Regulation
Chicago Fed President Signals Emergency Rate Cut, Slashes Recession Concerns
Chicago Federal Reserve President Austan Goolsbee hinted on Monday, August 5 that the central bank might react to signs of economic weakness with an emergency rate cut. Goolsbee’s remarks came in light of recent economic data suggesting that current interest rates might be too high. Moreover, the Chicago Fed President also weighed in on the possibility of a U.S. recession.
Chicago Fed President On Emergency Rate Cut
Today, Goolsbee addressed the impact of recent trends in the labor market and manufacturing sector on Federal Reserve policy. He acknowledged that the current economic indicators, including a weaker-than-expected jobs report, might necessitate a reassessment of the Fed’s policy stance. However, he did not commit to any specific actions, leaving the door open for various policy adjustments.
“The Fed’s job is very straightforward, maximize employment, stabilize prices, and maintain financial stability,” Goolsbee stated. He added, “That’s what we’re going to do.” He emphasized that the central bank’s approach would be forward-looking, according to a CNBC interview.
Goolsbee also suggested that any deterioration in economic conditions would prompt a response. “If the conditions collectively start coming in like that on the through line, there’s deterioration on any of those parts, we’re going to fix it,” he added.
This data triggered the Sahm Rule signal, which historically has been an indicator of a potential recession. Despite these signals, Goolsbee was cautious about jumping to conclusions. “Jobs numbers came in weaker than expected, but not looking yet like recession,” he said.
The U.S. Fed has maintained its benchmark interest rate in the range of 5.25% to 5.5% since July 2023, a level not seen in over two decades. Goolsbee noted that this rate might now be considered restrictive, a stance typically justified only if the economy is overheating. He said:
“Should we reduce restrictiveness? I’m not going to bind our hands of what should happen going forward, because we’re still going to get more information. But if we are not overheating, we should not be tightening or restrictive in real terms.”
Also Read: Is A Fed Rate Cut Ahead? Experts Warn It May Escalate Market Bloodbath
Market Expects 50 Bps Cut Today
Goolsbee’s comments come amidst a backdrop of significant market movements. Futures tied to the Dow Jones Industrial Average dropped nearly 1,300 points, or close to 3%, as Treasury yields fell sharply. This decline followed the Federal Reserve’s decision last week to maintain interest rates.
It raises concerns among investors that the central bank might be lagging in its policy adjustments as inflation eases and the economy shows signs of weakness. The Labor Department’s recent report revealed an increase of just 114,000 nonfarm payrolls and a rise in the unemployment rate to 4.3%.
The real fed funds rate, which is the difference between the Fed’s benchmark rate and the inflation rate, has increased as inflation declines. Currently, this rate stands around 2.73%, compared to the Fed’s long-term estimate of 0.5%.
Investors are now anticipating that the Fed will implement an aggressive easing policy starting today with a 50 bps cut. According to 30-day fed funds futures contracts, a 0.5 percentage point rate cut is fully priced in.
Also, projections indicate that the Fed could reduce the funds rate by 1.25 to 1.5 percentage points by the end of the year. While Goolsbee did not specify whether an emergency rate cut would be considered, he indicated that all options remain on the table.
“Everything is always on the table including raises and cuts,” he stated. Furthermore, according to Polymarket, the odds of an emergency rate cut by the U.S. Fed has surged to 55%. On the contrary, market experts like Peter Schiff and Scott Melker caution an expedited downturn in case of an emergency rate cut. It could negatively affect the crypto market and other global stock markets.
Also Read: Breaking: US Fed Calls Emergency Meeting As Japan Markets Collapse
Disclaimer: The presented content may include the personal opinion of the author and is subject to market condition. Do your market research before investing in cryptocurrencies. The author or the publication does not hold any responsibility for your personal financial loss.
Regulation
“Crypto Dad” Chris Giancarlo Emerges Top For White House Crypto Czar Role
Chris Giancarlo, widely known as “Crypto Dad,” has emerged as the leading candidate for a newly proposed role of crypto czar in the White House under President-elect Donald Trump’s administration. The potential appointment underscores a strategic effort to advance crypto regulations and foster blockchain innovation in the United States.
This proposed position would be the first of its kind in the White House, aiming to bring clarity to the growing $3 trillion digital asset market. Chris Giancarlo, the former Chair of the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC), is known for his progressive approach to digital currencies and blockchain technologies.
Chris Giancarlo Leads Race for White House Crypto Czar Role Under Donald Trump
According to a Fox Business report, Chris Giancarlo is the top contender for the position of White House crypto czar, a role being considered by the Trump transition team to streamline crypto regulations and foster blockchain development.
As CFTC Chair from 2017 to 2019, Chris Giancarlo oversaw critical advancements in the digital asset space. This includes the launch of the first Bitcoin futures. He later co-founded the Digital Dollar Project, a nonprofit initiative exploring the potential of a U.S. central bank digital currency (CBDC). Giancarlo’s regulatory expertise and understanding of digital innovation position him as a key figure in shaping the future of the crypto sector.
The Trump administration aims to utilize this position to address industry concerns over the Biden administration’s perceived heavy-handed enforcement. The crypto czar would also collaborate with federal agencies to establish a framework for the $180 billion stablecoin market and enhance the overall regulatory landscape for blockchain and digital currencies.
Trump’s Strategic Approach to Digital Asset Policy
President-elect Donald Trump has expressed plans to make the U.S. a global leader in cryptocurrency and blockchain innovation. Part of this strategy includes appointing a crypto czar to advance policies to support the industry’s growth.
