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5 Reasons Behind Today’s Crypto Market Crash
Crypto market crash started during the early Asia hours on Monday, with the top three cryptocurrencies Bitcoin (BTC), Ethereum (ETH), and XRP plunging 7-12%. The global crypto market cap also tumbled more than 7% from $3.61 trillion to $3.35 trillion, that’s $260 billion erased from the crypto market in just under 24 hours.
Moreover, the Crypto Fear & Greed Index has dropped from Greed to Neutral at 55 today, indicating a slight negative sentiment among investors.
Crypto Market Crash: Reasons Why Bitcoin, ETH, XRP & Altcoins Falling Sharply
Bitcoin price today currently trades at $98K, down 7% in the last few hours. Other the other hand, ETH price has tumbled to $3000 and XRP corrects 12% to $2.78. The crypto market crash sees no signs of slowing as experts predicted further dropdown in prices.
1. China Releases DeepSeek – A Rival to OpenAI’s ChatGPT
Chinese startup DeepSeek’s AI assistant overtook rival ChatGPT to become the top-rated free application on Apple’s App Store in the United States, reported Reuters on January 27. The DeepSeek-V3 model used Nvidia’s H800 chips for training, spending less than $6 million.
DeepSeek has left a deep impression on Silicon Valley. As a result, US stock futures tied to S&P 500 slipped 1.30%, the Nasdaq 100 lost 2.3%, and the Dow Jones industrial average is down 0.80% due to panic today ahead of quarterly results due to be released this week by four of the “Magnificent 7” stocks.
Forbes predicts that NVIDIA stock may fall as DeepSeek’s AI model challenge AI leadership of the United States with OpenAI’s ChatGPT.
2. FOMC Meeting and Donald Trump’s Tariff
Traders are becoming more cautious amid rising inflation and strong jobs data indicated a robust United States economy. Concerns over inflationary tariffs under President-elect Donald Trump have also fueled a cautionary outlook. This has given the Federal Reserve more room to delay further rate cuts during its interest rate decision on Wednesday.
Currently, CME FedWatch tool indicates there is a 99.5% probability of the Fed keeping the interest rate unchanged at 4.25%-4.50% during the January 29 meeting. The US Federal Reserve’s monetary policy decision and Jerome Powell’s comments will be the key for the stock and crypto markets.
Meanwhile, the US dollar index (DXY) has jumped to 107.74 indicating a strengthening dollar. Also, the 10-year Treasury yield decreased slightly to 4.569%. Notably, BTC price usually moves in opposite to DXY and US Treasury yields.
3. Crypto Market Crash: $1 Billion In Bitcoin, ETH, XRP and Crypto Liquidated
Coinglass data indicates over $800 million in crypto liquidations, with 290K traders liquidated in the last 24 hours. The largest single liquidation order of BTCUSDT valued at $98.46 million happened on crypto exchange HTX.
Nearly $900 million long and $100 million short positions were liquidated, with BTC, ETH, SOL, DOGE, XRP, UNI and ADA are leading the liquidations. In the last 12 hours, $800 million in longs were liquidated causing the crypto market crash.
4. $9.5 Billion in Bitcoin and Ethereum Options Expiry
As per Deribit, 78K BTC options with a notional value of $7.7 billion are set to expire on Friday, with a put-call ratio of 0.70. The max pain point is $98,000, indicating high odds of further crash. The monthly BTC options expiry always recorded high volatility and shift changes in market sentiments.
Moreover, 565K ETH options with a notional value of almost $1.8 billion are set to expire, with a put-call ratio of 0.41. The max pain point is $3,400, which is higher than the current price of $3,073. Traders must keep an eye on drastic changes in trading volumes as the crypto market crash can result in a further fall in ETH prices.
5. On-Chain Data Shows Temporary Bearish Signs
BTC on-chain data signals weakness as the 30-day MVRV ratio metric reaches the danger zone. BTC price is more susceptible to fall and consolidate as MVRV ratio rises, indicating trades that it’s time to book profits.
Moreover, on-chain analyst Axel Adler Jr revealed the Taker order bearish pressure stands at $1.6 billion over the past 24 hours, which is an extremely high level for the past month. He added that the last time it was higher at $1.8 billion in early January.
Disclaimer: The presented content may include the personal opinion of the author and is subject to market condition. Do your market research before investing in cryptocurrencies. The author or the publication does not hold any responsibility for your personal financial loss.
