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A Distant Threat or Imminent Reality?

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On average, a crypto bear market lasts about a year, sometimes extending to two. This phase occurs when supply surpasses demand, causing prices to decline over an extended period.

One of the most severe bear markets unfolded in 2022. During this time, FTX, one of the largest crypto exchanges by trading volume, collapsed following a massive bank run. The downfall triggered a ripple effect, leading to the collapse of several hedge funds and lending protocols, marking a significant low point for the industry.

Bear Market Psychology Explained

Recently, there’s been talk about the crypto market heading back into a bear phase. Many cryptocurrencies have struggled since Bitcoin (BTC) hit $73,750 in March. The decline has raised concerns that the market might be entering another long period of falling prices.

The event, which surprisingly happened before the halving, sent shockwaves around the market. At that time, many suggested that crypto prices would hit higher highs. 

However, this has not been the case. Instead, BTC’s price, alongside other cryptocurrencies, has either been consolidating, falling, or involved in false breakouts.

These factors, among others, have led some participants to suggest that the market might be heading into a bear phase. To evaluate this possibility, BeInCrypto examines the market cycle psychology chart for insights.

Read more: How To Make Money in a Bear Market

Psychology of a Market Cycle.
Psychology of a Market Cycle. Source: Quantified Strategies

As seen above, this chart shows 14 different stages. For instance, the disbelief marks the end of the bear market when cryptos begin to move into the bull phase. There are also phases of thrill, anxiety, euphoria, or complacency.

From the look of things, the disbelief stage happened around the first quarter of 2023, when the Bitcoin price began to post gains consistently. Meanwhile, the “Thrill” period probably happened during the ETF approval earlier in January this year, as there were calls for people to double down on buying BTC.

Euphoria probably occurred in between March when BTC and many other altcoins and meme coins reached different heights. The cool-off in recent times may suggest that this cycle is between complacency and anxiety, which usually precedes a bear market.

Bitcoin Holders Say a Big No to the Downturn Despite ETH Issues

However, the periods of complacency and anxiety may have been false alarms. According to Glassnode, the Bitcoin Long-Term Holder Sell-side Risk Ratio offers a clue. This metric measures the level of profit-taking compared to past market cycles.

Currently, the ratio remains below the peak seen during the 2021 bull market, indicating that long-term Bitcoin holders are refraining from selling.

Bitcoin Long-Term Holder Sell-side Risk Ratio.
Bitcoin Long-Term Holder Sell-side Risk Ratio. Source: Glassnode

Actions like this suggest high conviction among long-term holders. With respect to this, the on-chain analytic platform explains that:

“An elevated percentage of Bitcoin network wealth is held by this investor cohort relative to previous cycle ATH breaks, which suggests there is a degree of investor patience on display, and waiting for higher prices.”

If this holds true, the bear market might not be imminent, and the cycle could still be in its bear phase. However, some market participants remain skeptical due to the underperformance of certain altcoins, particularly Ethereum (ETH).

In 2021, after Bitcoin reached its all-time high (ATH), ETH quickly followed suit and surpassed its previous peak. This time, however, the situation is different, even with the launch of spot Ethereum ETFs.

Currently, ETH trades at $2,657, marking a 45% drop from its ATH. Earlier, many market participants confidently predicted that the altcoin would reach between $8,000 and $10,000, but those expectations have yet to be realized.

Ethereum Price Analysis.
Ethereum Price. Source: TradingView

Some of those optimistic predictions have faded as ETH continues to underperform, strengthening the belief that a bear market is approaching. However, it’s important to recognize that top cryptocurrencies, including BTC and ETH, recently underwent a period of distribution, which contributed to the recent price correction.

Bears Are Still Lurking for a Crypto Winter

Market participants might also worry that crypto whales have slowed down on buying BTC. However, these pauses are typical during a bull cycle. Despite this, caution is advised, as indicated by the Net Unrealized Profit/Loss (NUPL).

The NUPL measures whether investors are in profit or loss. When the reading increases, it shows that more investors are seeing higher profits. Conversely, a decrease signals declining gains.

This metric also helps determine whether the market has entered a bear phase. An increase points to a stronger bull cycle, while a significant decrease raises the likelihood of a bear market.

