Market
How a $7 Million Market Was Manipulated on Polymarket

Polymarket, a prediction market platform, is under fire following the most severe manipulation attack in its history.
A prediction market with a betting volume exceeding $7 million produced an erroneous outcome, leaving users with significant losses.
Inside Polymarket’s $7 Million Market Manipulation: What Went Wrong
The latest controversy concerns the market: “Ukraine agrees to Trump mineral deal before April?” The market was supposed to run from February 2 to March 31, 2025.
It would resolve as “Yes” if the United States and Ukraine reached an agreement involving Ukrainian rare earth elements by the specified deadline.

Rules on the Polymarket platform explicitly stated that the resolution would be based on “official information from the US and Ukrainian governments.” However, despite no official confirmation, the market was resolved as “Yes,” leading to widespread accusations of manipulation.
“Polymarket has scammed its users once more,” a user wrote on X.
He also noted that, in the past, two markets with identical conditions were classified as “No.” Notably, they had much smaller betting volumes of $91,860 and $360,976. In contrast, the manipulated market boasted a betting volume exceeding $7 million.
The user claimed that a group of influential users called UMA whales manipulated the outcome. He also revealed that a whale used multiple accounts to cast a large number of votes, totaling 5 million tokens, which accounted for 25% of the total votes.

Thus, the individual effectively concentrated a significant portion of the voting power in their hands, skewing the outcome in favor of the “Yes” option.
Polymarket’s response has done little to assuage user concerns. The team issued an announcement on their official Discord server, acknowledging the situation. However, they stated that they could not issue refunds to affected users because the situation was not a market failure.
“This is an unprecedented situation, and we have been in war rooms all day internally and with the UMA team to make sure this won’t happen again. This is not a part of the future we want to build: we will build up systems, monitoring, and more to make sure this doesn’t repeat itself,” the statement read.
Is Polymarket Rigged? A History of Insider Allegations
Meanwhile, this isn’t the first time Polymarket has been accused of manipulation. A detailed thread by an X user, Folke Hermansen, shed light on several similar instances.
“Polymarket is revealing itself to be revealing itself a totally fraudulent platform. Insiders write rules, place bets, and co-ordinate with verifiers to rig markets and scam their own customers for millions daily,” he posted.
Hermansen disclosed that, in early March, manipulators resolved the “Gold missing from Fort Knox” market as “No,” stealing $3.5 million. Furthermore, in another tariff-related market, he alleged that the dispute button disappeared during the 2-hour window for users to challenge the resolution. This allowed insiders to push the market to a “No” outcome.
Another example he gave was the “Will Trump say China during his crypto summit?” market. Polymarket issued a rule clarification after Trump mentioned China, retroactively declaring it didn’t count and resolving the market to “No.”
Hermansen elaborated that the manipulation of Polymarket markets happens due to a combination of factors related to UMA’s dispute resolution system and the influence of insiders.
He added that UMA resolution votes are highly concentrated, with just two whales controlling over half of the voting power. Furthermore, an individual holds up to 7.5 million of the 20 million staked UMA tokens.

Hermansen stressed that these whales are also active participants in Polymarket, placing large bets on outcomes.
“UMA is, in theory, a neutral third-party blockchain protocol which incentivizes truth-seeking. In reality, it incentivizes crowding towards whatever other people are voting for,” he stated.
According to him, the UMA system incentivizes voters to follow the majority to avoid losing their staked tokens. Thus, large holders’ actions drive voting rather than an independent search for the truth.
Additionally, he detailed that to propose or dispute a market resolution on Polymarket, users must post a bond, which is usually $750 USDC. Insiders with significant holdings can afford to stake large amounts and post bonds. Meanwhile, fear of losing their stake discourages others from challenging them.
As a result, most disputes in UMA end up with near-unanimous resolutions, often 95% or more.
“It’s an open secret that UMA whales can arbitrarily decide how markets resolve,” Hermansen claimed.
He also emphasized that the system’s design anonymizes voting and disputes. Therefore, this makes it difficult to trace who is responsible for incorrect resolutions, further enabling insider manipulation.
Disclaimer
In adherence to the Trust Project guidelines, BeInCrypto is committed to unbiased, transparent reporting. This news article aims to provide accurate, timely information. However, readers are advised to verify facts independently and consult with a professional before making any decisions based on this content. Please note that our Terms and Conditions, Privacy Policy, and Disclaimers have been updated.
Market
This is Why PumpSwap Brings Pump.fun To the Next Level

