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Bitcoin’s Future After Trump Tariffs

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Welcome to the US Morning Crypto Briefing—your essential rundown of the most important developments in crypto for the day ahead.

Grab a coffee to see how Bitcoin is holding its ground while Wall Street stumbles, why Trump’s tariffs may push the Fed into money-printing mode, and what that could mean for crypto’s next chapter. From Ethereum’s test of resilience to rising odds of a US recession, here’s everything you need to know to stay ahead.

Bitcoin Enters Its Risk-Dynamic Era Amid Tariffs and Turmoil

Bitcoin’s reaction to recent macro shocks—particularly Trump’s sweeping tariffs—has been noticeably calm compared to traditional markets, and that’s turning heads. While Wall Street stumbles harder than expected, crypto has held relatively steady.

Nexo Dispatch Editor Stella Zlatarev told BeInCrypto that this isn’t just resilience—it’s evidence that Bitcoin may be entering a new phase of market maturity.

“A 2–3% drop in crypto is a rounding error compared to past cycles,” she said, emphasizing that this stability amid chaos suggests Bitcoin is no longer just a speculative punt. “Bitcoin’s ability to weather macro turbulence without the wild swings of previous years suggests institutional investors are treating it less as a speculative punt and more as a strategic asset,” Zlatarev said.

Analysts also stressed that Bitcoin’s behavior doesn’t align with traditional asset categories.

“It’s not gold, and it’s not the yen. Instead, Bitcoin is emerging as a risk-dynamic asset – one that doesn’t crumble like high-growth stocks but also doesn’t attract the same flight-to-safety flows as traditional safe havens,” Zlatarev told BeInCrypto.

This concept of a “risk-dynamic” asset positions Bitcoin in a unique role: something that thrives in uncertainty but doesn’t collapse when the market turns.

Zlatarev from Nexo also noted that how Ethereum and other blue-chip altcoins respond next will be key.

“If ETH mirrors BTC’s performance, it strengthens the case that top-tier crypto assets are evolving into a more predictable asset class. If ETH wobbles, it reinforces that, for now, Bitcoin is in a league of its own.”

Meanwhile, the macro backdrop is shifting fast. Trump’s new “Liberation Day” tariffs have spooked global trade partners and have also sent ripple effects through prediction markets. Polymarket now gives almost 50% odds of a US recession this year—a major shift following the announcement.

Also, CME FedWatch tool shows interest rate traders have boosted the probability the US Federal Reserve will make four rate cuts this year. Eventually, this could relief the current macroeconomic pressure on Bitcoin.

fed interest rate projection for may 2025
Target Rate Probabilities for the Next Fed Meeting on May 7. Source: CME Group

Former BitMex CEO Arthur Hayes mentioned that Trump’s current tariff strategy could complicate the US bond market. In other words, pressure is building for the Fed to intervene—possibly by turning on the liquidity spigot once again.

All of this puts Bitcoin in a new spotlight. Its steadiness is no longer being dismissed as a coincidence. It may be the first sign that crypto, or at least its most mature players, is stepping out of the shadows of speculation and into the spotlight of strategic finance.

Chart of the Day

Balance of Payments: Current Account: Balance (Revenue Minus Expenditure) for the United States. Source: FRED St-Louis.

By reducing foreign demand for US Treasuries, Trump’s tariffs may force the Fed to inject more liquidity—potentially weakening the dollar and boosting Bitcoin as an alternative store of value.

Byte-Sized Alpha

Trump’s “Liberation Day” enforces 10%+ tariffs on all imports, hitting China, the EU, and Israel, triggering market drops and recession fears.

According to Standard Chartered, Bitcoin may hit $500,000 by Trump’s term end, AVAX could 10x by 2029, and Ethereum’s 2025 target drops to $4,000.

– The STABLE Act of 2025 advances with bipartisan support, aiming to tighten stablecoin rules as competition and regulatory pressure intensify.

– Bitcoin ETFs see $221 million in April inflows led by ARKB, but BTC derivatives cool with falling futures interest and bearish options sentiment.

DXY hits a 2024 low after “Liberation Day” tariffs, fueling short-term Bitcoin surge hopes amid global tensions and policy uncertainty.

– Bitcoin struggles below $85,000 amid weak sentiment, but long-term holders stay firm, keeping capitulation fears at bay.

Polymarket sees almost 50% chance of US recession as Trump’s tariffs spark market fears and trade tensions.

