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Bitcoin Whales HODL as Analysts Predict Bull Run Not Over Yet

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While Bitcoin struggles below $60,000, a Bybit report shared with BeInCrypto suggests that the BTC rally might still have momentum. The report delineates bull runs retrospectively and forecasts the potential continuation of Bitcoin’s price rise.

Bybit’s analysis divides Bitcoin’s historical performance into distinct cycles, visualized on a logarithmic scale to clarify long-term trends. According to its criteria, a bull run spans from the lowest trough to the highest peak of each cycle.

The 2024 Bitcoin Bull Cycle Still Has Room For Growth

Notably, three major bullish phases have been identified: 2012-2014, 2015-2018, and 2019-2022. The current bull cycle began in late 2022 and is ongoing.

This cycle commenced when Bitcoin rebounded from the post-FTX low of $15,800 in November 2022. To date, BTC has marked 624 days in this bull run, reaching a peak of $73,000 in March 2024, representing over a fourfold increase from its trough.

Although remarkable, this gain is modest compared to the 20x increase in the previous 2019-2022 cycle. Nonetheless, the average duration of past cycles—956 days—suggests there could be roughly 350 days left for potential growth.

Read more: Bitcoin Halving Cycles and Investment Strategies: What To Know

Bitcoin Historical Bull Runs Comparison.
Bitcoin Historical Bull Runs Comparison. Source: Bybit

However, there is concern over the decreasing returns from each successive bull run, which saw returns diminish from an extraordinary 553x in the first cycle to 20x in the third. This pattern prompts questions about the future of exponential gains in Bitcoin’s value.

Nonetheless, a report from Glassnode indicates that Bitcoin whales remain committed to holding their assets. The Accumulation Trend Score (ATS), which assesses weighted balance changes across the market, recently achieved its maximum value of 1.0. Consequently, this demonstrates a shift towards predominant accumulation behavior among investors.

Moreover, long-term holders (LTH) have notably shifted their strategy from selling near peaks to maintaining their investments. Over the past three months, this group has increased its holdings by more than 374,000 BTC. This shift has led to a stabilization and even growth in the percentage of network wealth controlled by LTHs.

Read more: Who Owns the Most Bitcoin in 2024?

Bitcoin Total Supply Held by Long-Term Holders
Bitcoin Total Supply Held by Long-Term Holders. Source: Glassnode

Despite the significant pressure to sell from these long-term investors at the market’s peak, the amount of wealth they retain is historically high. This observation highlights their resilience and hints at the potential for further price appreciation if market conditions improve.

Additionally, in an interview with BeInCrypto, Juan Pellicer, Senior Researcher at IntoTheBlock, revealed that institutional investors are highly interested in accumulating Bitcoin.

“If institutions see Bitcoin as a hedge against inflation or as part of their diversification strategy, their buying pressure could offset any sell-offs and even bolster the confidence of long-term holders,” Pellicer told BeInCrypto.

Disclaimer

In line with the Trust Project guidelines, this price analysis article is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial or investment advice. BeInCrypto is committed to accurate, unbiased reporting, but market conditions are subject to change without notice. Always conduct your own research and consult with a professional before making any financial decisions. Please note that our Terms and ConditionsPrivacy Policy, and Disclaimers have been updated.



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Bitcoin Price Approaches $100K: The Countdown Is On

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Este artículo también está disponible en español.

Bitcoin price is rising steadily above the $95,000 zone. BTC is showing positive signs and might soon hit the $100,000 milestone level.

  • Bitcoin started a fresh increase above the $95,000 zone.
  • The price is trading above $95,000 and the 100 hourly Simple moving average.
  • There is a key bullish trend line forming with support at $95,200 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair (data feed from Kraken).
  • The pair could continue to rise if it clears the $100,000 resistance zone.

Bitcoin Price Sets Another ATH

Bitcoin price remained supported above the $92,000 level. BTC formed a base and started a fresh increase above the $95,000 level. It cleared the $96,500 level and traded to a new high at $98,999 before there was a pullback.

There was a move below the $98,000 level. However, the price remained stable above the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the $91,500 swing low to the $98,990 high. There is also a key bullish trend line forming with support at $95,200 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair.

The trend line is close to the 50% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the $91,500 swing low to the $98,990 high. Bitcoin price is now trading above $96,000 and the 100 hourly Simple moving average.

On the upside, the price could face resistance near the $98,880 level. The first key resistance is near the $99,000 level. A clear move above the $99,000 resistance might send the price higher. The next key resistance could be $100,000.

Bitcoin Price
Source: BTCUSD on TradingView.com

A close above the $100,000 resistance might initiate more gains. In the stated case, the price could rise and test the $102,000 resistance level. Any more gains might send the price toward the $104,500 resistance level.

Downside Correction In BTC?

If Bitcoin fails to rise above the $100,000 resistance zone, it could start a downside correction. Immediate support on the downside is near the $98,000 level.

The first major support is near the $96,800 level. The next support is now near the $95,500 zone and the trend line. Any more losses might send the price toward the $92,000 support in the near term.

Technical indicators:

Hourly MACD – The MACD is now gaining pace in the bullish zone.

Hourly RSI (Relative Strength Index) – The RSI for BTC/USD is now above the 50 level.

Major Support Levels – $96,800, followed by $95,500.

Major Resistance Levels – $99,000, and $100,000.



