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ETH Supply Surge Casts Shadow on Spot Ethereum ETF Excitement

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4 months ago

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We are just three days away from the approval of the spot Ethereum ETF, and the excitement among investors is pretty high. However, rapidly increasing ETH supply over the past two months is one of the major concerns going ahead.

ETH Supply Increasing by 60K Per Month

Popular market analyst Benjamin Cowen stated that the Ethereum supply has been increasing by 60K per month since April. He added that if this continues to happen until December this year, the ETH supply in circulation will be similar to that before the Merge event back in September 2022.

In the last three months, the Ethereum supply has surged by 150,000. “Currently, since the merge the supply is -298,000. But that will only take 5 months to revert at this pace,” said Cowen.

Cowen added that the major driver for the Ethereum price surge moving ahead would be nothing but the monetary policy. Unless and until the Fed pivots and moves to quantitative easing, Cowen doesn’t expect a major surge in Ethereum going ahead.

According to Cowen’s analysis, the ETH/BTC trading pair experienced a false breakdown below its lows in Q2 2016, followed by genuine capitulation in Q4 of the BTC halving year. If the current pattern mirrors 2016, Cowen suggests that the final capitulation for ETH/BTC may not commence until September 2024. This timeline would allow sufficient time for the initial excitement surrounding the spot ETF, relative to BTC, to diminish.

“If you follow monetary policy, last cycle ETH/BTC broke support the same month that the Fed cut rates,” said Cowen. Well, reports suggest that the Fed Rate cuts could commence sometime around September this year.

Also read: Fed To Mirror ECB Rate Pause? Here’s What It Means For Bitcoin

Citing historical charts, Cowen explains that the ETH/BTC pair wicked down to the lows in August, while making a substantial rally the next month in September. He believes that a similar pattern could repeat this time as well.

Courtesy: Benjamin Cowen

Will spot Ethereum ETF Absorb the Supply?

With the spot Ethereum ETF hitting the market next week, investors are excited about strong inflows that could follow. Issuers like BlackRock, Fidelity, Grayscale, and others announced their fee structure earlier this week.

Many market analysts have been expecting multi-billion dollar inflows coming into Ethereum ETF by the end of 2024. However, this may not happen immediately after the approval. Some analysts also believe that there’s a chance of a sell-the-news kind of event to occur.

Also Read: Is Ethereum ETF Launch “Sell The News” Event Like Bitcoin ETF?

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Bhushan is a FinTech enthusiast and holds a good flair in understanding financial markets. His interest in economics and finance draw his attention towards the new emerging Blockchain Technology and Cryptocurrency markets. He is continuously in a learning process and keeps himself motivated by sharing his acquired knowledge. In free time he reads thriller fictions novels and sometimes explore his culinary skills.

The presented content may include the personal opinion of the author and is subject to market condition. Do your market research before investing in cryptocurrencies. The author or the publication does not hold any responsibility for your personal financial loss.





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Why Bitcoin Users Are Moving to Altcoins? As Ethereum Price Jumps 11%

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4 hours ago

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November 7, 2024

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Although the Bitcoin price rally has paused above $75,000 a day after Donald Trump’s victory, altcoins have continued their strong show with the Ethereum price taking the lead with 11% gains all the way to $2,850 levels. Investors have a lot of questions as to does this mark the beginning of the much-awaited altseason moving ahead.

Altcoins Steal the Limelight from Bitcoin?

On the day of Donald Trump’s victory on November 6, the Bitcoin price touched its all-time high levels surging all the way to $75,000. While the bulls try to defend these levels, altcoins seem to grabbing the investors’ focus.

The Ethereum price has managed to pull off 12% gains moving all the way to the $2,850 level and eying further rally to its all-time high levels. This comes despite strong selling pressure from Ethereum whales. Popular crypto analyst IncomeSharks noted that the ETH price has given a crucial breakout from the downward trendline slope, which opens the gates for a 75% rally from here to new all-time highs.

