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$3 Billion Bitcoin & Ethereum Options Expire: Will Volatility Hit?

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Today, over $3 billion worth of Bitcoin and Ethereum options expire. It will see over $2.5 billion worth of BTC and nearly $500 million worth of ETH contracts settled. How will the prices of both assets react?

These options’ expiry will take place at 8:00 UTC on Deribit, potentially inspiring volatility across the crypto market.

Bitcoin Faces $89,000 Max Pain in Today’s Options Expiry

Today, March 7, 29,005 Bitcoin contracts with a notional value of $2.54 billion are set to expire. According to Deribit data, Bitcoin’s put-to-call ratio is 0.67. The maximum pain point—the price at which the asset will cause financial losses to the greatest number of holders—is $89,000.

Bitcoin Options Expiration
Bitcoin Options Expiration. Source: Deribit

Additionally, Ethereum sees the expiration of 223,395 contracts with a notional value of $481.9 million. The maximum pain point for these contracts is $2,300, with a put-to-call ratio of 0.72. 

Expiring Ethereum Options
Expiring Ethereum Options. Source: Deribit

The maximum pain point in the crypto options market represents the price level that inflicts the most financial discomfort on option holders. At the same time, the put-to-call ratios, below 1 for both Bitcoin and Ethereum, indicate a higher prevalence of purchase options (calls) over sales options (puts).

Crypto options trading tool Greeks.live provided insights into the current market sentiment. They cited an overall bearish market sentiment, with traders expressing frustration over extreme volatility and choppy price action.

Bitcoin’s sharp intraday swings, such as recent moves of $6,000, have led to what traders describe as “scam both ways” conditions. According to analysts at Greeks.live, this makes it difficult to establish a clear directional trend.

“Most traders are watching the 87,000-89,000 range as key resistance, with 82,000 noted as a recent bottom, though there is significant disagreement on whether a sustainable bottom has been found,” wrote Greeks.live.

Further, the pronounced put skew reflects the broader pessimism, as traders continue to favor downside protection despite occasional upward moves. The analysts also observe that traders are adjusting their strategies amidst the high volatility.

“Several traders are selling calls at 89,000-90,000 range as a preferred strategy in this environment, with one trader reporting they’re at -260% on calls bought at lower levels,” Grreeks.live added.

The belief that the market is currently in a liquidity-driven phase has led to a focus on quick entries and exits. This level of caution comes as longer-term positions remain vulnerable to abrupt swings. External macro factors, such as shifting trade policies and tariff announcements, add to the uncertainty.

As a result, many traders are choosing to stay on the sidelines, waiting for clearer signals before committing to new positions.

“With markets on edge, where do you think price action will land? Above or below max pain?” Deribit posed in a post on X (Twitter).

Nonetheless, traders must remember that option expiration has a short-term impact on the underlying asset’s price. Generally, the market will return to its normal state shortly after and possibly even compensate for strong price deviations.

Traders should stay vigilant, analyzing technical indicators and market sentiment to navigate potential volatility effectively. Meanwhile, these developments come after US President Donald Trump signed the strategic Bitcoin reserve order.

Notably, the order was short of specific details, with many questions likely to be answered later during the White House Crypto Summit.

Disclaimer

In adherence to the Trust Project guidelines, BeInCrypto is committed to unbiased, transparent reporting. This news article aims to provide accurate, timely information. However, readers are advised to verify facts independently and consult with a professional before making any decisions based on this content. Please note that our Terms and ConditionsPrivacy Policy, and Disclaimers have been updated.



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Berachain Price Drops 30%—More Losses Ahead?

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Berachain (BERA) has suffered a steep decline over the past week, shedding 30% of its value as bearish sentiment plagues the general market. 

In the past 24 hours alone, the token has slid another 6%, deepening concerns of further downside. With growing bearish bias against the altcoin, this might be the case in the near term. 

BERA Faces Mounting Downside Risk

Berachain’s sharp decline has triggered a surge in short positions across its futures market. This rise in demand for shorts is evident in its funding rate, which has been negative since the token’s launch on February 6. At press time, this is at -0.11%.

BERA Funding Rate.
BERA Funding Rate. Source: Coinglass

The funding rate is a periodic fee exchanged between long and short traders in perpetual futures contracts to keep prices aligned with the spot market.

A negative funding rate means that short traders are paying long traders, indicating a stronger demand for short positions

As with BERA, if an asset experiences an extended period of negative funding rates, it suggests sustained bearish sentiment. It indicates that the token’s traders consistently bet on further price declines. This prolonged negativity could increase BERA’s price volatility and extend its price fall. 

