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Ethereum (ETH) has tumbled to a 4-year low against Bitcoin (BTC), further eroding investor confidence in the second-largest cryptocurrency by market cap. The last time ETH was this weak against BTC was back in December 2020.

Ethereum Continues To Lose Ground To Bitcoin

Ethereum hit a fresh multi-year low against the leading cryptocurrency, as the ETH/BTC trading pair – also known as the ETH/BTC ratio – dropped to 0.02284. The following monthly chart illustrates how ETH has been on a consistent downtrend against BTC for the past four consecutive months.

Adding to ETH’s struggles is its declining market dominance. At the time of writing, the smart contract token’s market dominance stands at 8.6%. For context, ETH’s market dominance was hovering slightly above 18% in March 2024.

ETH’s persistent underperformance relative to BTC becomes clear when comparing historical ratios. In 2017, one BTC could buy approximately six ETH. In 2025, one BTC now buys as much as 42 ETH.

Data from crypto exchange-traded funds (ETF) tracker SoSoValue also reveals that Ethereum ETFs are seeing a sharp decline in interest, likely driven by ETH’s sluggish price performance over the past two to three years.

The following chart illustrates how the total net asset value in Ethereum ETFs has plunged from $14.28 billion on December 15, to $6.65 billion as of March 9. In that same period, ETH’s price has more than halved, dropping from $4,043 to just above $1,800 at the time of writing.

As ETH struggles to reclaim the critical $2,000 price level, seasoned crypto analyst Ali Martinez has identified key resistance zones. In an X post, Martinez noted that ETH faces heavy resistance between $2,250 and $2,610, where over 12 million investors purchased more than 65 million ETH.

Can ETH Stage A Comeback?

Another indicator of waning investor confidence is the declining proportion of staked ETH in the network. A recent report highlighted that ETH staking has dropped sharply from its November 2024 peak.

Moreover, price analysis based on MVRV Pricing Bands suggests that if ETH fails to break above $2,060, it could slide further, potentially reaching as low as $1,440. Ethereum whales – wallets holding more than 10,000 ETH – also appear to be losing confidence, with some large holders offloading their assets.

However, on a brighter note, excessive bearish sentiment around ETH could spark a short squeeze, potentially propelling the cryptocurrency toward $3,000. At press time, ETH trades at $1,884, down 1.7% in the past 24 hours.

Featured Image from Unsplash.com, Charts from SoSoValue.com and TradingView.com

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According to a recent X post by seasoned crypto analyst Ali Martinez, Ethereum (ETH) price could face further decline as it risks breaking down from an ascending triangle pattern – potentially crashing to as low as $800.

Ethereum To Crash To $800?

Ethereum (ETH) has struggled over the past three years, failing to reclaim its all-time high (ATH) of $4,878 from November 2021. Meanwhile, other cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin (BTC) and Solana (SOL) have surged to new ATHs earlier this year.

Amid a broader crypto market pullback driven by geopolitical tensions and tariff concerns, ETH has fallen 30% in the past month – dropping from $2,800 on February 13 to around $1,900 at the time of writing.

That said, Ethereum’s woes may still continue. Recent price analysis by Martinez highlights how ETH has been trading in an ascending triangle, and has so far failed to decisively break through the $4,000 resistance level.

The leading smart contract token has now broken down from the pattern, raising the possibility of a crash to as low as $800. The last time ETH traded at $800 was way back in December 2020.

Ethereum’s below average price performance relative to other digital assets is further hampered by the relentless selling it has witnessed over the past few months. A post by CryptoQuant CEO, Ki Young Ju, shows that since January 2020, ETH has faced the highest selling in the first three months of 2025.

Further, recent analysis by another crypto analyst, Ted, emphasizes the similarity between the current ETH price crash and the capitulation candle in March 2020 due to the COVID pandemic. The analyst said:

I wouldn’t be surprised if ETH goes a bit lower from here towards $1.4K-$1.6K level. But that doesn’t mean everything is over. $10K ETH will happen this cycle.

All May Not Be Lost For ETH

While there is considerable pessimism about ETH’s short-term price action, some analysts suggest that the digital asset may soon witness a swift price recovery.

For instance, crypto trader Merlijn The Trader brought attention to Ethereum’s 3-year Stochastic Relative Strength Index (RSI) level. The analyst noted that ETH’s Stochastic RSI is significantly oversold, raising optimism for a potential “massive rally.”

For the uninitiated, the Stochastic RSI is a momentum indicator that shows whether an asset is overbought or oversold by comparing the RSI to its recent range. It moves between 0 and 1, with values above 0.8 suggesting overbought and below 0.2 indicating oversold conditions.

In addition, recently crypto analyst Crypto Yoddha stated that ETH may have already hit the bottom for this market cycle. At press time, ETH trades at $1,854, down 1.2% in the past 24 hours.

Featured image from Unsplash, Charts from X and TradingView.com

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The Ethereum price action continues to stir controversy as market sentiment remains deeply bearish. Notably, a crypto analyst has predicted what they call “the most hated rally in crypto”, suggesting that ETH could defy expectations and surge higher, triggering intense skepticism from traders and investors.

Ethereum Price Surge To Spark Controversy

Using the Elliott Wave Theory as the basis for his Ethereum price prediction, X (formerly Twitter) crypto analyst Decode predicts a possible price reversal in the top altcoin.

The analyst shared a chart pinpointing Waves 1-5 of Ethereum’s Elliott Wave structure. Currently, the altcoin is in a Wave 4 correction, which has unfolded as a complex WXYXZ structure, a typical sideways corrective combination. Decode also highlights that the “1.236 Fibonacci extension of C vs A” has been reached, effectively completing Wave 4. 

If Wave 4 is concluded, the analyst suggests that the Ethereum price should start Wave 5 soon, leading to a strong bullish rally toward $13,500 to $17,000. However, ETH’s present market sentiment is extremely bearish, implying that capitulation may be closer than a rally.

Since market reversals often occur when sentiment and demand are at their worst, this could indicate a potential bottom for the Ethereum price. The analyst predicts that the asset could stage a strong rally after its decline, triggering what he calls “the most hated rally ever seen in crypto.”

The reason Decode describes ETH’s next price rally so ominously is likely because he expects it to be met with extreme skepticism and disbelief. Right now, the crypto community is highly pessimistic about the Ethereum price outlook due to its prolonged sideways trading. This sentiment is seemingly justified, as ETH has failed to rally ETH has failed to rally significantly, unlike most altcoins in the crypto space.

While Bitcoin and altcoins like Solana, Cardano, and XRP have skyrocketed recently, Ethereum still trades at significant lows, even crashing by more than 30% in the last month. If the market remains hesitant toward ETH and avoids buying during price dips, frustration, and regret could grow once the altcoin surges unexpectedly, leaving investors watching from the sidelines as they miss out on potential gains.  

Analyst Asserts ETH Is Staging A Comeback

Despite the broader market volatility and Ethereum’s slow price growth, market expert ‘Crypto Caeser’ remains optimistic about ETH’s rally potential. The analyst predicts that Ethereum could stage a comeback and rebound soon.

This bullish prediction is based on past cycles, during which ETH has faced similar periods of severe decline and consolidation. In his price chart, the analyst emphasized that after the COVID-19 crash and ETH’s local bottom, the cryptocurrency recorded a massive price rally in the following year. 

According to the analyst, Ethereum has hit another local bottom following the Bybit hack attack. If history repeats, ETH could experience a strong recovery and trigger a surge toward $5,000 this bull cycle.

Featured image from Pexels, chart from Tradingview.com

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