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Dogecoin has faced continued selling pressure, losing the $0.17 support level in the past 24 hours. This price decline comes amid broader market decline, which has seen the meme coin also struggling to regain momentum. Despite this setback, a new technical analysis from Trader Tardigrade shows that DOGE remains within a historically significant macro channel. If the price holds within this range, it could indicate that the bottom has already formed, setting the stage for a significant breakout in the coming months.

Dogecoin’s Price Action And The Macro Channel

According to a detailed technical analysis of Dogecoin’s price action on the monthly candlestick timeframe, shared on social media platform X by crypto analyst Trader Tardigrade, Dogecoin has maintained a well-defined uptrend macro channel that has shaped its long-term price trajectory since its inception. However, the analyst pointed out that there have been instances where the meme coin briefly deviated above or below the upper and lower boundaries of this macro channel before reverting back inside.

The current price action of steady declines since January has seen DOGE now testing the lower trendline level within this macro structure. The question is now whether Dogecoin can rebound from the lower trendline without a deviation or whether it deviates again and trades below the trendline for a few months.

As highlighted by Trader Tardigrade, should DOGE remain within the macro channel without breaking below the lower trendline, it would indicate that the cryptocurrency has already reached its bottom. This scenario mirrors a similar pattern observed in 2017, when Dogecoin’s price respected the lower boundary without deviation. This, in turn, caused a strong rebound and sustained uptrend in the months that followed.

However, past price behavior from 2020 suggests that a deviation remains a possibility, meaning DOGE could temporarily fall below this trendline and spend the next few months trading beneath it. At the time of writing, this lower trendline is positioned around $0.15.

DOGE $6 Price Target And How To Get There

Despite the recent weakness in Dogecoin’s buying pressure, Trader Tardigrade is optimistic about Dogecoin’s long-term trajectory. Notably, the analyst projected a possible Dogecoin price surge toward $6. This ambitious price target hinges on the meme coin maintaining its macro structure without deviating and repeating the previous 2017 growth.

At the time of writing, Dogecoin is trading at $0.1687 after slipping below the crucial $0.17 support level in the past 24 hours. The loss of this support has intensified bearish sentiment, and there’s now a better likelihood of further downside movement in the short term. 

Technical indicators suggest that Dogecoin still has room to decline before finding solid footing, and $0.15 is now the next important level to watch. A confluence of factors, including technical indicators such as the Relative Strength Index (RSI), could be pivotal in determining when DOGE might reach oversold levels and bottom out at $0.15.

Featured image from Unsplash, chart from Tradingview.com

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Dogecoin price has bounced back from its crucial support levels at $0.16, trading 2.54% up, and moving back to its weekly resistance of $0.175. On-chain data also shows that the DOGE address activity has surged by 400% amid strong investor sentiment. Some market analysts believe that the gates for a parabolic rally in Dogecoin are still open.

Dogecoin Price to See A Parabolic Rally to $6?

Crypto market analysts are hopeful of a Dogecoin price rally all the way to $6 as the bulls take charge, bouncing back from the support of $6. Popular crypto analyst Ali Martinez displays Dogecoin’s price movement on a weekly timeframe from 2015 through early 2025.

The technical analysis shows DOGE trading within a long-term logarithmic upward channel defined by parallel trend lines. As we can see from the above image, as long as DOGE holds above the crucial support levels, it can rally further all the way to $6 and beyond.

DOGE Active Addresses Surge 400%

Citing on-chain data from Santiment, crypto analyst Ali Martinez highlighted a major spike in Dogecoin (DOGE) network activity. According to the report, active Dogecoin addresses have surged by 400%, reaching nearly 395,000. This significant uptick in activity underscores growing interest in the popular meme coin.

Furthermore, analyst Ali Martinez also pointed out the Stochastic RSI crossover for the Dogecoin price, referring to it as the starting point of the new bullish phase. A bullish crossover in the Stochastic RSI on Dogecoin’s weekly chart could signal a potential sharp rally, based on historical trends. Previous instances of this crossover have led to significant price surges, with gains of 88%, 187%, and even 444%.

Short Term Target for DOGE

While the expectations of a parabolic Dogecoin price rally to $6 could be far-fetched for now, it is still aiming for 200-300% gains from here onwards. Prominent crypto analyst Marzell has highlighted a critical support level for Dogecoin (DOGE) in recent technical analysis. According to the analyst, maintaining the $0.14750 level is crucial for a bullish breakout scenario.

Furthermore, the analyst added that DOGE is showing promising signs of a breakout from its current falling wedge pattern. If the support holds firm, the analyst predicts a strong rally, potentially pushing DOGE prices toward the $0.46 to $0.65 range.

An increase in the DOGE user engagement could provide the meme coin the necessary momentum needed to overcome resistance levels and initiate a bullish trend.

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Bhushan Akolkar

Bhushan is a FinTech enthusiast with a keen understanding of financial markets. His interest in economics and finance has led him to focus on emerging Blockchain technology and cryptocurrency markets. He is committed to continuous learning and stays motivated by sharing the knowledge he acquires. In his free time, Bhushan enjoys reading thriller fiction novels and occasionally explores his culinary skills.

Disclaimer: The presented content may include the personal opinion of the author and is subject to market condition. Do your market research before investing in cryptocurrencies. The author or the publication does not hold any responsibility for your personal financial loss.