In addition, BERA has noted significant fund outflows from its spot markets over the past few days. Per Coinglass, the altcoin has noted almost $2 million in spot market outflows today alone.

BERA Spot Inflow/Outflow.
BERA Spot Inflow/Outflow. Source: Coinglass

When an asset experiences spot outflows like this, it signals a surge in selling pressure. It indicates a bearish trend as investors reduce exposure or take profits, potentially leading to further price declines.

BERA at a Crossroads—Break Below $6.07 or Rally Toward $7.36?

Berachain trades at $6.14 at press time, resting slightly above support at $6.07. If the bearish bias against the altcoin strengthens, its price could break below this support floor, causing the token to trade at a low of $5.35.

If the bulls fail to defend this level, BERA could slip to its all-time low of $4.74.

BERA Price Analysis.
BERA Price Analysis. Source: TradingView

On the other hand, if market sentiment improves and BERA’s demand soars, its price could rally to $7.36.

Disclaimer

In line with the Trust Project guidelines, this price analysis article is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial or investment advice. BeInCrypto is committed to accurate, unbiased reporting, but market conditions are subject to change without notice. Always conduct your own research and consult with a professional before making any financial decisions. Please note that our Terms and ConditionsPrivacy Policy, and Disclaimers have been updated.



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Fintech Leaders Push for US Federal Regulatory Sandbox

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Regulatory‬‭ sandboxes‬‭ have‬‭ emerged‬‭ ‬‭as a concept to drive innovation‬‭ in‬‭ a‬‭ controlled‬ setting.‬‭ They‬‭ allow‬‭ companies‬‭ to‬‭ test‬‭ new‬‭ crypto‬‭ products‬‭ and‬‭ services‬‭ while‬‭ regulators‬‭ observe‬‭ and‬‭ adapt‬‭ regulations. While jurisdictions like the UK, the UAE, and Singapore have already created sandboxes, the US has yet to create one at the federal level. 

BeInCrypto spoke with representatives of OilXCoin and Asset Token Ventures LLC to understand what the US needs to build a federal regulatory sandbox and how it can unify a fragmented testing environment for innovators.

A Patchwork Approach

As the name suggests, regulatory sandboxes have emerged as a tool for providing a controlled testing ground. This environment allows entrepreneurs, businesses, industry leaders, and lawmakers to interact with new and innovative products. 

According to the Institute for Reforming Government, 14 states in the United States currently have regulatory sandboxes for fintech innovation.

Of those, 11 are industry-specific and cover other sectors like artificial intelligence, real estate, insurance, child care, healthcare, and education. 

12 US states have not considered any type of statewide sandbox legislation. Source: Institute for Reforming Government.

Utah, Arizona, and Kentucky are the only jurisdictions among these states with an all-inclusive sandbox. Meanwhile, all but 12 states are currently considering legislation to create some regulatory sandbox for innovation. 

Due to its relatively short existence, the crypto market has underdeveloped legislation. While state-level sandboxes enable innovators to demonstrate their products’ capabilities to the public, they are significantly constrained by the lack of federal regulatory sandboxes.

The Need for Federal Oversight

Though statewide efforts to create regulatory sandboxes are vital for innovation, entrepreneurs and businesses still face constraints in developing across borders or reaching an audience at a national level.

“‭The‬‭ existing‬‭ state-level‬‭ regulatory‬‭ sandboxes‬‭ in‬‭ the‬‭ US‬‭ have‬‭ provided‬‭ some‬‭ room‬‭ for‬‭ innovation,‬‭ but‬‭ they‬‭ remain‬‭ limited‬‭ in‬‭ scope‬‭ and‬‭ impact.‬‭ Operating at the state-level means they‬‭ lack‬‭ the‬‭ scale‬‭ and‬‭ consistency‬‭ needed‬‭ to‬‭ provide‬‭ meaningful‬‭ regulatory‬‭ clarity‬‭ for‬‭ businesses‬‭ operating‬‭ across‬‭ multiple‬‭ jurisdictions,” Dave Rademacher, Co-founder of‬‭ OilXCoin‬, told BeInCrypto.

Rapid advancements in fields like blockchain and artificial intelligence (AI) add a particular layer of uncertainty, given that existing legal frameworks may not be well-suited to these technologies. 

‬“Since‬‭ crypto‬‭ and‬‭ blockchain‬‭ technologies‬‭ inherently‬‭ function‬‭ on‬‭ a‬‭ global‬‭ scale,‬‭ a‬‭ fragmented‬‭ regulatory‬‭ environment‬‭ makes‬‭ compliance‬‭ difficult‬‭ and‬‭ creates‬‭ uncertainty‬‭ for‬‭ both‬‭ startups‬‭ and‬‭ institutional investors,” Rademacher added.

