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Ethereum Drops Below Key Realized Price: Last Time Was March 2020 Before A Rally

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Ethereum has suffered yet another blow this week, sliding to a fresh low of around $1,380 — a level not seen since March 2023. The ongoing downtrend has left investors increasingly concerned, with many now questioning whether ETH’s long-term bullish structure is still intact. Market conditions remain harsh, driven by persistent macroeconomic tensions, rising global instability, and uncertainty stemming from U.S. trade and fiscal policies.

Sentiment across the crypto space continues to deteriorate, and Ethereum’s price action reflects that unease. After months of struggling to hold key support levels, the breakdown below $1,500 has added to fears that a deeper correction may be unfolding.

However, amidst the gloom, there may be a silver lining. According to CryptoRank data, Ethereum is now trading below its realized price — a rare occurrence historically associated with market bottoms and strong recovery phases.

While the near-term outlook remains uncertain, such rare on-chain signals could indicate that Ethereum is entering a key accumulation zone. The coming days and weeks will be critical in determining whether this is just another leg down — or the beginning of a long-term reversal.

Ethereum Sinks Below Realized Price As Fear Takes Over The Market

Ethereum has now lost over 33% of its value since late March, triggering deep concern among investors and analysts alike. The price plunge has brought ETH down to levels not seen in over two years, sparking panic and despair among holders who once expected 2025 to be a breakout year for altcoins. Instead, Ethereum has become a symbol of market fragility as the broader macroeconomic landscape continues to worsen.

Trade war fears, inflationary pressure, and a potential global recession are shaking financial markets to their core. In this climate, high-risk assets like Ethereum are among the first to suffer. As capital exits speculative assets in favor of safer havens, ETH’s selloff has only accelerated — and investor confidence has taken a serious hit.

However, there may be a glimmer of hope in the data. Top crypto analyst Carl Runefelt recently pointed out on X that Ethereum is now trading below its realized price of $2,000 — a rare occurrence that has historically signaled major turning points in ETH’s price trajectory.

Ethereum Realized Price by Accumulating Addresses | Source: Carl Runefelt on X
Ethereum Realized Price by Accumulating Addresses | Source: Carl Runefelt on X

Runefelt emphasized that the last time ETH dipped below its realized price was in March 2020, when it crashed from $283 to $109 — only to recover strongly in the following months. While the current environment is full of uncertainty, such on-chain metrics hint at the possibility that ETH is entering an accumulation phase once again.

Still, confidence remains fragile, and price action must stabilize before any real bullish narrative can return. Ethereum’s next moves will be critical in determining whether this level marks a true bottom — or just another stop on the way down.

ETH Struggles Below $1,500 With No Clear Support in Sight

Ethereum is currently trading below the $1,500 level after suffering a brutal 50% decline since late February. The aggressive selloff has erased months of gains and left investors in a state of uncertainty, as ETH shows no signs of recovery. Market sentiment remains overwhelmingly bearish, and there is little indication that a bottom has been reached.

ETH facing aggressive selling pressure | Source: ETHUSDT chart on TradingView
ETH facing aggressive selling pressure | Source: ETHUSDT chart on TradingView

At this stage, Ethereum lacks a clearly defined support zone. Bulls have lost control, and price action continues to drift lower with weak demand and increasing fear. For a meaningful reversal to begin, ETH must first reclaim the $1,850 level — a zone that previously served as a key support and now stands as major resistance.

Until that happens, any upside attempt is likely to be met with strong selling pressure. The situation becomes even more precarious if Ethereum loses the $1,380 level, which has so far acted as a psychological threshold. Falling below this area could open the door to a deeper correction toward the $1,100–$1,200 range.

With macroeconomic tensions still high and volatility expected to persist, traders and investors will be watching closely to see whether Ethereum can stabilize — or continue its sharp decline.

Featured image from Dall-E, chart from TradingView 

Editorial Process for bitcoinist is centered on delivering thoroughly researched, accurate, and unbiased content. We uphold strict sourcing standards, and each page undergoes diligent review by our team of top technology experts and seasoned editors. This process ensures the integrity, relevance, and value of our content for our readers.