Read more: Bitcoin Halving History: Everything You Need To Know

Bitcoin Net Unrealized Profit/Loss
Bitcoin Net Unrealized Profit/Loss. Source: CryptoQuant

At press time, Bitcoin’s NUPL stands at 0.46. In July, a similar drop in this range led BTC’s price to decline to $55,857. The last time the indicator hit this level, Bitcoin’s price fell to $42,576.

This makes the current reading a critical point for the market. If the NUPL continues to decrease and reaches 0.40 or lower, bears could take control. According to Grizzly, a pseudonymous analyst on CryptoQuant, if that happens, BTC could potentially drop to $40,000.

“If the index continues its downward movement, it’s reasonable to anticipate that the bears could take full control of the market. In such a scenario, the price could drop to around $40,000,” Grizzly wrote in his analysis.

Disclaimer

In line with the Trust Project guidelines, this price analysis article is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial or investment advice. BeInCrypto is committed to accurate, unbiased reporting, but market conditions are subject to change without notice. Always conduct your own research and consult with a professional before making any financial decisions. Please note that our Terms and ConditionsPrivacy Policy, and Disclaimers have been updated.



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$26 Million Stolen in BingX Hack Amid Ongoing Crypto Attacks

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The crypto exchange BingX reportedly lost over $26 million in various digital assets early Thursday morning. This incident adds to a troubling week for crypto platforms as multiple hacks continue to expose vulnerabilities within the sector.

PeckShield, a blockchain security company, initially detected suspicious transactions at approximately 00:37 UTC. Initial reports suggested an outflow of around $13.6 million.

BingX Has Paused Withdrawals

Following this, several crypto security platforms conducted a more thorough examination and confirmed that BingX had been compromised. On-chain analysis firm Lookonchain detailed the stolen assets, which included over 360 different altcoins. The stolen funds were swiftly transferred to the wallet address ‘0xF7e8’ before being exchanged primarily for Ethereum (ETH) and BNB.

Read more: Crypto Project Security: A Guide to Early Threat Detection

The detailed breakdown of the stolen assets includes:

  • 4.44 million USDT ($4.44 million),
  • 1 million WUSD ($1 million),
  • 608,660 USDC ($608,660),
  • 9.38 BTCB ($590,000),
  • along with numerous other tokens making up the substantial remainder.

In response to the breach, BingX’s Chief Product Officer, Vivien Lin, confirmed the hack and announced the suspension of all withdrawals to mitigate further risks.

“Our technical team detected abnormal network access, suspecting a hacker attack on BingX’s hot wallet. We immediately started our emergency plan, including the urgent transfer of assets and withdraw suspension. There has been minor asset loss, but the amount is small and still being calculated,” Lin wrote on X (Twitter).

Despite the significant amount lost, Lin assured users that BingX would cover the full amount of the stolen assets with its own capital reserves. Furthermore, she committed that BingX will resume withdrawals within 24 hours. This swift response aims to restore trust and stabilize operations after the incident.

Moreover, this week’s hack at BingX is part of a larger trend of increased attacks on crypto platforms. Just earlier this week, DeltaPrime, a decentralized finance (DeFi) protocol on the Arbitrum chain, reported a loss of $5.9 million due to suspicious transactions.

Additionally, last week, the Indonesian exchange Indodax also faced a severe security breach, resulting in a loss of over $20 million. In each instance, the intrusions were identified by blockchain security firms after funds had been illicitly transferred and converted across multiple networks.

Read more: A Guide to the Best AI Security Solutions in 2024

These recurring incidents have spurred calls for enhanced security measures across the cryptocurrency industry. Consequently, experts stress the importance of exchanges and protocols implementing strong security frameworks to protect against the sophisticated tactics employed by hackers today.

Disclaimer

In adherence to the Trust Project guidelines, BeInCrypto is committed to unbiased, transparent reporting. This news article aims to provide accurate, timely information. However, readers are advised to verify facts independently and consult with a professional before making any decisions based on this content. Please note that our Terms and ConditionsPrivacy Policy, and Disclaimers have been updated.



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Bitcoin Price Pushes Higher As The Bulls Set Sights on $65K

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Este artículo también está disponible en español.

Bitcoin price gained pace above the $61,500 resistance. BTC even cleared the $63,300 level and is now consolidating gains above $62,500.

