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Can Cardano Overcome Its Struggles as It Lags Behind Solana?

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Cardano (ADA) was among the standout performers in the 2021 bull market, but it has struggled to achieve significant price gains in the current cycle.

Normally, such underperformance might lead to a mass sell-off as holders lose confidence. Surprisingly, though, many ADA holders seem to be taking a different approach.

No Giving Up on Cardano, Holders Data Shows

Data from the Balance by Time Held metric shows that the number of long-term Cardano (ADA) holders has hit an all-time high of 3.2 million. These long-term holders are typically those who have held ADA for at least one year.

Historically, holder numbers tend to decline as a bull market peaks. For instance, after ADA’s price soared to $3.10 in September 2021, the number of holders dropped, reflecting profit-taking during the market’s peak.

However, by January 2023, this trend reversed as the number of long-term holders began to increase again, hinting at the early stages of a new bull cycle. Since then, ADA’s price has climbed from $0.26, briefly reaching a peak of $0.70, as these committed holders maintained their positions in anticipation of further growth.

Cardano Addresses by Time Held.
Cardano Addresses by Time Held. Source: IntoTheBlock

While ADA’s price recently dipped to $0.33, the increase in the number of holders suggests optimism for a potential rebound. However, this cycle has unfolded differently from the last. In 2021, Cardano experienced an explosive rally during altcoin season, but this time, altcoins haven’t delivered the same performance, despite high expectations.

Additionally, Cardano has been trailing behind Solana (SOL) in attracting new users. Both ADA and SOL were standout performers in the previous bull market, but this cycle, Solana has drawn more new market participants.

Despite this initial success, Solana has seen a decline in new, active, and zero-balance addresses over the past month, indicating waning confidence in its short-term prospects.

Read more: How To Stake Cardano (ADA)

Cardano Active and New Addresses
Cardano Active and New Addresses. Source: IntoTheBlock

Should the number continue to decline, ADA’s potential recovery could be hindered. However, it is also important to consider other on-chain and technical indicators to evaluate the price forecast. 

ADA Price Prediction: Rally Possible, But Not Here Yet

To assess the token’s future potential, BeInCrypto examines the Market Value to Realized Value (MVRV) ratio. This ratio shows the relationship between an asset’s current price and the value at which it was acquired.

The higher the ratio, the more holders are willing to sell due to increased unrealized profits. However, a decrease suggests a rise in unrealized profits. In this instance, holders will be unwilling to sell as they may assume that the token is undervalued. 

At press time, ADA’s 30-day MVRV ratio is -10.11%, meaning that if all holders sell at the current price, the average return will be losses. However, due to the conditions mentioned above, this may not happen.

Historically, ADA price bounces when the MVRV ratio is between -7.66% and -27.32 %. Therefore, while the price can still decrease, it is undervalued and could pump later on.

Cardano 30-Day MVRV Ratio.
Cardano 30-Day MVRV Ratio. Source: Santiment

From a short-term perspective, ADA formed a bearish pennant between mid-July and early August. This pattern is characterized by a sharp price drop followed by consolidation within a symmetrical triangle on the daily chart.

While symmetrical triangles can signal either bullish or bearish moves, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) currently sits at 39.55, suggesting that bearish momentum persists. With the RSI below 40, ADA is likely to face continued downward pressure unless market conditions shift in favor of buyers.

If this trend continues in the coming days, ADA’s price may drop to $0.31. However, a surge in buying pressure can change the cryptocurrency’s conditions. 

Read more: Cardano (ADA) Price Prediction 2024/2025/2030

Cardano Daily Analysis.
Cardano Daily Analysis. Source: TradingView

If this happens, ADA’s price may reach $0.37. If accumulation intensifies with high trading volumes, the token could rally further, potentially reaching its recent local high of $0.45. 

Disclaimer

In line with the Trust Project guidelines, this price analysis article is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial or investment advice. BeInCrypto is committed to accurate, unbiased reporting, but market conditions are subject to change without notice. Always conduct your own research and consult with a professional before making any financial decisions. Please note that our Terms and ConditionsPrivacy Policy, and Disclaimers have been updated.



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Stellar (XLM) Price Climbs to Three-Year High

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Stellar (XLM) price has surged more than 20% in the last 24 hours and is up an impressive 124.86% over the past seven days, reaching $0.30, its highest price since December 2021. This rapid ascent reflects strong bullish momentum, supported by key indicators like RSI, which remains in the overbought zone.

However, the relatively weak CMF suggests that the current trend may not yet have the strength to sustain further gains without renewed capital inflows. Whether XLM can push toward a $10 billion market cap or face a potential correction will depend on how well it holds key support levels in the days ahead.

