Market
Bitcoin ETF Outflows Reach $1.13 Billion Amid Market Uncertainty
In the past seven trading days, spot Bitcoin (BTC) exchange-traded funds (ETFs) have witnessed significant outflows amounting to $1.13 billion.
This development has raised concerns among investors and traders about Bitcoin’s stability and future trajectory.
Behind the Spot Bitcoin ETF Outflows: Shifts in Market Sentiment and Dynamics
According to SoSo Value data, the spot Bitcoin ETFs have recorded outflows from June 13 until June 24. Grayscale Bitcoin Trust (GBTC) and Fidelity Wise Origin Bitcoin Fund (FBTC) are the biggest contributors to these significant outflows, with $90 million and $35 million outflows as of June 24, respectively.
Read more: What Is a Bitcoin ETF?
The crypto research firm 10x Research highlights that the current ETF selling contrasts sharply with the bullish buying seen in February and March, which was driven by perceived institutional adoption of Bitcoin. In today’s market, the bearish sentiment reflects ETF selling as institutions potentially exit the market, significantly impacting market confidence and trading behaviors.
This shift is evident in the actions of many multi-strategy hedge funds. Previously long on Bitcoin ETFs and short on Chicago Mercantile Exchange (CME) Bitcoin futures, these funds are now unwinding their positions. This decision, driven by an annualized funding rate below 10%, is reflected in the decline of open interest in Bitcoin CME futures, matching the volume of sold Bitcoin spot ETFs.
Moreover, speculative trading activity in futures, driven by institutional buying through ETFs, has expanded the funding rate. Institutions adopted a delta-neutral strategy, buying ETFs and selling futures to lock in yields.
Arbitrage funds, which constitute 30-40% of the $14.2 billion Bitcoin ETF inflows, have traditionally leveraged a delta-neutral strategy by buying spot Bitcoin and selling futures. The current market conditions have prompted a reassessment of this strategy, reflecting a broader shift in institutional behavior and market sentiment.
Bitcoin ETF Buyers Flat as Market Faces Price Drop
Furthermore, 10x Research pointed out concerns about over-bullish sentiment regarding spot Ethereum ETFs, especially given the weak Bitcoin ETF inflows. This concern is amplified by the fact that the average Bitcoin ETF buyer is now flat, with an average entry price of $60,000-$61,000.
The continuous outflows from these ETFs coincide with Bitcoin’s current price movement. On June 24, Bitcoin’s price plummeted from $64,076 to $59,495, marking an approximately 7% decrease. According to 10x Research, several factors contributed to this sell-off, including distributions from Mt. Gox, sales by the German government, Bitcoin miners, ETFs, and OG wallets.
“Hypothetically, this adds up to $16-18 billion, similar to the year-to-date Bitcoin ETF inflows,” Markus Thielen from 10x Research noted.
10x Research has also identified multiple sell signals for Bitcoin. These signals include significant volatility and price range indicators predicting declines. These factors suggest deeper declines could occur before a potential rebound from lower levels.
However, 10x Research noted that Bitcoin is currently deeply oversold. Additionally, the Greed and Fear Index is at one of its lowest levels, often indicating market bottoms. This condition gives crypto influencers bullish sentiments, prompting them to advise buying the dip.
Read more: Bitcoin (BTC) Price Prediction 2024/2025/2030
Despite the significant outflows from spot Bitcoin ETFs and the current BTC price situation, several institutional investors still show their bullishness toward the cryptocurrency. Earlier this week, corporates like MicroStrategy and Japanese firm Metaplanet announced significant Bitcoin purchases. Furthermore, spot Bitcoin ETFs in Hong Kong have seen an increase in Bitcoin amount, from 3,842 BTC on June 21 to $3,911 on June 24.
Disclaimer
In adherence to the Trust Project guidelines, BeInCrypto is committed to unbiased, transparent reporting. This news article aims to provide accurate, timely information. However, readers are advised to verify facts independently and consult with a professional before making any decisions based on this content. Please note that our Terms and Conditions, Privacy Policy, and Disclaimers have been updated.
Market
Cardano (ADA) Price Faces Critical Levels After 193% Surge
Cardano (ADA) price climbed 193.65% over the last 30 days and 37.82% in the past week. Despite this impressive rally, indicators suggest that ADA’s uptrend may be losing steam. The ADX, which measures trend strength, has dropped from over 60 to nearly 45, signaling weakening momentum even as the uptrend remains intact.
