Market
This is Why Retail Investors Are Ditching Crypto
Retail investors are currently displaying notable caution toward the crypto market. This behavior contrasts with past cycles when their involvement significantly influenced market trends.
Understanding the reasons behind this hesitance is crucial for predicting future market movements.
Retail Investors Are Not Here Yet
Retail investors are showing reluctance to engage with the crypto market, a trend that experts say may impact the market’s trajectory. Gustavo Faria, co-founder of Nosy, highlights key metrics indicating that retail participation remains low.
“A central characteristic of Bitcoin cycle tops is the dominance of coins with a holding period of less than 3 months,” says Faria.
Currently, short-term holders account for about 35% of the realized cap, compared to over 70% during previous market peaks. This suggests that long-term Bitcoin holders, often termed “smart money,” are maintaining their positions, providing a more stable market foundation.
Historically, the Spent Output Profit Ratio (SOPR) of short-term holders has surpassed 1.10 during market peaks. In this cycle, the highest SOPR recorded was 1.05, indicating a more neutral market stance.
“This structure suggests that we have not yet reached the peak euphoria of this cycle,” Faria adds.
He believes the current market is strong, reducing the likelihood of an immediate transition to a bear market and signaling potential for further growth.
Read more: Bitcoin (BTC) Price Prediction 2024 / 2025 / 2030
Moreover, Anthony Sassano, an independent Ethereum educator, notes the peculiar nature of the current bull market, calling it the “weirdest ever.” He points out that the expected four-year cycle appears disrupted, with market behavior driven by crypto natives rather than retail investors.
Sassano highlights the absence of broad market growth, typically fueled by retail participation.
“Retail and new money were and are still not here – it’s all just crypto natives doing max PvP,” he observes.
Adding to this perspective, crypto analyst Cyclop emphasizes the absence of retail enthusiasm. He points out that current trading volumes are significantly lower than those in 2021, despite Bitcoin’s higher price.
Cyclop suggests that this lack of retail involvement means the market has not yet reached the speculative frenzy seen in previous cycles.
“Normies are still not in crypto. My friends aren’t messaging me on WhatsApp. My mom doesn’t know that Bitcoin is at all-time highs,” he comments.
These insights suggest that retail investors are cautious, possibly due to the crypto market’s volatility. This hesitance, combined with the current market dynamics dominated by seasoned crypto participants, could limit the market’s growth potential.
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Aayush Jindal, a luminary in the world of financial markets, whose expertise spans over 15 illustrious years in the realms of Forex and cryptocurrency trading. Renowned for his unparalleled proficiency in providing technical analysis, Aayush is a trusted advisor and senior market expert to investors worldwide, guiding them through the intricate landscapes of modern finance with his keen insights and astute chart analysis.
From a young age, Aayush exhibited a natural aptitude for deciphering complex systems and unraveling patterns. Fueled by an insatiable curiosity for understanding market dynamics, he embarked on a journey that would lead him to become one of the foremost authorities in the fields of Forex and crypto trading. With a meticulous eye for detail and an unwavering commitment to excellence, Aayush honed his craft over the years, mastering the art of technical analysis and chart interpretation.
As a software engineer, Aayush harnesses the power of technology to optimize trading strategies and develop innovative solutions for navigating the volatile waters of financial markets. His background in software engineering has equipped him with a unique skill set, enabling him to leverage cutting-edge tools and algorithms to gain a competitive edge in an ever-evolving landscape.
In addition to his roles in finance and technology, Aayush serves as the director of a prestigious IT company, where he spearheads initiatives aimed at driving digital innovation and transformation. Under his visionary leadership, the company has flourished, cementing its position as a leader in the tech industry and paving the way for groundbreaking advancements in software development and IT solutions.
Despite his demanding professional commitments, Aayush is a firm believer in the importance of work-life balance. An avid traveler and adventurer, he finds solace in exploring new destinations, immersing himself in different cultures, and forging lasting memories along the way. Whether he’s trekking through the Himalayas, diving in the azure waters of the Maldives, or experiencing the vibrant energy of bustling metropolises, Aayush embraces every opportunity to broaden his horizons and create unforgettable experiences.
Aayush’s journey to success is marked by a relentless pursuit of excellence and a steadfast commitment to continuous learning and growth. His academic achievements are a testament to his dedication and passion for excellence, having completed his software engineering with honors and excelling in every department.
At his core, Aayush is driven by a profound passion for analyzing markets and uncovering profitable opportunities amidst volatility. Whether he’s poring over price charts, identifying key support and resistance levels, or providing insightful analysis to his clients and followers, Aayush’s unwavering dedication to his craft sets him apart as a true industry leader and a beacon of inspiration to aspiring traders around the globe.
