Altcoin
Altcoins Over Bitcoin? Analyzing the Potential of an Altcoin Season
Over the last few months, altcoin prices have dropped 30% to 70%, leading analysts to write off the possibility of an altcoin season. But when equipped with new information, BeInCrypto finds that things may be about to change.
This analysis sheds light on the rationale behind the thought while offering insights into the potential catalysts.
Early Days But the Signs Have Appeared
Altcoin season is in a market phase where non-Bitcoin (BTC) cryptocurrencies register a consistent surge in value while outperforming the number one coin.
One of the indicators validating this period is TOTAL2, which is the crypto total market cap, excluding BTC. When this market cap increases, it gives credence to the potential increase in the prices of altcoins.
However, a decrease implies that Bitcoin is dominating the market. At press time, the total altcoin market cap stands at $940.37 billion — a 4.87% increase in the last 24 hours. The same market cap had initially dropped by 23.26% between June 6 and July 8.
Read More: Which Are the Best Altcoins to Invest in July 2024
If the indicator’s value continues to increase, the altcoin season will be closer. The last time such occurred was between February and March. At that time, the value of TOTAL2 went from $753.83 billion to $1.24 trillion within a month.
Following the recent change, analysts on X seem to be changing their stance, favoring the dominance of altcoins. One of them is Michaël van de Poppe, founder of MN Trading.
“The Altcoin market capitalization has reached a crucial higher timeframe support level and finds support here. It’s still early in the week, but if this week continues this upward trend, then the signs will start to improve.” van de Poppe opined on X.
Bitcoin Dominance Steps Back, May Open Doors for Altcoins
Apart from opinions, another factor that determines if altcoins’ time to shine is here is Bitcoin’s dominance. For the cycle to be validated, the BTC.D has to decrease.
Employing the weekly chart, we observe that the BTC.D fell from 62.69% in March 2021 to 40.89% in May of the same year. History shows that this was around the same period many altcoins hit their all-time highs in the last bull market.
This week, the dominance has fallen from 55.04% to 54.68%, indicating that some altcoins have begun to outperform BTC.
For this to mirror the performance shown in 2021, at least 75% of the top 50 altcoins have to perform better than Bitcoin.
According to data from Blockchaincenter, only a few cryptocurrencies, including meme coins, have done that. Some of them include Toncoin (TON), Pepe (PEPE), Kaspa (KAS) and Bonk (BONK).
As a result, the Altcoin Season Index over the last 90 days remains at 29. However, this is an improvement from the reading a few days ago when it was 25.
Should the index continue to hit higher values, altcoins will get closer to retesting their all-time highs, putting BTC on the back foot in the process.
Read More: What Are Altcoins? A Guide to Alternative Cryptocurrencies
Ethereum, Solana’s Role Crucial
Additionally, it is important to mention that Ethereum (ETH) has always acted as a catalyst for fostering altcoin dominance.
Within the last few months, ETH has underperformed compared to BTC. However, the impending approval of the spot Ethereum ETFs may spur a notable increase in ETH’s value.
If this is the case, other altcoins may join the potential rally. In Capo of Crypto’s case, the update on the ETH ETFs, as well as the official applications for Solana ETFs by VanEck and 21Shares, is why the analyst is bullish on altcoins.
“Selling pressure from the German Government is being absorbed. All spot Ethereum ETF applicants have filed updated S-1s.VanEck & 21Shares have officially filed 19b-4s for spot Solana ETFs. I’m bullish for the next few weeks, especially on altcoins.” Capo of Crypto wrote.
Based on the analysis above and market sentiment, altcoins look like they are set for a big pump. However, traders need to keep an eye out.
If selling pressure hits the market again, the hike could be invalidated. Also, if Ethereum does not receive impressive inflows into the ETFs, the cryptocurrencies may struggle to jump.
Disclaimer
In line with the Trust Project guidelines, this price analysis article is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial or investment advice. BeInCrypto is committed to accurate, unbiased reporting, but market conditions are subject to change without notice. Always conduct your own research and consult with a professional before making any financial decisions. Please note that our Terms and Conditions, Privacy Policy, and Disclaimers have been updated.
PumpFun has transferred 95,934 SOL, worth approximately $13.34 million, to Kraken, further adding to the total 1,818,889 SOL moved to the exchange in 2025, equating to around $324.06 million.
This move marks a continued trend of significant activity surrounding Solana (SOL), reflecting growing investor interest. As SOL consolidates its price following recent bullish trends, this development raises questions about the potential direction of the cryptocurrency.
PumpFun Whale Activity and SOL’s Recent Performance
According to blockchain data provider Lookonchain, PumpFun’s recent deposit adds to a growing list of whale activities. So far, in 2025, the total SOL moved to Kraken by PumpFun alone exceeds 1.8 million, highlighting a considerable volume of transactions. Solana’s price has shown notable strength, especially in light of recent whale movements, which tend to indicate investor confidence.
Solana’s price has recently cleared significant resistance levels, with many analysts suggesting the cryptocurrency is in a strong upward trend. A crypto analyst, Ted, has pointed out that the SOL price is showing bullish signs similar to the Q4 of 2022.