With whale accumulation stabilizing and prices approaching key EMA levels, ADA faces a critical moment that could lead to either a test of its highest price since 2021 or a potential 48% correction if bearish pressure grows.
ADA Uptrend Appears to Be Losing Steam
Cardano ADX currently sits at nearly 45, having declined from over 60 just a few days ago. The ADX, or Average Directional Index, measures the strength of a trend, with values above 25 indicating a significant trend and values above 40 suggesting a very strong one.
Although an ADX of 45 still reflects strong momentum, the drop from 60 signals a weakening in the trend’s intensity, even if the direction remains unchanged.
Currently, ADA is in an uptrend, supported by its directional indicators. The decline in ADX suggests that while the uptrend remains strong, the bullish momentum has begun to lose some of its strength. If the ADX continues to drop, it could indicate that the current uptrend may flatten or reverse if selling pressure grows.
However, with an ADX still well above 25, the trend remains meaningful, and Cardano price is likely to retain its bullish bias for the near term unless further weakening occurs.
Cardano Whales Stopped Accumulating
Whales began accumulating Cardano heavily starting November 10, with the number of wallets holding between 10,000,000 and 100,000,000 ADA increasing from 398 to 408 by November 15. Tracking whale activity is crucial because these large holders often have the power to influence market trends significantly.
Their buying behavior can indicate growing confidence in the asset and potentially fuel price surges, while their selling may trigger downward pressure.
Since November 15, the number of these whale wallets has stabilized, hovering between 407 and 409. This consistent accumulation suggests that whales are holding onto their positions, reflecting a neutral to bullish sentiment.
If whales maintain their holdings without significant additions or reductions, ADA price may experience less volatility, with the market awaiting new catalysts for the next directional move.
ADA Price Prediction: Highest Price Since 2021 Or a Strong Correction?
Cardano EMA lines continue to reflect a bullish setup, with short-term lines positioned above long-term ones. However, the current price is no longer significantly above the short-term EMA lines, indicating that the bullish momentum has weakened.
This proximity suggests that the uptrend is losing strength, and the ADA price is approaching a critical point where it could either rebound or dip below these lines, signaling a potential trend shift.
If the uptrend regains strength, ADA price could test levels above $1.155, potentially reaching $1.16, its highest price since March 2021. However, as indicated by the declining ADX, the current uptrend is losing intensity, increasing the likelihood of a reversal.
Should the trend turn bearish, ADA’s closest support lies at $0.519, which would represent a significant 48% correction from current levels.
Disclaimer
In line with the Trust Project guidelines, this price analysis article is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial or investment advice. BeInCrypto is committed to accurate, unbiased reporting, but market conditions are subject to change without notice. Always conduct your own research and consult with a professional before making any financial decisions. Please note that our Terms and Conditions, Privacy Policy, and Disclaimers have been updated.
Market
How Bitcoin Realized Profits May Impact BTC Price
Since November 21, Bitcoin (BTC) has hovered near the $100,000 mark but hasn’t hit it, with BeInCrypto attributing this to increased realized profits.
Recent data shows that profit-taking activity has slowed. What does this mean for Bitcoin’s price?
Bitcoin Holders Step Back from Booking Gains
Data from Glassnode shows that Bitcoin realized profits surged to $10.58 million on Thursday, November 21. However, as of this writing, the value has dropped to $1.58 million, a $9 million difference.
As the name implies, realized profit is the value of coins sold after their price has increased. Therefore, when this metric rises, it becomes challenging for the cryptocurrency’s price to continue its rally.
However, since the realized profit has dropped, most BTC holders have halted selling in large volumes. If this trend continues, Bitcoin’s price could bounce and probably rise to the $100,000 milestone.
This sentiment is further supported by the Coins Holding Time metric, which tracks how long a cryptocurrency has been held without being transacted or sold.
When the Coins Holding Time decreases, it means holders of a particular crypto are selling. If this continues, the trend becomes bearish. However, over the last seven days, BTC Coins Holding Time has increased by 65%.
This increment reinforces the bias by the Bitcoin realized profit that selling pressure has decreased. Interestingly, IT Tech, an analyst on CryptoQuant, agrees with the thesis that Bitcoin might continue to climb.
