Connect with us

Bitcoin

Bitcoin’s Ascent to $72,000: Validating On-Chain Insights

Published

on


In a previous article, BeInCrypto predicted the Bitcoin price surge to $72,000, supported by our comprehensive analysis of on-chain metrics.

BeInCrypto prediction is validated by the recent price movement, emphasizing the importance of continuous monitoring and analysis of these indicators.

Delving Deeper Into Bitcoin on-Chain Data

By analyzing key indicators such as Hash Ribbons and the 90-day Moving Average of Coin Days Destroyed (CDD), we can gain a deeper understanding of market dynamics.

This continuous monitoring approach is crucial for making informed decisions and highlights the importance of keeping up with expert analyses like those from BeInCrypto.

What Are Bitcoin Hash Ribbons?

Hash Ribbons are a powerful metric that identifies when BTC miners are capitulating or giving up and when they are starting to recover. Miners are essential for securing the Bitcoin network by solving complex transaction validation problems.

When mining becomes unprofitable, miners may shut down their machines, causing the network’s hash rate to drop.

The chart highlights periods where the 30-day moving average exceeds the 60-day moving average, indicating miner capitulation. These periods often precede significant price recoveries.

In the early part of 2023, the chart shows a capitulation phase, followed by a recovery where the 30-day average crosses above the 60-day average. This crossover aligns with the recent price surge to $73,000, validating the effectiveness of the Hash Ribbons indicator in predicting market bottoms.

Bitcoin Hash Ribbons. Source: 0nchained
Bitcoin Hash Ribbons. Source: 0nchained

What Is Coin Days Destroyed (CDD)?

Coin Days Destroyed (CDD) measures the activity of long-term BTC holders.

Each Bitcoin accumulates “coin days,” for every day it remains untouched. When it is finally moved, these coin days are “destroyed.” This metric helps identify significant shifts in market sentiment among long-term holders.

CDD is calculated by multiplying the amount of Bitcoin moved by the number of days it was held. The 90-day SMA smooths out daily fluctuations, providing a clearer view of long-term trends.

The 90-day SMA of CDD has shown a steady increase in 2023, indicating growing activity among long-term holders.

However, recent decreases in CDD indicate reduced selling pressure from long-term holders, suggesting confidence in continued price appreciation. This aligns with the recent bullish momentum in Bitcoin’s price, further supporting our analysis.

Bitcoin CDD 90SMA. Source: 0nchained

What Is the STH RP Daily Change to Price Ratio?

The Short-Term Holders Realized Price to Price Ratio (STH RP/PR) is an innovative indicator identifying potential buy signals during bull markets. This metric compares the realized price daily change of short-term holders to the current market price, highlighting periods of negative sentiment as potential buying opportunities.

Negative STH RP/PR values suggest that short-term holders capitulate, often marking good entry points for new investments.

We can observe that the Short-Term Holders’ Realized Price-to-Price Ratio (STH RP/PR) increased during Bitcoin’s appreciation to $72,000. This suggests that the price could continue to rise, as short-term holders, on average, are not facing unrealized losses relative to the current BTC price.

STH Realized Price Daily Change to Price Ratio. Source: (0nchained)
STH Realized Price Daily Change to Price Ratio. Source: 0nchained

Strategic Recommendations and Future Price Projections

On-chain data and Bitcoin fundamentals indicate a looming bull run. A sustained break above the $73,000 resistance level could easily propel the price to $82,000.

Obviously, a sustained drop below $68,000 could reverse market trends, but the likelihood of this happening is diminishing. As highlighted in previous BeInCrypto analyses, the majority of on-chain data has shown positive signals for weeks.

BeInCrypto will continuously monitor these metrics and provide updates to keep you informed about key market movements and opportunities. Stay tuned for detailed future outlooks and strategic insights.

Disclaimer

In line with the Trust Project guidelines, this price analysis article is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial or investment advice. BeInCrypto is committed to accurate, unbiased reporting, but market conditions are subject to change without notice. Always conduct your own research and consult with a professional before making any financial decisions. Please note that our Terms and ConditionsPrivacy Policy, and Disclaimers have been updated.



Source link

Bitcoin

Bitcoin Mining Facing Profitability Squeeze

Published

on

By


The cost of producing a Bitcoin is taking a toll on Bitcoin miners whose machines are struggling to yield profits due to the flagship digital asset’s price difficulties.

According to data platform MacroMicro, the average cost of mining a single BTC at the start of June soared to $83,668 but slightly declined to around $72,000 as of July 2.

