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Is Another ‘Black Monday’ Type Market Crash In The Making?
Japanese yen carry trade that crashed stock and crypto markets globally is making a comeback. Hedge funds and corporate clients are gradually getting back to using popular Japanese yen-focused carry trade to invest proceeds into high-yield assets. Are these early signs of another Black Monday?
Black Monday Prospects As Yen Carry Trades Making A Comeback
Japanese yen has weakened to 149 per US dollar today, hitting a two-week low as the US dollar strengthened on better-than-expected US economic data.
Japan’s biggest brokerage firm Nomura Holdings disclosed that investors have started borrowing the Japanese yen again to invest these funds elsewhere in higher-yielding assets. Especially, corporate clients and hedge funds are making a comeback into these deals, Bloomberg reported on August 16.
“There has been a notable move back” into carry trades after US retail sales data beat estimates, said Antony Foster, head of Group-of-10 spot trading at Nomura in London. He also added that multiple accounts sold yen to buy the Australian dollar and sterling.
US bond yields rose as the retail sales data eased economic concerns and fueled Fed rate cut expectations. This led to carry trades mounting as investors look for quick profits. Traders bets billions of dollars that the yen would weaken, before the currency jumped last month.
Australian online forex broker ATFX Global Markets witnessed a nearly 30% to 40% rise in yen shorts in the past week, with bets majorly driven by hedge funds and high-net-worth investor clients.
BOJ Deputy Governor Shinichi Uchida indicated that the central bank won’t raise interest rates currently as financial markets are unstable. However, it’s still unclear if BOJ plans to raise rates next year. Traders will get clarity as BOJ Governor Kazuo Ueda is due to speak before parliament on Aug 23.
If Ueda remains dovish while Fed Chair Jerome Powell appears hawkish, that should keep interest rate differences between the US and Japan elevated, attracting more investors to enter carry trades. However, it also risks another Black Monday market crash.
“Global central banks are now shifting toward easing, barring the BOJ which will still keep rates low relative to peers. That means the carry trade is poised to make a comeback, provided that equity markets and the Chinese currency remain stable,” said Mary Nicola, Markets Live Strategist.
Arthur Hayes on How Crypto Market May React
BitMEX co-founder Arthur Hayes warns that the market will focus on high-leverage trades if the BOJ and FED won’t allow the dollar-yen interest rate differential to narrow. High-leverage trades can make markets volatile and vulnerable to another stock and crypto market crash similar to Black Monday.
He says that Bitcoin price will increase in case either the currency system collapses or fiat liquidity chases assets with finite supplies. Meanwhile, hedge funds will continue to take carry trade benefits as long as the USD-Yen interest rate difference lasts. The crypto market today also relies heavily on leverage for trading.
BTC price paints a short-term bearish outlook after a 5% drop in a week, with the price currently trading at $58,324. The 24-hour low and high are $56,161 and $59,838, respectively. Furthermore, the trading volume has increased by 10% in the last 24 hours, indicating interest among traders. Bitcoin price risks falling to $54,000.
Varinder Singh
Varinder has 10 years of experience in the Fintech sector, with over 5 years dedicated to blockchain, crypto, and Web3 developments. Being a technology enthusiast and analytical thinker, he has shared his knowledge of disruptive technologies in over 5000+ news, articles, and papers. With CoinGape Media, Varinder believes in the huge potential of these innovative future technologies. He is currently covering all the latest updates and developments in the crypto industry.
Disclaimer: The presented content may include the personal opinion of the author and is subject to market condition. Do your market research before investing in cryptocurrencies. The author or the publication does not hold any responsibility for your personal financial loss.
XRP price shot up 26% in hours as the US SEC Chair Gary Gensler announced his resignation. Ripple’s native token XRP hit a high of $1.43, the levels last seen during the 2021 bull run. Crypto market analyst predicts the continuation of the rally all the way to $2 following a bullish pattern breakout. The news of pro-crypto Paul Atkins replacing Gensler as SEC Chair could fuel the XRP rally further.
XRP Price Rally to $2 Coming?
