Market
Is Ripple (XRP) Price Headed Toward $0.42 as Demand Leans?

The number of Ripple (XRP) tokens held across cryptocurrency exchanges totals 2.84 million XRP, which is valued at $1.34 million at current market prices.
This represents the lowest amount of XRP tokens held on exchanges since the beginning of the year.
Ripple Records Low Sell-offs
At press time, the token’s supply on exchanges was 2.84 million XRP, the lowest level since January 1. When an asset’s supply on exchanges drops, its total amount held on cryptocurrency exchanges decreases.

This may be due to investors holding their tokens in a hardware wallet, staking on decentralized finance platforms (DeFi), or generally refraining from selling their holdings in expectation of a future price rally.
However, XRP’s recent price action has not shown any potential for a significant rebound in the near term. As of this writing, XRP trades at $0.47. In the last month, the altcoin’s value has plummeted by 12%.
Read More: Everything You Need To Know About Ripple vs SEC
For context, the altcoin revisited its year-to-date low of $0.46 on June 24, marking its second time this month alone.
The consistent decline in XRP’s value is partly attributable to how much losses its holders have incurred recently. For example, its daily ratio of transaction volume in profit to loss (assessed using a 30-day moving average) is 0.88 at press time.

This means that for every XRP transaction ending in a loss, only 0.88 transactions return a profit.
XRP Price Prediction: The Bears Are in Control
Readings from XRP’s price performance on a daily chart show the decline in the demand for the altcoin. For example, its Chaikin Money Flow (CMF), which measures money flow into and out of its market, is currently 0.06.
A negative CMF value is a sign of market weakness. It is a bearish signal that suggests liquidity exit from the market. Traders often interpret it as a signal of a further decline in an asset’s value.
XRP’s Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) setup confirms the bearish sentiment. As of this writing, the token’s MACD line (blue) rests under the signal (orange) and zero lines.

The indicator identifies changes in an asset’s strength, price direction, and momentum. When the MACD line falls under the signal line, it is a bearish signal, which suggests that selling pressure is more significant than buying activity.
If the demand for XRP continues to plummet, its price will fall to $0.42.
Read More: Ripple (XRP) Price Prediction 2024/2025/2030

However, if sentiment shifts from bearish to bullish, the token’s price will rise to $0.49.
Disclaimer
In line with the Trust Project guidelines, this price analysis article is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial or investment advice. BeInCrypto is committed to accurate, unbiased reporting, but market conditions are subject to change without notice. Always conduct your own research and consult with a professional before making any financial decisions. Please note that our Terms and Conditions, Privacy Policy, and Disclaimers have been updated.
Market
SEC Reconsiders Howey Test Use in Crypto Oversight

The US Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) is preparing to review several internal staff directives that influence how the regulator oversees the crypto industry.
This move aligns with President Donald Trump’s latest Executive Order on deregulation. It also follows guidance from the Department of Government Efficiency (DOGE), currently led by Elon Musk.
SEC to Review Howey Test and Investment Contract Framework Application
On April 5, Acting SEC Chair Mark Uyeda noted that the upcoming reviews could result in changes or full withdrawal of some statements. He emphasized that the agency’s objective is to ensure its guidance remains relevant and consistent with its current priorities.
“The purpose of this review is to identify staff statements that should be modified or rescinded consistent with current agency priorities,” the Commission stated.
One of the main targets of this reassessment is the SEC’s current framework for determining whether a digital asset qualifies as a security. This guideline relies heavily on the decades-old Howey Test.
It also reflects the views of former SEC official Bill Hinman, shared during a 2018 speech. Hinman argued that the degree of decentralization behind a token should matter more than how it was originally sold.
This view has influenced several enforcement decisions, including the legal battle with Ripple over XRP. However, many in the industry argue that the Howey Test is no longer suitable for modern blockchain technologies.
This development may pave the way for a dramatic shift in how crypto assets are evaluated. Crypto analyst Jesus Martinez believes that removing or revising the current framework could be a major turning point for retail investors in the US.
He argues that regulatory constraints have long blocked everyday users from participating in projects like launchpads and node operations. These platforms are often only accessible to those with foreign identification or institutional workarounds.
Martinez says that dismantling such outdated rules could help level the playing field for American investors.
“It’s been hurting retail for the longest time & we need to prioritize American citizens, this is a big step in that direction,” Martinez concluded.
Beyond the Howey-based framework, the SEC is also reviewing several other documents. One of these is a bulletin outlining regulatory concerns around mutual funds investing in Bitcoin futures.
The financial regulator is also reviewing a risk alert from the Division of Examination. This alert warns that digital assets pose unique investor risks, including regulatory uncertainty and cybersecurity threats.
Additionally, the Commission is reassessing whether state-chartered banks and trust companies can act as qualified custodians under the SEC’s Custody Rule.
The crypto community believes the SEC’s broad reassessment points to a shift toward a more modern and flexible regulatory approach. This shift could reshape the crypto landscape for both retail investors and institutional participants
Disclaimer
In adherence to the Trust Project guidelines, BeInCrypto is committed to unbiased, transparent reporting. This news article aims to provide accurate, timely information. However, readers are advised to verify facts independently and consult with a professional before making any decisions based on this content. Please note that our Terms and Conditions, Privacy Policy, and Disclaimers have been updated.
Market
XRP High Stakes Setup: Analyst Warns Of Sharp Move To $17 Or $0.65

