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Analysts Discuss the Risks of Buying Altcoins Today

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The cryptocurrency market has seen significant changes, leading many analysts to caution against investing in altcoins.

Historically, bull markets have seen Bitcoin and Ethereum rise first, followed by altcoins. However, current conditions suggest a shift in this pattern.

Why Buying Altcoins Now Is Risky

Quinn Thompson, founder of the crypto hedge fund Lekker Capital, advised against investing in altcoins at this time. He pointed to several indicators of market instability, including high leverage and open interest, a lack of panic-driven buying, and stagnant stablecoin supply.

He believes the market is experiencing increased selling pressure, particularly from venture capital funds needing to raise capital, which leads to more selling than buying. This situation, combined with low summer trading volumes, makes it difficult for altcoins to gain traction.

“I think there is serious cascade risk in crypto, and in particular, expect most altcoins to be taken out back. The market seems to have lost any ability to bounce, even in majors, while at the same time, leverage and open interest remains high,” Thompson said.

Altcoins Market Depth
Altcoins Market Depth. Source: Kaiko

Thompson identified two primary reasons for his stance. First, the impact of Bitcoin and Ethereum exchange-traded funds (ETFs) and the issue of altcoin supply inflation.

The introduction of Bitcoin and Ethereum ETFs has changed the market structure. In the past, capital would flow from major cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin and Ethereum into altcoins during bull markets. However, with over $50 billion now invested in Bitcoin ETFs, these funds do not have similar mechanisms for investing in altcoins.

This shift has limited the capital available to altcoins, making it harder for them to rise in value. According to Samara Epstein Cohen, Chief Investment Officer of ETF at BlackRock, traditional market participants increasingly focus on Ethereum for tokenization, which further sidelines altcoins.

Read more: How To Invest in Real-World Crypto Assets (RWA)?

Bitcoin ETFs Holdings
Bitcoin ETFs Holdings. Source: CryptoQuant

The rapid launch of new altcoins has also flooded the market, creating significant inflationary pressure. Many projects release large amounts of tokens aggressively, resulting in a supply that far exceeds demand.

Thompson pointed out that there is a lack of demand to support the approximately $3 billion of monthly altcoin supply inflation expected over the next one to two years. While some altcoins may still perform well, identifying these successful tokens will be more challenging than in previous years.

“Altcoins have a constant stream of sell pressure. As we enter an already low-volume summer period, the combination of significant token supply unlocks and venture capitalists’ sell pressure will likely be too strong of an uphill battle for most tokens,” Thompson concluded.

Meanwhile, Will Clemente, co-founder of Reflexivity Research, reflected on how the market has matured. In 2020, investing in high-beta altcoins was a profitable strategy as these assets outperformed Bitcoin. However, this approach is no longer effective.

Many altcoins have underperformed Bitcoin in recent months, indicating that the market dynamics have changed.

“In 2020, you go out on the risk spectrum, those things are going to have higher beta to Bitcoin and you just get long all the vaporware and all that stuff goes up. We have not seen that this time. A lot of the altcoin to Bitcoin pairs have just been bleeding out for several months now and it hasn’t really been as simple as just buy whatever vaporware altcoin and you’ll outperform Bitcoin,” Clemente emphasized.

Technical analyst Michaël van de Poppe highlighted that Bitcoin is near or at an all-time high, while most altcoins have not reached their previous peaks. This discrepancy indicates a lack of confidence in altcoins, which continue to struggle in the current market environment, suggesting that the days of easy gains from altcoins may be covered.

Read more: 10 Best Altcoin Exchanges In 2024

Investors should be aware of the heightened risks and consider new conditions before making decisions in the cryptocurrency market.

Disclaimer

In adherence to the Trust Project guidelines, BeInCrypto is committed to unbiased, transparent reporting. This news article aims to provide accurate, timely information. However, readers are advised to verify facts independently and consult with a professional before making any decisions based on this content. Please note that our Terms and ConditionsPrivacy Policy, and Disclaimers have been updated.



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This Is Why XRP Price Rallied By 25% and Could Soon Hit $2

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Ripple’s (XRP) price rallied by 25% in the last 24 hours following Gary Gensler’s announcement that he would resign as the US Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) chair on January 20, 2025.