Following the resignation announcement by SEC Chair Gary Gensler, the XRP bulls have charged in leading to another 26% price rally. Gensler’s last day at the office will be January 20, 2025, the same day when President-elect Donald Trump takes charge at the White House. It is clear that the XRP community sees Gensler’s resignation as positive, following the tough four-year legal battle in the Ripple lawsuit.
Crypto market analyst Ali Martinez believes that this rally will continue to $2. Martinez suggested that Gensler leaving the SEC would mark a significant turning point for Ripple, potentially easing regulatory pressures on the company.
“Gary Gensler leaving the SEC is the best thing that could happen to Ripple,” Martinez stated. He further added that XRP price could now set its sights on a $2 target, amid the fresh breakout from the flag-and-pole pattern.
Crypto analyst CrediBULL Crypto highlighted that XRP’s monthly Relative Strength Index (RSI) is on the verge of entering overbought territory for the first time in three years. “XRP/ETH just reclaimed and retested a 4 year long range, with the first target being ~250% higher,” he added.
Paul Atkins to Replace US SEC Chair Gary Gensler?
As Gary Gensler puts his resignation, the biggest question in everyone’s mind is whom will Donald Trump appoint as the next SEC Chair? Fox Business reported that former SEC Commissioner Paul Atkins is the front-runner to succeed Gary Gensler.
Paul Atkins is popular for his free-market regulatory approach and pro-crypto stance. He has also garnered strong support from the business community and the digital asset industry. His appointment could also open the gates for the spot XRP ETF by 2025.
21Shares, Canary Capital, and Bitwise have already filed with the US SEC for the XRP ETF in the last two months. The arrival of this investment product could fuel institutional interest in XRP.
Gary Gensler’s decision not to complete his term at the SEC has been met with widespread approval from the business sector, which has been critical of his regulatory approach. The narrative towards the end of Ripple vs SEC lawsuit now looked more obvious.
As of press time, the XRP price is trading 26% up at $1.40 with a market cap of $80 billion. As per the Coinglass data, the open interest in XRP has shot up 35% to $2.47 billion. In the last 24 hours, $25.64 million worth of XRP positions were liquidated with $14 million in short liquidations and $11.62 million in long liquidations.
Bhushan Akolkar
Bhushan is a FinTech enthusiast with a keen understanding of financial markets. His interest in economics and finance has led him to focus on emerging Blockchain technology and cryptocurrency markets. He is committed to continuous learning and stays motivated by sharing the knowledge he acquires. In his free time, Bhushan enjoys reading thriller fiction novels and occasionally explores his culinary skills.
Disclaimer: The presented content may include the personal opinion of the author and is subject to market condition. Do your market research before investing in cryptocurrencies. The author or the publication does not hold any responsibility for your personal financial loss.
Solana has once again caught the attention of market participants as it hit a new ATH on Friday. Notably, SOL witnesses a sustained rally against the backdrop of massive whale accumulations. Now, as the crypto is noting a buying pressure amid the bull market, market watchers anticipate further gains in the crypto ahead.
Solana Hits New ATH Amid Massive Whale Buying
According to data by Lookonchain on November 22, whales continue to accumulate Solana amid its upside movement to a new ATH. According to the data, a fresh wallet was recorded accumulating 42,443 SOL, worth $11.14 million, from Binance over the past two days. This accumulation was made by the wallet address “Au1VJ…q8hF8”, per Solscan’s data.
Simultaneously, another massive accumulation recorded over the past day has weighed the scales toward the bullish side of the asset. Lookonchain revealed that a whale bagged 100K SOL, worth $23.86 million, and staked it over the last two days. Notably, Solscan’s data showed this whale address as 7L1HBfMH.., while the whale’s SOL holdings totaled $55.58 million.
Overall, these accumulations, underscoring increased buying pressure on the asset, birthed significant market optimism on future price movements. For context, large-scale investors’ accumulations signaled heightened market confidence in the asset’s potential to offer gains ahead.
Moreover, with the soaring odds of a Solana ETF further weighing in, the current market sentiment for one of the leading crypto by market cap remains highly bullish. A recent CoinGape Media report further revealed that the SEC has now started engaging with the SOL ETF issuers regarding the filed S-1 registration statements. Besides, Bitwise has also filed for Solana ETF recently, further fueling market interest.
