Ethereum
78% Of Supply Locked In Diamond Hands
On-chain data shows the Ethereum long-term holders have recently been increasing their total share of the cryptocurrency’s supply.
Ethereum HODLers Currently Carry The Majority Of ETH Supply
According to data shared by the market intelligence platform IntoTheBlock in a post on X, the Ethereum long-term holder supply has been on the rise recently. The “long-term holders” (LTHs), as defined by IntoTheBlock, refer to the ETH investors who bought their ETH more than a year ago.
Statistically, the longer an investor holds onto their coins, the less likely they become to sell at any point. As such, these LTHs, who tend to hold for long periods, include the investors least probable to sell in the market.
One way to keep track of the behavior of these HODLers is through the total amount of supply held by them. The below chart shows the trend in this supply for Ethereum since the start of the year 2024.
Looks like the value of the metric has been going up over the last few months | Source: IntoTheBlock on X
As is visible in the above graph, the Ethereum LTH supply has been riding an uptrend this year so far. This increase has continued in the last few weeks, with the metric even noticing a jump sharper than usual.
Something to note, though, is that when this indicator goes up, it doesn’t signify that these HODLers are buying in the present. Rather, it implies that some accumulation occurred a year ago and these coins have now matured enough to become a part of the cohort.
Nonetheless, an increase in the indicator is still naturally a bullish sign for the cryptocurrency, as it suggests that HODLing behavior is growing among the investors.
Following the latest rise, the Ethereum LTHs hold around 78% of the entire circulating supply of the asset. This means that a majority of the supply is currently locked in the hands of these holders who don’t easily sell.
While ETH has been seeing this bullish development in terms of its LTHs, the same hasn’t been true for Bitcoin. As the analytics firm has pointed out in another X post, the BTC HODLers have been shedding their supply throughout the year.
The value of the metric appears to have been going down recently | Source: IntoTheBlock on X
Whereas buying has a one year delay, selling doesn’t have the same quirk attached to it. This is due to the fact that coins have their age reset to zero as soon as they are transferred on the blockchain, so they are instantly removed from the group.
In May, the Bitcoin LTHs sold around 160,000 BTC, worth a whopping $10.1 billion at the current exchange rate. Their selling did slow down last month, though, as they distributed about 40,000 BTC ($2.5 billion).
ETH Price
At the time of writing, Ethereum is floating around $3,500, up more than 5% over the last seven days.
The price of the asset seems to have been on the rise over the last day or so | Source: ETHUSD on TradingView
Featured image from Dall-E, IntoTheBlock.com, chart from TradingView.com
Ethereum
Ethereum Attempts Key Breakout: Analysts Set $3,700 Target
Ethereum (ETH) price is finally moving after a week of sideways movement. In the last hour, the second-largest crypto has seen a 5% surge to retest the key $3,200 level. Some market watchers believe ETH is about to move toward Q1 highs and kickstart the altseason.
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Ethereum Retests Key Support Level
Ethereum has been heavily criticized for its performance against Bitcoin (BTC), with investors worrying that ETH might not run to new highs this cycle. ETH’s price action has moved sideways while the flagship crypto continues its price discovery mode.
On Thursday morning, BTC neared the $100,000 mark after hitting its latest all-time high (ATH) above $98,000, while ETH continued hovering in the mid-zone of its $3,000-$3,200 one-week price range.
However, Ethereum has seen a remarkable 5% pump to trade above the $3,200 mark for the past hour. The second-largest crypto rose above $3,200 a week ago for the first time in over three months, hitting the $3,400 mark before retracing 5%.
Over the past week, ETH attempted to reclaim the $3,200 resistance as support but failed twice to achieve it. Today, the cryptocurrency’s jump has propelled its price past the key resistance toward the mid-range of the $3,300 zone, reigniting a bullish sentiment toward Ethereum.
Analyst Crypto Yapper asserted that the $3,200 is “the next big breakout” for Ethereum, as it has been a major rejection point for the last week. The analyst highlighted that after ETH’s consolidation, the next move was a retest of this level, which could see the crypto breakout toward the $3,500 mark if successfully reclaimed.
However, failing to turn this resistance into support could likely see ETH’s price lose the $3,000-$3,100 support and move toward the $2,600 level, a major resistance before this month’s breakout, before attempting to reach $3,500.
ETH’s Breakout To Kickstart The Altseason
Crypto analyst Rekt Capital noted that ETH is breaking out of a short-term bull flag today. Per the post, the King of altcoins broke out of a three-week bull flag formation after surpassing $3,200. A confirmation of the breakout “would see ETH revisit the $3,700 above,” forecasted the analyst.
Similarly, crypto analyst Zayk pointed out that the cryptocurrency displayed a two-week bullish pennant formation in the 4H timeframe. A successful breakout from the bullish pattern above the $3,200 mark could target a 15% rally to $3,700.
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Crypto trader Daan stated that investors should wait to see if Ethereum’s current momentum sustains. However, he considers that the next impulse for ETH/BTC is “likely to have some legs and go for some proper relief.”
This run could see the ETH/BTC trading pair move back toward the 0.04 mark, which it traded at two weeks ago. This move would display a 20% surge from the current levels, which “should absolutely send the overall altcoin market and bring BTC Dominance down a decent amount.”
As of this writing, the ETH’s price holds above $3,350, trading 2% below last week’s high.
Featured Image from Unsplash.com, Chart from TradingView.com
Ethereum
Ethereum Sees Neutral Netflow On Binance: What Does This Signal?
