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Can Cardano Overcome Its Struggles as It Lags Behind Solana?

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Cardano (ADA) was among the standout performers in the 2021 bull market, but it has struggled to achieve significant price gains in the current cycle.

Normally, such underperformance might lead to a mass sell-off as holders lose confidence. Surprisingly, though, many ADA holders seem to be taking a different approach.

No Giving Up on Cardano, Holders Data Shows

Data from the Balance by Time Held metric shows that the number of long-term Cardano (ADA) holders has hit an all-time high of 3.2 million. These long-term holders are typically those who have held ADA for at least one year.

Historically, holder numbers tend to decline as a bull market peaks. For instance, after ADA’s price soared to $3.10 in September 2021, the number of holders dropped, reflecting profit-taking during the market’s peak.

However, by January 2023, this trend reversed as the number of long-term holders began to increase again, hinting at the early stages of a new bull cycle. Since then, ADA’s price has climbed from $0.26, briefly reaching a peak of $0.70, as these committed holders maintained their positions in anticipation of further growth.

Cardano Addresses by Time Held.
Cardano Addresses by Time Held. Source: IntoTheBlock

While ADA’s price recently dipped to $0.33, the increase in the number of holders suggests optimism for a potential rebound. However, this cycle has unfolded differently from the last. In 2021, Cardano experienced an explosive rally during altcoin season, but this time, altcoins haven’t delivered the same performance, despite high expectations.

Additionally, Cardano has been trailing behind Solana (SOL) in attracting new users. Both ADA and SOL were standout performers in the previous bull market, but this cycle, Solana has drawn more new market participants.

Despite this initial success, Solana has seen a decline in new, active, and zero-balance addresses over the past month, indicating waning confidence in its short-term prospects.

Read more: How To Stake Cardano (ADA)

Cardano Active and New Addresses
Cardano Active and New Addresses. Source: IntoTheBlock

Should the number continue to decline, ADA’s potential recovery could be hindered. However, it is also important to consider other on-chain and technical indicators to evaluate the price forecast. 

ADA Price Prediction: Rally Possible, But Not Here Yet

To assess the token’s future potential, BeInCrypto examines the Market Value to Realized Value (MVRV) ratio. This ratio shows the relationship between an asset’s current price and the value at which it was acquired.

The higher the ratio, the more holders are willing to sell due to increased unrealized profits. However, a decrease suggests a rise in unrealized profits. In this instance, holders will be unwilling to sell as they may assume that the token is undervalued. 

At press time, ADA’s 30-day MVRV ratio is -10.11%, meaning that if all holders sell at the current price, the average return will be losses. However, due to the conditions mentioned above, this may not happen.

Historically, ADA price bounces when the MVRV ratio is between -7.66% and -27.32 %. Therefore, while the price can still decrease, it is undervalued and could pump later on.

Cardano 30-Day MVRV Ratio.
Cardano 30-Day MVRV Ratio. Source: Santiment

From a short-term perspective, ADA formed a bearish pennant between mid-July and early August. This pattern is characterized by a sharp price drop followed by consolidation within a symmetrical triangle on the daily chart.

While symmetrical triangles can signal either bullish or bearish moves, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) currently sits at 39.55, suggesting that bearish momentum persists. With the RSI below 40, ADA is likely to face continued downward pressure unless market conditions shift in favor of buyers.

If this trend continues in the coming days, ADA’s price may drop to $0.31. However, a surge in buying pressure can change the cryptocurrency’s conditions. 

Read more: Cardano (ADA) Price Prediction 2024/2025/2030

Cardano Daily Analysis.
Cardano Daily Analysis. Source: TradingView

If this happens, ADA’s price may reach $0.37. If accumulation intensifies with high trading volumes, the token could rally further, potentially reaching its recent local high of $0.45. 

Disclaimer

In line with the Trust Project guidelines, this price analysis article is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial or investment advice. BeInCrypto is committed to accurate, unbiased reporting, but market conditions are subject to change without notice. Always conduct your own research and consult with a professional before making any financial decisions. Please note that our Terms and ConditionsPrivacy Policy, and Disclaimers have been updated.



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Texas’ Bitcoin Reserve Bill Passes Senate Vote With 80% In Favor

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Texas Bitcoin Reserve proposal passed a Senate vote with 25 out of 30 votes in favor. It will require another vote in the House of Representatives to reach the Governor and become law, but the progress is very encouraging.