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Ethereum

SEC Delays Decision On Staking For Grayscale’s Ethereum ETFs

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The US Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) has announced a delay in its decision regarding the approval of staking for Ethereum ETFs from asset manager Grayscale. This setback comes as the SEC awaits the confirmation of pro-crypto commissioner Paul Atkins, whose appointment has yet to be finalized.

SEC Postpones Staking Approval On Ethereum ETFs

On February 14, 2025, NYSE Arca, Inc. submitted a proposed rule change to the SEC, seeking to amend the listing and trading rules for Grayscale’s Ethereum Trust ETF and Grayscale Ethereum Mini Trust ETF to allow staking. 

The proposal was published for public comment on March 3, 2025. Under the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, the SEC is required to act on such proposals within 45 days, although it can extend this period for good cause. 

The original deadline for the SEC’s decision was April 17, 2025, but the Commission has now extended this timeframe to June 1, 2025, to allow for a thorough evaluation of the proposal.

In a parallel move, Fox journalist Eleanor Terret reported that the SEC is also delaying its decision on whether to permit WisdomTree and VanEck to conduct in-kind creations and redemptions for their Bitcoin and Ethereum spot ETFs until June 3, 2025. 

As reported by Terret, the in-kind process allows for direct exchanges of the underlying assets—Bitcoin and Ethereum—rather than converting them into cash, which was previously mandated by the SEC under Gary Gensler’s leadership. 

New Era For Crypto?

Atkins’ delayed arrival at the SEC is partly due to procedural steps that require President Trump’s approval and a formal swearing-in. While this sign-off is expected to occur soon, it has left the agency in a state of transition, with implications for the future of crypto regulation.

However, this shift in regulatory approach signals a potential turning point for the cryptocurrency industry. Under Gensler’s tenure, the SEC was criticized for its stringent, enforcement-heavy stance towards cryptocurrency, which stifled innovation and created uncertainty for many market participants. 

Conversely, the anticipated arrival of Atkins, known for his pro-crypto perspective, may herald a new era of more favorable regulatory conditions.

Atkins’ position could pave the way for the approval of numerous altcoin ETFs filed by various asset managers, aimed at providing broader exposure to cryptocurrencies like XRP, Cardano, and Solana. 

Ethereum
The 1D chart shows ETH’s slight price recovery seen on Monday. Source: ETHUSDT on TradingView.com

ETH, the second largest cryptocurrency on the market, is trading at $1,630 on Monday, up 6% on a weekly basis. On longer time frames, the token is still down 15% after the sell-off in February and March that saw the price of ETH drop towards $1,380.

Featured image from DALL-E, chart from TradingView.com 

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Ethereum Price Threatened With Sharp Drop To $1,400, Here’s Why

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Ethereum might be on track to facing renewed pressure, according to an interesting technical outlook. Despite short bursts of recovery attempts, the broader market structure is still trying to flip in favor of bulls, but price movement shows that the bears are still in control. Notably, a recent technical analysis posted by crypto analyst Youriverse on the TradingView platform highlights a potential sharp drop in the price of Ethereum towards $1,400 if the current downward trend continues.

Strong Rejection From Key Fibonacci Zone Hints At Persistent Resistance

Technical analysis shows that the Ethereum price chart is currently characterized by a noticeable Fair Value Gap (FVG) on the 4-hour timeframe. This interesting gap was left behind after a steep 10% drop last Sunday, marking a strong area of seller dominance.

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This gap represents a zone of clear imbalance where selling activity outweighs buying pressure and has influenced Ethereum’s price action throughout the past seven days. Earlier last week, Ethereum retraced into this gap, reaching the midpoint, but was met with swift rejection. This swift rejection showed the intense selling pressure present within this Fair Value Gap. 

Ethereum
Source: Chart from Tradingview

Interestingly, the Ethereum price has returned to this Fair Value Gap again, and another rejection here could send it back to a bottom below $1,400. Furthermore, Ethereum is trading within an area identified as the “golden pocket” of the Fibonacci extension indicator, which is drawn from the $1,383 bottom on April 9. Unless price action breaks decisively above this level and heads toward the next Fib level of 0.786 at $1,724, there is still a risk of a significant rejection that could lead to further downside below $1,400.

Stochastic RSI Weakness Suggests Possible Downturn Ahead For Ethereum

In addition to the Fair Value Gap and Ethereum’s struggle within the golden pocket of the Fibonacci retracement zone, the Stochastic RSI is now introducing another layer of bearish pressure to the current outlook. This momentum oscillator, which measures the relative strength of recent price movements, is approaching the overbought region on the daily timeframe. 

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Ethereum’s approach of overbought zone with the Stochastic RSI is due to inflows that have pushed the crypto’s price from the $1,383 bottom on April 9. Now that the Stochastic RSI is moving into the overbought zone, it adds to the bearish outlook that it could reject at the Fair Value Gap and start a new downside correction very soon. 

So far, the Ethereum price was rejected at $1,650 in the past 24 hours, which further supports the bearish continuation thesis. If the selling pressure builds again, as suggested by both the weakening RSI and persistent resistance at the Fair Value Gap, the analyst warns of a breakdown that could drag the price to as low as $1,400, or even lower.

At the time of writing, Ethereum is trading at $1,627.

Ethereum
ETH trading at $1,635 on the 1D chart | Source: ETHUSDT on Tradingview.com

Featured image from Unsplash, chart from Tradingview.com



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Ethereum Reclaims Key Support At $1,574, Here’s The Next Price Target

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Semilore Faleti is a cryptocurrency writer specialized in the field of journalism and content creation. While he started out writing on several subjects, Semilore soon found a knack for cracking down on the complexities and intricacies in the intriguing world of blockchains and cryptocurrency.

Semilore is drawn to the efficiency of digital assets in terms of storing, and transferring value. He is a staunch advocate for the adoption of cryptocurrency as he believes it can improve the digitalization and transparency of the existing financial systems.

In two years of active crypto writing, Semilore has covered multiple aspects of the digital asset space including blockchains, decentralized finance (DeFi), staking, non-fungible tokens (NFT), regulations and network upgrades among others.

In his early years, Semilore honed his skills as a content writer, curating educational articles that catered to a wide audience. His pieces were particularly valuable for individuals new to the crypto space, offering insightful explanations that demystified the world of digital currencies.

Semilore also curated pieces for veteran crypto users ensuring they were up to date with the latest blockchains, decentralized applications and network updates. This foundation in educational writing has continued to inform his work, ensuring that his current work remains accessible, accurate and informative.

Currently at NewsBTC, Semilore is dedicated to reporting the latest news on cryptocurrency price action, on-chain developments and whale activity. He also covers the latest token analysis and price predictions by top market experts thus providing readers with potentially insightful and actionable information.

Through his meticulous research and engaging writing style, Semilore strives to establish himself as a trusted source in the crypto journalism field to inform and educate his audience on the latest trends and developments in the rapidly evolving world of digital assets.

Outside his work, Semilore possesses other passions like all individuals. He is a big music fan with an interest in almost every genre. He can be described as a “music nomad” always ready to listen to new artists and explore new trends.

Semilore Faleti is also a strong advocate for social justice, preaching fairness, inclusivity, and equity. He actively promotes the engagement of issues centred around systemic inequalities and all forms of discrimination.

He also promotes political participation by all persons at all levels. He believes active contribution to governmental systems and policies is the fastest and most effective way to bring about permanent positive change in any society.

In conclusion, Semilore Faleti exemplifies the convergence of expertise, passion, and advocacy in the world of crypto journalism. He is a rare individual whose work in documenting the evolution of cryptocurrency will remain relevant for years to come.

His dedication to demystifying digital assets and advocating for their adoption, combined with his commitment to social justice and political engagement, positions him as a dynamic and influential voice in the industry.

Whether through his meticulous reporting at NewsBTC or his fervent promotion of fairness and equity, Semilore continues to inform, educate, and inspire his audience, striving for a more transparent and inclusive financial future.



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