Market
Can Cardano Overcome Its Struggles as It Lags Behind Solana?

Cardano (ADA) was among the standout performers in the 2021 bull market, but it has struggled to achieve significant price gains in the current cycle.
Normally, such underperformance might lead to a mass sell-off as holders lose confidence. Surprisingly, though, many ADA holders seem to be taking a different approach.
No Giving Up on Cardano, Holders Data Shows
Data from the Balance by Time Held metric shows that the number of long-term Cardano (ADA) holders has hit an all-time high of 3.2 million. These long-term holders are typically those who have held ADA for at least one year.
Historically, holder numbers tend to decline as a bull market peaks. For instance, after ADA’s price soared to $3.10 in September 2021, the number of holders dropped, reflecting profit-taking during the market’s peak.
However, by January 2023, this trend reversed as the number of long-term holders began to increase again, hinting at the early stages of a new bull cycle. Since then, ADA’s price has climbed from $0.26, briefly reaching a peak of $0.70, as these committed holders maintained their positions in anticipation of further growth.

While ADA’s price recently dipped to $0.33, the increase in the number of holders suggests optimism for a potential rebound. However, this cycle has unfolded differently from the last. In 2021, Cardano experienced an explosive rally during altcoin season, but this time, altcoins haven’t delivered the same performance, despite high expectations.
Additionally, Cardano has been trailing behind Solana (SOL) in attracting new users. Both ADA and SOL were standout performers in the previous bull market, but this cycle, Solana has drawn more new market participants.
Despite this initial success, Solana has seen a decline in new, active, and zero-balance addresses over the past month, indicating waning confidence in its short-term prospects.
Read more: How To Stake Cardano (ADA)

Should the number continue to decline, ADA’s potential recovery could be hindered. However, it is also important to consider other on-chain and technical indicators to evaluate the price forecast.
ADA Price Prediction: Rally Possible, But Not Here Yet
To assess the token’s future potential, BeInCrypto examines the Market Value to Realized Value (MVRV) ratio. This ratio shows the relationship between an asset’s current price and the value at which it was acquired.
The higher the ratio, the more holders are willing to sell due to increased unrealized profits. However, a decrease suggests a rise in unrealized profits. In this instance, holders will be unwilling to sell as they may assume that the token is undervalued.
At press time, ADA’s 30-day MVRV ratio is -10.11%, meaning that if all holders sell at the current price, the average return will be losses. However, due to the conditions mentioned above, this may not happen.
Historically, ADA price bounces when the MVRV ratio is between -7.66% and -27.32 %. Therefore, while the price can still decrease, it is undervalued and could pump later on.

From a short-term perspective, ADA formed a bearish pennant between mid-July and early August. This pattern is characterized by a sharp price drop followed by consolidation within a symmetrical triangle on the daily chart.
While symmetrical triangles can signal either bullish or bearish moves, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) currently sits at 39.55, suggesting that bearish momentum persists. With the RSI below 40, ADA is likely to face continued downward pressure unless market conditions shift in favor of buyers.
If this trend continues in the coming days, ADA’s price may drop to $0.31. However, a surge in buying pressure can change the cryptocurrency’s conditions.
Read more: Cardano (ADA) Price Prediction 2024/2025/2030

If this happens, ADA’s price may reach $0.37. If accumulation intensifies with high trading volumes, the token could rally further, potentially reaching its recent local high of $0.45.
Disclaimer
In line with the Trust Project guidelines, this price analysis article is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial or investment advice. BeInCrypto is committed to accurate, unbiased reporting, but market conditions are subject to change without notice. Always conduct your own research and consult with a professional before making any financial decisions. Please note that our Terms and Conditions, Privacy Policy, and Disclaimers have been updated.
Market
PENDLE Token Outperforms BTC and ETH with a 10% Rally

PENDLE has surged by 10% in the past 24 hours, making it the market’s top gainer during this period. The altcoin has even outperformed major cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin (BTC) and Ethereum (ETH).
With buying activity still underway, the PENDLE token is poised to extend its uptrend in the short term.
PENDLE Soars 43% After March Lows
PENDLE cratered to a seven-month low of $1.81 on March 11. As sellers got exhausted, the token’s buyers regained dominance and drove a rally. Trading at $3.24 at press time, PENDLE’s value has since climbed 43%.
The double-digit surge in the altcoin’s price has pushed it above the Leading Spans A and B of its Ichimoku Cloud indicator. They now form dynamic support levels below PENDLE’s price at $2.73 and $2.80, respectively.

The Ichimoku Cloud tracks the momentum of an asset’s market trends and identifies potential support/resistance levels. When an asset trades above the leading spans A and B of this indicator, its price is in a strong bullish trend. The area above the Cloud is considered a “bullish zone,” indicating that market sentiment is positive, with PENDLE buyers in control.
This pattern suggests that the token’s price could continue to rise, with the Cloud acting as a support level if prices pull back.
In addition, PENDLE currently trades above its Super Trend indicator, confirming the likelihood of extended gains.

The Super Trend indicator tracks the direction and strength of an asset’s price trend. It is displayed as a line on the price chart, changing color to signify the trend: green for an uptrend and red for a downtrend.
If an asset’s price is above this line, it signals bullish momentum in the market. In this scenario, this line represents a support level that will prevent the price from any significant dips. For PENDLE, this is formed at $2.34.
PENDLE Holds Above Key Trendline
Since its rally began on March 11, PENDLE has traded above an ascending trendline. This pattern forms when a series of higher lows connect, indicating that the price of an asset is consistently rising over time.
It represents a bullish trend, showing that PENDLE demand exceeds supply, with buyers pushing prices higher.
This trendline acts as a support level. With the token’s price bouncing off the trendline, it signals that the asset is in an uptrend and likely to continue. In this scenario, PENDLE could rally to $3.60.