Several other state-level reserve proposals failed due to Republican Party defections. In Texas, however, most Democrats voted in favor. This bill does not trigger mandatory Bitcoin purchases yet, which was a major sticking point with fiscal conservatives.

Texas Could Get a Bitcoin Reserve Soon

Throughout several states in the US, pro-crypto lawmakers are trying to pass small-scale Bitcoin Reserves. Texas’ effort has been a particular point of interest, and the state’s Lieutenant Governor has enthusiastically supported the proposal.

Last week, the Bitcoin Reserve bill in Texas passed through Committee, and today, it succeeded a Senate vote 25-5.

“The Texas Bitcoin Reserve Bill passed the Senate with some Democrat support. (The final vote was 25 – 5, and there are 11 Democrat Senators). If there is similar cross-aisle support in the House, then the bill’s prospects for success are good,” a legislative watchdog claimed on social media.

The effort to pass a Bitcoin Reserve in Texas has been an important piece of crypto regulation for several reasons. Obviously, Texas is a large and economically vital area, with the second-largest GDP of all US states.

Additionally, this effort represents a crucial chance to defeat a losing streak in state-level Reserve bills.

Essentially, these bills would trigger up to $23 billion in Bitcoin purchases nationwide, which thrilled the crypto community. There’s just one problem: the Republican Party values fiscal conservatism.

Montana lawmakers rejected spending tax dollars on Bitcoin, and a wave of other red states followed soon after.

Crucially, however, Texas’ Bitcoin Reserve proposal did not mandate this spending. If the state government wishes to purchase Bitcoin, ideally from the large local mining industry, it can do so.

However, approval at this stage does not inevitably trigger this sort of spending, and now Texas can join states like Utah and Arizona as the leaders in this race.

texas bitcoin reserve bill
Texas’ Position in the Bitcoin Reserve Race. Source: Bitcoin Laws

What’s Next for the BTC Reserve Bill in Texas?

Despite today’s win, the fight for a Texas Bitcoin Reserve is far from over. The bill will now move to the state’s House of Representatives, which has more than five times as many members.

More specifically, the Texas House of Representatives has 89 Republican members and 62 Democrats. In theory, this should be a clear win, as Republicans are largely pro-crypto.

Texas Legislature
Texas Legislature. Source: X/Bitcoin Laws

However, this wasn’t the case in Montana, North Dakota, South Dakota, Pennsylvania, and Wyoming, where several Republican members voted against the respective BTC reserve bills.

The Texas bill passed the Senate with near-unanimous support, but it might be more contentious before a larger body. In any event, it’s a win, and the Bitcoin Reserve efforts could use a victory right now.

Disclaimer

In adherence to the Trust Project guidelines, BeInCrypto is committed to unbiased, transparent reporting. This news article aims to provide accurate, timely information. However, readers are advised to verify facts independently and consult with a professional before making any decisions based on this content. Please note that our Terms and ConditionsPrivacy Policy, and Disclaimers have been updated.



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Top 3 AI Coins For the Second Week of March: ICP, ALCH, IP

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AI coins remain a key narrative in the market, with several projects showing strong momentum despite broader sector correction. Internet Computer (ICP) has struggled over the past month, but its decentralized infrastructure could become very relevant in the AI space.

Alchemist AI (ALCH) has surged recently, benefiting from growing interest in no-code AI solutions. Story (IP) is one of the most trending AI coins, up 79% in the last 30 days, and it has the potential to reach new all-time highs if market sentiment continues to favor AI-driven projects.

Internet Computer (ICP)

The Internet Computer (ICP) is a decentralized platform that hosts secure, network-resident code and data, allowing developers to build web applications without relying on Big Tech or traditional IT infrastructure.

The platform supports a wide range of use cases, including web3 social media, games, DeFi, multi-chain applications, secure front-ends, ledgers, enterprise solutions, and AI models.

Price Analysis for ICP.
Price Analysis for ICP. Source: TradingView.

ICP is down more than 13% in the last 30 days, with its market cap now below $3 billion. If the current downtrend continues, ICP could test support at $6, and a break below that level could push it to $5.88, with a stronger selloff leading to $5.62.

On the upside, if momentum shifts and the trend reverses, ICP could test resistance at $6.82, with a breakout potentially sending it to $7.27 and $7.45.

Alchemist AI (ALCH)

Alchemist AI is a no-code development platform that allows users to create software applications using simple descriptions.

Its native coin, ALCH, runs on the Solana blockchain.

Price Analysis for ALCH.
Price Analysis for ALCH. Source: TradingView.

