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Ethereum Price Tied To BitMEX Whales: Quant Uncovers Link

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A quant has pointed out how the trends in the BitMEX exchange reserve have affected the Ethereum price during the past few years.

BitMEX Ethereum Whales Have Shown Smart Money Behavior In Recent Years

In a CryptoQuant Quicktake post, an analyst discussed a pattern in the ETH exchange reserve of the BitMEX platform. The “exchange reserve” here refers to an on-chain metric that keeps track of the total amount of Ethereum that’s sitting in the wallets of any given centralized exchange.

When the value of this metric rises, investors will make net deposits to the platform right now. As one of the main reasons investors transfer to exchanges is for selling purposes, this trend can have potential bearish implications for the asset’s price.

On the other hand, a decline in the indicator suggests a net amount of the cryptocurrency’s supply is moving off the wallets associated with the exchange. Investors generally take their coins off into self-custody when they plan to hold for extended periods, so such a trend could be bullish for the coin.

Now, here is a chart that shows the trend in the Ethereum exchange reserve for BitMEX over the last few years:

Ethereum Exchange Reserve

As is visible in the above graph, the Ethereum exchange reserve on the BitMEX platform observed a sharp increase back in mid-2022. This would suggest that the investors had made some hefty net deposits into the exchange.

According to the quant, the platform houses a significant number of whales, so this large inflow activity would reflect the behavior of these humongous investors.

Interestingly, the rapid growth in the indicator had come right before ETH had crashed towards its bear market lows. Thus, it would appear possible that these large holders had anticipated that things were about to get worse for the asset, so they had pulled the trigger on selling while they still had the chance.

Another notable shift in the exchange reserve of BitMEX occurred in September 2023, when the whales took out a huge amount of Ethereum, almost completely retracing the earlier bear market increase.

From the chart, it’s apparent that soon after these net outflows occurred, the cryptocurrency’s price started on a sharp rally that would eventually take it above the $4,000 level for the first time since December 2021.

It would appear that these smart money whales were again correct in their intuition about the market, as they could time their buys just in time for the rally.

Since these net outflows in September, the indicator hasn’t displayed any significant shifts, as its value has been moving sideways. Given the historical trend, any new deviations that crop up could be worth watching out for, as they could potentially spell another shift for Ethereum.

ETH Price

Ethereum showed a recovery push from its lows yesterday, but the run has calmed down as ETH is still trading around $3,400 today.

Ethereum Price Chart



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Ethereum

Ethereum Staking Gets Major Boost With 60,000 Unique Depositors In One Month

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On-chain data recently showed that the Ethereum staking has experienced significant growth over the last month. This undoubtedly presents a bullish outlook for the Ethereum ecosystem, which is already oozing with a lot of bullish sentiment heading into July. 

Almost 60,000 Unique Depositors Join Ethereum Network

Data from the on-chain analytics platform CryptoQuant shows that 59,894 new depositors have joined ETH’s staking network since May 20. Interestingly, this significant increase began around the time Bloomberg analysts James Seyffart and Eric Balchunas increased their approval odds for the Spot Ethereum ETFs to 75%. 

Ethereum
Source: CrptoQuant

 

This again highlights the Spot Ethereum ETFs’ positive impact on ETH, although they haven’t begun trading. Thanks to these funds, the network has achieved a 4% increase in staking participation in just over a month. Increased staking participation is bullish for ETH, making the network more decentralized. 

Furthermore, the increase in the number of new depositors will also reduce ETH’s already dwindling circulating supply since these depositors have to lock up a significant amount of ETH to become validators on the network. Data from Dune Analytics shows that over 33 million ETH is locked up, representing almost 28% of Ehereum’s total supply. 

ETH’s Supply Side Paints A Bullish Picture

A reduction in Ethereum’s circulating supply is a bullish fundamental since it helps reduce the impact of any potential selling pressure on the crypto token. The positive impact of these locked-up tokens also becomes more evident as the demand for Ethereum increases since ETH’s price will bow to the dynamics of supply and demand. 

ETH’s distribution also paints a bullish picture for the crypto token. Data from the market intelligence platform IntoTheBlock shows that about 78% of ‘s supply, including staked ETH, is held by long-term holders, those who have been holding the crypto token for over a year. 

This shows that Ethereum’s supply is concentrated in the hands of individuals who are unlikely to offload their holdings anytime soon. This is significant, considering institutional investors are set to increase ETH’s demand once the Spot Ethereum ETFs begin trading. These funds are expected to start trading this month. 

Balchunas recently suggested that these Spot Ethereum ETFs could begin trading soon after July 8. Balchunas and Seyffart had previously predicted that these funds could begin trading by July 2. However, Balchunas noted that the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) had taken extra time to get back to the Spot Ethereum ETF issuers, so they had to change their timeline for when these funds would launch. 

Bitwise’s Chief Investment Officer Matt Hougan recently predicted that these Spot Ethereum ETFs could attract $15 billion in their first 18 months of trading. 

At the time of writing, ETH is trading at around $3,470, up over 2% in the last 24 hours, according to data from CoinMarketCap. 

Ethereum price chart from Tradingview.com
ETH price drops below $3,500 | Source: ETHUSDT on Tradingview.com

Featured image created with Dall.E, chart from Tradingview.com



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Ethereum Price Heading For $3,360 – Can Key Support Levels Sustain The Uptrend?