However, if selloffs commence, the PENDLE token could lose some of its recent gains and fall to $3.06.
Disclaimer
In line with the Trust Project guidelines, this price analysis article is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial or investment advice. BeInCrypto is committed to accurate, unbiased reporting, but market conditions are subject to change without notice. Always conduct your own research and consult with a professional before making any financial decisions. Please note that our Terms and Conditions, Privacy Policy, and Disclaimers have been updated.
Market
Will the SEC Approve Grayscale’s Solana ETF?

Grayscale has submitted a registration statement with the SEC to convert its Grayscale Solana Trust (GSOL) into an ETF listed on NYSE Arca.
Despite the filing, prediction markets remain unconvinced about the chances of approval.
Is a Solana ETF Approval Still Unlikely for Q2?
On Polymarket, odds for a Solana ETF approval in the second quarter of 2025 stand at just 23%. Broader expectations for any 2025 approval are at 83%, down from 92% earlier this year.
The decline reflects regulatory delays. In March, the SEC extended review timelines for several ETF applications tied to Solana, XRP, and other altcoins.

This pattern suggests the agency may be holding off on decisions until a permanent chair takes over. Mark Uyeda, currently serving as interim chair, has not signaled a shift in stance.
Paul Atkins, Trump’s nominee to lead the agency, appeared before the Senate last week. Lawmakers questioned his involvement in crypto-related businesses, adding further uncertainty around future approvals.
Grayscale’s latest filing excludes staking, which could speed up the review process. The SEC has previously objected to staking features in ETF proposals.
When spot Ethereum ETFs moved forward last year, Grayscale, Fidelity, and Ark Invest/21Shares all removed staking components to align with the SEC’s expectations at the time.
Under Gary Gensler’s leadership, the SEC expressed concern that proof-of-stake protocols could fall under securities law. Asset managers adjusted their applications accordingly to move forward.
Following approvals for spot Bitcoin and Ethereum ETFs, several firms aim to expand their offerings to include other cryptocurrencies. They plan to offer access through traditional brokerage accounts without requiring direct asset custody.
Solana remains a strong contender due to its growing futures market in the US and a more favorable regulatory environment. Analysts view it as one of the next likely approvals if the SEC opens the door to more altcoin ETFs.
Disclaimer
In adherence to the Trust Project guidelines, BeInCrypto is committed to unbiased, transparent reporting. This news article aims to provide accurate, timely information. However, readers are advised to verify facts independently and consult with a professional before making any decisions based on this content. Please note that our Terms and Conditions, Privacy Policy, and Disclaimers have been updated.
Market
XRP Price Vulnerable To Falling Below $2 After 18% Decline

XRP has faced a significant correction in recent weeks, resulting in an 18% decline in the altcoin’s price. As a result, XRP is currently struggling to maintain upward momentum, with investors losing confidence.
This recent slump has raised concerns about the asset’s future, especially as certain XRP holders begin to sell their positions, increasing bearish pressure.
XRP Investors Are Pulling Back
The recent downturn in XRP’s price has triggered a sharp spike in the “Age Consumed” metric. This indicator tracks the movement of coins from long-term holders (LTHs) and has reached its highest level in over four months. The increase suggests that LTHs, who have been holding XRP for extended periods, are now losing patience.
This selling behavior may be driven by the lack of price recovery and the overall weak market conditions that have not improved. These holders appear to be attempting to limit their losses by liquidating their positions, which in turn increases the downward pressure on XRP’s price. This mass selling from LTHs further compounds the challenges for XRP, as their decision to sell is often seen as a sign of waning confidence in the cryptocurrency.

XRP’s market momentum appears to be weakening, as evidenced by the recent decline in the number of new addresses. The metric tracking new addresses has fallen to a five-month low, suggesting that XRP is struggling to attract new investors. This lack of fresh interest signals growing skepticism within the broader market, with potential investors hesitant to buy into an asset that has failed to deliver strong price action.
The drop in new addresses reflects a broader trend of reduced market traction and the lack of conviction from buyers. When combined with the selling pressure from LTHs, it creates a challenging environment for XRP to regain bullish momentum

XRP Price Needs A Boost
XRP’s price is currently holding at $2.06, just above the key support level of $2.02. If it manages to stabilize and break through the immediate resistance at $2.14, there could be a potential rebound, taking XRP higher.
However, with the continued weakness in market sentiment and the aforementioned bearish cues, XRP remains vulnerable to further declines. If the support of $2.02 fails, the price could drop further to $1.94, extending the 18% decline noted in the last two weeks.

If XRP manages to reclaim the $2.14 level and holds above it, the price could make its way toward $2.27. Breaching this level would invalidate the bearish outlook, signaling a potential recovery and restoring investor confidence in the cryptocurrency.
Disclaimer
In line with the Trust Project guidelines, this price analysis article is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial or investment advice. BeInCrypto is committed to accurate, unbiased reporting, but market conditions are subject to change without notice. Always conduct your own research and consult with a professional before making any financial decisions. Please note that our Terms and Conditions, Privacy Policy, and Disclaimers have been updated.
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