Since launching PumpSwap, token launchpad Pump.fun has resumed its position as a top-level protocol by fees and revenue. It saw over $2.62 billion in volume in less than two weeks, signifying high market interest.
Nonetheless, the meme coin sector as a whole has been more volatile than usual lately. PumpSwap is an attractive new option, but it still needs to stand the test of time.
Pump.fun Surges with PumpSwap
Pump.fun, a prominent meme coin creation platform, recently suffered some difficulties in the market. Facing lawsuits and criticism from the industry, the platform’s revenue had been declining in 2025. However, since launching PumpSwap, Pump.fun’s income has rebounded, making it one of the largest protocols by fees and revenue.

PumpSwap is a decentralized exchange on Solana’s blockchain, and it has grown very quickly since its launch less than two weeks ago. It has already managed over $2.62 billion in trade volume, although its daily volume fell over the weekend. Pump.fun’s cofounder spoke highly about PumpSwap, calling it a “crucial step that will help grow the ecosystem.”

Pump.fun’s overall revenues were declining before it launched PumpSwap, and they have since jumped back up. However, it’s important to not overstate the new exchange’s success. The exchange’s total fees collected have skyrocketed compared to Pump.fun, but the actual revenue growth has been comparatively small.

Still, these low fees also have significant advantages. Demand seems to be drying up in the meme coin sector, but Pump.fun faces stiff competition in the form of firms like Raydium, using low fees as a competitive edge. It has also promised things like revenue sharing with token creators to promote ecosystem growth.
Ultimately, the meme coin market as a whole is full of uncertainty. PumpSwap has been able to keep Pump.fun competitive as a top-level platform in this space, giving it a welcome reprieve. The real challenge will come in determining long-term viability.
Disclaimer
In adherence to the Trust Project guidelines, BeInCrypto is committed to unbiased, transparent reporting. This news article aims to provide accurate, timely information. However, readers are advised to verify facts independently and consult with a professional before making any decisions based on this content. Please note that our Terms and Conditions, Privacy Policy, and Disclaimers have been updated.
Market
Hedera (HBAR) Bears Dominate, HBAR Eyes Key $0.15 Level

Hedera (HBAR) is under pressure, down roughly 13.5% over the past seven days, with its market cap holding at around $7 billion. Recent technical signals point to growing bearish momentum, with both trend and momentum indicators leaning heavily negative.
The price has been hovering near a critical support zone, raising the risk of a breakdown below $0.15 for the first time in months. Unless bulls regain control soon, HBAR could face further losses before any meaningful recovery attempt.
HBAR BBTrend Has Been Turning Heavily Down Since Yesterday
Hedera’s BBTrend indicator has dropped sharply to -10.1, falling from 2.59 just a day ago. This rapid decline signals a strong shift in momentum and suggests that HBAR is experiencing an aggressive downside move.
Such a steep drop often reflects a sudden increase in selling pressure, which can quickly change the asset’s short-term outlook.
The BBTrend, or Bollinger Band Trend, measures the strength and direction of a trend using the position of price relative to the Bollinger Bands. Positive values generally indicate bullish momentum, while negative values point to bearish momentum.

The further the value is from zero, the stronger the trend. HBAR’s BBTrend is now at -10.1, signaling strong bearish momentum.
This suggests that the price is trending lower and doing so with increasing strength, which could lead to further downside unless buyers step in to slow the momentum.
Hedera Ichimoku Cloud Paints a Bearish Picture
Hedera’s Ichimoku Cloud chart reflects a strong bearish structure, with the price action positioned well below both the blue conversion line (Tenkan-sen) and the red baseline (Kijun-sen).
This setup indicates that short-term momentum is clearly aligned with the longer-term downtrend.
The price has consistently failed to break above these dynamic resistance levels, signaling continued seller dominance.