Disclaimer

In line with the Trust Project guidelines, this price analysis article is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial or investment advice. BeInCrypto is committed to accurate, unbiased reporting, but market conditions are subject to change without notice. Always conduct your own research and consult with a professional before making any financial decisions. Please note that our Terms and ConditionsPrivacy Policy, and Disclaimers have been updated.





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XRP Price Forms Rounded Bottom Within Descending Channel, Target Set Above $3

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Despite breaking above $3 earlier this year, the XRP price has since gone on to disappoint investors with multiple crashes that have rocked the altcoin. This has seen the cryptocurrency lose almost 50% of its acquired value between late 2024 and early 2025. Nevertheless, this has failed to erode bullish sentiment, with predictions for higher prices dominating the community.

Time To Go Long On The XRP Price?

A crypto analyst on X (formerly Twitter) has renewed bullish hope after identifying an important formation on the XRP price chart. The analysis pointed out that the XRP Price is still moving within a descending channel, a formation that usually signals a bearish move.

However, the downtrend has pushed the altcoin’s price to the point where it is now testing the bottom trend line. This bottom trend line has been known to act as strong support previously and is expected to do so this time around.

With the support forming, it is likely that the XRP Price is gearing up for a bounce from this level. Furthermore, the crypto analyst points out that XRP is also forming a rounded bottom inside this descending channel. Such a rounded bottom could signal an end to the downtrend from here.

XRP Price

As the formation grows, the main level of support is now sitting at $1.6. So far, this level has held up quite nicely and bulls have been using it as a bounce-off point for recovery. Given this, the crypto analyst advises that entries for the XRP price are best at around $1.70 to $1.85.

This is not the only good news for the XRP price with support forming. If it holds and the altcoin does indeed bounce from this level toward $2, then the next important levels lie between $2 and $2.2. These serve as the levels for the bulls to beat to confirm a bullish continuation toward a possible all-time high.

If the bulls are successful, then three profit targets are placed by the crypto analyst. These include $2.3385, $2.8160, and $3.3062, pushing it toward January 2025 highs.

The Bearish Case

While the analysis is inherently bullish, there is still the possibility of invalidation that could send the XRP price tumbling further. As the analyst points out, the major support currently lies at $1.6. This means that bulls must hold this level. Otherwise, there is the risk of a much deeper correction as a liquidity sweep could send support further down to $1.3.

Nevertheless, with buy sentiments building once again, it is likely that XRP will follow the bullish scenario in this case.

XRP price chart from TradingView.com

Chart from TradingView.com



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RSR Price Climbs 22% After Paul Atkins Gets Named SEC Chair

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Reserve Rights (RSR) has experienced a notable 22% increase in its price over the last 24 hours. This surge follows the news of Paul Atkins, former Reserve Rights Foundation advisor, becoming the new chair of the US Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC).

Additionally, US President Donald Trump’s decision to pause reciprocal tariffs has added a layer of optimism to the cryptocurrency market, further buoying RSR’s price. 

Reserve Rights Investors May Note Profits Soon

The market sentiment surrounding RSR remains cautiously optimistic, driven by a significant accumulation of tokens. According to the IOMAP, around 46.73 billion RSR tokens, valued at over $350 million, are currently sitting at a price range between $0.007983 and $0.008202. 

These tokens have not yet reached a profit zone, but an 8% rally would make them profitable for investors. As these large holders are likely to maintain a bullish outlook, the anticipation of possible profits could further strengthen the buying sentiment, contributing to a price increase.

However, if the holders aim to sell for a break-even, it might negatively impact the RSR price rally.

RSR IOMAP
RSR IOMAP. Source: IntoTheBlock

Despite the news of Paul Atkins becoming SEC Chair, the overall macro momentum for RSR appears to be lackluster. The Chaikin Money Flow (CMF) indicator, which measures market liquidity and investor buying pressure, has not seen any sharp upticks, even after the recent announcements. 

This suggests that, while the netflows have been positive, they remain underwhelming compared to the size of the positive developments. If RSR’s price continues its uptick in the coming days, there is a chance that the CMF will start to reflect stronger positive sentiment.

RSR CMF
RSR CMF. Source: TradingView

RSR Price Is Rising

Reserve Rights (RSR) price is currently trading at $0.007543, with a strong support level at $0.007386. Given the 22% rally over the last 24 hours, it is possible that the token will continue to rise if it holds above this support. 

A bounce off $0.007386 could see RSR making its way to $0.008196. This would bring the altcoin closer to a profitable range for many investors as well as imbue confidence regarding further rally.