Altcoin
Crypto Analyst Gives Reasons Why A Dogecoin Price Pump Above $0.4 Is Imminent
Dogecoin has once again rebounded at support around $0.31 in the past 24 hours. This rebound comes after a 10-day decline that saw it erase most of its gains in the first half of the month. However, the bulls have been able to defend the $0.31 support level once again to prevent further price declines.
With the successful rebound now looking like it is done, the next question is whether it can sustain this positive momentum and break above the $0.4 mark, leaving the $0.3 range behind for good. According to an analyst on the TradingView platform, the combination of Elon Musk’s influence, technical indicators, and trends in the broader crypto ecosystem means Dogecoin will shoot above this level soon.
Dogecoin Price Pump Above $0.4 Is Imminent
Dogecoin is yet to sustain a strong decisive move above $0.4 this market cycle and has spent the most time ranging between $0.3 and $0.4. According to insights by crypto analyst MadWhale, this could change soon with recent market dynamics surrounding Dogecoin’s role in the crypto industry.
Number one, Dogecoin has gained significant prominence alongside billionaire Elon Musk. Musk’s vocal support has increased Dogecoin’s position from just the most prominent meme coin among thousands, making it a staple in his business ventures. His upcoming blockchain-powered payment platform, XMoney, is set to integrate the meme coin across his companies, including Tesla and SpaceX. This initiative could increase the demand for DOGE and further solidify its relevance in Musk’s ecosystem outside the crypto industry.
In addition, Musk’s connection with Donald Trump and their shared engagement with cryptocurrency has drawn renewed attention to the sector before and after the US elections. This collaboration has increased interest among cryptocurrencies, with Dogecoin being one of the primary beneficiaries of this surge in interest.
Technical Indicators And Market Momentum Indicate Pump Above $0.4
From a technical standpoint, analysts have predicted various bullish price targets for Dogecoin using technical indicators and market cycles. This sentiment was also echoed in the analysis of DOGE’s pump above $0.4. A decisive break above the upper trendline of its current channel would solidify the bullish outlooks, even if it were to retest the trendline.
Lastly, Dogecoin is tied to broader trends in technology and the crypto space and is in a prime position to benefit from the booming artificial intelligence industry. This rise of artificial intelligence is expected to influence cryptocurrency trading and market dynamics moving forward. Given Musk’s active role in both artificial intelligence and crypto, Doge could benefit from AI advancements and see Dogecoin become integrated into the combination of the two industries. This, in turn, could be the last push needed to sustain a move above $0.4 and reach a new price all-time high above $0.7316.
At the time of writing, DOGE is trading at $0.33 and is up by 6% in the past 24 hours.
Featured image from Adobe Stock, chart from Tradingview.com
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Will The US Adopt XRP Alongside Bitcoin?
The potential inclusion of XRP in the US Strategic Reserve has sparked intense debate, with experts sharply divided on the matter. While proponents like Ripple CEO Brad Garlinghouse recommend a diversified US strategic reserve, Bitcoin maximalists vehemently oppose the idea.
Since the 2024 Bitcoin Conference in Nashville, the community has eagerly awaited the US adoption of a strategic Bitcoin reserve. The recent executive order from President Donald Trump to develop a national digital asset stockpile has significantly intensified excitement. However, the focus shifted to a possible XRP reserve following Garlinghouse’s crucial statement.
Community Divides over US Strategic Reserve: XRP or Bitcoin?
In his X post, crypto influencer Scott Melker, also known as The Wolf of All Streets, commented on the possibility of an XRP reserve in the United States. Reiterating his previous views, Melker stated, “I don’t share rumors unless I hear them from multiple, reliable sources.”
However, Bitcoin enthusiast Wayne Vaughan strongly rejected the notion of an XRP reserve, warning that “including anything other than Bitcoin would have serious negative consequences.” Another popular Bitcoin figure known on X as AP_Abacus shared an anonymous but uniquely connected comment on the XRP reserve. The comment suggested that XRP’s attempts to join the US reserve are ultimately doomed to fail, as Bitcoin remains the undisputed focus.
Ripple’s Alleged Efforts to Hail XRP as US Reserve
Further, Scott Melker substantiated his claims by referring to American entrepreneur Jack Mallers’ controversial statement about Ripple.
Recently, Mallers alleged Ripple of “undermining American prosperity and freedom,” by trying to block the US Bitcoin strategic reserve. Describing Ripple’s act as “corporate lobbying disguised as innovation,” he stated that Ripple is spending millions to include XRP in the US strategic reserve.
The topic of the XRP reserve comes amidst recent developments in the Ripple-SEC lawsuit, with the crypto extension filing for an extension to file its brief. Meanwhile, Gary Gensler’s resignation and the recent developments within the SEC have sparked excitement in the community, anticipating a conclusion to the ongoing legal battle.
