Connect with us

Market

Can Spot ETFs Push Ethereum’s (ETH) Price Beyond $4,000?

Published

on


Ethereum (ETH) has been experiencing volatility mainly due to its alignment with broader market trends.

Despite the approval of spot ETH ETFs, the event has not yet impacted the price. However, this could change in the near future.

Do Ethereum ETFs Have a Bright Future?

Spot ETF movements might substantially impact Ethereum’s price in the coming few months. Earlier this week, the US Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) approved listing spot ETFs by the beginning of July. This has increased investors’ expectations massively.

“We expect the net inflows into ETH ETFs to be 20-50% of the net inflows into BTC ETFs over the first five months, with 30% as our target, implying $1 billion/month of net inflows,” Galaxy Research Team’s Vice President Charles Yu stated.

However, this optimistic forecast does not look entirely realistic. To put it into perspective, spot Bitcoin ETFs have only seen $857 million in inflows as of June 21, despite holding 84% of the entire ETF market share, with futures ETFs accounting for just 14%. This raises doubts about whether spot Ethereum ETFs will achieve $1 billion in monthly inflows.

Read more: Ethereum ETF Explained: What It Is and How It Works

Spot Bitcoin ETF Market Share.
Spot Bitcoin ETF Market Share. Source: TheBlock

The uncertainty regarding the success of ETH ETFs in a relatively bearish market could also lead to a surge in market makers’ premiums. Gamma distribution risk, involving the sensitivity of options to price changes, makes market makers adjust their strategies. With the added uncertainty of ETH ETFs, they are likely to raise premiums to cover potential extreme price swings. 

“ETH can still obtain effective support from market makers hedging on the downward path. As one of the solutions to the above-mentioned gamma distribution risk, market makers have also slightly raised their pricing for tail risk. Due to the additional uncertainty brought by ETH ETFs, the pricing for ETH tail risk is relatively high,” Griffin Ardern, Head at BloFin Research & Options, told BeInCrypto.

Put simply, market makers could charge more to account for the chance that the price of ETH will be affected by something very unusual and extreme. This means investors need to pay extra to hedge their bets, which can discourage excessive speculation and reduce volatility.

Read More: How to Invest in Ethereum ETFs?

Ethereum Gamma Level with Expiration.
Ethereum Gamma Level with Expiration. Source: BloFin Research & Options

Despite the fact the active risk management can help stabilize its price by providing support and mitigating significant price drops, Ethereum’s price might struggle to benefit immediately from the launch of spot ETFs.

ETH Price Prediction: Eyeing New Highs

Ethereum’s price of $3,395 is far from establishing a new all-time high. The second-largest cryptocurrency rallied by over 30% following the approval of spot ETH ETFs, but nearly half of this was wiped out when ETH fell by 13% at the beginning of the month. The uncertainty surrounding the launch drove the price down, along with the bearish broader market cues.

The situation could shift as the market approaches the launch of ETFs. Bitcoin’s price started to trend upward following the introduction of its spot ETFs, and a similar outcome is anticipated for Ethereum.

Should Ethereum’s price manage to capitalize on the potential bullishness and rise to flip $3,829 into support, it would have managed to flip the 61.8% Fibonacci Retracement into support. This line, also known as the bull market support floor, would translate to ETH’s further gains.

Read More: Ethereum (ETH) Price Prediction 2024/2025/2030

Ethereum Price Analysis.
Ethereum Price Analysis. Source: TradingView

While a new all-time high is still far away, ETH will at least have a shot at trying its hand at breaching $4,000. A successful breach will be key in pushing the altcoin further upwards.

But if this fails to happen, Ethereum’s price would be susceptible to remaining consolidated under $4,000. The likely support level could stand between $3,700 and $3,800. Losing this would invalidate the bullish thesis.

Disclaimer

In line with the Trust Project guidelines, this price analysis article is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial or investment advice. BeInCrypto is committed to accurate, unbiased reporting, but market conditions are subject to change without notice. Always conduct your own research and consult with a professional before making any financial decisions. Please note that our Terms and ConditionsPrivacy Policy, and Disclaimers have been updated.



Source link

Market

FET Bearish Descent Targets Key $0.966 Level, More Dips Ahead?

Published

on

By


Artificial Superintelligence Alliance (FET) is experiencing a prolonged bearish trend, pushing its price closer to the critical $0.966 support level. This sustained downward pressure has raised concerns among investors, as the cryptocurrency continues to extend its bearish momentum. 

The $0.966 resistance mark now serves as a significant point of interest, determining whether FET can reverse its current trajectory or continue its descent. Market participants are closely monitoring these developments, analyzing technical indicators and market sentiment to gauge the potential for a rebound or further decline.

This article aims to analyze the extended bearish trend affecting the digital asset and its impact on the cryptocurrency’s price as it approaches the $0.966 resistance level.

FET’s price was trading at around $1.30 and was down by 3.10% with a market capitalization of over $3 billion and a trading volume of over $99 million as of the time of writing. There has been a 24-hour decrease of 3.28% and 29.79% in FET’s market capitalization and trading volume respectively.

FET Price Under Bearish Pressure

Currently, FET on the 4-hour chart is actively bearish trading below the 100-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) and the bearish trend line, dropping toward the crucial $0.966 resistance mark.

FET

The 4-hour Composite Trend Oscillator also confirms more bearishness for FET as both the signal line and the SMA of the indicator continue to trend inside the oversold zone.

On the 1-day chart, it can be observed that FET is very bearish trading below the 100-day SMA and the trend line. Following a rejection at $1.862, the price of FET has been on an extended bearish move heading toward the $0.966 support level.