  • Bitcoin is gaining pace above the $62,200 resistance zone.
  • The price is trading above $62,500 and the 100 hourly Simple moving average.
  • There is a major bullish trend line forming with support at $61,500 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair (data feed from Kraken).
  • The pair could extend gains if it stays above the $61,500 support zone.

Bitcoin Price Extend Gains Above $63,000

Bitcoin price extended its increase above the $60,500 level. BTC was able to clear the $61,200 and $61,500 resistance levels to move into a positive zone.

The bulls pumped the price above $62,500 and $63,000 levels. A high was formed at $63,840 and the price is now consolidating gains. There was a move below the $63,500 level. The price dipped and tested the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the $59,165 swing low to the $63,840 high.

Bitcoin is now trading above $62,500 and the 100 hourly Simple moving average. There is also a major bullish trend line forming with support at $61,500 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair.

Bitcoin Price
Source: BTCUSD on TradingView.com

On the upside, the price could face resistance near the $63,500 level. The first key resistance is near the $63,800 level. A clear move above the $68,400 resistance might send the price higher. The next key resistance could be $64,500. A close above the $64,500 resistance might spark more upsides. In the stated case, the price could rise and test the $65,000 resistance.

Are Dips Limited In BTC?

If Bitcoin fails to rise above the $63,500 resistance zone, it could start a downside correction. Immediate support on the downside is near the $62,700 level.

The first major support is $61,500 and the trend line. The next support is now near the $61,000 zone or the 61.8% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the $59,165 swing low to the $63,840 high. Any more losses might send the price toward the $60,500 support in the near term.

Technical indicators:

Hourly MACD – The MACD is now losing pace in the bullish zone.

Hourly RSI (Relative Strength Index) – The RSI for BTC/USD is now above the 50 level.

Major Support Levels – $62,700, followed by $61,500.

Major Resistance Levels – $63,500, and $63,800.



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Is Cardano Price Set to Break $0.47?

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Cardano (ADA) has seen a 5% increase in price over the past 24 hours. This reflects the general cryptocurrency market’s positive trajectory since the US Federal Reserve cut interest rates on Wednesday.

This surge is also fueled partly by the actions of ADA short-term holders, who appear to be holding onto their coins. Over the past 30 days, their reluctance to sell has positioned the altcoin to potentially break through the resistance level at $0.47.

Cardano Short-Term Holders Remain Resolute

According to IntoTheBlock, the number of ADA short-term holders who have held the coins for less than 30 days has increased over the past month. Often referred to as “paper hands,” these holders tend to sell their coins at the slightest sign of trouble. 

However, they have adopted a more bullish approach over the past month. Their decision to refrain from selling reflects a gradual shift in market sentiment toward ADA.

Read more: How To Stake Cardano (ADA)

cardano addresses by time held
Cardano Addresses by Time Held. Source: IntoTheBlock

ADA’s attempt to rally above its Ichimoku Cloud on a one-day chart supports this outlook. As of this writing, the altcoin is poised to breach the Leading Span A of its Ichimoku Cloud indicator, which tracks its price trends, support and resistance levels, and potential market reversal points.

The Leading Span A has served as a resistance level where Cardano’s price has encountered significant selling pressure over the past few months. A successful breach of this level would confirm that bullish momentum is strengthening in the ADA market, signal increased buying interest, and hint at the potential for a further uptrend.

cardano ichimoku cloud
Cardano Ichimoku Cloud. Source: TradingView

ADA Price Prediction: $0.47 Is Likely Only If This Happens

Cardano’s Relative Strength Index (RSI) is climbing, signaling increasing demand for the altcoin. Currently at 51.52, the RSI shows that buying pressure is building.

If ADA breaks through Leading Span A, it could rally toward Leading Span B, a stronger resistance level. Successfully surpassing this would position Cardano for a potential 31% gain, targeting a price of $0.47.

Read more: 6 Best Cardano (ADA) Wallets You Should Consider in September 2024

cardano price prediction
Cardano Daily Analysis. Source: TradingView

However, if demand slows and ADA fails to break Leading Span A, its price could drop to around $0.27.

Disclaimer

In line with the Trust Project guidelines, this price analysis article is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial or investment advice. BeInCrypto is committed to accurate, unbiased reporting, but market conditions are subject to change without notice. Always conduct your own research and consult with a professional before making any financial decisions. Please note that our Terms and ConditionsPrivacy Policy, and Disclaimers have been updated.



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