This development comes as a relief to the popular “XRP Army,” which has had to deal with suppressed price action due to the Gensler-led SEC’s nonstop petitions against Ripple. But that is not all that happened. 

Ripple Bears Face Notable Liquidation Following Gensler’s Notification

Gensler’s announcement appears to be a positive development for the broader crypto market. But XRP holders seemed to benefit the most. This was particularly significant given the unresolved Ripple-SEC legal issues that have persisted throughout the SEC Chair’s tenure.

As a result, it came as no surprise that XRP price rallied and outpaced those of any other cryptocurrency in the top 10. Furthermore, the development triggered liquidations totaling $26.11 million over the last 24 hours.

Liquidation occurs when a trader fails to meet the margin requirements for a leveraged position. This forces the exchange to sell off their assets to prevent further losses. In XRP’s case, the liquidation primarily resulted in a short squeeze.

XRP liquidations
Crypto Market 24-Hour Liquidations. Source: Coinglass

A short squeeze happens when a large number of short positions (traders betting on price declines) are forced to close, driving the price higher as they rush back to buy back the asset.

At press time, XRP trades at $1.40 and currently has a market cap of $80.64 billion. With Gensler almost gone, crypto lawyer John Deaton noted that XRP price gains could be higher, and the market cap could climb to $100 billion.

“XRP soon will achieve a $100B market cap. Times are changing,” Deaton wrote on X.

Meanwhile, CryptoQuant data shows that the total number of XRP sent into exchange has significantly decreased. Typically, high values indicate increased selling pressure in the spot market. This is because it suggests that more assets are being offloaded, potentially driving prices lower.

However, since it is low, XRP holders are refraining from selling. If this remains the case, the token’s value could rise higher than $1.40.

XRP exchange inflow
XRP Exchange Inflow. Source: CryptoQuant

XRP Price Prediction: $2 Coming?

According to the 4-hour chart, XRP has been trading within a range of $1.04 to $1.17 since November 18. This sideways movement has resulted in the formation of a bull flag — a bullish chart pattern that signals potential upward momentum.

The bull flag begins with a sharp price surge, forming the flagpole, driven by significant buying pressure that outpaces sellers. This is followed by a consolidation phase, where the price retraces slightly and moves within parallel trendlines, creating the flag structure.

Yesterday, XRP broke out of this pattern, signaling that bulls have seized control of the market. If this momentum persists, XRP’s price could surpass $1.50, potentially approaching the $2 threshold.

XRP price analysis
XRP 4-Hour Analysis. Source: TradingView

However, this bullish scenario hinges on market behavior. If holders decide to secure profits, selling pressure could push XRP’s price below $1, erasing recent gains.

Disclaimer

In line with the Trust Project guidelines, this price analysis article is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial or investment advice. BeInCrypto is committed to accurate, unbiased reporting, but market conditions are subject to change without notice. Always conduct your own research and consult with a professional before making any financial decisions. Please note that our Terms and ConditionsPrivacy Policy, and Disclaimers have been updated.



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Dogecoin (DOGE) Shows Renewed Energy: Rally Incoming?

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Dogecoin is consolidating gains above the $0.380 resistance against the US Dollar. DOGE is holding gains and eyeing more upsides above $0.400.

  • DOGE price started a fresh increase above the $0.3750 resistance level.
  • The price is trading above the $0.3800 level and the 100-hourly simple moving average.
  • There was a break above a short-term contracting triangle with resistance at $0.390 on the hourly chart of the DOGE/USD pair (data source from Kraken).
  • The price could continue to rally if it clears the $0.400 and $0.4080 resistance levels.

Dogecoin Price Eyes More Upsides

Dogecoin price remained supported above the $0.350 level and recently started a fresh increase like Bitcoin and Ethereum. DOGE was able to clear the $0.3650 and $0.3750 resistance levels.

The price climbed above the 50% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the $0.4208 swing high to the $0.3652 low. Besides, there was a break above a short-term contracting triangle with resistance at $0.390 on the hourly chart of the DOGE/USD pair.