Meet Samuel Edyme, Nickname – HIM-buktu. A web3 content writer, journalist, and aspiring trader, Edyme is as versatile as they come. With a knack for words and a nose for trends, he has penned pieces for numerous industry player, including AMBCrypto, Blockchain.News, and Blockchain Reporter, among others.
Edyme’s foray into the crypto universe is nothing short of cinematic. His journey began not with a triumphant investment, but with a scam. Yes, a Ponzi scheme that used crypto as payment roped him in. Rather than retreating, he emerged wiser and more determined, channeling his experience into over three years of insightful market analysis.
Before becoming the voice of reason in the crypto space, Edyme was the quintessential crypto degen. He aped into anything that promised a quick buck, anything ape-able, learning the ropes the hard way. These hands-on experience through major market events—like the Terra Luna crash, the wave of bankruptcies in crypto firms, the notorious FTX collapse, and even CZ’s arrest—has honed his keen sense of market dynamics.
When he isn’t crafting engaging crypto content, you’ll find Edyme backtesting charts, studying both forex and synthetic indices. His dedication to mastering the art of trading is as relentless as his pursuit of the next big story. Away from his screens, he can be found in the gym, airpods in, working out and listening to his favorite artist, NF. Or maybe he’s catching some Z’s or scrolling through Elon Musk’s very own X platform—(oops, another screen activity, my bad…)
Well, being an introvert, Edyme thrives in the digital realm, preferring online interaction over offline encounters—(don’t judge, that’s just how he is built). His determination is quite unwavering to be honest, and he embodies the philosophy of continuous improvement, or “kaizen,” striving to be 1% better every day. His mantras, “God knows best” and “Everything is still on track,” reflect his resilient outlook and how he lives his life.
In a nutshell, Samuel Edyme was born efficient, driven by ambition, and perhaps a touch fierce. He’s neither artistic nor unrealistic, and certainly not chauvinistic. Think of him as Bruce Willis in a train wreck—unflappable. Edyme is like trading in your car for a jet—bold. He’s the guy who’d ask his boss for a pay cut just to prove a point—(uhhh…). He is like watching your kid take his first steps. Imagine Bill Gates struggling with rent—okay, maybe that’s a stretch, but you get the idea, yeah. Unbelievable? Yes. Inconceivable? Perhaps.
Edyme sees himself as a fairly reasonable guy, albeit a bit stubborn. Normal to you is not to him. He is not the one to take the easy road, and why would he? That’s just not the way he roll. He has these favorite lyrics from NF’s “Clouds” that resonate deeply with him: “What you think’s probably unfeasible, I’ve done already a hundredfold.”
PS—Edyme is HIM. HIM-buktu. Him-mulation. Him-Kardashian. Himon and Pumba. He even had his DNA tested, and guess what? He’s 100% Him-alayan. Screw it, he ate the opp.
Ethereum
Analyst Reveals When The Ethereum Price Will Reach A New ATH, It’s Closer Than You Think
The Ethereum price has been consolidating for about a week since it hit a four-month high at $3,420. As the second largest cryptocurrency, Ethereum has the biggest price correlation with Bitcoin. However, you could argue the Ethereum price has been largely left behind in terms of performance throughout the ongoing bull cycle. Interestingly, a crypto analyst, Ben Lilly, has shared a bold prediction about the trajectory of the Ethereum price.
Taking to a post on the social media platform X, Ben Lilly forecasted that the Ethereum price will reach a new all-time high (ATH) between December 21, 2024, and January 7, 2025. The prediction stems from his analysis of the previous performance of the ETH price movements during Bitcoin’s ATH discovery phase in 2021.
A Historical Parallel: Ethereum’s 2021 Rally
In his analysis, Ben Lilly referenced Ethereum’s price behavior during the historic rally of the Bitcoin price in the 2021 bull run. At the time, the Ethereum price was trading nearly 60% below its 2018 peak. After Bitcoin broke out to fresh ATH levels, it took Ethereum five weeks to follow suit, rallying by about 640% to reach its current ATH of $4,878.
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Lilly believes the present market conditions mirror those of 2021, with the Bitcoin price recently entering price discovery mode. Ethereum, which was approximately 50% below its 2021 peak of $4,418 as of November 2024, has started to rebound, showing over 20% gains within just two weeks from a low of $2,366 on November 4.
Interestingly, the analyst’s comments suggest that as the Bitcoin price continues to set new price records this bull run, Ethereum is likely to follow with a substantial price leap very soon. The timeframe for this substantial price leap, he projects, aligns closely with late December 2024 and early January 2025.
Based on his projections, the analyst asserts that Ethereum could repeat its historical pattern and rally significantly within a short timeframe. He highlights that a 300% surge from Ethereum’s November 4 low price level could push it toward the $10,000 mark.
ETH will form a new ATH between Dec 21-Jan7.
I don’t make the rules. pic.twitter.com/NVgVdQ8Bsj
— Ben Lilly (@MrBenLilly) November 20, 2024
Current State Of The Ethereum Price
Ben Lilly’s Ethereum price prediction highlights the importance of the Bitcoin price momentum to that of the second-largest asset. Particularly, the 2021 pattern he pointed to is a result of an altcoin season where the altcoin market (led by Ethereum) started to outperform the Bitcoin price.
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As it stands, an altcoin season has yet to materialize this cycle, and all the interest is going into Bitcoin. The Bitcoin price is currently on an all-time high roll, meaning the market will have to continue to wait for the interest to roll into Ethereum.
At the time of writing, the ETH price is trading at $3,107 and is down by 3.84% in the past seven days.
Featured image created with Dall.E, chart from Tradingview.com
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