Furthermore, after hitting the lower lows over the past few months, the ETH/BTC trading pair has notched up a bit. “With ETH/BTC at 0.035 it definitely makes sense to start hedging,” added Cowen. However, he added that for the bottom formation confirmation, the ETH/BTC pair must end above the 50 DMA.

Apart from Ethereum price surge, other altcoins like Solana made strong gains on Donald Trump’s victory. The Solana price has surged to $188 once again as talks about the approval of spot Solana ETF in the Trump presidency gain traction. As a result, analysts predict an SOL surge to $300 levels from here.

Will BTC Lose the Grip Over the Market?

Some market analysts state that it is still early to call the altseason and expect Bitcoin dominance to grow even further. Also, this could just be the beginning of the next major Bitcoin bull run.

Veteran trader Peter Brandt shared an optimistic outlook for Bitcoin, suggesting it has entered a “sweet spot” in the current bull market halving cycle. According to Brandt, Bitcoin is on track to peak between $130,000 and $150,000 by August or September of next year, marking a potential new high for the cryptocurrency.

Echoing similar thoughts, crypto analyst Ali Martinez noted that the next BTC top usually happens after 8 to 12 months following a monthly close above the previous all-time highs. Thus, he expects the next BTC top to happen anywhere between July to November 2025.

According to blockchain analytics firm CryptoQuant, Bitcoin’s recent all-time high doesn’t signal an overvaluation relative to its cost basis. The firm’s data on the MVRV ratio suggests that BTC remains well below peak levels. Additionally, Bitcoin’s price is close to traders’ average purchase cost, indicating that the market is not currently overheated. These insights point to the potential for continued growth in Bitcoin’s value.

Courtesy: CryptoQuant

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Bhushan Akolkar

Bhushan is a FinTech enthusiast with a keen understanding of financial markets. His interest in economics and finance has led him to focus on emerging Blockchain technology and cryptocurrency markets. He is committed to continuous learning and stays motivated by sharing the knowledge he acquires. In his free time, Bhushan enjoys reading thriller fiction novels and occasionally explores his culinary skills.

Disclaimer: The presented content may include the personal opinion of the author and is subject to market condition. Do your market research before investing in cryptocurrencies. The author or the publication does not hold any responsibility for your personal financial loss.





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XRP Price At Risk As Ripple Moves $250M?

Published

18 hours ago

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November 6, 2024

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The XRP price has come under the spotlight following Ripple’s recent $250 million XRP transfer. This comes amid bullish predictions for the coin, with analysts saying that its price could enjoy a parabolic rally following Donald Trump’s win.

The XRP Price At Risk With Ripple’s $250 Million Transfer

The XRP price is at risk of a decline following Ripple’s transfer of $250 million worth of XRP to an unknown wallet. Onchain data shows that the crypto firm transferred 470 million XRP to this wallet (rP4X2…sKxv3). This unknown wallet has since transferred 100 million XRP to another wallet (rhWt2…E32hk).

The purpose of the $250 million transfer remains unclear. However, it could relate to Ripple’s On-Demand Liquidity (ODL) services or the ongoing SEC appeal case.

This development comes just a day after XRP whales moved $814 million, indicating whale accumulation. While the Ripple transfer is unlikely to impact the XRP price since it will likely be done over the counter (OTC) if it is a potential sale, it could still create a bearish sentiment among XRP investors.

However, crypto analysts are confident that XRP is currently in bullish territory following Donald Trump’s win in the US presidential elections. The coin could surge up to 3,336% as crypto analyst StephIsCrypto predicted a major above $2 following Trump’s victory.

A Price Surge Above $20 By Year-End

In an X post, Crypto analyst Amonyx made a bold prediction, stating that the XRP price will rise above $20 by year-end. In another X post, the analyst suggested that he was confident that this price surge would happen with the US SEC chair Gary Gensler set to be removed following Donald Trump’s victory.

Gensler’s removal is bullish for the XRP price because he has spearheaded the long-running legal battle against Ripple. The legal battle could have negatively impacted XRP all this time, creating doubts in investors’ minds.

However, with Gensler gone and the Ripple SEC lawsuit likely to end, investors could again become bullish on XRP and look to invest more in the crypto. Crypto analyst Ross Vandermeer also predicted that the XRP price could eventually rise to $1,000 thanks to Donald Trump’s US election victory.

