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Report Shows Grayscale Could Keep ETH Price Down With $110M Daily Outflows

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A recent market report by research firm Kaiko noted how Grayscale’s Spot Ethereum ETF could have a negative impact on Ethereum’s (ETH) price. This is based on the firm’s expectations that Grayscale’s Ethereum Trust (ETHE) could follow a similar path to Grayscale’s Bitcoin Trust (GBTC).

Ethereum Could Face Significant Selling Pressure From Grayscale’s Outflows

Kaiko noted that Ethereum could face significant selling pressure from Grayscale’s ETHE once the Spot Ethereum ETFs begin trading. This is because the fund has been trading at a discount between 6% and 26% over the past three months, with a wave of profit-taking likely to concur. It is worth mentioning that Grayscale’s ETHE has previously operated as a closed-end fund, with Grayscale simply applying to convert it to an exchange-traded fund (ETF). 

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The research firm noted that Grayscale’s ETHE has over $11 billion in assets under management (AuM). That means that $110 million of daily average outflows could leave the fund if Grayscale’s Ethereum ETF sees a similar magnitude of outflows to Grayscale’s Bitcoin ETF, whose $6.5 billion outflows in the first month of trading amounted to 23% of the fund’s AuM. 

Grayscale’s Bitcoin Trust (GBTC) also operated in a similar fashion before it was converted to an ETF. This is believed to have contributed to the $6.5 billion outflows the fund recorded in the first month of trading, with many investors taking profit since they purchased the fund at a discount. Therefore, Kaiko expects that something similar could happen with Grayscale’s ETHE. 

The outflows that Grayscale’s Spot Bitcoin ETF is known to have exerted significant selling pressure on Bitcoin’s price, causing the flagship crypto to decline significantly. As such, the same thing can be expected with Ethereum’s price if Grayscale’s Spot Ethereum ETF suffers a similar fate. 

However, besides investors taking profit from Grayscale’s Bitcoin ETF, Grayscale’s fund fee is believed to be another factor that sparked the significant outflows it recorded back then. For context, Grayscale’s fee was the highest among all the Bitcoin ETF issuers. As such, the potential outflows from Grayscale’s Ethereum ETF could be minimally reduced if the asset manager makes it fee competitive this time around. 

Ethereum’s Future Trajectory Still Bullish

Kaiko suggested that Ethereum is still bound to make significant price gains once other Ethereum Spot ETFs begin to record impressive inflows that can overshadow the outflows from Grayscale’s ETHE. Something similar happened with Bitcoin, as Kaiko noted that Grayscale GBTC’s outflows were offset and surpassed by inflows from other Bitcoin ETFs by the end of January. 

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Thanks to the impressive demand that these Bitcoin ETFs recorded, the flagship crypto hit a new all-time high (ATH) in March earlier this year. The Ethereum ETFs could also trigger such a rally for ETH’s price depending on the amount of inflows these funds record once they begin trading. 

Meanwhile, Kaiko noted that even if the inflows disappoint in the short term, the mere approval of these funds already has “important implications for ETH as an asset” since it confirms that it isn’t a security. This has helped remove the regulatory uncertainty that has weighed on Ethereum’s price for some time now. 

Ethereum price chart from Tradingview.com
ETH price still above $3,800 | Source: ETHUSDT on Tradingview.com

Featured image from NewsBTC, chart from Tradingview.com



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Ethereum

Is This Ethereum ICO Project To Blame For ETH’s Price Slump?

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The Ethereum price has fallen by around -25% since its mid-March peak at around $4,100 and is currently trading just above $3,000. While this loss is in line with the broader market trend and in particular Bitcoin’s price drop of about -22% in the same time, there could be another reason for ETH’s price slump, which seems plausible since the German government only sells BTC and not ETH, and Mt. Gox doesn’t own any ETH either. But what if Ethereum has its very own “Mt. Gox“?

Is The Ethereum Price Suppressed By Golem?