XLM RSI Is In The Overbought Zone

Stellar RSI is 74.10, rising sharply from below 60 just a day ago. This increase signals strong bullish momentum, pushing XLM into the overbought zone, where RSI values above 70 indicate heightened buying activity.

While an RSI above 70 often suggests that a correction could be on the horizon, it also reflects strong market enthusiasm driving the current uptrend.

XLM RSI.
XLM RSI. Source: TradingView

The RSI measures the speed and magnitude of price movements, with values above 70 signaling overbought conditions and below 30 indicating oversold levels. Historically, Stellar has experienced periods where its RSI remained above 70 for several days, during which the price continued to climb before eventually correcting.

This suggests that while caution is warranted, the current overbought conditions do not necessarily mean an immediate reversal, as the rally could still have room to grow before cooling off.

Stellar CMF Is Positive But Not That Strong Yet

XLM currently has a CMF of 0.06, recovering from -0.10 just one day ago. This shift into positive territory indicates an inflow of capital back into the asset, suggesting renewed buying pressure after recent selling activity.

However, the relatively low CMF value highlights that the inflow is not yet as strong as it was during earlier periods of significant bullish momentum.

XLM CMF.
XLM CMF. Source: TradingView

The Chaikin Money Flow (CMF) measures the volume and direction of money flow, with positive values indicating capital inflows (bullish) and negative values reflecting outflows (bearish).

While XLM’s CMF turning positive is a good sign for its short-term trend, it remains far below the levels seen in mid-November when the CMF peaked at 0.40 and stayed above 0.10 for almost a week.

XLM Price Prediction: Can Stellar Reach The $10 Billion Market Cap Threshold?

If Stellar maintains its current uptrend, it could rise further to test a market cap of $10 billion. Achieving this milestone would require a 15.7% increase in XLM price, signaling continued strong bullish momentum and renewed investor interest.

However, as indicated by the relatively weak CMF, the current trend may lack the strength to sustain this upward trajectory.

XLM Price Analysis.
XLM Price Analysis. Source: TradingView

If the trend reverses, XLM price could first test its strongest nearby support at $0.14. Should this level fail, Stellar price could drop further to $0.0994, representing a steep 67% correction from recent highs.

Disclaimer

In line with the Trust Project guidelines, this price analysis article is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial or investment advice. BeInCrypto is committed to accurate, unbiased reporting, but market conditions are subject to change without notice. Always conduct your own research and consult with a professional before making any financial decisions. Please note that our Terms and ConditionsPrivacy Policy, and Disclaimers have been updated.



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3 altcoins that could go ballistic if Bitcoin (BTC) crosses $120,000 mark

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Some altcoins are setting themselves up to profit from the positive wave as the crypto market prepares for Bitcoin’s possible breakout above the $120,000 mark. Rexas Finance (RXS), SUI, and Solana (SOL) are being hailed by some industry insiders as particularly outstanding performers and ready to go ballistic during the anticipated Bitcoin rally.

Rexas Finance (RXS): The future of real-world asset tokenization

Rexas Finance provides creative ideas for real-world asset (RWA) tokenization. By letting users tokenize real estate, artwork, and other highly valuable assets, Rexas Finance is changing the crypto scene. The initiative has enormous market potential since the real estate sector alone is valued at around $379.7 trillion.

Rexas Finance attracts retail and institutional investors by lowering transaction costs, improving liquidity, and raising transparency. Rexas Finance, in Stage 6 of its presale, has raised $9.5 million with 166 million tokens sold as of writing, indicating 81.74% completion. In this stage, the token price is $0.080; from its initial $0.03 price two months ago, this shows an impressive 166% increase.

It will list on three tier-1 exchanges at $0.20 post-presale, providing a wider global reach and more potential for gains.  Rexas Finance recently received a Certik audit, which is a sign of security and trustworthiness in blockchain initiatives, improving investor confidence. Furthermore, its inclusion on CoinGecko and CoinMarketCap improves visibility and accessibility. 

The ongoing $1 million giveaway, which offers 20 winners $50,000 in RXS apiece, has piqued investor interest. Based on projections for RXS, price appreciation seems to be strong as adoption rises. Some analysts believe Rexas Finance, with features such as AI integration, DeFi utilities, and yield optimization, could be poised to go ballistic if Bitcoin rallies above $120,000.

SUI: Consistently Hitting new all-time highs

Rising 105% in the past two weeks, SUI is among the top-performing altcoins in the current bull run. As of writing, SUI trades at $3.72, just below its all-time high of $3.94, which it attained last weekend.

