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Jump Trading, Ethereum ETF Inflows: Two Counterforces For ETH

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Ethereum (ETH) price continues to nurture a recovery, drawing tailwinds from growing demand in the ETF (exchange-traded funds) market. However, broader market jitters and selling pressure from institutions continue to act as a counterweight.

Crypto markets continue to record a sentiment shift, with the global market capitalization up almost 3%.

Ethereum Stages Recovery

Ethereum’s price has surged nearly 30% since bottoming out at $2,111 on August 5 amid ongoing recovery efforts. The daily chart reveals a pattern of higher lows in both the price and the Relative Strength Index (RSI), indicating increasing bullish momentum. This momentum could strengthen further if the RSI decisively moves above the 50 mark.

The spikes on the volume profile (orange) also show ETH bulls are waiting to interact with the Ethereum price once it enters the demand zone between $2,924 and $3,075. Notably, this order block turned into a bearish breaker when Ethereum’s price slipped below it on August 3.

Read more: Ethereum (ETH) Price Prediction 2024/2025/2030

Ethereum Price Performance
ETH/USDT 1D Chart. Source: TradingView

With Bitcoin taking back the $60,000 psychological level and the global market capitalization up 3%, crypto markets show a shifting sentiment. Among other reasons, tailwinds sprout from positive ETF flows, with ETH ETFs taking the lead.  

As BeInCrypto reported, Ethereum led capital inflows into crypto investment products last week. It attracted $155 million out of the total $176 million.

“Ethereum has benefited the most from the recent market correction, attracting $155 million in inflows last week. This brings its year-to-date inflows to $862 million, the highest since 2021, largely driven by the recent launch of US spot-based ETFs,” a CoinShares report read.

Counterbalances to ETH Price Action

On Tuesday, spot Ethereum ETFs registered $24.34 million in net inflows, effectively beating the $5 million recorded on Monday. As per Farside Investors, BlackRock’s ETHA has consistently attracted inflows since its launch, suggesting strong investor confidence.

Specifically, ETHA recorded inflows of $49.1 million, bringing its total inflows to $950.2 million. On the other hand, Grayscale’s ETHE continues to grapple with negative flows, recording total outflows of $2.327 billion. This reflects the divergent performance between the two prominent Ethereum ETFs, with Grayscale’s case ascribed to customer redemptions as it happened for Bitcoin in January.

“Institutions have done it before with BTC. They are doing it again with ETH. They almost made people believe that BTC ETF was a failure. It is almost the same story being repeated with ETH. We might retrace the gains of this cycle and then go back higher, but until then it is painful. Seeing the next-gen financial rails hammered to ashes is very painful!” Vikas Singh expressed.

Read more: How to Invest in Ethereum ETFs?

Ethereum ETF Flows, Source: Fairside Investors
Ethereum ETF Flows, Source: Fairside Investors

Nevertheless, while Ethereum ETF inflows create positive momentum for ETH, the institutional sell-off acts as a counterforce, creating headwinds. According to Lookonchain, Jump Trading started selling ETH again on Wednesday. The crypto arm of a Chicago-based trading firmunstaked 7,049 ETH worth $46.44 million from Lido Finance and put it up for sale.

“Jump Trading started selling ETH again just now! They claimed 17,049 ETH ($46.44 million) from Lido and transferred it out for sale. Jump Trading currently has 21,394 wstETH ($68.58 million) left,” Lookonchain wrote.

BeInCrypto reported that the firm had applied to redeem over 14,000 ETH, valued at over $48 million, on August 7. Thiswas the same day it unstaked 11,500 ETH, valued at $29 million from Lido Finance, and moved it to a centralized exchange. It also sold ETH worth over $231 million on August 5.

Moving locked assets to centralized exchanges often indicates an intention to sell, potentially putting downward pressure on ETH’s price. These sell-offs against ETF investor demand have capped Ethereum’s upside below $2,800, with potential for range-bound movement amidst these counterbalances.