Dogecoin price is now trading above the $0.3750 level and the 100-hourly simple moving average. Immediate resistance on the upside is near the $0.3950 level or the 61.8% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the $0.4208 swing high to the $0.3652 low.

Dogecoin Price

The first major resistance for the bulls could be near the $0.400 level. The next major resistance is near the $0.4080 level. A close above the $0.4080 resistance might send the price toward the $0.4200 resistance. Any more gains might send the price toward the $0.4500 level. The next major stop for the bulls might be $0.500.

Are Dips Supported In DOGE?

If DOGE’s price fails to climb above the $0.400 level, it could start a downside correction. Initial support on the downside is near the $0.3850 level. The next major support is near the $0.3750 level.

The main support sits at $0.3550. If there is a downside break below the $0.3550 support, the price could decline further. In the stated case, the price might decline toward the $0.3200 level or even $0.300 in the near term.

Technical Indicators

Hourly MACD – The MACD for DOGE/USD is now gaining momentum in the bullish zone.

Hourly RSI (Relative Strength Index) – The RSI for DOGE/USD is now above the 50 level.

Major Support Levels – $0.3850 and $0.3750.

Major Resistance Levels – $0.4000 and $0.4200.



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Solana Hits New All-Time High After 3 Years

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On Friday, Solana (SOL) soared to a new all-time high (ATH), now trading at approximately $261. This breakthrough surpasses its previous peak set in November 2021.

Solana’s rise to a new ATH marks an increase of over 32 times from its lows recorded in December 2022.

Solana Hits All-Time High as Gary Gensler Plans Resignation

Solana’s path to this new high has been anything but smooth. After reaching its previous high in 2021, the platform faced a downturn in 2022 amid a broader crypto bear market, further exacerbated by technical issues and network downtimes.

The collapse of FTX in November 2022 pushed Solana’s price down to around $8.

Solana Price Performance. Source: BeInCrypto

However, Solana has since made a remarkable recovery, increasing more than 32-fold from its low. Now, Solana enthusiasts believe that SOL could eventually outpace Ethereum (ETH) in market capitalization.

“Solana has been at an all-time high by market cap for a while actually. Now, we’re finally in price discovery. The flippening is coming,” Birch, the founder of PathCrypto, said.

The surge in Solana’s market value coincides with the news of SEC Chairman Gary Gensler’s planned resignation, slated for January 20, 2025, as Donald Trump assumes office.

Known for his strict regulatory stance on cryptocurrencies, Gensler’s departure signals a potential shift toward a more crypto-friendly administration. Consequently, this political change is stoking speculations about the approval of a Solana exchange-traded fund (ETF). According to Fox Business journalist Eleanor Terrett, the SEC has begun engaging with issuers to explore the possibility of a Solana ETF.

“Talks between SEC staff and issuers looking to launch a Solana spot ETF are “progressing” with the SEC now engaging on S-1 applications. Recent engagement from staff, coupled with the incoming pro-crypto administration, is sparking a renewed sense of optimism that a Solana ETF could be approved sometime in 2025,” Terrett claimed.

Previous efforts to launch a Solana ETF were stalled by regulatory roadblocks, often stopping early in the process. However, the changing political environment and the SEC’s increased openness have reignited hopes within the crypto community. Recent filings for a Solana ETF by Canary Capital and BitWise reflect a growing interest and anticipation for regulatory approval.

Despite these encouraging developments, the odds of a Solana ETF approval in 2024 remain low, with Polymarket estimates placing it at around 4%.

Odds of Solana ETF Approval in 2024
Odds of Solana ETF Approval in 2024. Source: Polymarket

Meanwhile, the crypto community is also closely watching Bitcoin as it approaches the highly anticipated $100,000 mark. On Friday, Bitcoin recorded a new high of about $99,300. This milestone is viewed as a pivotal moment for Bitcoin and could impact other cryptocurrencies, including Solana.

Disclaimer

In adherence to the Trust Project guidelines, BeInCrypto is committed to unbiased, transparent reporting. This news article aims to provide accurate, timely information. However, readers are advised to verify facts independently and consult with a professional before making any decisions based on this content. Please note that our Terms and ConditionsPrivacy Policy, and Disclaimers have been updated.



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