Brad Garlinghouse’s Theory of Diversified Strategic Reserve
Notably, the idea of an XRP reserve has surged following a significant statement by Ripple CEO Brad Garlinghouse, who discussed the potential for a diversified strategic reserve. However, Garlinghouse didn’t solely advocate for XRP as a reserve asset but proposed a blend of various digital assets. Garlinghouse stated,
I own XRP, BTC, and ETH, among a handful of others – we live in a multichain world, and I’ve advocated for a level-playing field instead of one token versus another. If a govt digital asset reserve is created – I believe it should be representative of the industry, not just one token (whether it be BTC, XRP or anything else).
Donald Trump’s Strategic Bitcoin Reserve
During his election campaigns, Donald Trump proposed a strategic Bitcoin reserve, gaining widespread traction. Influenced by Trump’s progressive approach, global powers like Bhutan, Hong Kong, Germany, the Czech Republic, and many more are embracing a similar stance.
However, as Trump hasn’t unveiled his decision on the Bitcoin reserve after his inauguration on January 20, the community remains anxious. The recent focus shift to an XRP reserve has further escalated the debate around the future of cryptocurrency reserves in the US.
Disclaimer: The presented content may include the personal opinion of the author and is subject to market condition. Do your market research before investing in cryptocurrencies. The author or the publication does not hold any responsibility for your personal financial loss.
Altcoin
Here’s What Will Happen To Price If The Announcement Is Favorable Like 2021
As the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting approaches, analysts closely watch the Dogecoin price movements, drawing parallels to its explosive rally in 2021. Historical trends suggest a favorable FOMC announcement could significantly impact the Dogecoin price, potentially triggering a rally.
Dogecoin Price Rally Linked To FOMC Decision
Back in January 2021, the FOMC opted to keep rates unchanged, aiming to maintain ample liquidity in the United States (US) financial markets. This decision triggered a massive shift in Dogecoin, with the meme’s price skyrocketing the next day.
A crypto analyst, ChandlerCharts, recently shared an analysis of the FOMC’s influence on Dogecoin’s future performance. Comparing two parallel charts, the analyst drew striking similarities between the Dogecoin price action in January 2021 and 2025, both of which coincided with scheduled FOMC meetings.
The left chart shows that in January 2021, Dogecoin experienced a massive rally, surging well above the 0.618 Fibonacci extension level at the $0.01 price point. At the time, the rally coincided with the FOMC meeting and the US Presidential inauguration, with the Federal Reserve’s rate announcement serving as a key catalyst to Dogecoin’s upward momentum.
Chandler illustrates Dogecoin’s current price structure on the right chart, with a similar historically bullish pattern unfolding. DOGE is hovering around the key 0.382 Fibonacci level at the $0.33 price point. This zone, acting as a support area, was previously a launchpad for the Dogecoin price rally after the FOMC announcement in 2021.
DOGE is currently testing the $0.33 key support level, just like it did in 2021. Its current price action leading up to January 2025 mirrors historical patterns, highlighting a significant rally above the 0.618 Fib, a peak at the 1.0 Fibonacci level, and a subsequent retracement to the 0.236 Fib.
If history repeats itself and the upcoming FOMC on January 28 to 29 favors liquidity as it did in 2021, Chandler predicts that Dogecoin could skyrocket to $0.5, corresponding to the 0.618 Fibonacci level. The analyst also forecasts that similar market conditions could trigger a stronger rally to the $0.7 market peak at the 1.0 Fibonacci level.
Based on this bullish forecast, Chandler warns investors and traders to “brace themselves” as volatility is expected to rise leading up to the FOMC announcement. While history doesn’t always determine future market movements, the similarities in market sentiment and liquidity conditions from a favorable rate decision make this a pivotal moment for the DOGE price.
Bearish Or Bullish? Upcoming FOMC Meeting Sets The Tone
Historically, the FOMC meeting held eight times a year tends to influence the crypto market, as it offers insights into the FED’s monetary policy decision. Commenting on this, Daitaro, a crypto analyst on X, revealed that the crypto market often displays bearish or bullish sentiment leading up to the FOMC meetings.
Following the FOMC’s rate announcement, real price action occurs, leading to either a pump or dump in top cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin and Dogecoin, among others. With the FOMC meeting set for today and tomorrow, the market’s reaction to a favorable or negative decision could significantly impact crypto prices.
Featured image from Adobe Stock, chart from Tradingview.com
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