Disclaimer

In adherence to the Trust Project guidelines, BeInCrypto is committed to unbiased, transparent reporting. This news article aims to provide accurate, timely information. However, readers are advised to verify facts independently and consult with a professional before making any decisions based on this content. Please note that our Terms and ConditionsPrivacy Policy, and Disclaimers have been updated.



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Bitcoin Price Pushes Higher As The Bulls Set Sights on $65K

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Este artículo también está disponible en español.

Bitcoin price gained pace above the $61,500 resistance. BTC even cleared the $63,300 level and is now consolidating gains above $62,500.

  • Bitcoin is gaining pace above the $62,200 resistance zone.
  • The price is trading above $62,500 and the 100 hourly Simple moving average.
  • There is a major bullish trend line forming with support at $61,500 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair (data feed from Kraken).
  • The pair could extend gains if it stays above the $61,500 support zone.

Bitcoin Price Extend Gains Above $63,000

Bitcoin price extended its increase above the $60,500 level. BTC was able to clear the $61,200 and $61,500 resistance levels to move into a positive zone.

The bulls pumped the price above $62,500 and $63,000 levels. A high was formed at $63,840 and the price is now consolidating gains. There was a move below the $63,500 level. The price dipped and tested the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the $59,165 swing low to the $63,840 high.

Bitcoin is now trading above $62,500 and the 100 hourly Simple moving average. There is also a major bullish trend line forming with support at $61,500 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair.

Bitcoin Price
Source: BTCUSD on TradingView.com

On the upside, the price could face resistance near the $63,500 level. The first key resistance is near the $63,800 level. A clear move above the $68,400 resistance might send the price higher. The next key resistance could be $64,500. A close above the $64,500 resistance might spark more upsides. In the stated case, the price could rise and test the $65,000 resistance.

Are Dips Limited In BTC?

If Bitcoin fails to rise above the $63,500 resistance zone, it could start a downside correction. Immediate support on the downside is near the $62,700 level.

The first major support is $61,500 and the trend line. The next support is now near the $61,000 zone or the 61.8% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the $59,165 swing low to the $63,840 high. Any more losses might send the price toward the $60,500 support in the near term.

Technical indicators:

Hourly MACD – The MACD is now losing pace in the bullish zone.

Hourly RSI (Relative Strength Index) – The RSI for BTC/USD is now above the 50 level.

Major Support Levels – $62,700, followed by $61,500.

Major Resistance Levels – $63,500, and $63,800.



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Is Cardano Price Set to Break $0.47?

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Cardano (ADA) has seen a 5% increase in price over the past 24 hours. This reflects the general cryptocurrency market’s positive trajectory since the US Federal Reserve cut interest rates on Wednesday.

This surge is also fueled partly by the actions of ADA short-term holders, who appear to be holding onto their coins. Over the past 30 days, their reluctance to sell has positioned the altcoin to potentially break through the resistance level at $0.47.

Cardano Short-Term Holders Remain Resolute

According to IntoTheBlock, the number of ADA short-term holders who have held the coins for less than 30 days has increased over the past month. Often referred to as “paper hands,” these holders tend to sell their coins at the slightest sign of trouble. 

However, they have adopted a more bullish approach over the past month. Their decision to refrain from selling reflects a gradual shift in market sentiment toward ADA.

Read more: How To Stake Cardano (ADA)

cardano addresses by time held
Cardano Addresses by Time Held. Source: IntoTheBlock

ADA’s attempt to rally above its Ichimoku Cloud on a one-day chart supports this outlook. As of this writing, the altcoin is poised to breach the Leading Span A of its Ichimoku Cloud indicator, which tracks its price trends, support and resistance levels, and potential market reversal points.

The Leading Span A has served as a resistance level where Cardano’s price has encountered significant selling pressure over the past few months. A successful breach of this level would confirm that bullish momentum is strengthening in the ADA market, signal increased buying interest, and hint at the potential for a further uptrend.

cardano ichimoku cloud
Cardano Ichimoku Cloud. Source: TradingView

ADA Price Prediction: $0.47 Is Likely Only If This Happens

Cardano’s Relative Strength Index (RSI) is climbing, signaling increasing demand for the altcoin. Currently at 51.52, the RSI shows that buying pressure is building.

