALEO expects Dogecoin to be no different.
The broad crypto market outlook also favors the bullish side of KALEO’s outlook. While DOGE is positioned to outperform Bitcoin’s upside, this expected rally will be even more exaggerated in this conducive market environment.
Dogecoin’s November Rally: Can DOGE Repeat its Historic Gains?
Just when it seemed like Elon Musk’s influence on Dogecoin’s price was over, a surprise move by President-elect Trump saw its prices soar to the moon. In the most recent rally, he appointed Musk to head the Department of Governmental Efficiency or D.O.G.E. The subsequent Republican win propelled the coin upwards, with DOGE up 106% in the last week, displacing XRP to become the fifth-largest cryptocurrency.
DOGE has shown tremendous momentum of late, closing October with its second-highest monthly gains since 2014. In November, investors feel that this upward path will continue. If not for the BTC strength, then at least to continue due to the renewed excitement within the cryptocurrency community. So far, DOGE’s performance in November has been mixed. Yet again, the stage is set for a possible rally.
Analysts have taken to a likely triangular pattern in the DOGE chart. This signals that a positive breakout could be around the corner.
Historically, DOGE’s November performance has been erratic. According to data from CryptoRank, while DOGE entered November 2014 with four positive and six negative months, the coin saw its best return in November 2017 with a gain of 81.9%. Its lowest performance was seen in 2018, with a decline of 42.2%. Last November, Dogecoin saw a rise of 22.5%, reflecting its community-driven momentum and high-profile supporters like Elon Musk.
Despite such a checkered history, Dogecoin remains popular among retail investors, and analysts still predict further growth this November. DOGE is also likely to experience a temporary pullback to consolidate and regain strength after the recent bullish exhaustion.
Disclaimer: The presented content may include the personal opinion of the author and is subject to market condition. Do your market research before investing in cryptocurrencies. The author or the publication does not hold any responsibility for your personal financial loss.
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