Coin Price Gians 8% Breaking ATH
SOL price today witnessed gains worth 8% intraday and was trading at $262.51 at the time of reporting. The coin’s 24-hour low was $237.33, whereas the current price level marked a new ATH. Notably, the weekly chart illustrated a 26% pump for the coin, followed by a monthly upswing of 59%. This bullish movement falls in line with massive buying pressure on the asset, as seen by the abovementioned whale transactions.
Simultaneously, Coinglass data indicated that the coin’s futures OI surged 15% to $6.01 billion. Moreover, the derivatives volume noted a 61% uptick to $19.03 billion. Overall, this stat indicated a burgeoning market interest in the asset, further paving an optimistic path for future price movements.
Also, a recent Solana price analysis by CoinGape Media pointed out that the coin eyes a $5,000 price target as it has already noted a significant surge from its 2023 lows. Crypto market watchers continue to monitor the token for further price action shifts in light of the abovementioned statistics.
Coingape Staff
CoinGape comprises an experienced team of native content writers and editors working round the clock to cover news globally and present news as a fact rather than an opinion. CoinGape writers and reporters contributed to this article.
Disclaimer: The presented content may include the personal opinion of the author and is subject to market condition. Do your market research before investing in cryptocurrencies. The author or the publication does not hold any responsibility for your personal financial loss.
The Dogecoin hash rate has spiked sharply, reaching new all-time highs. This bullish development reflects increasing network activity and miner participation. The surge also aligns with the recent positive shift in Dogecoin’s momentum, which favorable market conditions and sentiment have bolstered.
Dogecoin Hashrate Reaches New ATH
Dogecoin mining activity is experiencing a major upsurge, as its hash rate recently hit a new ATH. This impressive milestone indicates strong network security and growing miner confidence in Dogecoin.
Crypto analyst Master Kenobi announced this bullish development in an X (formerly Twitter) post on November 20. The analyst revealed that over time, DOGE mining activity could become more profitable, more stable and less taxing for miners than Bitcoin mining.
Master Kenobi’s analysis is especially notable due to Bitcoin’s cyclic halving events, which occur every four years and cut the rewards of miners in half. The Bitcoin halving also decreases the rate at which new coins are available, thus reducing its supply while also resulting in lesser profits for Bitcoin miners.
Without halving events like Bitcoin, Master Kenobi reveals that Dogecoin offers more predictable rewards and facilitates long-term stability for miners. Moreover, this stability can potentially boost the meme coin’s value and strengthen its network security, thereby improving trust in its ecosystem.
The Dogecoin hash rate is calculated based on the number of calculations performed per second to solve a hash on the blockchain. At the time of the ATH, DOGE’s hash rate was at 1.5 PH/s. However now its hash rate has increased slightly to 1.52 PH/s.
Interestingly, the spike in Dogecoin’s hash rate to new ATHs comes as the meme coin records a surge in momentum. Over the past few weeks, Dogecoin has experienced triple-digit gains, recording a price increase of more than 169% just this month. CoinMarkeCap’s data also shows that the price of the meme coin is currently trading at $0.385.
This price surge has caught the attention of the crypto market, and with the increase in hash rate, Dogecoin is steadily solidifying its position as the number one meme coin in the crypto market.
DOGE Mining Vs. Bitcoin Mining
In his X post, Master Kenobi reveals that Dogecoin and Bitcoin operate on fundamentally different networks. Each cryptocurrency uses distinct hashing algorithms, making mining compatibility between both ecosystems virtually impossible.
While DOGE operates on the Scrypt algorithm, which is optimized for a different class of Application-Specific Integrated Circuits (ASICs), Bitcoin, on the other hand, relies on the SHA-256 algorithm, which requires ASICs specifically designed for its type of hashing.
This notable distinction prevents miners from switching between networks, bolstering the independence of each blockchain network. Additionally, the difference in hashing algorithms ensures no overlap in hardware utility and prevents the risk of a network being compromised by others’ mining resources. This ultimately improves security for both the Dogecoin and Bitcoin ecosystems.
Featured image created with Dall.E, chart from Tradingview.com
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