If ADA breaks through Leading Span A, it could rally toward Leading Span B, a stronger resistance level. Successfully surpassing this would position Cardano for a potential 31% gain, targeting a price of $0.47.

Read more: 6 Best Cardano (ADA) Wallets You Should Consider in September 2024

cardano price prediction
Cardano Daily Analysis. Source: TradingView

However, if demand slows and ADA fails to break Leading Span A, its price could drop to around $0.27.

Disclaimer

In line with the Trust Project guidelines, this price analysis article is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial or investment advice. BeInCrypto is committed to accurate, unbiased reporting, but market conditions are subject to change without notice. Always conduct your own research and consult with a professional before making any financial decisions. Please note that our Terms and ConditionsPrivacy Policy, and Disclaimers have been updated.



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$1.6 Billion in Bitcoin and Ethereum Options Expire After Fed Cut

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The crypto market is bracing for heightened volatility as nearly $1.6 billion worth of Bitcoin (BTC) and Ethereum (ETH) options expire today.

This event coincides with the Federal Reserve’s recent decision to cut interest rates by 50 basis points (bps).

Fed’s Decision Fuels the Crypto Market Rally Ahead of Major Options Expiry

According to data from Deribit, 20,037 Bitcoin options contracts worth approximately $1.26 billion will expire on September 20. These contracts have a put-to-call ratio of 0.85 and a maximum pain point of $58,500.

Expiring Bitcoin Options.
Expiring Bitcoin Options. Source: Deribit

Similarly, Ethereum’s options market is set to expire with 125,046 contracts worth $308.16 million. Today’s expiring Ethereum contracts have a put-to-call ratio of 0.65, with a maximum pain point of $2,350.

Read more: An Introduction to Crypto Options Trading

Expiring Ethereum Options.
Expiring Ethereum Options. Source: Deribit

In options trading, the maximum pain point refers to the price level at which option holders would suffer the largest losses. It is essentially the price at which the highest number of options (both calls and puts) would expire worthless, inflicting maximum financial “pain” on traders. On the other hand, the put-to-call ratio gauges market sentiment by comparing the number of put options (bets on price declines) to call options (bets on price increases).

Greeks. live’s recent analysis outlined the impact of the Fed’s decision to cut rates for today’s expiring crypto options contracts. The analysts noted that the Fed’s move was largely expected and aligned with macroeconomic forecasts.

“Implied volatility declined significantly across all major maturities, with ultra-short-term IVs falling by over 25%, as short-term short-selling expectations by large investors fell short,” they wrote.

Looking ahead, Greeks.live also noted that there will be another interest rate meeting on November 8 and December 19 this year, where the market expects a cumulative 100 bps rate cut. The next rate cut could coincide with the US election, increasing the likelihood of heightened market volatility.

BeInCrypto reported that this week’s rate cut has positively impacted the crypto market. Following the decision, Bitcoin surged from the $59,000 level to surpass the $63,500 mark.

Similarly, Ethereum also experienced a significant increase during the period. Data showed that ETH skyrocketed from $2,293 to as high as $2,482.

However, both assets have now stabilized. At the time of writing, Bitcoin and Ethereum are trading at $62,890 and $2,450, respectively.

Read more: 9 Best Crypto Options Trading Platforms

Despite the positive momentum, traders are advised to remain cautious. Historically, options expiration often leads to short-term instability in the market. The next few days will be crucial in determining whether Bitcoin and Ethereum can sustain their upward trends or if a period of correction is imminent.

Disclaimer

In adherence to the Trust Project guidelines, BeInCrypto is committed to unbiased, transparent reporting. This news article aims to provide accurate, timely information. However, readers are advised to verify facts independently and consult with a professional before making any decisions based on this content. Please note that our Terms and ConditionsPrivacy Policy, and Disclaimers have been updated.



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