FET

Lastly, the 1-day composite trend oscillator signals that FET may extend its bearish trend toward the $0.966 support level as the signal line and the SMA are still trending in the oversold zone.

Will FET’s Price Breakthrough Or Face A Rejection

Conclusively, it can be noted that as the price of FET continues to move toward the $0.966 resistance mark, it may break through its bearishness or face rejection and begin to rise.

Therefore, exploring the possible outcomes of the coin, it was discovered that if FET’s price reaches the $0.966 support level and breaks below, it may continue to decline to test the $0.459 level and potentially move on to challenge other lower levels if it breaches the $0.459 level.

However, if the crypto asset faces rejection at the $0.966 support level, it will begin to ascend toward the $1.862 resistance level. When this level is breached, it may continue to climb to test the $2.564 resistance level and may move on to test other higher levels if it breaches the $2.564 level.

FET



Source link

Continue Reading

Market

Bitcoin Price Takes a Step Back: Analyzing The Recent Correction

Published

on

By


Bitcoin price failed to continue higher above the $63,650 resistance zone. BTC is now correcting gains and might revisit the $60,850 support.

  • Bitcoin started a downside correction from the $63,650 resistance zone.
  • The price is trading below $62,500 and the 100 hourly Simple moving average.
  • There is a connecting bearish trend line forming with resistance at $61,850 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair (data feed from Kraken).
  • The pair might struggle to start a fresh increase above the $62,250 resistance zone.

Bitcoin Price Dips Again

Bitcoin price struggled to extend gains above the $63,650 and $63,800 resistance levels. A high was formed at $63,798 and the price started a downside correction.

The price declined below the $63,000 level. The bears were able to push it below the $62,500 level and the 100 hourly Simple moving average. There was also a move below the 50% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the $59,951 swing low to the $63,798 high.

Bitcoin price is now trading below $62,500 and the 100 hourly Simple moving average. There is also a connecting bearish trend line forming with resistance at $61,850 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair.

The bulls are now trying to protect the $61,400 zone and the 61.8% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the $59,951 swing low to the $63,798 high. If there is another increase, the price could face resistance near the $61,850 level and the trend line.

The first key resistance is near the $62,250 level. The next key resistance could be $62,500. A clear move above the $62,500 resistance might start a steady increase and send the price higher.

Bitcoin Price
Source: BTCUSD on TradingView.com

In the stated case, the price could rise and test the $63,250 resistance. Any more gains might send BTC toward the $63,650 resistance in the near term.

More Losses In BTC?

If Bitcoin fails to climb above the $62,250 resistance zone, it could continue to move down. Immediate support on the downside is near the $61,400 level.

The first major support is $60,850. The next support is now forming near $60,500. Any more losses might send the price toward the $60,000 support zone in the near term.

Technical indicators:

Hourly MACD – The MACD is now gaining pace in the bearish zone.

Hourly RSI (Relative Strength Index) – The RSI for BTC/USD is now below the 50 level.

Major Support Levels – $61,400, followed by $60,850.

Major Resistance Levels – $62,250, and $62,500.



Source link

Continue Reading

Market

Exploring Upward Momentum and Bullish Prospects

Published

on

By


Aayush Jindal, a luminary in the world of financial markets, whose expertise spans over 15 illustrious years in the realms of Forex and cryptocurrency trading. Renowned for his unparalleled proficiency in providing technical analysis, Aayush is a trusted advisor and senior market expert to investors worldwide, guiding them through the intricate landscapes of modern finance with his keen insights and astute chart analysis.

From a young age, Aayush exhibited a natural aptitude for deciphering complex systems and unraveling patterns. Fueled by an insatiable curiosity for understanding market dynamics, he embarked on a journey that would lead him to become one of the foremost authorities in the fields of Forex and crypto trading. With a meticulous eye for detail and an unwavering commitment to excellence, Aayush honed his craft over the years, mastering the art of technical analysis and chart interpretation.
As a software engineer, Aayush harnesses the power of technology to optimize trading strategies and develop innovative solutions for navigating the volatile waters of financial markets. His background in software engineering has equipped him with a unique skill set, enabling him to leverage cutting-edge tools and algorithms to gain a competitive edge in an ever-evolving landscape.

In addition to his roles in finance and technology, Aayush serves as the director of a prestigious IT company, where he spearheads initiatives aimed at driving digital innovation and transformation. Under his visionary leadership, the company has flourished, cementing its position as a leader in the tech industry and paving the way for groundbreaking advancements in software development and IT solutions.

Despite his demanding professional commitments, Aayush is a firm believer in the importance of work-life balance. An avid traveler and adventurer, he finds solace in exploring new destinations, immersing himself in different cultures, and forging lasting memories along the way. Whether he’s trekking through the Himalayas, diving in the azure waters of the Maldives, or experiencing the vibrant energy of bustling metropolises, Aayush embraces every opportunity to broaden his horizons and create unforgettable experiences.

Aayush’s journey to success is marked by a relentless pursuit of excellence and a steadfast commitment to continuous learning and growth. His academic achievements are a testament to his dedication and passion for excellence, having completed his software engineering with honors and excelling in every department.

At his core, Aayush is driven by a profound passion for analyzing markets and uncovering profitable opportunities amidst volatility. Whether he’s poring over price charts, identifying key support and resistance levels, or providing insightful analysis to his clients and followers, Aayush’s unwavering dedication to his craft sets him apart as a true industry leader and a beacon of inspiration to aspiring traders around the globe.

In a world where uncertainty reigns supreme, Aayush Jindal stands as a guiding light, illuminating the path to financial success with his unparalleled expertise, unwavering integrity, and boundless enthusiasm for the markets.



Source link

Continue Reading
Advertisement

Trending

Copyright © 2024 coin2049.io