ALCH has surged more than 34% in the last 24 hours and over 54% in the past seven days, bringing its market cap to $60 million – its highest level since the end of January. If the uptrend continues, ALCH could test resistance at $0.0748, with a breakout potentially pushing it to $0.116 or even $0.18, its highest level since mid-January.

However, if momentum fades and a downtrend forms, the AI coin could test support at $0.059, with a break below that level potentially leading to $0.045. A stronger selloff could send the price as low as $0.021, marking a possible 70% correction.

Story (IP)

Story has been one of the most trending artificial intelligence coins in recent weeks, gaining 79% in the last 30 days despite the broader crypto market correction and AI coins such as VIRTUAL correcting by 50% in the same period.

Its market cap is now close to $1.3 billion, with daily trading volume around $150 million.

Price Analysis for IP.
Price Analysis for IP. Source: TradingView.

If AI coins regain momentum as they did a few months ago, Story could benefit and test resistance at $6.96 and $7.99, potentially surpassing $8 for the first time and reaching new all-time highs.

However, if momentum fades, Story could lose support at $5.00, with a drop to $3.60 as the next key level. A deeper correction could send the price as low as $2.12, marking a significant retracement from its recent surge.

Disclaimer

In line with the Trust Project guidelines, this price analysis article is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial or investment advice. BeInCrypto is committed to accurate, unbiased reporting, but market conditions are subject to change without notice. Always conduct your own research and consult with a professional before making any financial decisions. Please note that our Terms and ConditionsPrivacy Policy, and Disclaimers have been updated.



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XRP Price Ready To Bounce Back Above $3 If Bulls Can Hold This Level

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Este artículo también está disponible en español.

The XRP price is getting ready to surge to new highs as bulls attempt to hold a critical resistance level. Recently, the cryptocurrency experienced a major breakdown as market downside pressure increased. If it can break above its descending resistance, analysts believe it could bounce back above $3 soon.

XRP Price Set To Skyrocket Above $3

A Pseudonymous TradingView crypto analyst known as “MyCryptoParadise” has outlined XRP’s future price trajectory, predicting a surge toward $3.3 for the popular cryptocurrency. The analyst shared a chart outlining key support and resistance levels while evaluating potential breakout and pullback scenarios.

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In his price chart, the TradingView crypto expert highlighted that XRP is at a critical juncture, with bulls fighting to maintain momentum and hold onto a crucial resistance level after experiencing a sharp pullback from recent highs. XRP had triggered this massive price pump after hitting a major support zone between $2.00 and $1.95 — a level where buyers stepped in aggressively. However, the cryptocurrency failed to maintain its bullish momentum and experienced a pullback

Currently, XRP is holding above the critical support zone around $2.3 to $2.2. The TradingView analyst has asserted that XRP bulls must defend this support area to keep the cryptocurrency’s bullish setup active or risk a downturn. 

XRP
Source: MyCryptoParadise on Tradingview

If buyers can maintain control and keep accumulating tokens around the support zone at $2.3 – $2.2 for the next few hours, the TradingView expert believes that XRP could see a major recovery back to previous highs around the $2.7 – $2.8 resistance zone. 

While the altcoin’s current structure suggests an impending breakout, its descending resistance trendline still poses a potential threat to its upside momentum. Previously, this descending resistance rejected multiple price rallies, acting as a major obstacle to XRP’s price growth

For XRP to confirm its bullish setup and initiate a significant breakout, the TradingView crypto analyst has suggested that it must close above the $2.85 level with substantial volume. If the cryptocurrency surpasses $2.85, the next major target could be $3.2 to $3.3 — a level where sellers are likely to step in aggressively. 

Overall, XRP’s fundamentals remain solid and possibly bullish. However, failing to clear the descending resistance could invalidate this setup and potentially lead to another rejection and a drop to new lows

Analyst Sets Seemingly Impossible Target For The Altcoin

While other market analysts share conservative price projections for XRP, one expert, known as ‘Steph is Crypto’ on X (formerly Twitter), has set a rather ambitious target for XRP. The analyst believes that XRP is gearing up for an explosive price rally to $30.

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Notably, XRP is currently trading below all-time highs at $2.56, meaning a surge to $30 would require a 1,100% increase in value. Considering the magnitude of this rally, the analyst’s prediction was met with skepticism from community members who suggested that such a scenario was seemingly impossible.

XRP
XRP trading at $2.6 on the 1D chart | Source: XRPUSDT on Tradingview.com

Featured image from Adobe Stock, chart from Tradingview.com



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