Trump has also proposed the establishment of a presidential crypto advisory council to address ongoing regulatory challenges. This initiative aims to align federal policies with industry needs, fostering a competitive environment for blockchain businesses. The council will explore the creation of a Bitcoin reserve as part of the administration’s broader crypto policy agenda.
The transition comes as current SEC Chair Gary Gensler announced his resignation effective January 20, 2025, coinciding with Trump’s inauguration. Gensler faced criticism during his tenure for his enforcement-driven approach to crypto regulations.
Amid speculation, Chris Giancarlo clarified that he is not pursuing the SEC Chair role. Giancarlo said in a recent statement,
“I’ve already cleaned up earlier Gary Gensler mess at the CFTC and don’t want to have to do it again.”
His focus remains on advancing crypto-friendly policies through a potential new role. According to the report, the “Crypto Dad” stated,
“I would be honored to be considered for the role.”
The creation of the crypto czar position could mark a pivotal moment in the evolution of U.S. crypto policy. With Chris Giancarlo leading the race, the industry anticipates advancements in crypto regulations under the new administration.
Disclaimer: The presented content may include the personal opinion of the author and is subject to market condition. Do your market research before investing in cryptocurrencies. The author or the publication does not hold any responsibility for your personal financial loss.
Regulation
UK to unveil crypto and stablecoin regulatory framework early next year
- The UK will introduce unified crypto regulations, including stablecoins, in early 2025.
- New rules aim to simplify oversight and avoid restrictive staking classifications.
- Labour government aims to compete with EU’s MiCA rules and US pro-crypto policies.
The United Kingdom is set to introduce a comprehensive regulatory framework for cryptocurrencies, stablecoins, and crypto staking services in early 2025, marking a pivotal shift in its approach to digital assets.
The announcement was made by the Economic Secretary to the Treasury Tulip Siddiq at City & Financial Global’s Tokenisation Summit in London on November 21.
Initially slated for December 2024, the regulatory rollout was delayed due to the change in government following the election of Prime Minister Keir Starmer’s Labour administration in July 2024.
The upcoming UK crypto regulatory framework
The upcoming framework consolidates regulations for crypto assets into a single, overarching regime, a decision Siddiq described as “simpler and more logical.”
The framework aims to provide clarity in a rapidly growing sector that has faced uncertainty in the UK.
Stablecoins will receive distinct treatment under these regulations, as their functionality does not align with existing payment services rules.
Siddiq highlighted that staking services would also avoid being designated as “collective investment schemes,” a classification that could impose burdensome restrictions.
UK aims to align with the global crypto regulatory landscape
The UK government’s renewed focus on digital asset regulation comes as it seeks to align with global developments. The European Union’s Markets in Crypto-Assets (MiCA) regulations will be fully enforced by the end of 2024, offering regulatory certainty that has positioned Europe as an attractive market for the crypto industry.
Meanwhile, the US, under President Donald Trump’s administration, has adopted a markedly pro-crypto stance, including the establishment of a White House “crypto czar” and SEC Chair Gary Gensler’s planned departure in January 2024.
The Labour government has shown its intent to catch up with international competition. In September 2024, it introduced a bill recognizing NFTs, cryptocurrencies, and carbon credits as property.
The new regulatory push reflects the UK’s ambition to regain credibility as a crypto hub while addressing criticisms of the Financial Conduct Authority’s perceived stringent oversight.
By delivering a robust, streamlined framework, the Labour government aims to bolster the UK’s standing in the multibillion-dollar crypto industry.
Regulation
Gary Gensler To Step Down As US SEC Chair In January
In a recent development, the US Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) announced that Gary Gensler will step down from his position next year. This follows calls for Gensler to resign since Donald Trump won the US presidential elections.
Gary Gensler To Step Down As US SEC Chair
The US SEC announced in a press release that Gary Gensler will depart the Agency on January 20, 2025. The US SEC Chair also confirmed this development in an X post. Interestingly, this comes on the same day that Donald Trump will be inaugurated as the 47th president of the United States.
Following the announcement, Gensler also used the opportunity to reflect on his time at the Commission. He remarked that it has been an “honor of a lifetime” to serve alongside those at the SEC. He also thanked President Biden for the opportunity to serve in the position. Gensler has been the US SEC Chair since April 2021. During his time, he has spearheaded several litigations against the crypto industry.
This includes the long-running legal battle with Ripple, which Gensler took over from his predecessor Jay Clayton, which bordered on whether XRP was a security. Up till now, the Agency continues to reiterate this ‘digital asset securities’ claim.
Disclaimer: The presented content may include the personal opinion of the author and is subject to market condition. Do your market research before investing in cryptocurrencies. The author or the publication does not hold any responsibility for your personal financial loss.
-
Market23 hours ago
This is Why MoonPay Shattered Solana Transaction Records
-
Ethereum20 hours ago
Fundraising platform JustGiving accepts over 60 cryptocurrencies including Bitcoin, Ethereum
-
Market24 hours ago
Steady Climb Toward New Highs
-
Altcoin22 hours ago
BTC Reaches $97K, Altcoins Gains
-
Market16 hours ago
South Korea Unveils North Korea’s Role in Upbit Hack
-
Market21 hours ago
Cardano’s Hoskinson Wants Brian Armstrong for US Crypto-Czar
-
Bitcoin11 hours ago
Marathon Digital Raises $1B to Expand Bitcoin Holdings
-
Market11 hours ago
ETH/BTC Ratio Plummets to 42-Month Low Amid Bitcoin Surge
✓ Share: