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Ethereum

Can Ethereum Reclaim $4,000? Fragile Fundamentals Threaten To Send ETH Crashing

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Ethereum has put on a disappointing performance for its investors over the last few weeks, leading to concerns on whether the second-largest cryptocurrency by market cap has lost its shine. The cryptocurrency continues to skirt around the $3,100 level, not making any significant breaks upward. This points to weak fundamentals that could trigger a price decline.

Ethereum Fails To Make Meaningful Moves

Markus Thielen, Head of Research at 10x Research, has pointed out some worrying developments with the Ethereum price. In a new report shared with NewsBTC, he explains that despite Ethereum remaining highly correlated to Bitcoin with an R-Square of 95%, it continues to perform poorly while the latter has made new all-time highs.

Thielen points back to ETH’s performance in the last bull market, which was closely tied to new sectors popping out of the network, such as decentralized finance (DeFi) and non-fungible tokens (NFTs). This caused demand to skyrocket, and in turn, the price followed as users gobbled up ETH for the high gas fee required to transact on the blockchain.

However, Ethereum has failed to maintain this momentum, which can be attributed to its inability to bring the upgrades that users needed in time. Thielen explains that the Dencun upgrade which helped solved the high gas fee issues had come three years too late because by 2024 when the upgrade arrived, users had moved on to Layer 2 networks. Also, during this time, other Layer 1 networks have seen a rise in users and Solana is one example of this.

Ethereum fees

Source: 10x Research

The researcher further explained that the weak fundamentals of ETH are now not only affecting its price but has had a spillover effect to Bitcoin. “Ethereum’s weak fundamentals are becoming a roadblock for Bitcoin as they prevent broad fiat inflow into the crypto ecosystem,” Thielen stated.

Better To Short ETH

Thielen’s analysis of Ethereum also spreads to the drop in stablecoin usage on the network. Back in 2021, Ethereum had dominated stablecoin transactions such as USDT and USDC. However, it seems like, with other things, the high fees have driven users towards other networks. Blockchains such as Tron (TRX) are now dominating stablecoin transactions, leaving ETH in the dust.

Additionally, there is also the fact that ETH’s issuance is turning inflationary once again. After the London Hard Fork, also known as EIP-1559, was completed in 2021, the network saw its issuance turn deflationary for the first time as ETH burned quickly surpassed ETH being brought into circulation.

However, this has now changed in the past months as there have been more ETH issued than those burned, Thielen notes. To put this in perspective, a total of 74,000 ETH were issued compared to only 43,000 ETH burned. This inflation, coupled with the fact that staking rewards have now dropped to 3%, below the 5.1% offered by Treasury Yields, Ethereum has had a hard time maintaining bullish sentiment.

Given these developments, the researcher believes it is better to be bearish on Ethereum right now. “Right now, we would be more comfortable holding a short position in ETH than a long one in BTC as Ethereum’s fundamentals are fragile, which is not yet reflected in ETH prices,” Thielen concludes.

Ethereum price chart from Tradingview.com

ETH price fails to hold $3,100 | Source: ETHUSD on Tradingview.com

Featured image from Watcher Guru, chart from Tradingview.com

Disclaimer: The article is provided for educational purposes only. It does not represent the opinions of NewsBTC on whether to buy, sell or hold any investments and naturally investing carries risks. You are advised to conduct your own research before making any investment decisions. Use information provided on this website entirely at your own risk.



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Ethereum

Justin Sun Potential $66 Million Loss Revealed As Ethereum Price Declines

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Semilore Faleti is a cryptocurrency writer specialized in the field of journalism and content creation. While he started out writing on several subjects, Semilore soon found a knack for cracking down on the complexities and intricacies in the intriguing world of blockchains and cryptocurrency.

Semilore is drawn to the efficiency of digital assets in terms of storing, and transferring value. He is a staunch advocate for the adoption of cryptocurrency as he believes it can improve the digitalization and transparency of the existing financial systems.

In two years of active crypto writing, Semilore has covered multiple aspects of the digital asset space including blockchains, decentralized finance (DeFi), staking, non-fungible tokens (NFT), regulations and network upgrades among others.

In his early years, Semilore honed his skills as a content writer, curating educational articles that catered to a wide audience. His pieces were particularly valuable for individuals new to the crypto space, offering insightful explanations that demystified the world of digital currencies.

Semilore also curated pieces for veteran crypto users ensuring they were up to date with the latest blockchains, decentralized applications and network updates. This foundation in educational writing has continued to inform his work, ensuring that his current work remains accessible, accurate and informative.

Currently at NewsBTC, Semilore is dedicated to reporting the latest news on cryptocurrency price action, on-chain developments and whale activity. He also covers the latest token analysis and price predictions by top market experts thus providing readers with potentially insightful and actionable information.

Through his meticulous research and engaging writing style, Semilore strives to establish himself as a trusted source in the crypto journalism field to inform and educate his audience on the latest trends and developments in the rapidly evolving world of digital assets.

Outside his work, Semilore possesses other passions like all individuals. He is a big music fan with an interest in almost every genre. He can be described as a “music nomad” always ready to listen to new artists and explore new trends.

Semilore Faleti is also a strong advocate for social justice, preaching fairness, inclusivity, and equity. He actively promotes the engagement of issues centred around systemic inequalities and all forms of discrimination.

He also promotes political participation by all persons at all levels. He believes active contribution to governmental systems and policies is the fastest and most effective way to bring about permanent positive change in any society.

In conclusion, Semilore Faleti exemplifies the convergence of expertise, passion, and advocacy in the world of crypto journalism. He is a rare individual whose work in documenting the evolution of cryptocurrency will remain relevant for years to come.

His dedication to demystifying digital assets and advocating for their adoption, combined with his commitment to social justice and political engagement, positions him as a dynamic and influential voice in the industry.