Ted suggests that SOL could see price levels between $160 to $180 by May 2025, with the potential for an all-time high later in the year. As whale activity continues, these predictions may influence market sentiment further.
Institutional Interest in Solana Surges
Institutional players’ participation is another factor that gives optimism to the SOL’s bullish run. Another player in the game is Galaxy Digital, though it has recently started making major withdrawals, pulling out about $77m worth of SOL from exchanges starting mid-April.
This also involved a substantial $19.5 million sell-off from Binance, showing faith in Solana’s potential. Other market players, such as Janover, also bought over $10m worth of Solana, validating the optimistic forecast for SOL price.
Such actions from institutional investors are usually viewed in the market as strong signs of confidence. Based on Galaxy Digital’s withdrawal, it could be estimated that large investors are preparing for higher SOL gains, which underlines the upbeat sentiment in Solana price. This increase in institutional support could enhance the overall market sentiment and help SOL rise in the short run.
Growing Number of Large Solana Holders
In addition to institutional interest like PumpFun’s, large retail investors are also becoming more active in Solana. Analyst Ali Martinez reported that the number of wallets holding 10,000 or more SOL increased by 1.53% in the past week.
This uptick, which grew from 4,943 wallets to 5,019, suggests that bigger holders are accumulating more Solana quietly. Such accumulation often occurs before broader market recognition, which can lead to price rallies.
This pattern of increasing wallet activity from significant holders further points to confidence in Solana’s potential. If these large investors continue to increase their positions, the demand for SOL could continue to rise, creating upward pressure on its price. The accumulation could be a sign that some are positioning themselves ahead of a potential breakout in price.
SOL Technical Analysis and Price Forecasts
The recent movement in Solana price has caught traders’ attention, with some analysts forecasting a continued rise. Another crypto analyst, Learnernoearner, suggested that an inverse head and shoulders pattern may be forming, indicating a potential long-entry opportunity.
If Solana price experiences a brief pullback, this could provide an attractive entry point for traders.
Key technical levels for SOL price include support at $125, immediate resistance at $135, and a breakout zone at $178. If SOL price breaches the $178 mark, further targets could include $199, $216, and $238, and some even suggest a rally to $2000.
Kelvin Munene Murithi
Kelvin is a distinguished writer with expertise in crypto and finance, holding a Bachelor’s degree in Actuarial Science. Known for his incisive analysis and insightful content, he possesses a strong command of English and excels in conducting thorough research and delivering timely cryptocurrency market updates.
Disclaimer: The presented content may include the personal opinion of the author and is subject to market condition. Do your market research before investing in cryptocurrencies. The author or the publication does not hold any responsibility for your personal financial loss.
Ark Invest, the asset management firm owned by Cathie Wood, has gained its first exposure to Solana as the broader financial market expands its adoption of cryptocurrencies. The firm has added exposure to two tech investment vehicles via the 3iQ Solana Staking ETF (SOLQ). Market analysts believe this move validates SOL, a front-runner for spot altcoin ETF in the US.
The Ark Invest Solana Exposure
According to the Citywire report, the ARK Next Generation Internet ETF (ARKW) and ARK Fintech Innovation ETF (ARKF) have SOLQ in their respective portfolios. These Cathie Wood’s funds bought 237,500 shares of SOLQ apiece, validating the Solana fundamentals.
Canadian regulators approved the 3iQ SOL ETF for trading earlier this month, alongside other crypto funds from Purpose, Evolve, and CI. These ETF products went live on schedule on April 16, placing them in line for mainstream exposure.
As Ark Invest revealed in its press release, the Solana architecture and its design for speed and efficiency make it ideal for the next generation of the internet. With the bet, the Cathie Wood firm has made history as the first U.S.-based ETF to gain exposure to Solana.
Beyond Ark Invest and Solana: Portfolio Diversification Goes Mainstream
Asset management firms are shifting toward crypto products, a move beyond ARK and SOL. As CoinGape reported earlier, Charles Schwab has revealed plans to launch crypto trading later this year. The firm, with $10 trillion in assets under management, may add more credence to the nascent asset class if it pulls through with its plans.
Under President Donald Trump, the improving crypto regulation landscape has given asset managers like Ark Invest the long-sought leverage to bet on the market. The precedent was set earlier with spot Bitcoin and Ethereum ETF approval in 2024.
With key agencies like the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC), Commodity Futures and Trading Commission (CFTC), and Federal Deposit Insurance Commission (FDIC) now aligned to crypto, more firms may soon join the diversification move.
Crypto ETFs and Role In TradFi Embrace
Despite the generally positive regulatory environment, many traditional financial firms are still skeptical of direct exposure to crypto. While many, like Ark Invest, do not mind the volatility, custody remains a major challenge.
More relatable products like Spot XRP ETF have been lodged with the SEC to mitigate this. With asset managers going all out in their bid, Solana, Hedera, Litecoin, and Dogecoin, among other assets, are also awaiting potential approvals from the SEC.