Ripple CEO Brad Garlinghouse recently called on the US president-elect to fire Gary Gensler on day 1, just like he promised. Meanwhile, Ripple chief legal officer (CLO) Stuart Alderoty urged Trump to end the regulation-by-enforcement approach to position the US as the crypto capital.

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Boluwatife Adeyemi

Boluwatife Adeyemi is a well-experienced crypto news writer and editor who has covered topics that cut across DeFi, NFTs, smart contracts, and blockchain interoperability, among others. Boluwatife has a knack for simplifying the most technical concepts and making it easy for crypto newbies to understand. Away from writing, He is an avid basketball lover and a part-time degen.

Disclaimer: The presented content may include the personal opinion of the author and is subject to market condition. Do your market research before investing in cryptocurrencies. The author or the publication does not hold any responsibility for your personal financial loss.





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Ripple CLO Reveals How Donald Trump Can Make US The Crypto Capital

Published

19 hours ago

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November 6, 2024

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Ripple chief legal officer (CLO) Stuart Alderoty has revealed how US President-elect Donald Trump can make the United States (US) the crypto capital. The Ripple CLO statement came as Ripple CEO Brad Garlinghouse outlined his checklist for the Trump administration.

Ripple CLO Reveals How Trump Can Make US Crypto Capital

In an X post, Stuart Alderoty called on Donald Trump to move swiftly to end the regulation-by-enforcement approach that the crypto industry has endured and position the US as the crypto capital of the world.

As the Ripple CLO suggested, the US has been unable to claim the title of crypto capital due to its unfavorable regulatory environment. Regulators like the US Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) have clamped down on crypto firms instead of providing regulatory clarity.

However, the Ripple CLO believes that is likely to change under Donald Trump. In his post, he also revealed that the president-elect had taken time to listen to Ripple’s story when they met and has also prioritized crypto as a key policy issue.

Indeed, the US president-elect was very vocal about crypto during his presidential campaign, making several promises to the crypto industry. As part of his promises regarding Bitcoin and the crypto industry, Donald Trump said he would fire US SEC Chair Gary Gensler on day one in office.

This is one of the major promises the crypto community is holding on to, considering that Gensler has spearheaded the anti-crypto crusade in the country.

Brad Garlinghouse Outlines Checklist For Donald Trump’s Administration

Before the Ripple CLO’s comments, Ripple CEO Brad Garlinghouse had outlined his checklist for the Trump administration’s first 100 days in office. First, he stated that Trump should fire Gensler on Day 1, just as promised.

In Gensler’s place, Garlinghouse recommended that the president-elect appoint either Christopher Giancarlo or Robinhood CLO Dan Gallagher, as they will be “massive upgrades” in rebuilding the rule of law at the SEC. Galaxy CEO Mike Novogratz also recently mentioned pro-crypto US SEC commissioner Hester Peirce as one of those who could also replace Gensler.

The Ripple CEO also asked Trump to get the US Congress to move the digital asset market structure bill forward in the Senate. Lastly, he asked if they could get some clarity for Ethereum, similar to that of Bitcoin and XRP since they are recognized as non-securities.

While Brad Garlinghouse didn’t endorse any candidate, Ripple CLO Stuart Alderoty and Ripple co-founder Chris Larsen made their stance known through donations. The Ripple CLO donated $300,000 to the Donald Trump campaign, while Larsen donated up to $11 million to Kamala Harris’ campaign.

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Boluwatife Adeyemi

Boluwatife Adeyemi is a well-experienced crypto news writer and editor who has covered topics that cut across DeFi, NFTs, smart contracts, and blockchain interoperability, among others. Boluwatife has a knack for simplifying the most technical concepts and making it easy for crypto newbies to understand. Away from writing, He is an avid basketball lover and a part-time degen.

Disclaimer: The presented content may include the personal opinion of the author and is subject to market condition. Do your market research before investing in cryptocurrencies. The author or the publication does not hold any responsibility for your personal financial loss.





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