At the same time, regulators may face difficulties in developing appropriate rules for these technologies due to a potential lack of familiarity with these constantly changing industries.

As a result, industry participants are increasingly calling for creating a federal regulatory sandbox. This environment could be a collaborative framework to address the gap, facilitating communication and knowledge sharing between regulators and industry stakeholders. 

“‬The implementation of a federal regulatory sandbox in the United States has the potential to significantly enhance both innovation and regulatory oversight by reducing the uncertainties often associated with navigating the regulatory landscape across state lines. Such an initiative could help establish a coherent framework characterized by uniformity, continuity, and a conducive environment for innovation,” said ‭ Paul Talbert‬, Managing Director of‬‭ ATV‬‭ Fund.‬

According to Rademacher and Talbert, this proposal would meet the needs of all players involved.

Benefits of a Federal Regulatory Sandbox

A sandbox provides innovators with a controlled environment to test products under regulatory oversight without the immediate burden of full compliance with rules that may not yet fit their technology. 

It also allows regulators to acquire firsthand insights into blockchain applications, facilitating the creation of more knowledgeable and flexible regulatory policies. 

“‭Startups should have clear eligibility criteria to determine their qualification for participation, while regulators must outline specific objectives—whether focused on refining token classification frameworks, testing DeFi applications, or improving compliance processes,” ‭Rademacher said.

It could also help the United States reinforce its position as a leader in technological innovation.

“By fostering innovation through simplicity, regulatory certainty, and conducive environments, the United States can significantly strengthen its competitive position in the global fintech landscape,” Talbert‬ added. 

While the United States has stalled in creating a federal framework for fintech innovation, other jurisdictions around the world have already gained significant ground in this regard.

Global Precedents

The Financial Conduct Authority (FCA), which regulates the United Kingdom’s financial services, launched the first regulatory sandbox in 2014 as part of Project Innovate. This initiative aimed to provide a controlled environment for testing innovative products. 

The government asked the FCA to establish a regulatory process to promote new technology-based financial services and fintech and ensure consumer protection.

Following the UK’s lead, Abu Dhabi, Denmark, Canada, Hong Kong, and Singapore also established regulatory sandboxes.

The United Arab Emirates (UAE) and Singapore, in particular, have made progressive strides in creating federal regulatory sandboxes. 

The UAE, for example, currently has four different sandboxes: the Abu Dhabi Global Market (ADGM) Regulation Lab, the DSFA Sandbox, the CBUAE FinTech Sandbox, and the DFF Regulation Lab.

Their focus areas include digital banking, blockchain, payment systems, AI, and autonomous transport.

Meanwhile, the Monetary Authority of Singapore (MAS) launched its Fintech Regulatory Sandbox in 2016. Three years later, MAS also launched the Sandbox Express, providing firms with a faster option for market testing certain low-risk activities in pre-defined environments.

“The success of regulatory sandboxes in jurisdictions such as the United Kingdom, Singapore, and the United Arab Emirates has highlighted the importance of key attributes: regulatory collaboration, transparent processes, continuous monitoring, and the allocation of dedicated resources. As a result, a growing number of jurisdictions worldwide are looking to replicate the frameworks established by these pioneering countries to strengthen their competitive position in the global fintech landscape,” Talbert said.

Rademacher believes these jurisdictions’ innovations should prompt the United States to accelerate its progress.

“Rather‬‭ than‬‭ focusing‬‭ on ‬‭maintaining‬‭ a‬‭ competitive‬‭ edge,‬‭ the‬‭ priority‬‭ should‬‭ be‬‭ on‬‭ reclaiming‬‭ lost‬‭ ground.‬‭ The‬‭ US‬‭ has‬‭ lagged‬‭ behind‬‭ jurisdictions‬‭ like‬‭ the‬‭ UAE‬‭ and‬‭ Singapore,‬‭ which‬‭ have‬‭ implemented‬‭ clear‬‭ regulatory‬‭ pathways‬‭ that‬‭ attract‬‭ capital‬‭ and‬‭ talent.‬‭ A‬‭ federal‬‭ sandbox‬‭ would‬‭ be‬‭ a‬‭ critical‬‭ step‬‭ in‬‭ restoring‬‭ the‬‭ country’s‬‭ leadership‬‭ in‬‭ financial‬‭ innovation,” he said.

For that to happen, the United States must overcome certain hurdles. 

