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The Fed is expected to cut interest rates twice in 2025, what might this mean for the Bitcoin price?

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The cryptocurrency market has gone mainstream. It is no longer retail investors’ assets as institutions globally are investing in Bitcoin and other major cryptocurrencies. 

As a risk-based asset, Bitcoin’s price is affected by central bank policies, especially those from the United States Federal Reserve.

Bitcoin’s rally in 2024 and connections with rate cut

The cryptocurrency market was bullish in 2024, with the Bitcoin price surging by over 100%. The rally allowed Bitcoin to rally to an all-time high above $100k. A key catalyst to Bitcoin’s surge last year was the multiple rate cuts by the Federal Reserve.

In 2024, the Fed cut rates three times, bringing it down to the target range of 4.25%-4.50%. Before then, the rate had been on a lofty plateau of 5.25%-5.50% since July 2023.

The reduced interest rates affected Bitcoin’s price, allowing it to hit the $100k mark for the first time in its history. When interest rates are high, the cost of borrowing money is high. Higher interest rates decrease the liquidity in financial markets, providing more capital for less risky investments like bonds.

However, lower interest rates increase the liquidity in financial markets, with investors opting to push money into riskier assets like Bitcoin. 

Fed kept interest rates steady in January

Bitcoin reached an all-time high price of $109,410 on January 20 as the market reacted to Trump assuming office. However, it has since lost 11% of its value and now trades just above $97k.

A key factor in the poor market performance in the past few weeks was the Fed’s decision to hold interest rates steady. On January 29th, the Fed announced that the borrowing rate remained between 4.25% and 4.5%.

Leaving the rate unchanged affected Bitcoin’s price as it has failed to rally to a new all-time high. It has also struggled to stay above $100k since the start of February. 

Fed to cut interest rate twice in 2025

The first FOMC meeting of 2025 saw the Fed leave the interest rate unchanged. The United States Fed is expected to cut rates twice before the end of the year. However, this decision will be affected by inflation levels.

If the inflation levels rise sharply, the Fed will increase interest rates to curb the rising inflation. However, if inflation levels decline, the Fed will cut interest rates to stimulate the economy. 

The CPI report earlier today, February 12th, revealed that inflation in the United States rose to 3%, its highest level since June 2024. The rising inflation could hamper possible interest rate cuts, with the news sending Bitcoin to the $94k level earlier today.

Market analysts expect the Fed will lower rates twice this year, reaching 3.75%-4.00% by the end of 2025. However, the range of forecasts is wide, from a low of 3.00%-3.25% and a high of 4.50%-4.75%.

Thanks to the expected rate cuts and other macroeconomic factors, analysts are optimistic Bitcoin’s price could reach a new all-time high. While predictions differ, most analysts are optimistic BTC’s price could hit between $150k-$200k before the end of the year.

In addition to the expected lower interest rates, increased retail and institutional adoption could positively affect Bitcoin’s price in the coming months. Strategy (formerly MicroStrategy) continues to increase its exposure to Bitcoin while more companies are buying BlackRock’s spot Bitcoin ETF. 



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What It Means for the XRP Lawsuit

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The SEC is dropping its lawsuit against Coinbase, according to an announcement from CEO Brian Armstrong. However, the Commission’s lawsuit against Ripple remains open for now, raising more questions.

Both lawsuits deal with certain cryptoassets’ status as securities, not commodities. For Coinbase, this interpretation would hamper operations, but it could prove fatal for the XRP issuer.

SEC Drops the Coinbase Suit

Brian Armstrong, the founder and CEO of Coinbase, is having a good day today. Recently, the company has been advocating for better US crypto regulation, and it achieved a major milestone today. Armstrong announced that the SEC was dropping its 2023 lawsuit.

“Great news! After years of litigation, millions of your taxpayer dollars spent, and irreparable harm done to the country, we reached an agreement with SEC staff to dismiss their litigation against Coinbase. Once approved by the Commission (which we’re told to expect next week) this would be a full dismissal, with $0 in fines paid and zero changes to our business,” he said.

Armstrong called this development “hugely vindicating,” claiming it was a real challenge to resist the Commission’s “mafia tactics” under the previous leadership.

He also said that this suit is a groundbreaking development for the future of crypto in the US because it would’ve substantially hindered exchanges’ ability to do business nationwide. For Coinbase, the SEC legal battle appears over.

However, the SEC has another active crypto lawsuit – its fight against Ripple. The two suits have major similarities, both hinging upon the notion that certain cryptoassets are securities. This interpretation opens crypto-related businesses to much stricter regulation.

How Will the Coinbase Settlement Impact the XRP Lawsuit?

For Coinbase, the issue is that the SEC insisted upon a lack of clarity with these classifications, essentially claiming that it could demand the exchange delist any token at a whim. In the Ripple case, however, it alleged that the firm was forbidden from raising funds through XRP token sales without registration.

In both instances, the SEC leaned on a lack of clear standards for crypto.

Even before today’s announcement, the SEC had already signaled it would drop charges against Coinbase, but the process has been murkier for Ripple. The Commission recently removed the XRP lawsuit from its website, and may be waiting for a few broader changes to dismiss it outright.

Ultimately, however, the Ripple case may be more complicated. The SEC alleged that Coinbase was hosting certain unlawful assets, and complying would severely impact the business model for all exchanges.

In the latter suit, it claimed that selling XRP was itself a securities violation, which would severely impact a great number of token projects.

The SEC is already taking a few measures to lay the groundwork for a broader policy realignment. Commissioner Peirce claimed that it wants to formally remove some tokens’ security status.

Also, the Commission is looking to reduce its crypto enforcement activities generally. Overall, the Coinbase case does provide some optimism for the XRP community.