Chinese crypto journalist Colin Wu (@WuBlockchain) first reported via X on the significant movements of ETH funds by the Golem project, an Ethereum-based project that conducted a notable Initial Coin Offering (ICO) in 2016. According to Wu, “Golem, a project that raised 820,000 ETH in ICO in 2016, has transferred 36,000 ETH to Binance, Coinbase, Bitfinex, etc. in the past 37 days, worth about $115 million.”

On-chain analysis service Lookonchain further revealed the extent of these transactions via X: “Golem has sold 24,400 ETH ($72M) on Binance, Coinbase and Bitfinex in the past 3 days, and currently holds 127,634 ETH ($372M). Golem raised 820,000 ETH through ICO in November 2016, when the price of ETH was only $10.2.”

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The Golem ICO was an early and significant event for the crypto industry which took place in November 2016. Golem aimed to create a decentralized supercomputer by harnessing the combined computing power of users’ machines, from personal laptops to entire data centers. The idea was to allow users to rent out their computing resources to others.

In its ICO, Golem raised approximately 820,000 ETH, which was valued at around $8 million at the time, in just 29 minutes, becoming a symbol of the ICO bubble. This funding was supposed to be used to develop the Golem network. Despite its ambitious goals, Golem’s market relevance has significantly diminished, with its token now trading at just $0.32 (#151 by market cap), a stark decline from its peak price of $1.32 in January 2018.

Harsh Criticism From Crypto Experts

Criticism has been vocal among industry leaders. Adam Cochran, a partner at CEHV, expressed his displeasure via X: “Absolute bastards. Sat on their ETH for ages doing nothing. And here we are in the era of demand for distributed compute and they can’t even be relevant.”

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Similarly, Jimmy Ragosa, an advisor at Sismo, sarcastically remarked, “Yes, Golem has been dumping on us. But, at least, they are using these 100s of millions of dollars to build critical scaling infra and widely adopted apps, right?”

Another perspective came from @based16z on X, who speculated on the rationale behind Golem’s actions, “Say what you want about Golem, but they’re not exactly a gambler. For them to dump 700 million dollars in ETH after 7 years, I assume they know something.”

How strong the influence of Golem sales is on the ETH price remains pure speculation. However, it seems clear that the constant selling pressure has probably played at least a certain role in the Ethereum price slump. At press time, ETH traded at $3,049.

Ethereum price
ETH holds above $3,000, 1-day chart | Source: ETHUSD on TradingView.com

Featured image from Shutterstock, chart from TradingView.com



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Justin Sun Potential $66 Million Loss Revealed As Ethereum Price Declines

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Semilore Faleti is a cryptocurrency writer specialized in the field of journalism and content creation. While he started out writing on several subjects, Semilore soon found a knack for cracking down on the complexities and intricacies in the intriguing world of blockchains and cryptocurrency.

Semilore is drawn to the efficiency of digital assets in terms of storing, and transferring value. He is a staunch advocate for the adoption of cryptocurrency as he believes it can improve the digitalization and transparency of the existing financial systems.

In two years of active crypto writing, Semilore has covered multiple aspects of the digital asset space including blockchains, decentralized finance (DeFi), staking, non-fungible tokens (NFT), regulations and network upgrades among others.

In his early years, Semilore honed his skills as a content writer, curating educational articles that catered to a wide audience. His pieces were particularly valuable for individuals new to the crypto space, offering insightful explanations that demystified the world of digital currencies.

Semilore also curated pieces for veteran crypto users ensuring they were up to date with the latest blockchains, decentralized applications and network updates. This foundation in educational writing has continued to inform his work, ensuring that his current work remains accessible, accurate and informative.

Currently at NewsBTC, Semilore is dedicated to reporting the latest news on cryptocurrency price action, on-chain developments and whale activity. He also covers the latest token analysis and price predictions by top market experts thus providing readers with potentially insightful and actionable information.

Through his meticulous research and engaging writing style, Semilore strives to establish himself as a trusted source in the crypto journalism field to inform and educate his audience on the latest trends and developments in the rapidly evolving world of digital assets.