The future cloud is also red and trending downward, suggesting that bearish pressure is expected to persist in the near term.
The span between the Senkou Span A and B lines remains wide, reinforcing the strength of the downtrend. For any potential reversal to gain credibility, HBAR would first need to challenge and break above the Tenkan-sen and Kijun-sen, and eventually push into or above the cloud.
Until then, the current Ichimoku configuration supports a continuation of the bearish outlook.
Can Hedera Fall Below $0.15 Soon?
Hedera price has been hovering around the $0.16 level and is approaching a key support at $0.156.
If this support fails to hold, it could open the door for further downside, potentially pushing HBAR below the $0.15 mark for the first time since November 2024.

However, if HBAR manages to reverse its current trajectory and regain bullish momentum, the first target to watch is the resistance at $0.179.
A breakout above that level could lead to a stronger rally toward $0.20 and, if momentum continues, even reach $0.215. In a more extended bullish scenario, HBAR could climb to $0.25, signaling a full recovery and trend reversal.
Disclaimer
In line with the Trust Project guidelines, this price analysis article is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial or investment advice. BeInCrypto is committed to accurate, unbiased reporting, but market conditions are subject to change without notice. Always conduct your own research and consult with a professional before making any financial decisions. Please note that our Terms and Conditions, Privacy Policy, and Disclaimers have been updated.
Market
Coinbase Tries to Resume Lawsuit Against the FDIC

Coinbase asked a DC District Court if it could resume its old lawsuit against the FDIC. Coinbase sued this regulator over Operation Choke Point 2.0 and claimed that it’s still refusing to release relevant information.
Based on the information available so far, it’s difficult to draw definitive conclusions. The FDIC maintains that it responded to its opponents’ questions truthfully, though it has shown delays in the past.
Coinbase vs the FDIC
Coinbase, one of the world’s largest crypto exchanges, has been in a few fights with the FDIC. The firm has been pursuing the FDIC over Operation Choke Point 2.0 for months now, and has achieved impressive results. Despite this, however, Coinbase is asking the DC District Court to resume its litigation against the regulator:
“We’re asking the Court to resume our lawsuit because the FDIC has unfortunately stopped sharing information. While we would have loved to resolve this outside of the legal system – and we do appreciate the increased cooperation we’ve seen from the new FDIC leadership – we still have a ways to go,” claimed Paul Grewal, Coinbase’s Chief Legal Officer.
The FDIC has an important role in US financial regulation, primarily dealing with banks. This gave it a starring role in Operation Choke Point 2.0, hampering banks’ ability to deal with crypto businesses. However, it recently started a pro-crypto turn, releasing tranches of incriminating documents and revoking several of its anti-crypto statutes.
Grewal said that he “appreciated the increased cooperation” from the FDIC but that the cooperation stopped weeks ago. According to Coinbase’s filing, the FDIC hasn’t sent any new information since late February and claimed in early March that the exchange’s subsequent requests were “unreasonable and beyond the scope of discovery.”
On one hand, the FDIC has previously been slow to make relevant disclosures in the Coinbase lawsuit. On the other hand, Operation Choke Point 2.0 sparked significant tension within the industry, and a determined group is now aiming to significantly weaken the regulatory bodies involved.
Until the legal battle continues, it’ll be difficult to make any definitive statements. The FDIC will likely have two weeks to respond to Coinbase’s request.
Disclaimer
In adherence to the Trust Project guidelines, BeInCrypto is committed to unbiased, transparent reporting. This news article aims to provide accurate, timely information. However, readers are advised to verify facts independently and consult with a professional before making any decisions based on this content. Please note that our Terms and Conditions, Privacy Policy, and Disclaimers have been updated.
-
Market21 hours ago
Bitcoin Bears Tighten Grip—Where’s the Next Support?
-
Market20 hours ago
Ethereum Price Weakens—Can Bulls Prevent a Major Breakdown?
-
Bitcoin13 hours ago
Marathon Digital to Sell $2 Billion in Stock to Buy Bitcoin
-
Bitcoin8 hours ago
Strategy Adds 22,048 BTC for Nearly $2 Billion
-
Market13 hours ago
Strategic Move for Trump Family in Crypto
-
Market8 hours ago
BNB Breaks Below $605 As Bullish Momentum Fades – What’s Next?
-
Market12 hours ago
Top Crypto Airdrops to Watch in the First Week of April
-
Market7 hours ago
Trump Family Gets Most WLFI Revenue, Causing Corruption Fears