Challenges of a Fragmented US Regulatory Landscape

A fragmented network of federal and state agencies overseeing financial services presents a key challenge to establishing a US federal regulatory sandbox.

“Unlike other countries with a single financial authority overseeing the market, the U.S. has multiple agencies—including the SEC, CFTC, and banking regulators—each with different perspectives on how digital assets should be classified and regulated. The lack of inter-agency coordination makes implementing a unified sandbox more complex than in jurisdictions with a single regulatory body,” Rademacher told BeInCrypto. 

Yet, in recent years, important SEC and CFTC actors have expressed interest in adopting a more favorable regulatory approach to innovation. 

In‬‭ September‬‭ 2023,‬‭ when‬‭ Caroline‬‭ Pham‬‭ was‬‭ still‬‭ a‬‭ CFTC‬‭ Commissioner,‬‭ she‬‭ proposed‬‭ launching‬‭ federal‬‭ regulatory‬‭ sandboxes‬‭ or‬‭ pilot‬‭ programs‬‭ to‬‭ stay‬‭ ahead‬‭ of‬‭ the‬‭ innovation‬‭ curve.‬‭ SEC‬‭ Commissioner Hester Peirce‬‭ has‬‭ made‬‭ similar‬‭ statements‬‭ in‬‭ the past.‬

“Even though I tend to be more of a beach than a sandbox type of regulator, sandboxes have proven effective in facilitating innovation in highly regulated sectors. Experience in the UK and elsewhere has shown that sandboxes can help innovators try out their innovations under real-world conditions. A sandbox can provide a viable path for smaller, disruptive firms to enter highly regulated markets to compete with larger incumbent firms,” Peirce said in a statement last May.

However, the full scope of national regulations far exceeds the authority of these two entities.

Congressional and Constitutional Hurdles

Any legislative measure to develop a federal regulatory framework for sandboxes in the United States would have to undergo Congressional approval. Talbert highlighted several potential constitutional dilemmas the promotion of an initiative of this nature may face.

“These dilemmas include issues related to the non-delegation doctrine, which raises concerns about the constitutionality of delegating legislative power; equal protection considerations under the Fifth Amendment’s Due Process Clause; challenges arising from the Supremacy Clause; and implications under the Administrative Procedure Act (APA) and principles of judicial review,” he said.

To address these complexities, Congress must enact clear legal boundaries that ensure a regulatory framework is both predictable and open. Given the current administration’s emphasis on technological innovation, the prospects for creating a sandbox appear positive.

“‭Given the current composition of Congress, which aligns with the political orientation of the new executive branch, there may be a timely opportunity for regulatory reform. Such reform could facilitate the creation of a cohesive federal regulatory framework and enhance collaboration among federal agencies,” Talbert told BeInCrypto.

However, creating a federal regulatory sandbox is not a one-size-fits-all solution.

Balancing State Autonomy and Federal Regulations

State autonomy is enshrined in the US Constitution. This protection means that, even though a regulatory sandbox may exist at the national level, individual states still have the authority to restrict or prohibit sandboxes within their jurisdictions.

Encouragingly, most US states are already exploring regulatory sandboxes, and the states that have already implemented them represent diverse political viewpoints.

“‬‭Despite‬‭ these‬‭ hurdles,‬‭ it‬‭ is‬‭ noteworthy‬‭ that‬‭ the‬‭ establishment‬‭ of‬‭ state‬‭ regulatory‬‭ sandboxes‬‭ has‬‭ historically‬‭ transcended‬‭ partisan‬‭ politics,‬‭‭ with‬‭ representatives‬‭ from‬‭ both‬‭ major‬‭ political‬‭ parties‬‭ recognizing‬‭ the‬‭ economic‬‭ advantages‬‭ of‬ instituting regulatory frameworks that augment their states’ competitive positions,” Talbert said. 

However, other considerations beyond political resistance must also be addressed.

“‬‭A federal‬‭ regulatory‬‭ sandbox‬‭ might‬‭ also‬‭ face‬‭ opposition‬‭ from‬‭ established‬‭ financial‬‭ institutions,‬‭ including‬‭ banks,‬‭ which‬‭ may‬‭ perceive‬‭ potential‬‭ threats‬‭ to‬‭ their‬‭ existing‬‭ business‬‭ models.‬‭ Furthermore,‬‭ federal‬‭ budgetary‬‭ constraints‬‭ could‬‭ impede‬‭ the‬‭ government’s‬‭ capacity‬‭ to‬‭ support‬ ‭ the development and maintenance of a federal regulatory framework,” Talbert added.