RSR Price Analysis.
RSR Price Analysis. Source: TradingView

However, should RSR fail to breach the $0.008196 resistance or fall below the support of $0.007386, the altcoin’s price could drop to $0.006601 or even lower towards $0.005900. This would significantly damage the bullish thesis and extend recent losses, potentially leading to a further period of consolidation.

Disclaimer

In line with the Trust Project guidelines, this price analysis article is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial or investment advice. BeInCrypto is committed to accurate, unbiased reporting, but market conditions are subject to change without notice. Always conduct your own research and consult with a professional before making any financial decisions. Please note that our Terms and ConditionsPrivacy Policy, and Disclaimers have been updated.



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Is Trump’s Tariff Delay Masking a Crypto Dead Cat Bounce?

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President Donald Trump’s latest decision to pause most of his tariffs has sparked a rally in stocks, bonds, the dollar, and cryptocurrencies. However, experts believe that the tariff delay may be creating a “dead cat bounce” in the market. 

This recovery follows Trump’s earlier imposition of reciprocal tariffs on all nations, including a significant 104% tariff on Chinese imports. The announcement rattled markets, triggering a considerable downturn.

Is the Crypto Market Surge Just Another Dead Cat Bounce in Disguise?

BeInCrypto reported that Trump’s 90-day tariff pause excluded China. Importantly, following Beijing’s retaliatory measures, the tariffs have now escalated to 125%. 

Nevertheless, the move has significantly boosted markets. The total cryptocurrency market capitalization surged by 5.5% in the past 24 hours, with Bitcoin (BTC) reclaiming the $80,000 mark.

Other major cryptocurrencies, such as Ethereum (ETH), XRP (XRP), and Solana (SOL), also recorded double-digit gains, signaling renewed investor optimism.

Top 10 Cryptocurrencies Market Performance
Top 10 Cryptocurrencies Market Performance. Source: BeInCrypto

Yet, beneath the surface of this rally, skepticism remains prevalent. Jacob King, analyst and CEO of WhaleWire newsletter, warned that the tariff delay is setting a trap for retail investors. 

“We’ve officially entered the dead cat bounce phase: delay the tariffs, bait the retail crowd back in, and set the stage for the next red wave,” he posted.

He predicts that while retail investors pile into the market, institutions will use the opportunity to “quietly dump their bags,” foreshadowing a sharp downturn. Many echo King’s concerns. Moreover, economics professor Steve Hanke was even more direct.

“If Trump continues to play his tariff cards, the rally will represent nothing more than a dead cat bounce,” Hanke said.

In fact, some investors are planning to sell to avoid losses. 

“This is the 90 day dead cat exit bounce. sell in may and go away,” another analyst wrote.

Nonetheless, Amit, an investor and analyst, offered a different view. He suggested that the previous market bounce was a dead cat bounce because it was not based on any solid, fundamental reason.

This time, however, the analyst pointed out that there is an actual reason for market optimism. 

“The difference here, and why selling into the rip *might* not be the best, is that if tariffs are truly delayed — well folks we have a fundamental catalyst for the markets,” he remarked.

He explained that the initial 10% tariffs were already priced in the market. However, the market could stabilize if the 90-day tariff pause extends indefinitely and leads to a deal with China.

“We also have sold off a ton assuming these tariffs would be in effect. Jobs data is fine. If the tariffs aren’t the issue, not saying we need to visit 7000 spx anytime soon, but it may not be a deadcat given this catalyst could be long-lasting,” Amit added.

It is worth noting that the term “dead cat bounce”—a temporary recovery in asset prices after a steep decline, followed by a continued downtrend—has surged in online searches, reaching levels not seen since the COVID-19 pandemic. 

Dead Cat Bounce Search Trends
Dead Cat Bounce Search Trends. Source: X/JEllulz

During that period, markets like Bitcoin and stocks staged a V-shaped recovery fueled by quantitative easing (QE). BeInCrypto reported that this time, there is increased speculation that the Fed might return to QE in response to rising market volatility and financial instability.

If QE is revived, it could have a major impact on financial markets, including cryptocurrencies. The sector could see a strong rebound similar to past QE periods. Previously, Arthur Hayes, former CEO of BitMEX, predicted that Bitcoin could surge to $250,000 by the end of 2025 if this materializes.

Disclaimer

In adherence to the Trust Project guidelines, BeInCrypto is committed to unbiased, transparent reporting. This news article aims to provide accurate, timely information. However, readers are advised to verify facts independently and consult with a professional before making any decisions based on this content. Please note that our Terms and ConditionsPrivacy Policy, and Disclaimers have been updated.



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