Market
XRP’s Roadmap To Success: Analyst Forecast A Strong Bullish Turn In 2024
Despite its recent decline, XRP, one of the largest cryptocurrencies by market cap, now holds the potential for substantial gains. Particularly, according to a recent technical analysis by Amonyx, XRP is poised for a bullish run against both the United States dollar and Bitcoin throughout 2024.
This optimism is grounded in several key technical indicators and historical price actions, suggesting that XRP might soon experience notable price movements.
Technical Forecast: XRP Path In 2024
Amonyx’s technical assessment focuses on the long-term price trends of XRP, particularly its performance within an ascending channel established in 2014. The XRP/USD pair analysis points to consistent behavior within this channel, bounded by its upper and lower trendlines.
Key Fibonacci retracement levels identified at 0.618, 0.786, 1.618, and 2.618 are seen as potential resistance and support zones. The analysis highlights these zones as pivotal areas where price reversals or consolidation might occur.
Moreover, the analyst projects a bullish surge toward the 2.618 Fibonacci level by 2024, suggesting that investors might witness a significant uptick in XRP’s value.
This ‘flip zone’ the analyst wrote on the chart at the upper end of the trend provides a theoretical point for the asset to consolidate or reverse, indicating critical trading opportunities.
Turning to the XRP/BTC chart, a similar detailed examination reveals a persistent descending trendline starting from the same base year, 2014.
This trendline has been a resistance point for XRP, with the price nearing another test of this boundary. The analysis includes observations of bullish and bearish divergences on momentum indicators such as the Relative Strength Index (RSI), suggesting potential for upcoming price movements.
The projected path on the XRP/BTC chart envisions a bullish trajectory for the 1.618 Fibonacci level, corroborating the bullish sentiments from the XRP/USD analysis.
This convergence in analysis across different currency pairs further strengthens the case for XRP’s growth potential relative to both the dollar and Bitcoin.
Current Market Position and Outlook
Despite these optimistic projections, XRP’s price currently trades at $0.49, having recovered slightly by 1% after a nearly 10% decline over the past two weeks.
This recovery could be the onset of the anticipated bullish trend. Insights from CryptoQuant highlight an increase in XRP’s Open Interest (OI), particularly following developments related to regulatory news involving the SEC. This surge in OI indicates a growing interest from traders, aligning with the expected price increase.
Meanwhile, Santiment has recently suggested that XRP’s current market conditions and a 30-day Market Value to Realized Value (MVRV) ratio of -3.5% place it in a mildly bullish category.
The lower a cryptocurrency’s 30-day MVRV is, the higher the likelihood we see a short-term bounce:
Bitcoin: -4.0% (Mild Bullish)
Ethereum: -4.3% (Mild Bullish)
XRP: -3.5% (Mild Bullish)
Dogecoin: -16.7% (Very Bullish)
Toncoin: -0.6% (Neutral)
Cardano: -12.6% (Very Bullish) pic.twitter.com/zHGg4t3qo1— Santiment (@santimentfeed) June 19, 2024
Featured image created with DALL-E, Chart from TradingView
ETF issuer WisdomTree’s European division just announced a new ETP based on XRP. This product is currently available in four EU countries, which has led XRP’s price to jump slightly.
ETPs are a common issuer strategy to earn revenue without ETF approval, but Europe will not necessarily approve one even if the US does so.
WisdomTree’s XRP ETP
WisdomTree, one of the Bitcoin ETF issuers in the US, announced that its European branch is offering an exchange-traded product (ETP) based on XRP. This new product is currently available in Germany, Switzerland, France, and the Netherlands. A growing number of issuers have filed for an XRP ETF, but WisdomTree is taking a slightly different tack.
“The WisdomTree Physical XRP ETP offers a simple, secure, and low-cost way to gain exposure to XRP, one of the largest cryptocurrencies by market capitalization. Backed 100% by XRP, XRPW is the lowest-priced XRP ETP in Europe, providing direct spot price exposure,” the announcement claimed.
The possibility of an official XRP ETF is growing with the current bull market, and Ripple CEO Brad Garlinghouse considers it “inevitable.” Still, it hasn’t happened yet, and ETP offerings allow issuers to somewhat address customers’ requirements. BitWise, which has also filed for an XRP ETF in the US, recently acquired a European ETP issuer to enter the same market.
WisdomTree, however, is no stranger to this market strategy. In May this year, it won approval to offer ETPs based on Bitcoin and Ethereum to British investors.
The UK has not yet approved a full ETF for either of these assets, but WisdomTree still gained market access. Even a fraction of the XRP market could also prove lucrative; the asset’s value spiked today.
WisdomTree Europe’s strategy page does not describe any further actions upon full approval. Even if the US approves an XRP ETF under the SEC’s new leadership, that won’t necessarily benefit WisdomTree’s European branch. For now, these ETPs built on XRP will have to suffice for this market.
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Ethereum price started a fresh increase above the $3,220 zone. ETH is rising and aiming for more gains above the $3,350 resistance.
- Ethereum started a fresh increase above the $3,220 and $3,300 levels.
- The price is trading above $3,250 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average.
- There is a short-term contracting triangle forming with resistance at $3,360 on the hourly chart of ETH/USD (data feed via Kraken).
- The pair could gain bullish momentum if it clears the $3,385 resistance zone.
Ethereum Price Regains Traction
Ethereum price remained supported above $3,000 and started a fresh increase like Bitcoin. ETH gained pace for a move above the $3,150 and $3,220 resistance levels.
The bulls pumped the price above the $3,300 level. It gained over 10% and traded as high as $3,387. It is now consolidating gains above the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the recent move from the $3,036 swing low to the $3,387 high.
Ethereum price is now trading above $3,220 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average. On the upside, the price seems to be facing hurdles near the $3,350 level. There is also a short-term contracting triangle forming with resistance at $3,360 on the hourly chart of ETH/USD.
The first major resistance is near the $3,385 level. The main resistance is now forming near $3,420. A clear move above the $3,420 resistance might send the price toward the $3,550 resistance. An upside break above the $3,550 resistance might call for more gains in the coming sessions. In the stated case, Ether could rise toward the $3,650 resistance zone or even $3,880.
Another Decline In ETH?
If Ethereum fails to clear the $3,350 resistance, it could start another decline. Initial support on the downside is near the $3,300 level. The first major support sits near the $3,250 zone.
A clear move below the $3,250 support might push the price toward $3,220 or the 50% Fib retracement level of the recent move from the $3,036 swing low to the $3,387 high. Any more losses might send the price toward the $3,150 support level in the near term. The next key support sits at $3,050.
Technical Indicators
Hourly MACD – The MACD for ETH/USD is gaining momentum in the bullish zone.
Hourly RSI – The RSI for ETH/USD is now above the 50 zone.
Major Support Level – $3,250
Major Resistance Level – $3,385
Ethereum price started a fresh increase above the $3,220 zone. ETH is rising and aiming for more gains above the $3,350 resistance.
- Ethereum started a fresh increase above the $3,220 and $3,300 levels.
- The price is trading above $3,250 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average.
- There is a short-term contracting triangle forming with resistance at $3,360 on the hourly chart of ETH/USD (data feed via Kraken).
- The pair could gain bullish momentum if it clears the $3,385 resistance zone.
Ethereum Price Regains Traction
Ethereum price remained supported above $3,000 and started a fresh increase like Bitcoin. ETH gained pace for a move above the $3,150 and $3,220 resistance levels.
The bulls pumped the price above the $3,300 level. It gained over 10% and traded as high as $3,387. It is now consolidating gains above the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the recent move from the $3,036 swing low to the $3,387 high.
Ethereum price is now trading above $3,220 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average. On the upside, the price seems to be facing hurdles near the $3,350 level. There is also a short-term contracting triangle forming with resistance at $3,360 on the hourly chart of ETH/USD.
The first major resistance is near the $3,385 level. The main resistance is now forming near $3,420. A clear move above the $3,420 resistance might send the price toward the $3,550 resistance. An upside break above the $3,550 resistance might call for more gains in the coming sessions. In the stated case, Ether could rise toward the $3,650 resistance zone or even $3,880.
Another Decline In ETH?
If Ethereum fails to clear the $3,350 resistance, it could start another decline. Initial support on the downside is near the $3,300 level. The first major support sits near the $3,250 zone.
A clear move below the $3,250 support might push the price toward $3,220 or the 50% Fib retracement level of the recent move from the $3,036 swing low to the $3,387 high. Any more losses might send the price toward the $3,150 support level in the near term. The next key support sits at $3,050.
Technical Indicators
Hourly MACD – The MACD for ETH/USD is gaining momentum in the bullish zone.
Hourly RSI – The RSI for ETH/USD is now above the 50 zone.
Major Support Level – $3,250
Major Resistance Level – $3,385
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