In a world where uncertainty reigns supreme, Aayush Jindal stands as a guiding light, illuminating the path to financial success with his unparalleled expertise, unwavering integrity, and boundless enthusiasm for the markets.
Aayush Jindal, a luminary in the world of financial markets, whose expertise spans over 15 illustrious years in the realms of Forex and cryptocurrency trading. Renowned for his unparalleled proficiency in providing technical analysis, Aayush is a trusted advisor and senior market expert to investors worldwide, guiding them through the intricate landscapes of modern finance with his keen insights and astute chart analysis.
From a young age, Aayush exhibited a natural aptitude for deciphering complex systems and unraveling patterns. Fueled by an insatiable curiosity for understanding market dynamics, he embarked on a journey that would lead him to become one of the foremost authorities in the fields of Forex and crypto trading. With a meticulous eye for detail and an unwavering commitment to excellence, Aayush honed his craft over the years, mastering the art of technical analysis and chart interpretation.
As a software engineer, Aayush harnesses the power of technology to optimize trading strategies and develop innovative solutions for navigating the volatile waters of financial markets. His background in software engineering has equipped him with a unique skill set, enabling him to leverage cutting-edge tools and algorithms to gain a competitive edge in an ever-evolving landscape.
In addition to his roles in finance and technology, Aayush serves as the director of a prestigious IT company, where he spearheads initiatives aimed at driving digital innovation and transformation. Under his visionary leadership, the company has flourished, cementing its position as a leader in the tech industry and paving the way for groundbreaking advancements in software development and IT solutions.
Despite his demanding professional commitments, Aayush is a firm believer in the importance of work-life balance. An avid traveler and adventurer, he finds solace in exploring new destinations, immersing himself in different cultures, and forging lasting memories along the way. Whether he’s trekking through the Himalayas, diving in the azure waters of the Maldives, or experiencing the vibrant energy of bustling metropolises, Aayush embraces every opportunity to broaden his horizons and create unforgettable experiences.
Aayush’s journey to success is marked by a relentless pursuit of excellence and a steadfast commitment to continuous learning and growth. His academic achievements are a testament to his dedication and passion for excellence, having completed his software engineering with honors and excelling in every department.
At his core, Aayush is driven by a profound passion for analyzing markets and uncovering profitable opportunities amidst volatility. Whether he’s poring over price charts, identifying key support and resistance levels, or providing insightful analysis to his clients and followers, Aayush’s unwavering dedication to his craft sets him apart as a true industry leader and a beacon of inspiration to aspiring traders around the globe.
In a world where uncertainty reigns supreme, Aayush Jindal stands as a guiding light, illuminating the path to financial success with his unparalleled expertise, unwavering integrity, and boundless enthusiasm for the markets.
Ethereum price failed to climb above the $3,520 zone and corrected gains. ETH is now showing bearish signs below the $3,400 support zone.
- Ethereum started a downside correction after it failed to surpass the $3,520 zone.
- The price is trading below $3,400 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average.
- There is a key bearish trend line forming with resistance near $3,410 on the hourly chart of ETH/USD (data feed via Kraken).
- The pair is now at risk of more downsides below the $3,350 support zone.
Ethereum Price Dips Again
Ethereum price failed to continue higher above the $3,520 and $3,550 resistance levels. ETH formed a top near $3,520 and started a fresh decline like Bitcoin. There was a move below the $3,450 and $3,420 support levels.
The bears pushed the price below the 50% Fib retracement level of the upward wave from the $3,351 swing low to the $3,516 high. It seems like the price trimmed most gains and might continue to move down below the $3,350 support zone.
Ethereum is trading below $3,400 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average. It is also below the 76.4% Fib retracement level of the upward wave from the $3,351 swing low to the $3,516 high.
If there is a recovery wave, the price might face resistance near the $3,400 level. There is also a key bearish trend line forming with resistance near $3,410 on the hourly chart of ETH/USD. The first major resistance is near the $3,435 level.
The next major hurdle is near the $3,465 level. A close above the $3,465 level might send Ether toward the $3,520 resistance. The next key resistance is near $3,550. An upside break above the $3,550 resistance might send the price higher. Any more gains could send Ether toward the $3,650 resistance zone.
More Losses In ETH?
If Ethereum fails to clear the $3,410 resistance, it could continue to move down. Initial support on the downside is near $3,365. The first major support sits near the $3,350 zone.
A clear move below the $3,350 support might push the price toward $3,250. Any more losses might send the price toward the $3,120 level in the near term.
Technical Indicators
Hourly MACD – The MACD for ETH/USD is gaining momentum in the bearish zone.
Hourly RSI – The RSI for ETH/USD is now below the 50 zone.
Major Support Level – $3,350
Major Resistance Level – $3,435
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