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Is Bitcoin Ready for Another Surge?

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The US Dollar Index (DXY), which measures the dollar’s value against a basket of foreign currencies, has dropped to a three-year low. The decline contrasts with gold’s performance, which hit an all-time high of $3,220 amid rising trade war tensions.

Yet, DXY’s dip has sparked optimism among cryptocurrency investors. Many see the weakening dollar as a bullish signal for Bitcoin (BTC), which has recently shown signs of modest recovery.

Will Bitcoin Rally Following the DXY Index’s Fall?

Data shows that the DXY index dropped by 1.5% in the last 24 hours. As of press time, it stood at 99.4, marking its lowest level since April 2022. The decline is part of a broader trend in 2025, with the DXY down 8.3% since January.

“The US dollar index dropped to its lowest level in nearly three years amid capital outflows from American assets. Escalating trade tensions and growing concerns over broader economic fallout, particularly for the US, have weighed heavily on market sentiment,” CryptoQuant’s Alex Adler told BeInCrypto.

Notably, the index’s fall below 100 marks a critical threshold. Historical data highlights a strong correlation between a declining DXY and substantial Bitcoin price surges. 

Bitcoin Vs. DXY Performance
Bitcoin Vs. DXY Performance. Source: TradingView

The last two times the DXY fell below the 100 mark—in April 2017 and May 2020—Bitcoin experienced significant, months-long rallies. These substantial increases have led to speculation that history could repeat itself. If it does, Bitcoin could potentially be poised for another major surge.

Interestingly, Bitcoin has already shown signs of recovery after the 90-day tariff pause. The largest cryptocurrency reclaimed the $80,000 level, signaling renewed investor confidence. According to BeInCrypto data, Bitcoin appreciated by 0.8% over the past 24 hours. This reflected minor but positive gains that suggest momentum could be building.

In fact, the market watchers on X (formerly Twitter) share a similar outlook.

“Weak dollar is going to be a surprising tailwind for emerging markets this year that wasn’t on anyone’s bingo card,” a user wrote.

Meanwhile, an analyst observed that the US dollar’s decline has occurred despite the Federal Reserve’s failure to reduce interest rates or implement quantitative easing (QE).

“Traditionally, DXY going down is very bullish for BTC,” he said.

The analyst also highlighted a notable bearish divergence on the charts. Thus, he predicted that the dollar could potentially drop to 90, signaling a further decline in its value.

DXY index Bearish Divergence
DXY Index Bearish Divergence. Source: X/VentureFounder

Similarly, another analyst described DXY’s decline as “one of the best anticipated macro moves ahead.”

“Each time this has happened in the past, it resulted in a massive bull market for Bitcoin, Crypto, and stocks,” Jackis remarked.

He also acknowledged that the markets have been slow to react, attributing this delay to a lag of more than three months. Additionally, he noted that the ongoing bond situation between China and the US, driven by escalating trade tensions, is contributing to this slow reaction. 

Yet, he believes this situation will either be resolved through a deal between the two countries or the Federal Reserve will intervene by buying long-term bonds to stabilize the market. Now, the coming weeks will be crucial to determine whether Bitcoin will actually enter another bull run or falter under geopolitical tensions and broader market shifts.

Disclaimer

In adherence to the Trust Project guidelines, BeInCrypto is committed to unbiased, transparent reporting. This news article aims to provide accurate, timely information. However, readers are advised to verify facts independently and consult with a professional before making any decisions based on this content. Please note that our Terms and ConditionsPrivacy Policy, and Disclaimers have been updated.



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CryptoQuant CEO Says Bitcoin Bull Cycle Is Over, Here’s Why

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Ki Young Ju, the CEO of blockchain analytics platform CryptoQuant, has declared that the Bitcoin bull cycle is over. Notably, the premier cryptocurrency has struggled to establish a sustained uptrend since hitting a new all-time high of around $109,000 in January, causing doubts about the viability of the current bull run.

Bitcoin’s Unresponsive Price Points To Bear Market Onset

In an X post on April 5, Ki Young Ju shared an interesting theory on why Bitcoin may have concluded its current bull run. The prominent crypto figure has based this postulation on on-chain data concepts around the Realized Cap and the Market Cap. 