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This Is Why XRP Price Rallied By 25% and Could Soon Hit $2

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Ripple’s (XRP) price rallied by 25% in the last 24 hours following Gary Gensler’s announcement that he would resign as the US Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) chair on January 20, 2025.

This development comes as a relief to the popular “XRP Army,” which has had to deal with suppressed price action due to the Gensler-led SEC’s nonstop petitions against Ripple. But that is not all that happened. 

Ripple Bears Face Notable Liquidation Following Gensler’s Notification

Gensler’s announcement appears to be a positive development for the broader crypto market. But XRP holders seemed to benefit the most. This was particularly significant given the unresolved Ripple-SEC legal issues that have persisted throughout the SEC Chair’s tenure.

As a result, it came as no surprise that XRP price rallied and outpaced those of any other cryptocurrency in the top 10. Furthermore, the development triggered liquidations totaling $26.11 million over the last 24 hours.

Liquidation occurs when a trader fails to meet the margin requirements for a leveraged position. This forces the exchange to sell off their assets to prevent further losses. In XRP’s case, the liquidation primarily resulted in a short squeeze.

XRP liquidations
Crypto Market 24-Hour Liquidations. Source: Coinglass

A short squeeze happens when a large number of short positions (traders betting on price declines) are forced to close, driving the price higher as they rush back to buy back the asset.

At press time, XRP trades at $1.40 and currently has a market cap of $80.64 billion. With Gensler almost gone, crypto lawyer John Deaton noted that XRP price gains could be higher, and the market cap could climb to $100 billion.

“XRP soon will achieve a $100B market cap. Times are changing,” Deaton wrote on X.

Meanwhile, CryptoQuant data shows that the total number of XRP sent into exchange has significantly decreased. Typically, high values indicate increased selling pressure in the spot market. This is because it suggests that more assets are being offloaded, potentially driving prices lower.

However, since it is low, XRP holders are refraining from selling. If this remains the case, the token’s value could rise higher than $1.40.

XRP exchange inflow
XRP Exchange Inflow. Source: CryptoQuant

XRP Price Prediction: $2 Coming?

According to the 4-hour chart, XRP has been trading within a range of $1.04 to $1.17 since November 18. This sideways movement has resulted in the formation of a bull flag — a bullish chart pattern that signals potential upward momentum.

The bull flag begins with a sharp price surge, forming the flagpole, driven by significant buying pressure that outpaces sellers. This is followed by a consolidation phase, where the price retraces slightly and moves within parallel trendlines, creating the flag structure.

Yesterday, XRP broke out of this pattern, signaling that bulls have seized control of the market. If this momentum persists, XRP’s price could surpass $1.50, potentially approaching the $2 threshold.

XRP price analysis
XRP 4-Hour Analysis. Source: TradingView

However, this bullish scenario hinges on market behavior. If holders decide to secure profits, selling pressure could push XRP’s price below $1, erasing recent gains.

Disclaimer

In line with the Trust Project guidelines, this price analysis article is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial or investment advice. BeInCrypto is committed to accurate, unbiased reporting, but market conditions are subject to change without notice. Always conduct your own research and consult with a professional before making any financial decisions. Please note that our Terms and ConditionsPrivacy Policy, and Disclaimers have been updated.



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Dogecoin (DOGE) Shows Renewed Energy: Rally Incoming?

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Dogecoin is consolidating gains above the $0.380 resistance against the US Dollar. DOGE is holding gains and eyeing more upsides above $0.400.

  • DOGE price started a fresh increase above the $0.3750 resistance level.
  • The price is trading above the $0.3800 level and the 100-hourly simple moving average.
  • There was a break above a short-term contracting triangle with resistance at $0.390 on the hourly chart of the DOGE/USD pair (data source from Kraken).
  • The price could continue to rally if it clears the $0.400 and $0.4080 resistance levels.

Dogecoin Price Eyes More Upsides

Dogecoin price remained supported above the $0.350 level and recently started a fresh increase like Bitcoin and Ethereum. DOGE was able to clear the $0.3650 and $0.3750 resistance levels.

The price climbed above the 50% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the $0.4208 swing high to the $0.3652 low. Besides, there was a break above a short-term contracting triangle with resistance at $0.390 on the hourly chart of the DOGE/USD pair.

Dogecoin price is now trading above the $0.3750 level and the 100-hourly simple moving average. Immediate resistance on the upside is near the $0.3950 level or the 61.8% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the $0.4208 swing high to the $0.3652 low.

Dogecoin Price

The first major resistance for the bulls could be near the $0.400 level. The next major resistance is near the $0.4080 level. A close above the $0.4080 resistance might send the price toward the $0.4200 resistance. Any more gains might send the price toward the $0.4500 level. The next major stop for the bulls might be $0.500.

Are Dips Supported In DOGE?

If DOGE’s price fails to climb above the $0.400 level, it could start a downside correction. Initial support on the downside is near the $0.3850 level. The next major support is near the $0.3750 level.

The main support sits at $0.3550. If there is a downside break below the $0.3550 support, the price could decline further. In the stated case, the price might decline toward the $0.3200 level or even $0.300 in the near term.

Technical Indicators

Hourly MACD – The MACD for DOGE/USD is now gaining momentum in the bullish zone.

Hourly RSI (Relative Strength Index) – The RSI for DOGE/USD is now above the 50 level.

Major Support Levels – $0.3850 and $0.3750.

Major Resistance Levels – $0.4000 and $0.4200.



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