While the market regulator was skeptical of these kinds of products in the past, it now takes a different stance. Market experts expect approval before the end of this year.
Godfrey Benjamin
Benjamin Godfrey is a blockchain enthusiast and journalists who relish writing about the real life applications of blockchain technology and innovations to drive general acceptance and worldwide integration of the emerging technology. His desires to educate people about cryptocurrencies inspires his contributions to renowned blockchain based media and sites. Benjamin Godfrey is a lover of sports and agriculture.
Disclaimer: The presented content may include the personal opinion of the author and is subject to market condition. Do your market research before investing in cryptocurrencies. The author or the publication does not hold any responsibility for your personal financial loss.
XRP price seems to be headed for a dramatic turning point, with various analysts citing bullish chart patterns that indicate a probable price spike over the next few months. The fourth-largest crypto is showing a strong technical setup on the 6-month candle chart, with formerly limiting resistance points now eliminated.
XRP Price Displays Eliminated Resistance And Bullish RSI
Technical analyst Dark Defender has posted a tweet that shows a 6-month candle chart indicating these “Eliminated Resistance” levels and a “Bullish RSI” (Relative Strength Index) indicator. The chart indicates that XRP has broken above significant historical resistance levels that previously capped price action.
Several price targets have emerged from analysts tracking the cryptocurrency. The analysts’ projections range from approximately $3.75 to over $18 in the coming months. Despite these bullish technical signals, sentiment indicators remain cautious, and the Fear & Greed Index shows a reading of 39. This places it in the “Fear” category.
6-Monthly time frame update on #XRP
Be honest: Is it Bullish or Bearish in the next 6 months?
The last candle will be closed by the end of June.
Short-Mid Term Targets: $3.75, $5.85, $18.22 (NFA)
I wish you an excellent weekend and a Happy Easter 🐣with your loved ones!… pic.twitter.com/pmuBkrn8Pe
— Dark Defender (@DefendDark) April 19, 2025
The 6-month candle chart for XRP/USD shared by analyst Dark Defender highlights two key technical factors that could support a potential price surge. First, the chart identifies multiple “Eliminated Resistance” levels that XRP has now cleared. This removes previous price ceilings that constrained upward movement in past cycles.
These eliminated resistance zones appear at different points on the historical chart, with the most recent breakthrough occurring in the latest completed candle. According to Dark Defender, this technical development raises an important question for traders: “Is it Bullish or Bearish in the next 6 months?” The analyst indicates that the present candle will close at the end of June 2025, giving the traders a time frame for possible price action.
The second important technical signal highlighted is a “Bullish RSI” reading. The Relative Strength Index, at the lower part of the chart, is shown to be on the rise, moving into bullish levels above the 70 level. This momentum indicator shows increasing buying pressure behind XRP’s recent price action.
XRP Could Soon Hit $5
CryptoBull analyst provides additional technical analysis, labeling the pattern as a massive bullish falling wedge with an even larger bullish triangle encompassing the wicks. The analyst predicts a breakout from the patterns and a target price that could see XRP go as high as $5 before finally landing at a base of $3.85.
#XRP Update: huge bullish falling wedge with an even bigger bullish triangle covering the wicks. We will break out soon and price will wick up to $5 and close around $3.85. pic.twitter.com/rqbIASYRpl
— CryptoBull (@CryptoBull2020) April 21, 2025
There have been suggestions by analysts about specific price targets for XRP in their outlook. Dark Defender shared short-term to medium-term target prices of $3.75, $5.85, and a wildly high target at $18.22.
CryptoBull offered a more detailed price action prediction and indicated that XRP is going to breakout in the near future with price action that can include a wick up to $5 and close around $3.85.
Amidst these modest predictions, certain analysts even predicted the XRP price to reach $280. Another analyst, Captain Faibik, instructed followers to continue purchasing XRP. He further added that the next increase will be “explosive” to the $5 level in the mid-term. Multiple analysts in agreement at the $5 level indicate it might be a key target for traders and investors.
Keep accumulating $XRP, Next Bullish leg will be explosive..📈
Midterm Target : 5$ 🎯
#XRP #XRPArmy #XRPUSDT pic.twitter.com/95TKndWlws
— Captain Faibik 🐺 (@CryptoFaibik) April 21, 2025
Though analysts are optimistic, the prevailing mood in the market is cautious. CoinCodex indicates their latest forecast predicts that XRP could drop by 8.35% to $1.95 on May 21, 2025. CoinCodex also predicts that XRP had 13 days of gain in the previous 30 days (43%), and price activity has averaged 7.48% in the last 30 days.
Vignesh Karunanidhi
Vignesh Karunanidhi is a seasoned crypto journalist with nearly 7 years of experience in the cryptocurrency industry. He has contributed to numerous publications, including WatcherGuru, BeInCrypto, Milkroad, and authored over 10,000 articles
Disclaimer: The presented content may include the personal opinion of the author and is subject to market condition. Do your market research before investing in cryptocurrencies. The author or the publication does not hold any responsibility for your personal financial loss.
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