Young Ju describes the Realized Cap as the total capital that flows into the BTC market as revealed by actual on-chain activity. The Realized cap reveals a more accurate measurement of the BTC network by summing the price at which each coin last moved.

On the other hand, the Market Cap provides a BTC network valuation based on the latest exchange trading prices. The CryptoQuant CEO explains that market cap/prices do not increase or decrease in proportion to transaction sizes based on common misconceptions but in response to the balance between buying and selling pressure.

 

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Source: @ki_young_ju on X

Young Ju states that amidst low sell pressure, a small buy can cause a rise in price and market cap. On the other hand, large Bitcoin purchases during high sell pressure can fail to effect a positive price reaction as the market consists of a high number of sellers.

Looking at both concepts, it is understood that Realized Cap measures the capital inflows into the BTC market while Market Cap indicates price reaction to these inflows. Therefore, the CryptoQuant boss explains that a rise in Realized Cap, while Market Cap declines or remains unchanged, presents a classic bearish signal as prices are failing to respond positively despite new investments. 

Alternatively, a stagnant Realized Cap accompanied by an increased Market Cap is a bullish signal that reflects the low level of sellers; thus any small amount of new capital can induce substantial price gains. 

Ki Young Ju states the former situation is currently playing out in the Bitcoin market with prices failing to rise inflow as indicated by on-chain data in exchange transactions, ETF markets, and custodial wallets activity. This development suggests the presence of a bear market. While Young Ju states that the current sell pressure could wane at any time, historical data supports a reversal period of at least six months.

Bitcoin Price Overview

At press time, Bitcoin was trading at $83,700 reflecting a decline of 0.94% in the past day. 

Bitcoin
BTC trading at $83,702 on the daily chart | Source: BTCUSDT chart on Tradingview.com

Featured image from TheStreet, chart from Tradingview

Editorial Process for bitcoinist is centered on delivering thoroughly researched, accurate, and unbiased content. We uphold strict sourcing standards, and each page undergoes diligent review by our team of top technology experts and seasoned editors. This process ensures the integrity, relevance, and value of our content for our readers.



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Satoshi Nakamoto Turns 50 — Still No Idea Who He Is

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Today is the 50th birthday of Bitcoin’s enigmatic inventor, Satoshi Nakamoto. After all these years, nobody has a clue who he actually is. But his creation, Bitcoin, has revolutionized the world of finance in a huge way.

Since its introduction in 2009, Bitcoin has evolved from a tech test to one of the most popular digital currencies around. Its decentralized nature has raised serious discussions about the future of money and if traditional banking might one day become obsolete.

Satoshi Nakamoto Birthday: Why April 5 Matters

According to his old P2P Foundation profile, Satoshi Nakamoto’s birthday is listed as April 5, 1975—a date that might hold more symbolic weight than actual truth. What makes April 5 stand out? It’s the same day in 1933 when President Franklin D. Roosevelt signed Executive Order 6102, compelling Americans to surrender their gold to the government.

That moment marked a major transfer of financial power from individuals to the state—a stark contrast to Bitcoin’s core philosophy. Many believe Nakamoto chose this date on purpose, as a subtle nod to decentralization and a quiet rebellion against monetary control.

Bitcoin appears to be in contrast to that level of control. It’s decentralized, and its own supply is limited to 21 million coins. Many feel that Satoshi chose April 5 as a gesture of a departure from government-controlled money and towards financial freedom.

BTC is now trading at $82,246. Chart: TradingView

Big Names Are Now Backing Bitcoin

Bitcoin is no longer only for tech enthusiasts. Large corporations and institutions are now joining the bandwagon. Strategy (formerly MicroStrategy), for instance, owns more than 500,000 Bitcoin, valued in billions. Michael Saylor, Strategy’s executive chairman and co-founder, has been a strong supporter, frequently referring to Bitcoin as a “safer and more powerful store of value” than the US dollar.