Effective federal regulations will also require a balance between businesses’ concerns and regulators’ responsibilities.

“The two biggest risks are overregulation—imposing excessive restrictions that undermine the sandbox’s purpose—or underregulation, failing to provide meaningful clarity. If the rules are too restrictive, businesses may avoid participation, limiting the sandbox’s effectiveness. If they are too lax, there is a risk of abuse or regulatory arbitrage. A well-executed federal regulatory sandbox should not become a bureaucratic burden but rather a dynamic framework that fosters responsible growth in the digital asset space,” Rademacher told BeInCrypto.

Ultimately, the best approach will require coordination from different governing bodies, industry stakeholders, and bipartisan collaboration.

Fostering Collaboration for a Successful Sandbox

Due to recent strained communication between tech and federal agencies, Rademacher believes fostering a cooperative atmosphere is essential for creating a functional federal sandbox.

“The approach must be collaborative rather than adversarial. Agencies should view the sandbox as an opportunity to refine regulations in real time, working alongside industry participants to develop policies that foster responsible innovation. Involvement from banking regulators and the Treasury Department could also be valuable in ensuring that digital assets are integrated into the broader financial system in a responsible manner,” he said. 

Achieving this requires a bipartisan approach to harmonizing regulatory goals and setting clear boundaries. Industry collaboration with lawmakers and regulators is vital to showing how a sandbox can promote responsible innovation while safeguarding consumers.

“Its‬‭ success‬‭ will‬‭ ultimately‬‭ depend‬‭ on‬‭ whether‬‭ it‬‭ serves‬‭ as‬‭ a‬‭ bridge‬‭ between‬‭ innovation‬‭ and‬‭ regulation, rather than an additional layer of complexity,” Rademacher concluded. 

Disclaimer

Following the Trust Project guidelines, this feature article presents opinions and perspectives from industry experts or individuals. BeInCrypto is dedicated to transparent reporting, but the views expressed in this article do not necessarily reflect those of BeInCrypto or its staff. Readers should verify information independently and consult with a professional before making decisions based on this content. Please note that our Terms and ConditionsPrivacy Policy, and Disclaimers have been updated.



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XRP Price Chart Signals Trouble – Is A Drop To $1.20 Possible?

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The price of XRP has recorded a significant downtrend in the last 24 hours, declining by almost 5% according to data from CoinMarketCap. Amidst this price fall, renowned market analyst Ali Martinez has stated there is a strong bearish pattern forming on the XRP price chart signaling further price drops ahead.

XRP Faces Bearish Breakdown As Head-And-Shoulders Pattern Emerges

Over the last week,  XRP investors have witnessed both sides of the crypto market volatility after a spontaneous 30% surge to $3.00 was followed by a bearish price action of almost equal strength. Currently, XRP trades at around $2.30 in a downtrend signaling a dominant selling pressure.

Commenting on the current state of the market,  Ali Martinez stated that XRP’s price action on its daily chart is forming a head-and-shoulders pattern suggesting an incoming heavy price fall. For context, the head-and-shoulders pattern is a common reversal signal, that appears at the peak of an uptrend before a significant downtrend begins.

XRP

This bearish formation starts with the left shoulder which is an initial price peak followed by a moderate pullback. This can be seen with XRP’s price action in late 2024 after it surged to around $2.70 in early December before the general market correction. Thereafter, there is the head component which represents a higher price peak i.e. the current local market top at $3.40, followed by another decline.

Finally, the head and shoulders pattern is completed by the right shoulder formed by XRP’s choppy price action in the last week. The altcoin is now on a downtrend putting many traders on alert for a potential substantial price crash.

However, despite the head-and-shoulders pattern, a bearish signal can only be confirmed when XRP breaks decisively below the neckline at $2.20. In this case, Martinez warns the crypto asset could fall as low as $1.20, representing a potential 50% fall from XRP’s local highs seen in February.

In neutralizing this bearish projection, XRP bulls must provide enough market demand to push the coin past the right shoulder peak of $3.00, signaling momentum for a prolonged price uptrend.

XRP Market Overview

At press time, XRP trades at $2.34 following a 4.56% decline in the last 24 hours. However, its weekly chart reflects gains of 9.44% pushing the asset into minor monthly gains of 0.34%.  The fourth largest cryptocurrency has recently dipped below its 100-day Simple Moving Average correlating with fears of a sustained price fall. However, the XRP community remains largely bullish according to CoinMarketCap data.

Related Reading: Bitcoin Price Forecast: LTF Head And Shoulders Pattern Predicts Crash – Here’s The Target

XRP



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