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Ethereum (ETH) is currently facing a critical test as it approaches the key support level of $3,360. This price point has emerged as a significant marker in recent trading sessions, with market participants closely watching to see if ETH can maintain its footing or if further declines are imminent. 

The $3,360 level represents a crucial battleground between bullish and bearish forces, and its outcome could set the tone for Ethereum’s short-term price trajectory. In this article, we will explore ETH’s potential price implications in the event of a rejection or a breach with the help of technical indicators.

At the time of writing, Ethereum was trading at around $3,387 and was down by 1.62% with a market capitalization of over $407 billion and a 24-hour trading volume of over $11 billion. Its market capitalization is down by 1.52%, while its trading volume is up by 32.02% in the past day.

Will $3,360 Support Hold Or Break?

It can be observed on the 4-hour chart that ETH’s price has experienced a drop toward $3,360 and is trading below the 100-day Simple Moving Average (SMA). Currently, the price is moving in a consolidating manner, which is slightly above this level.

Ethereum
Source: ETHUSDT on Tradingview.com

Additionally, the 4-hour Relative Strength Index (RSI) indicates that Ethereum’s price may breach below this support level and continue in its downtrend as the RSI line has dropped below 50% and could drop into the oversold zone.

Taking a look at the 1-day chart, it can be seen that ETH is attempting to drop below the 100-day SMA. Although the price of ETH is still bullish, based on current price action it may tend to fall further in the long run.

Ethereum
Source: ETHUSDT on Tradingview.com

Finally, the 1-day RSI indicator signals a bearish trend ahead as the signal line has already dropped below 50% and is heading toward the oversold zone. From the price analysis and the formation of technical indicators, it can be suggested that the crypto asset may likely break below the $3,360 support.

Ethereum’s Path Beyond $3,360

Exploring ETH’s prospects and strategies beyond $3,360, it was revealed that if the price of ETH breaks below this level, it may move lower to test the $3,051 support level and probably move on to test the $2,865 support level and other levels below if the price breaches this level.

However, if ETH’s price faces rejection at the $3,360 support level, it will begin to move upward toward the $3,659 resistance level. Should the digital asset breach this support level, it may move further to test the $3,975 resistance level and possibly other higher levels.

Ethereum
ETH trading at $3,390 on the 1D chart | Source: ETHUSDT on Tradingview.com

Featured image from Adobe Stock, chart from Tradingview.com



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SEC Sues Ethereum’s ConsenSys Over Lido And Rocket Pool Offerings

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The US Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) has intensified its legal battle with the crypto industry by filing a lawsuit against ConsenSys, a blockchain firm known for its MetaMask wallet product and its focus on the Ethereum network. 

The SEC alleges that ConsenSys violated federal securities laws by operating as an unregistered broker and dealer while offering services for “crypto securities,” amassing fees exceeding $250 million. 

SEC Lawsuit Against ConsenSys 

The SEC’s lawsuit against ConsenSys echoes similar complaints against other crypto firms such as Coinbase and Kraken. However, what sets this lawsuit apart is the context surrounding ConsenSys’ response to the SEC’s actions. 

In April, ConsenSys filed a lawsuit against the SEC after receiving a Wells notice seeking clarity on whether Ethereum should be classified as a security. Just recently, ConsenSys announced the closure of the SEC’s “Ethereum 2.0” investigation, interpreting it as an indication that Ethereum fell outside the agency’s jurisdiction. 

Notably, the SEC did not name Ethereum as one of the unregistered securities offered by ConsenSys in Friday’s filing, which may have led to the approval of the Ethereum ETF applications by the world’s largest asset managers on May 23.

Crypto Industry’s Regulatory Battle

ConsenSys, founded by Joseph Lubin, one of Ethereum’s developers, distinguishes itself from previous SEC targets. Rather than operating as an exchange, ConsenSys focuses on software development, including the MetaMask digital wallet. 

The SEC’s lawsuit argues that the firm violated securities laws by enabling the “swapping” of crypto assets through MetaMask. Particularly, the agency has targeted Ethereum staking services, namely Lido and Rocket Pool, alleging that their tokens, stETH and rETH, respectively, are unregistered securities.

The SEC further claims that ConsenSys facilitated over 36 million crypto asset transactions, including at least 5 million involving what the agency deems to be securities. 

Previously, the SEC had brought similar charges related to staking against Kraken, resulting in a $30 million settlement, while Coinbase has contested the charges.

While the new SEC complaint against the blockchain firm does not classify Ethereum as a security, it represents another front in the SEC’s ongoing campaign against major players in the crypto industry. 

Many within the crypto community may view this as a partial victory, given the absence of Ethereum’s inclusion as an unregistered security. However, the lawsuit further highlights the regulatory uncertainties surrounding the industry’s top companies. 

ConsenSys, currently engaged in an ongoing lawsuit against the SEC in Texas, criticized the agency’s actions, accusing it of pursuing an “anti-crypto agenda” through arbitrary enforcement actions and regulatory overreach.

ConsenSys
The 1-D chart shows ETH’s price trending downwards. Source: ETHUSD on TradingView.com

At the time of writing, ETH was trading at $3,777, down 2.3% in the past 24 hours as the crypto market continues to experience significant selling pressure. 

Featured image from DALL-E, chart from TradingView.com 



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