Altcoin
Is Altcoin Season Over? Data Shows Alarming Trends
It is no longer news that the altcoin season of this cycle has failed to materialize despite clear signs at some point. Amid this seemingly bullish cycle, recent data shows that there has been a shift that may send the anticipation into extinction.
One of the criteria for the altcoin season was the approval of the spot Ethereum ETFs. Now that it has happened, altcoins have remained mute. Will this remain the case going forward?
Altcoin Season Continues to Show Why It May Not Come Soon
Altcoins appeared to have resumed their uptrend sometime ago. However, that widespread climb did not last. Altcoin Season Index, at that time, had a reading of 33.
To validate the season, the index has to reach 75, implying that at least 75% of the top 50 non-Bitcoin (BTC) cryptos are outperforming the number one coin.
At press time, the index is 18, a rating it last reached on June 20 and before that — November 2023. This decline implies that altcoin has found it challenging to perform better than BTC, which has been able to reclaim $70,000 lately.
Read More: What Is Altcoin Season? A Comprehensive Guide
This decline could be attributed to the lack of investor interest in several altcoins. If interest continues to wane, then demand may be difficult to find. In turn, this could cause prices to keep swinging sideways or lower while the altcoin season fades.
Despite the underwhelming conditions of these cryptos, some market participants believe that the season will appear. One of those confidence about it is Ty Blackard, co-founder of Magnify Labs, a decentralized credits market.
Do Altcoins Still Need Ethereum’s Firepower?
According to Blackcard, the market will move to the altcoin season once ETH surpasses its all-time high.
The market is about to pivot into gas token/altcoin season as $ETH crosses over ATH. Memecoins will still be around, of course, but the narratives and meta will shift to tokens with more “utility” or “fundamentals. Blackard stated.
However, a thorough examination of the altcoin market shows that, with or without ETH, altcoin season can come to pass. This is the inference BeInCrypto got after examining the TOTAL2 and TOTAL3.
TOTAL2 is the total market cap of the 125 altcoins excluding BTC. TOTAL3, on the other hand, is the market cap of altcoins excluding ETH, as well as BTC. From the image below, we observe that the trend of both market caps is similar.
Read More: 11 Cryptos To Add To Your Portfolio Before Altcoin Season
Therefore, Ethereum’s price may not matter in the grand scheme of things for the altcoin seasons as it did in 2021. However, there is a chance for altcoin prices to pump if capital gained from BTC flows into the sector. If this happens, then the chances of the season this cycle will increase.
Disclaimer
In line with the Trust Project guidelines, this price analysis article is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial or investment advice. BeInCrypto is committed to accurate, unbiased reporting, but market conditions are subject to change without notice. Always conduct your own research and consult with a professional before making any financial decisions. Please note that our Terms and Conditions, Privacy Policy, and Disclaimers have been updated.
Cardano founder Charles Hoskinson says the network will play a key role in Bitcoin DeFi transactions in the future. With several partnerships and innovations in the works, Hoskinson says Cardano is bracing itself to explore layer 2 solutions on the Bitcoin blockchain,
Cardano Positions Itself For Bitcoin DeFi
In an interview with Scott Melker, Cardano’s founder has revealed ambitious plans for the network to turbocharge Bitcoin’s adoption for DeFi applications. Hoskinson notes that large financial institutions will trigger a demand for Bitcoin DeFi given their fiduciary obligation to create yield.
He notes that a Bitcoin ETF providing DeFi yields will trigger shareholders to demand similar yields. Hoskinson eyes a three-year timeframe for institutions to plant their feet in Bitcoin DeFi and UTXO DeFi.
Hoskinson says Cardano will combine Hydra with the Bitcoin Lightning network and build a trustless recursive bridge between both networks. The founder adds that its Aiken programming language will enabled to write both Bitcoin and Cardano scripts.
Furthermore, a partnership with Maestro, an infrastructure provider allowing Bitcoin integration with UTXO-based blockchain will provide a “turn-key experience” for users.
“It’s still early days but we are making methodical progress every step of the way,” said Hoskinson.
Hoskinson is moving on from his absence from the Crypto Summit at the White House, doubling down on technical innovation. He notes that the Bitcoin-focused plays by Cardano will not adversely affect the network’s road map.
Is Bitcoin Ready For DeFi Applications?
Hoskinson revealed in the interview that Bitcoin is ready for DeFi utility following the Taproot and the Lightning Network advancements. According to the founder, Taproot added programmability features to the Bitcoin network and Cardano will push the frontiers.
He adds that Cardano will enable Bitcoin users to engage in DeFi transactions while transacting with only BTC. Hoskinson says a merger between Bitcoin is enough to make Cardano’s DeFi significantly larger than Ethereum and Solana combined.
While the integration will send Cardano price soaring, ADA wallows at $0,6611 after losing 10% in a week. However, traders are targeting an ADA pump in May following the forming of a cyclical pattern.
An analyst argues that a price rally to $10 is not a crazy prediction given a streak of solid fundamentals and partnerships for Cardano.
Aliyu Pokima
Aliyu Pokima is a seasoned cryptocurrency and emerging technologies journalist with a knack for covering needle-moving stories in the space. Aliyu delivers breaking news stories, regulatory updates, and insightful analysis with depth and precision. When he’s not poring over charts or following leads, Aliyu enjoys playing the bass guitar, lifting weights and running marathons.
Disclaimer: The presented content may include the personal opinion of the author and is subject to market condition. Do your market research before investing in cryptocurrencies. The author or the publication does not hold any responsibility for your personal financial loss.