Whether through his meticulous reporting at NewsBTC or his fervent promotion of fairness and equity, Semilore continues to inform, educate, and inspire his audience, striving for a more transparent and inclusive financial future.



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Doomsday for Ethereum? ‘A Crash Down To $1,500 Is Coming,’ Says Skeptic, Here’s Why

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The crypto market is currently navigating through a turbulent phase, particularly for Ethereum, which has seen a significant downturn of nearly 15% in its value over the past week.

Amid this negative price performance, Peter Schiff, a well-known economist and a skeptic of cryptocurrencies, has chosen to add salt to the wounds by projecting a stark prediction for ETH. According to Schiff, Ethereum could plummet to as low as $1,500, marking a substantial decline from its current levels.

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Shiff’s Bearish Outlook And Community Reaction

Schiff’s prediction comes when Ethereum is trading below the previous crucial support of $3,000 mark, a sharp 30% fall from its peak above $4,500 in March.

This decline coincides with heightened speculation surrounding the potential launch of an Ethereum spot exchange-traded fund (ETF), which seems to have triggered a premature sell-off among investors instead of propelling the price.

Schiff’s commentary suggests that the market’s response to the ETF rumors has been to liquidate positions rather than hold, adding further downward pressure on Ethereum’s price.

He expressed his view on Elon Musk’s social media platform, X, stating, “It looks like those buying the Ethereum ETF rumors couldn’t wait for the fact to sell,” indicating a market driven by speculation rather than sustained investment confidence.

While Schiff’s bearish outlook has garnered attention, it has also sparked a mix of skepticism and agreement within the crypto community. Users have expressed varying opinions on social media platforms, with some questioning the technical basis of Schiff’s $1,500 target.

Others humorously noted that Schiff’s pessimistic predictions often come at market bottoms, suggesting his views might inadvertently signal a buying opportunity. For instance, one user remarked on the irony of Schiff’s timing, indicating that his bearish predictions could contradict market sentiment indicators.

Ethereum Faces Critical Juncture

Ethereum is experiencing a significant downturn, trading at $2,975—a 4.2% drop over the past day. This decline and Bitcoin’s similar trajectory have led to a 4.1% reduction in the global cryptocurrency market cap, erasing more than $200 billion in value.

Ethereum (ETH) price chart on TradingView
ETH price is moving downwards on the 2-hour chart. Source: ETH/USDT on TradingView.com

According to Coinglass, this downturn has triggered substantial losses for traders, with 207,020 liquidations in the past day, totaling $576.53 million. Ethereum-related liquidations account for $134.58 million, predominantly from long positions.

While Peter Schiff’s outlook may seem too pessimistic amid these market conditions, another voice in the crypto analysis sphere, Inspo Crypto, offers a slightly more moderate view.

He notes that Ethereum’s price has fallen to early May levels and suggests that the next 8-hour trading window could be crucial in determining the market’s direction.

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If Ethereum can rise above these levels, it might potentially ease the bearish trend. However, failure to reach the $3,170 mark (which it already has) could lead to further declines, possibly down to $2,700, exacerbating losses across the altcoin market.

Featured image created with DALL-E, Chart from TradingView





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Analyst Predicts Ethereum Nosedive, Cautions Investors To Prepare For $2,700 Target

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Amid the ongoing bloodbath in the cryptocurrency market, Ethereum (ETH), the second-largest cryptocurrency by market capitalization, has not been spared. Over the past week, ETH has experienced a significant 9% price decline, bringing it down to the $3,130 level. 

As market participants closely monitor the situation, the focus now lies on crucial levels that must be held back to prevent a deeper retrace that could lead to substantial losses and heightened liquidation rates not witnessed in months.

Make-Or-Break Moment For Ethereum Price

Crypto analyst “Inspo Crypto” has drawn attention that Ethereum’s price has retraced to levels last seen at the beginning of May. 

According to the analyst, the upcoming 8-hour trading period, represented by a 1-day candle, will be a critical juncture to determine whether the bulls have capitulated or can muster a comeback. 

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A retracement above the abovementioned level could be considered a deviation from the bearish trend. However, if Ethereum fails to retest the lower trend channel at $3,170, it could pave the way for a further decline towards $2,700, consequently impacting altcoins and leading to significant losses across the market.

Upward Trajectory To $5,000 if Price Holds At $3,170

The analyst further asserts that, in his opinion, Ethereum has been operating within a new trend channel since October 2013. Hence, if ETH manages to hold its price within the range of $3,170  without breaking down, it would confirm an upward trajectory towards $5,000. It is important to note that this timeframe extends until the end of the year. 

Additionally, it should be considered that Ethereum is still operating within a long-term trend channel

If the described scenario unfolds, it would also confirm the long-term trend channel, indicating that ETH was trapped in a bearish phase between August 2023 and February 2024 and is now embarking towards $8,000 over the coming months. 

However, it is crucial to acknowledge that this analysis does not account for external factors such as monetary policy decisions or geopolitical conflicts. 

Nevertheless, if Ethereum manages to hold the $3,170 level and begins an upward ascent, the possibility of an altcoin season becomes increasingly feasible, as suggested by the analyst.

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Ultimately, ETH’s next moves will affect its trajectory and impact the broader crypto landscape, particularly the altcoin market, which has also seen significant losses in recent days. 

Ethereum
The 1-D chart shows ETH’s price drop on Thursday. Source: ETHUSD on TradingView.com

ETH trades at $3,130 at the time of writing, reflecting a 5% decline in the past 24 hours. As a result, it becomes crucial that the token closes above the aforementioned critical level of $3,170 in the coming hours to prevent potential additional losses, as emphasized by the analyst.

Featured image from DALL-E, chart from TradingView.com



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