Outside his work, Semilore possesses other passions like all individuals. He is a big music fan with an interest in almost every genre. He can be described as a “music nomad” always ready to listen to new artists and explore new trends.

Semilore Faleti is also a strong advocate for social justice, preaching fairness, inclusivity, and equity. He actively promotes the engagement of issues centred around systemic inequalities and all forms of discrimination.

He also promotes political participation by all persons at all levels. He believes active contribution to governmental systems and policies is the fastest and most effective way to bring about permanent positive change in any society.

In conclusion, Semilore Faleti exemplifies the convergence of expertise, passion, and advocacy in the world of crypto journalism. He is a rare individual whose work in documenting the evolution of cryptocurrency will remain relevant for years to come.

His dedication to demystifying digital assets and advocating for their adoption, combined with his commitment to social justice and political engagement, positions him as a dynamic and influential voice in the industry.

Whether through his meticulous reporting at NewsBTC or his fervent promotion of fairness and equity, Semilore continues to inform, educate, and inspire his audience, striving for a more transparent and inclusive financial future.



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Doomsday for Ethereum? ‘A Crash Down To $1,500 Is Coming,’ Says Skeptic, Here’s Why

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The crypto market is currently navigating through a turbulent phase, particularly for Ethereum, which has seen a significant downturn of nearly 15% in its value over the past week.

Amid this negative price performance, Peter Schiff, a well-known economist and a skeptic of cryptocurrencies, has chosen to add salt to the wounds by projecting a stark prediction for ETH. According to Schiff, Ethereum could plummet to as low as $1,500, marking a substantial decline from its current levels.

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Shiff’s Bearish Outlook And Community Reaction

Schiff’s prediction comes when Ethereum is trading below the previous crucial support of $3,000 mark, a sharp 30% fall from its peak above $4,500 in March.

This decline coincides with heightened speculation surrounding the potential launch of an Ethereum spot exchange-traded fund (ETF), which seems to have triggered a premature sell-off among investors instead of propelling the price.

Schiff’s commentary suggests that the market’s response to the ETF rumors has been to liquidate positions rather than hold, adding further downward pressure on Ethereum’s price.

He expressed his view on Elon Musk’s social media platform, X, stating, “It looks like those buying the Ethereum ETF rumors couldn’t wait for the fact to sell,” indicating a market driven by speculation rather than sustained investment confidence.

While Schiff’s bearish outlook has garnered attention, it has also sparked a mix of skepticism and agreement within the crypto community. Users have expressed varying opinions on social media platforms, with some questioning the technical basis of Schiff’s $1,500 target.

Others humorously noted that Schiff’s pessimistic predictions often come at market bottoms, suggesting his views might inadvertently signal a buying opportunity. For instance, one user remarked on the irony of Schiff’s timing, indicating that his bearish predictions could contradict market sentiment indicators.

Ethereum Faces Critical Juncture

Ethereum is experiencing a significant downturn, trading at $2,975—a 4.2% drop over the past day. This decline and Bitcoin’s similar trajectory have led to a 4.1% reduction in the global cryptocurrency market cap, erasing more than $200 billion in value.

Ethereum (ETH) price chart on TradingView
ETH price is moving downwards on the 2-hour chart. Source: ETH/USDT on TradingView.com

According to Coinglass, this downturn has triggered substantial losses for traders, with 207,020 liquidations in the past day, totaling $576.53 million. Ethereum-related liquidations account for $134.58 million, predominantly from long positions.

While Peter Schiff’s outlook may seem too pessimistic amid these market conditions, another voice in the crypto analysis sphere, Inspo Crypto, offers a slightly more moderate view.

He notes that Ethereum’s price has fallen to early May levels and suggests that the next 8-hour trading window could be crucial in determining the market’s direction.

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If Ethereum can rise above these levels, it might potentially ease the bearish trend. However, failure to reach the $3,170 mark (which it already has) could lead to further declines, possibly down to $2,700, exacerbating losses across the altcoin market.

Featured image created with DALL-E, Chart from TradingView





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