Bitcoin Mining Machines Becoming Unprofitable

James Butterfill, CoinShares’ head of digital research, shared data showing that Bitcoin price was hovering around the average production cost during the April halving event. Per the data, half of the 14 identified miners, including Bit Digital and Riot Platforms, spend above the average cost to produce their BTC, while Tether-backed Bitdeer and Hut8 spend below average.

Read more: Making Passive Income From Crypto Mining: How to Get Started

Bitcoin Mining Production Cost
Bitcoin Mining Production Cost. Source: X/James Butterfill

This situation was further confirmed by F2Pool, a Bitcoin mining pool operator. It stated that only ASIC machines with more than 23 W/T efficiency were profitable as of July 4.

According to F2Pool data, only six Bitcoin mining machines, including Antminer S21 Hydro, Antminer S21, and Avalon A1466I, are profitable at break-even Bitcoin prices of $39,581, $43,292, and $48,240, respectively. Similarly, other machines like the Antminer S19 XP Hydro, Antminer S19 XP, and Whatsminer M56S++ are profitable, with Bitcoin prices exceeding $51,456, $53,187, and $54,424, respectively.

However, Bitcoin mining difficulty dropped significantly on July 5, marking one of the most notable declines since the FTX collapse. F2Pool explained that this could make more machines profitable. They stated that at a BTC price of $54,000, ASICs with unit power of 26 W/T or less would become profitable. They added that they estimate energy costs at $0.07 per kWh.

Read more: Bitcoin (BTC) Price Prediction 2024/2025/2030

Bitcoin Mining Machines Profitability
Bitcoin Mining Machines Profitability. Source: F2Pool

Last week, BeInCrypto reported that Bitcoin miners were nearing capitulation levels last seen during the FTX exchange collapse. Consequently, Miners switched off unprofitable machines and intensified selling activities, offloading approximately 30,000 BTC, valued at $2 billion, last month.

“All the miners operating well below their profit points are finally decommissioning their inefficient machines or exiting the industry entirely. […] Presumably many held on for much longer than expected because they anticipated a significant price rise in bitcoin that more than compensated,” explained Con Kolivas, the admin of Solo CKPool.

Disclaimer

In adherence to the Trust Project guidelines, BeInCrypto is committed to unbiased, transparent reporting. This news article aims to provide accurate, timely information. However, readers are advised to verify facts independently and consult with a professional before making any decisions based on this content. Please note that our Terms and ConditionsPrivacy Policy, and Disclaimers have been updated.



Source link

Continue Reading

Bitcoin

Bitcoin Crash: VanEck Sees an Opportunity

Published

on

By


VanEck remains optimistic as Bitcoin (BTC) price continues to nosedive in the aftermath of woes around the German government and Mt. Gox.

Market corrections are a dreaded scenario, spelling fear among traders. While the otherwise “weak hands” cower, the bold lot seize the opportunity to grow their bags.

VanEck Urges Traders: Buy Bitcoin During Market Panic

Describing the ongoing Bitcoin crash as “4th of July discounts,” VanEck sees BTC price falling to the $53,000 range as a ‘buy the dip’ opportunity. On-chain platform Santiment shares the sentiment, urging bold traders to seize the moment.

“Markets have continued to bleed, and social media is now showing historic levels of FUD. It is rare for an hour to go by where there are more mentions of “sell” than there are “buy” across crypto forums. But we’ve seen a few of these instances in just the past 24 hours, including the largest ratio of negative vs. positive comments thus far in 2024. For bold traders, this is a window where some may wish to be a true contrarian and buy into the crowd’s anger and frustration”.

Amid the negative market sentiment, crypto researchers observe elevated fear levels. This is warranted as many traders suffer losses. Hundreds of thousands are getting “rekt” amid an ongoing bloodbath. Derivative data analysis platform Coinglass reports over $650 million in total liquidations.

Read more: Four Mistakes To Avoid When Trading Bitcoin with Leverage

24H Liquidations
24H Liquidations. Source: Coinglass

Pseudonymous trader CryptoNagato reported that this is the second-largest liquidation event in the Bitcoin market after the one right after the FTX collapse in November 2022. All indications point to the ongoing sell-off between Mt. Gox and the German government, with their voluminous transactions stirring markets.

In a Thursday post, German lawmaker and Bitcoin activist Joana Cotar slammed the government for its “hasty” actions selling Bitcoin. Calling the selling spree insensible and counterproductive, she urged the state to emulate the US and hold Bitcoin as a reserve currency.