Renowned market analyst Egrag Crypto has shared another puzzling XRP price prediction stating the altcoin is at a major technical crossroads. This development follows a resilient price performance in the past week during which XRP gained by 2.07% as the broader crypto market stands bullish despite the announcement of new US trade tariffs.
Ascending Wedge Signals Incoming Volatility — Which Way Will XRP Break?
In an X post on April 5, Egrag Crypto issued a dual price forecast on the XRP market based on the potential implications of a forming Ascending Broadening Wedge pattern. Also known as the megaphone pattern, the chart formation signals increasing volatility and investor indecisions. It looks like a widening triangle with two diverging trendlines, as seen in the chart below.
The Ascending Broadening Wedge presents high unpredictability and offers a 70% chance of a downside breakout and a 30% probability of an upside breakout. However, despite this statistical bias, the analyst postulates the chances of an upside remain valid if certain conditions are met.
According to the analyst, XRP must first close above $3.50 for a bullish scenario to start taking shape. In doing so, the altcoin would surpass the local peak of the current bull cycle and confirm intentions of an upward momentum. Following this move, XRP bulls should then aim for the $5 range—another key resistance level that could determine the asset’s next major move.
Interestingly, Egrag explains that a failure to convincingly close above $5 would only be a critical development that completes the formation of the Ascending Wedge Pattern and increases the likelihood of a breakout. If this rejection occurs, XRP is expected to retest the $1.90 area and make a second push toward the $5, this time breaking through and closing above $6.
Egrag states the breakout above $6 would validate the bullish run and likely spark a surge toward double-digit territory with a potential target at $17.50 based on the Ascending Wedge Pattern. However, should XRP bulls fail to meet these conditions or follow this sequence, the historical 70% chance of a breakdown points to a downside target of around $0.65.
XRP Price Overview
At the time of writing, XRP trades at $2.14 reflecting a price gain of 0.60% in the past day. Meanwhile, the token’s trading volume is down by 62.92% in the past day indicating a fall in market engagement and a declining buying pressure following the recent market gain. In making any significant uptrend, XRP bulls must first reclaim the following resistances at $2.47 and $2.61 while avoiding any slip below the $2 support zone.
Market
Solana Altcoin Saros Rallies 1000% Since March, Hits New High

Saros, the Solana-based altcoin, has been on an impressive uptrend over the past month. The token’s price has formed new all-time highs (ATHs) nearly every day throughout March.
However, with the momentum showing signs of slowing, investors are wondering if this rally is nearing its end.
SAROS Refrains From Following Bitcoin
The correlation between Saros and Bitcoin (BTC) is currently negative, sitting at -0.43. This negative correlation has worked in Saros’ favor, as it allowed the altcoin to perform well during Bitcoin’s struggles throughout March. While Bitcoin faced significant declines, Saros was able to rally largely due to this inverse relationship.
The shifting dynamics between Bitcoin and Saros will be key to the future price movement of the altcoin. Should Bitcoin regain its upward momentum, Saros may face increased selling pressure. This is because the negative correlation that has benefited Saros may reverse, impacting the altcoin’s ability to maintain its upward trajectory.

The overall macro momentum of Saros shows that investor interest has remained strong. The Chaikin Money Flow (CMF) indicator has been increasing steadily over the past month, signaling consistent inflows.
Recently, it crossed the saturation threshold of 0.7, a level that has historically led to price corrections. This suggests that while Saros has experienced significant gains, the market may be nearing an overbought condition. If profit-taking begins, a price pullback is highly probable for the altcoin.

SAROS Price Rise Continues
Saros has surged by an astounding 1,024% since the beginning of March, trading at $0.153 as of now. Throughout March, the altcoin has formed new ATHs almost daily, reflecting strong investor sentiment and demand.
The current ATH stands at $0.163, and the momentum could continue pushing the price upwards, potentially reaching $0.200 if the uptrend remains intact. However, as the price continues to rise, the risk of profit-taking increases.

If Saros faces such a pullback, it could fall back towards the $0.100 support level. If the altcoin loses this key support, the price could drop further to $0.055, invalidating the bullish outlook. Investors should keep an eye on these levels as they will help determine whether the current rally is sustainable.
Disclaimer
In line with the Trust Project guidelines, this price analysis article is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial or investment advice. BeInCrypto is committed to accurate, unbiased reporting, but market conditions are subject to change without notice. Always conduct your own research and consult with a professional before making any financial decisions. Please note that our Terms and Conditions, Privacy Policy, and Disclaimers have been updated.
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