“The green bars showing STH selling in profit have yet to reach levels seen during the previous $72,400 peak. This suggests that profit-taking pressure hasn’t peaked, leaving room for further upward movement in price,” IT Tech said.
BTC Price Prediction: $102, 500 Seems Close
On the daily chart, BTC continues to trade within an ascending channel, suggesting that it has the potential to climb higher.
BeInCrypto also observed that the Supetrend indicator has remained bullish. The Supertrend is a technical indicator used to spot the direction in which an asset moves.
If the red part of the indicator is above the price, the trend is downward, and the price can decrease. However, since the green area is below the price, the value might rise above $99,780. If that were the case, Bitcoin’s price might climb to $102,500.
On the other hand, if Bitcoin realized profits surge again, this might not happen. Instead, the value could decline to $84,466.
Disclaimer
In line with the Trust Project guidelines, this price analysis article is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial or investment advice. BeInCrypto is committed to accurate, unbiased reporting, but market conditions are subject to change without notice. Always conduct your own research and consult with a professional before making any financial decisions. Please note that our Terms and Conditions, Privacy Policy, and Disclaimers have been updated.
Market
Bullish Run Faces Key Challenges
Hedera (HBAR) price has shown impressive growth, climbing 21.43% in the past seven days and a remarkable 172.58% over the last month. This surge is supported by a bullish trend in its EMA lines, with short-term lines above the long-term ones, indicating sustained upward momentum.
However, caution is warranted as both the Ichimoku Cloud and DMI charts highlight signs of potential trend reversal. If bearish momentum takes over, HBAR could face a significant correction, testing critical support levels at $0.117 and potentially falling as low as $0.053.
HBAR Current Uptrend Is Still Strong
Hedera DMI chart highlights an ADX value of 52, signaling a strong market trend. The ADX, or Average Directional Index, measures the strength of a trend, with values above 25 indicating a significant trend and values above 40 signaling an exceptionally strong one.
An ADX at 52 suggests that the current trend, whether upward or downward, is firmly established and unlikely to weaken soon. Importantly, this value has remained above 40 since November 14, showing sustained market momentum.
Currently, HBAR’s D+ stands at 27.2, and D- at 14.4, reflecting that the prevailing trend is upward. However, the decreasing D+ alongside a sharp increase in D- indicates a potential weakening of the uptrend. This divergence suggests growing selling pressure, which could eventually challenge the bullish dominance if it continues.
While the trend remains strong for now, the interplay between D+ and D- highlights a critical phase for Hedera, where market sentiment may shift if the bearish momentum gains further traction.
Ichimoku Cloud Shows Caution Is Needed
Based on the Ichimoku Cloud chart for HBAR, the price is trading near the Kijun-Sen (orange line) and Tenkan-Sen (blue line), indicating a consolidation phase. The flat nature of the Kijun-Sen suggests a lack of strong directional momentum, while the cloud (Senkou Span A and B) below the price acts as a support zone.
The green cloud indicates bullish sentiment in the mid-term, but the price’s struggle to stay above the Kijun-Sen highlights uncertainty.
If HBAR price maintains support above the cloud, it could attempt a bullish reversal. The next resistance will be around the Tenkan-Sen and the recent high.
However, a breakdown below the cloud could signal bearish momentum, potentially targeting lower levels. The thinning cloud toward the end of the chart also suggests weakening support, making this a critical phase for HBAR trend direction.
HBAR Price Prediction: A 62% Correction After The Recent Surge?
HBAR EMA lines display a bullish trend, with short-term lines positioned above the long-term ones, signaling strong upward momentum.
The token has surged 21.43% in the past seven days. If the uptrend persists, it could challenge resistance at $0.157 and $0.1711. This bullish sentiment reflects sustained buying pressure, keeping the price on an upward trajectory.
However, indicators like the Ichimoku Cloud and DMI suggest a potential trend reversal. Should the trend shift bearish, HBAR price is likely to test support at $0.117, a critical level for maintaining its momentum.
If this support fails, the price could plummet to $0.053, marking a significant 62% correction.
Disclaimer
In line with the Trust Project guidelines, this price analysis article is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial or investment advice. BeInCrypto is committed to accurate, unbiased reporting, but market conditions are subject to change without notice. Always conduct your own research and consult with a professional before making any financial decisions. Please note that our Terms and Conditions, Privacy Policy, and Disclaimers have been updated.
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