Source: Gemini Imagen

Even BlackRock, the biggest asset manager globally, is interested. CEO Larry Fink just stated that Bitcoin could rival the dollar. He cited the increased US debt and inflation as reasons more individuals may flock to Bitcoin.

A Hedge In Uncertain Times

As inflation concerns grow, increasing numbers of individuals are turning to Bitcoin as a means of safeguarding their funds. In contrast to traditional currencies, which can be printed by governments without limit, Bitcoin is capped. This has prompted some to liken it to gold.

Would Bitcoin Replace The Dollar?

As Bitcoin continues to appreciate in value and popularity — an as the mystery surrounding Satoshi Nakamoto deepens – there is increasingly much being said about its place in the future world economy.

Some even believe it might dethrone the US dollar as the world’s currency of choice. That’s still a huge “maybe,” though. Supporters of Bitcoin, however, claim its decentralized nature and inherent scarcity make it a serious contender to be a long-term player in the financial world.

Featured image from Gemini Imagen, chart from TradingView

Editorial Process for bitcoinist is centered on delivering thoroughly researched, accurate, and unbiased content. We uphold strict sourcing standards, and each page undergoes diligent review by our team of top technology experts and seasoned editors. This process ensures the integrity, relevance, and value of our content for our readers.



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Scottish School Lomond Pioneers Bitcoin Tuition Payment In The UK

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The Lomond School in Scotland has become the first academic institution in the United Kingdom to accept tuition payments in Bitcoin (BTC) representing a major step in crypto mainstream adoption.

Bitcoin Represents Independence And Innovation, Lomond Says

In a recent blog post, Lomond School announced the inclusion of BTC as a payment option for tuition fees.  The management of the British school explains that this decision was driven by multiple factors including Bitcoin’s alignment with independent thinking and innovation which are part of the school’s core ethos.

Lomond describes Bitcoin as a decentralized asset with no central authority and is easily accessible and transferable, thus reflecting important principles such as democracy and inclusion. 

A statement by the school reads:

… Bitcoin is available to anyone willing to learn—making it more democratic and inclusive, particularly for people in developing nations who lack access to traditional banking. Lomond sees Bitcoin as a perfect real-world case study in economics, computing, ethics, and innovation.

The Scottish school further states that the adoption of BTC as a payment alternative is also driven by significant demand from local parents and international agents, showcasing the rising global acceptance of cryptocurrencies as viable financial assets.

However, Lomond has stated the school will only deal with Bitcoin at the moment which has distinguished itself from other cryptocurrencies in terms of “security, scarcity, transparency and resilience.”

Lomond: Bitcoin Treasury Is Feasible

To assuage customer fears about blockchain security, Lomond has stated that these BTC payments will be received by regulated and KYC-compliant partners — Musket and CoinCorner, on behalf of the school. However, despite this crypto-friendly approach, Lomond has stated that all Bitcoin received will be immediately converted to the Great Britain Pounds (GBP) to avoid dealing with the crypto market volatility. 

Nevertheless, there is the possibility of establishing a BTC Treasury in the advent of significant support from the school community. 

Lomond says: 

The (Bitcoin) treasury is a phased goal, not an immediate change, and it depends entirely on community support and the school’s ability to responsibly “stack sats” over time.

While Lomond may be the first British school to dabble into Bitcoin payments, academic institutions in other countries have long explored the use of the premier cryptocurrency. Some of these schools include Wharton College in the University of Pennsylvania, King’s College in New York, and major universities in El Salvador among others. Meanwhile, other academic institutions such as the University of Wyoming have developed ample resources to conduct peer-reviewed research on the “digital gold.”

At the time of writing, BTC continues to trade at $83,230 after a 3.65% price gain in the last 24 hours.

Bitcoin
BTC trading at $83,279.99 on the daily chart | Source: BTCUSDT chart on Tradingview.com

Featured image from Pexels, chart from tradingview

Editorial Process for bitcoinist is centered on delivering thoroughly researched, accurate, and unbiased content. We uphold strict sourcing standards, and each page undergoes diligent review by our team of top technology experts and seasoned editors. This process ensures the integrity, relevance, and value of our content for our readers.



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