Reflecting increased investor demand and confidence, its Open Interest (OI) has lately topped $826 million. The Chaikin Money Flow (CMF) indicator of the token indicates significant inflows, highlighting its positive trend. With a constant tendency to new all-time highs, SUI’s upward trajectory exactly matches market expectations of a possible surge. Driven by its excellent foundations and growing market visibility, SUI is expected to rise sharply if Bitcoin crosses $120,000.

Solana (SOL): Poised for a new all-time high?

Riding a surge of positive momentum, Solana broke past the $240 barrier twice in the current bull run. SOL trading at $246.89 as of writing has increased 59.9% over the past month. With analysts predicting a surge to $600 or more, its market capitalization of $115 billion ranks it among the top four leading cryptocurrencies, recently flipping Binance Coin.

Technical indicators supporting this optimistic view include a declining triangle breakout and a cup-and-handle pattern. Solana-based decentralized exchanges (DEXs), which account for 33.59% of DEX trade activity as of November, support its bullishness even more. So, Solana might see significant inflows if Bitcoin crosses the $120,000 mark, increasing its price to new highs.

Conclusion

Rexas Finance, SUI, and Solana could be ready to go ballistic if Bitcoin surges past $120,000. Each altcoin has unique qualities and solid foundations that guarantee a place of strength in the next positive market phase. Although SUI and Solana present interesting development chances, Rexas Finance distinguishes itself with its innovative RWA tokenizing, unparalleled presale expansion, and rich possibilities.

For more information about Rexas Finance (RXS) visit the links below:

Website: https://rexas.com

Win $1 Million Giveaway: https://bit.ly/Rexas1M

Whitepaper: https://rexas.com/rexas-whitepaper.pdf

Twitter/X: https://x.com/rexasfinance

Telegram: https://t.me/rexasfinance



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Cardano Whales Accumulation Hits $55 Million: $1 Target Soon?

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On November 20, crypto whales offloaded significant amounts of Cardano (ADA), disrupting its bullish momentum. However, the narrative shifted today as the Cardano whales’ accumulation has taken center stage.

This renewed buying activity suggests that ADA’s price might regain its bullish momentum toward $1. But does the data support this bullish outlook? 

Cardano Key Investors Change Their Stance

According to IntoTheBlock, Cardano’s large holders’ netflow has surged to 67.51 million ADA, signaling a significant shift in sentiment among crypto whales. The netflow represents the difference between the amount of ADA purchased and sold by large holders over a specific period.

When netflow increases, it indicates that whales are buying more than they are selling. Typically, this is a bullish signal. Conversely, a drop in netflow suggests more selling by whales, which is generally regarded as bearish.

In this case, the recent netflow increase, valued at approximately $55 million, aligns with ADA’s 11% price surge over the last 24 hours. Thus, this Cardano whales accumulation suggests that ADA may be poised for further gains, with the recent uptick serving as a potential foundation for a higher value.

Cardano crypto whales accumulation
Cardano Large Holders Netflow. Source: IntoTheBlock

Furthermore, the In/Out of Money Around Price (IOMAP) indicator provides further support for this bullish outlook. For context, the IOMAP analyzes token clusters based on three groups: holders who purchased below the current price (in the money), above the current price (out of the money), and those at breakeven.

This metric is essential for identifying potential support and resistance zones. Specifically, if there is a higher number of tokens “in the money, ” it signifies solid support, as many holders are at a profit and less likely to sell, potentially driving the price higher.

On the other hand, a higher “out of the money,” volume points to resistance, as holders might sell to recover losses, putting downward pressure on the price.

Cardano price support
Cardano IOMAP. Source: IntoTheBlock

Currently, ADA’s IOMAP shows strong support levels outweighing resistance zones, reinforcing the potential for its price to climb further.

ADA Price Prediction: Move Toward $1 Almost Valid

On the daily chart, ADA’s price has risen above the key Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs). Specifically, the 20-day EMA (blue) and 50 EMA (yellow) are below Cardano’s price. When the price is above the indicator, the trend is bullish.

On the other hand, if the price is below the indicator, the trend is bearish. Therefore, it appears that, with the current trend, ADA could rise higher than $0.87. If this happens, the altcoin might rally toward the $1 mark.

Cardano price analysis
Cardano Price Analysis. Source: TradingView

However, if Cardano whales decide to sell and book profits, this prediction might not come to pass. Instead, the price could drop to $0.68.

Disclaimer

In line with the Trust Project guidelines, this price analysis article is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial or investment advice. BeInCrypto is committed to accurate, unbiased reporting, but market conditions are subject to change without notice. Always conduct your own research and consult with a professional before making any financial decisions. Please note that our Terms and ConditionsPrivacy Policy, and Disclaimers have been updated.



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