“Instead of holding Bitcoin as a strategic reserve currency, as is already being debated in the USA, our government is selling on a large scale. I informed Michael Kretschmer, Christian Lindner, and Olaf Scholz, why this is not only not sensible, but counterproductive and invited them to our lecture event (Bitcoin Strategies for Nation States” on October 17th in the Paul-Löbe-Haus) with Samson Mow,”  Cotar wrote.

Cotar’s pro-crypto stance was best seen in November when she backed Bitcoin as legal tender and advocated for its integration into mainstream German finance.

Whales Buy BTC at a Discount

Meanwhile, Ki Young Ju, co-founder and CEO of CryptoQuant, suggests that whales are buying the dip and effectively becoming true contrarians. Based on the report, these traders are opening long positions.

Whales in crypto are investors holding over 1000 BTC, which means they have the power to influence market prices due to their large portfolios. At the moment they are betting on the Bitcoin price increasing in the future.

Read more: Bitcoin (BTC) Price Prediction 2024/2025/2030

Small Bitcoin whales opening long positions,
BTC Whales Open Long Positions. Source: CryptoQuant

CryptoQuant’s Young Ju shares the optimism, saying, “The upward cycle is not over yet.” Nevertheless, he indicates that the ongoing correction could bottom out around the $47,000 threshold, urging spot traders to wait for a strong buying trend.  Looking at the weekly chart for the BTC/USDT trading pair, there is a demand zone around the $47,000 range.

Bitcoin price BTC/USDT 1-week chart, Source: TradingView
BTC/USDT 1-week chart, Source: TradingView

A demand zone is an area with significant buying interest. Market participants would be willing to step in and purchase Bitcoin at $47,000, effectively creating a support level that can potentially lead to a price reversal.

Disclaimer

In adherence to the Trust Project guidelines, BeInCrypto is committed to unbiased, transparent reporting. This news article aims to provide accurate, timely information. However, readers are advised to verify facts independently and consult with a professional before making any decisions based on this content. Please note that our Terms and ConditionsPrivacy Policy, and Disclaimers have been updated.



Source link

Continue Reading

Bitcoin

Mt. Gox Begins Bitcoin, Bitcoin Cash Payouts: Key Details

Published

on

By


Mt. Gox, a name synonymous with one of the most dramatic episodes in the cryptocurrency world, has started disbursing Bitcoin and Bitcoin Cash to its creditors. This significant move was announced on July 5, 2024, marking a pivotal turn in the long-drawn rehabilitation process of the defunct Bitcoin exchange.

Bitcoin and Bitcoin Cash’s prices have been volatile amidst this development.

Mt. Gox Still Holds Bitcoin Worth $7.69 Billion

The repayment initiative stems from Mt. Gox’s complex bankruptcy proceedings. The firm filed for bankruptcy after a massive security breach in 2014 that resulted in the loss of 850,000 Bitcoins.

“On July 5, 2024, the Rehabilitation Trustee made repayments in Bitcoin and Bitcoin Cash to some of the rehabilitation creditors through a part of the Designated Cryptocurrency Exchanges etc. in accordance with the Rehabilitation Plan,” Mt. Gox announced.

Read more: Top Crypto Bankruptcies: What You Need To Know

Creditors must meet several conditions before further disbursements. These include validating the registered accounts’ authenticity and finalizing agreements with the involved cryptocurrency exchanges.

Furthermore, the Trustee highlighted the necessity of ensuring secure and verified transactions before proceeding with more repayments. It also urged patience among the eligible creditors awaiting their turn.

In a related report earlier today, Arkham, a cryptocurrency analytics firm, noted that Mt. Gox had transferred 47,228 Bitcoins, worth approximately $2.71 billion, from cold storage to a new wallet. Despite this substantial movement, over 147,687 Bitcoins, valued at $7.69 billion, remain in the Mt. Gox reserves.

Following the repayment news, Bitcoin’s market price experienced a sharp decline, plummeting to $54,500. This price point is noted as the lowest in the past four months. Moreover, Bitcoin Cash’s price went below $290, down by over 18% in the past 24 hours.

Disclaimer

In adherence to the Trust Project guidelines, BeInCrypto is committed to unbiased, transparent reporting. This news article aims to provide accurate, timely information. However, readers are advised to verify facts independently and consult with a professional before making any decisions based on this content. Please note that our Terms and ConditionsPrivacy Policy, and Disclaimers have been updated.



Source link

Continue Reading

Trending

Copyright © 2024 coin2049.io