The world’s second-largest digital asset, Ethereum (ETH), struggles to keep up with Bitcoin. Market data shows that the ETH/BTC ratio has dropped to its lowest level in five years. Consequently, investors and analysts are now questioning whether Ethereum can recover in the coming quarter, considering Bitcoin may continue its long-standing domination in the digital assets market.
The Ethereum Bitcoin Ratio At New Lows
ETH performed poorly compared to Bitcoin in the first quarter of 2025. According to a recent update from The Kobeissi Letter, the Ethereum to Bitcoin ratio has dropped to 0.02, its lowest level since December 2020.
Historically, Ethereum has gained strength after Bitcoin halvings, but the trend has reversed. While Bitcoin price is going upward, Ethereum has struggled to gain traction.
Several factors have contributed to this decline. Bitcoin’s narrative as digital gold has strengthened, drawing more institutional investment. In addition, the coin has faced challenges, including relatively higher gas fees and competition from other blockchain networks.
Unfortunately, the Ethereum Pectra upgrade, which experts believe could drive a price increase for the coin, faced some challenges. As reported by CoinGape, multiple testnet attempts failed before the Hoodi testnet that launched recently.
Some experts believe Ethereum’s transition to proof-of-stake has not delivered the expected market boost.
Q1 Performance and ETF Downturn
The ETH price performance in the first quarter of 2025 has been disappointing. For context, data shows that the coin has dropped 46% this year, nearly 4 times more than Bitcoin’s decline of 12%.
Many investors expected a strong bull run, but Ethereum has remained weak. The adoption of spot Bitcoin ETFs earlier in the year attracted billions of dollars, but Ethereum has not seen the same level of interest for its potential ETF.
Market analysts suggest that institutional investors are still hesitant about Ethereum’s long-term value compared to Bitcoin. Bitcoin’s fixed supply and reputation as a hedge against inflation have made it a safer choice for institutional investors.
Where is ETH Price Heading?
Some analysts believe ETH price could hit $10,000 if broader market conditions improve and the Ethereum Pectra upgrade launches on the mainnet.
Others warn that if the coin continues to lose value against Bitcoin, investors may start shifting funds to other networks like Solana or Avalanche.
Even though short-term price predictions remain speculative, some traders expect Ethereum to rebound as Bitcoin stabilizes. Others believe the ETH/BTC ratio could drop even further.
As of this publication, CoinMarketCap data shows that Ethereum’s price was $1,842.29, up 1.34% in the last 24 hours. Many experts believe that the coming days will determine whether Ethereum can regain strength or whether Bitcoin’s dominance will continue to grow.
Godfrey Benjamin
Benjamin Godfrey is a blockchain enthusiast and journalists who relish writing about the real life applications of blockchain technology and innovations to drive general acceptance and worldwide integration of the emerging technology. His desires to educate people about cryptocurrencies inspires his contributions to renowned blockchain based media and sites. Benjamin Godfrey is a lover of sports and agriculture.
Disclaimer: The presented content may include the personal opinion of the author and is subject to market condition. Do your market research before investing in cryptocurrencies. The author or the publication does not hold any responsibility for your personal financial loss.
Elon Musk has doused optimism for the US government to adopt Dogecoin at the America PAC town hall event. The head of the Department of Government Efficiency (DOGE) noted that the government agency only bears a nominal resemblance to the memecoin.
Elon Musk Dispels Rumors Of Dogecoin Adoption By The US Government
At a recent event, Tesla CEO Elon Musk cleared the air on the potential adoption of Dogecoin by the US government. In his keynote speech, Musk noted that the US government will not be adopting Dogecoin, contrary to swirling speculation.
Musk noted that the speculation gained traction following the launch of the Department of Government Efficiency (DOGE). Following the launch of DOGE and Musk tapped to lead the agency, enthusiasm for Dogecoin government utility reached new highs.
However, Musk clarified that the agency bears only a nominal resemblance to the memecoin, stemming from an internet trend. The Tesla CEO disclosed that the original intended name was the Government Efficiency Commission, opting for DOGE “because the internet is right.”
“The name is similar but they are two different things,” said Musk. “But there are no plans for the government to use Dogecoin as far as I know.”
Musk has a long and storied history with Dogecoin, famously shilling the memecoin and integrating DOGE payments for Tesla. Musk teased an anime-themed DOGE on X, setting the stage for a $2 rally for the memecoin.
DOGE Reacts Negatively To The News
Dogecoin price slumped by nearly 2% in the wake of the grim report. Currently, the memecoin is trading at 0.1660 as it eyes a push toward the $1 mark.
The negative fundamental adds pressure to reports of DOGE forming a falling wedge pattern, signaling a potential downward breakout. However, optimists are rippling with confidence that DOGE can shake off the negative sentiments to post new all-time highs.
One analysis claims that if the Dogecoin price breaks a 3-month trendline, an $8 valuation for the memecoin is in play. Others claim that the House of Doge Reserve launch will be a tailwind for Dogecoin price, sending the dog-themed coin on a strong rally.
Aliyu Pokima
Aliyu Pokima is a seasoned cryptocurrency and emerging technologies journalist with a knack for covering needle-moving stories in the space. Aliyu delivers breaking news stories, regulatory updates, and insightful analysis with depth and precision. When he’s not poring over charts or following leads, Aliyu enjoys playing the bass guitar, lifting weights and running marathons.
Disclaimer: The presented content may include the personal opinion of the author and is subject to market condition. Do your market research before investing in cryptocurrencies. The author or the publication does not hold any responsibility for your personal financial loss.
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