Disclaimer

In adherence to the Trust Project guidelines, BeInCrypto is committed to unbiased, transparent reporting. This news article aims to provide accurate, timely information. However, readers are advised to verify facts independently and consult with a professional before making any decisions based on this content. Please note that our Terms and ConditionsPrivacy Policy, and Disclaimers have been updated.



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LINK Price Action Turns Cautious As Bearish Pennant Shapes Up

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Chainlink (LINK) is flashing bearish signals as it forms a pennant pattern, hinting at a potential continuation of its downward trajectory. After struggling to gain bullish momentum, the price remains in consolidation, with sellers keeping a tight grip on the market. If this pattern plays out, LINK could be at risk of a steep drop, with key support levels facing increased pressure.

Market sentiment appears cautious, as bulls attempt to hold the line against growing bearish momentum. A breakdown from this structure might accelerate losses, pushing LINK toward lower price zones. However, if buyers manage to invalidate the pattern, a relief rally may be in play.

Analyzing Price Action: Bearish Pennant Signals Breakdown

Currently, Chainlink continues to trade within the confines of the bearish pennant pattern, indicating a state of indecision in the market. Neither the bulls nor the bears have established firm control, as the price remains constrained within converging trendlines. 

Typically, this consolidation phase suggests that market participants are in a wait-and-see mode, anticipating a technical or fundamental catalyst for a decisive breakout in either direction.

While the structure of a bearish pennant typically signals a continuation of the previous downtrend, LINK’s hesitation indicates that bulls are still attempting to defend key support levels. Nevertheless, without a strong surge in buying pressure, the risk of a breakdown remains high. 

LINK

If LINK breaches the lower boundary of the pennant with strong volume, an accelerated decline is likely, reinforcing the bearish outlook and increasing selling pressure. This breakdown could attract bearish momentum, pushing the price toward key support levels.

Additionally, the asset is currently trading below the 100-day Simple Moving Average (SMA), further strengthening the negative trend in the market. This positioning suggests that LINK’s ongoing attempts to regain upward momentum may face significant resistance.

Potential Breakdown Targets: How Low Can LINK Go?

The formation of a bearish pennant in Chainlink’s price action raises the possibility of further downside, with the measured move target and key support levels providing a roadmap for potential price movement.

Should the bears seize control and a breakdown occur below the lower trendline, LINK’s downward trend could accelerate, pushing the price below the critical $17.96 support level. This drop eyes a deeper decline toward the $15 mark, where buyers may attempt to regain momentum and prevent additional losses.

However, if bulls manage to defend these key levels and initiate a strong rebound, LINK might invalidate the bearish setup and shift toward a recovery, possibly targeting the $19.87 resistance level. A decisive move above this threshold would reaffirm bullish momentum and pave the way for more gains.

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Bybit Reportedly Hacked for Over $1.5 Billion

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According to the latest reports, crypto exchange Bybit suffered a major hack, and over $1.46 billion in Ethereum was withdrawn from its hot wallets. 

This could potentially be the biggest security breach in crypto history. 

Bybit Hack: Everything We Know So Far

On-chain data shows that a staggering 401,346 ETH (valued at $1.13 billion) was reportedly transferred from Bybit’s hot wallet to an unknown wallet address. The amount is now being liquidated, which also immediately impacted Ethereum’s market price. 

This large transfer immediately sparked concerns that Bybit had suffered a breach, especially considering the significant value of the assets involved.

Bybit CEO Ben Zhou confirmed the reports on social media.  

“Hacker took control of the specific ETH cold wallet we signed and transferred all ETH in the cold wallet to this unidentified address. Please rest assured that all other cold wallets are secure. All withdraws are normal,” Zhou wrote on X (formerly Twitter).

According to his statement, Bybit’s Ethereum cold wallet was hacked because the attackers tricked their security system. The wallet signers (authorized people) saw a fake user interface that showed the correct address, making them believe they were approving a normal transfer. 

However, in reality, they were unknowingly signing a change to the smart contract logic, which gave the hacker control over the wallet. As a result, all the ETH in that cold wallet was transferred to an unknown address. 

“The biggest hack ever by far. Very similar to the WazirX $235 million access control attack,” Deddy Lavid, CEO of blockchain security firm Cyvers, told BeInCrypto.

Meanwhile, the hack immediately impacted Ethereum’s market price. As large volumes of the stolen ETH were liquidated, the altcoin fell over 4% in a straight line.

Ethereum Price Chart After ByBit Hack
Ethereum Price Chart After ByBit Hack. Source: TradingView

According to Arkham data, nearly $200 million worth of Lido Staked Ether (stETH) were sold within the first 30 minutes. Security experts have told BeInCrypto that this attack was almost identical to last year’s WazirX and Radiant Capital hack.

“Two minutes before the outflow transactions, the hacker re-implemented their Safe multisig wallet to delegate calls to the hacker’s malicious contract. This was likely caused by blind signing while attempting to execute a legitimate transaction. From that moment, the hackers had full control over the wallet and no longer needed additional signatures. This attack is very similar to those on WazirX and Radiant Capital,” Meir Dolev, Co-Founder and CTO of Cyvers, told BeInCrypto. 

It appears that Bybit fell victim to the same malicious techniques that caused the biggest hacks of 2024

This is an ongoing story. More information will be provided as the investigation unfolds. 

Disclaimer

In adherence to the Trust Project guidelines, BeInCrypto is committed to unbiased, transparent reporting. This news article aims to provide accurate, timely information. However, readers are advised to verify facts independently and consult with a professional before making any decisions based on this content. Please note that our Terms and ConditionsPrivacy Policy, and Disclaimers have been updated.



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