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Dogecoin Price at Critical Point – Death Cross or Recovery Next?

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Dogecoin (DOGE) price has recently shown signs of recovery, bouncing off a two-month-old downtrend line and attempting to secure a key support level at $0.26. 

However, the meme coin faces challenges in maintaining its upward momentum, as investor action will play a crucial role. If DOGE holders fail to act, market conditions could push the price downward once again.  

Dogecoin Investors May Have An Opportunity

DOGE Market Value to Realized Value (MVRV) ratio stands at -15.5%, placing it in the “opportunity zone” between -10% and -24%. Historically, this zone has been a reversal point for Dogecoin, as selling pressure tends to saturate. When this occurs, investors often step in to accumulate the asset at low prices, anticipating a rebound.  

If DOGE investors decide to capitalize on these low prices and begin accumulating, it could trigger a price recovery. The MVRV ratio suggests that the meme coin is undervalued at its current levels, and a shift in sentiment could lead to a rise in price, helping DOGE price overcome its recent downtrend.  

Dogecoin MVRV Ratio.
Dogecoin MVRV Ratio. Source: Santiment.

The overall macro momentum for Dogecoin is concerning due to the proximity of the 50-day and 200-day exponential moving averages (EMAs). These EMAs are close to forming a “Death Cross,” which occurs when the 200-day EMA crosses below the 50-day EMA. This pattern signals a downtrend and could further weigh on investor sentiment if it materializes, which would end a 4-month-long bullishness.

If Dogecoin’s recovery continues to be delayed, the formation of a Death Cross could signal further bearish pressure. This technical phenomenon would indicate that the altcoin is entering a prolonged downtrend, making it even harder for DOGE to mount a recovery and gain back lost ground.  

Dogecoin EMAs
Dogecoin EMAs. Source: TradingView

DOGE Price Prediction: Flipping Resistance Into Support

Dogecoin is currently priced around $0.27, trying to secure the $0.268 level as support. If it manages to hold this support, it could give DOGE the boost it needs to rise toward $0.311. Securing this level would be a positive step, marking the beginning of a potential price recovery for the meme coin.  

If investor sentiment improves and they begin accumulating DOGE, the price could gain enough momentum to break through the $0.324 resistance level. Successfully flipping $0.324 into support would invalidate the current bearish outlook and signal that Dogecoin’s recovery is gaining traction.  

Dogecoin Price Analysis.
Dogecoin Price Analysis. Source: TradingView.

However, if Dogecoin fails to secure the $0.268 support, the price could fall back toward $0.220. Such a decline would likely lead to the formation of a Death Cross, invalidating the bullish outlook and signaling further downside for the altcoin.

Disclaimer

In line with the Trust Project guidelines, this price analysis article is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial or investment advice. BeInCrypto is committed to accurate, unbiased reporting, but market conditions are subject to change without notice. Always conduct your own research and consult with a professional before making any financial decisions. Please note that our Terms and ConditionsPrivacy Policy, and Disclaimers have been updated.



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Bitcoin ETFs End Dry Spell with Fresh Capital

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After seven straight days of outflows, institutional investors seem to have rekindled their love for Bitcoin ETFs. Since April 2, US-listed spot Bitcoin ETFs have posted net inflows for the first time, drawing $1.47 million in fresh capital on Monday.

While this figure is modest, it marks a notable shift in sentiment and the first sign of renewed institutional appetite for Bitcoin exposure through regulated funds.

Bitcoin ETFs End 7-Day Drought With Modest Inflows

Last week, Bitcoin investment funds recorded $713.30 million in net outflows as the broader cryptocurrency market struggled to stay afloat amid the growing impact of Donald Trump’s escalating trade war rhetoric.

But the tide may be starting to turn.

On Monday, U.S.-listed spot BTC ETFs recorded $1.47 million in net inflows, marking the first capital flow into these funds since April 2. While the amount is modest, it breaks a nearly two-week drought and could signal a gradual shift in institutional sentiment toward BTC.

Bitcoin Spot ETF Net Inflow.
Bitcoin Spot ETF Net Inflow. Source: SosoValue

The largest daily net inflow came from BlackRock’s IBIT, attracting $36.72 million. This brings its total cumulative net inflows to $39.60 billion.

On the other hand, Fidelity’s FBTC recorded the largest net outflow on Monday, shedding $35.25 million in a single day. 

BTC Derivatives Market Heats Up Despite Cautious Options Flow

On the derivatives side, BTC’s futures open interest has edged higher over the past 24 hours, signaling increased derivatives activity. 

At press time, this sits at $56 billion, rising by 2% in the past day. Notably, during the same period, BTC’s period has climbed by 1.22%. 

BTC Futures Open Interest.
BTC Futures Open Interest. Source: Coinglass

BTC’s futures open interest refers to the total number of outstanding futures contracts that have yet to be settled. When it rises during a price uptick like this, it suggests that new money is entering the market to support the upward move, potentially reinforcing bullish momentum.

However, there’s a catch. While open interest in BTC futures has increased, the nature of these new positions appears to be bearish. This is evident in the coin’s funding rate, which has now flipped negative for the first time since April 2.

BTC Funding Rate.
BTC Funding Rate. Source: Coinglass

This means that more BTC traders are paying to hold short positions than longs, suggesting that a growing number of market participants are betting on a potential pullback despite the modest inflows into spot ETFs.

Moreover, the mood remains cautious on the options side. Today, there are more put contracts than calls, signaling that some traders may be hedging their bets or anticipating further downside, even as other indicators turn bullish.

BTC Options Open Interest.
BTC Options Open Interest. Source: Deribit

Still, for BTC ETFs, any inflow after two weeks of silence feels like a win. With the broader market sentiment toward the coin turning increasingly bullish, it remains to be seen if this trend could persist for the remainder of the week. 

Disclaimer

In line with the Trust Project guidelines, this price analysis article is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial or investment advice. BeInCrypto is committed to accurate, unbiased reporting, but market conditions are subject to change without notice. Always conduct your own research and consult with a professional before making any financial decisions. Please note that our Terms and ConditionsPrivacy Policy, and Disclaimers have been updated.



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Trump’s Tariffs Spark Search for Jerome Powell’s Successor

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The Trump administration is gearing up for significant economic shifts, with its proposed tariffs said to be setting the stage for a potential overhaul of the Federal Reserve’s (Fed) leadership.

Like Gary Gensler’s ouster at the SEC (Securities and Exchange Commission), reports indicate that Fed chair Jerome Powell may face a similar fate with discussions starting long before his term ends.

Jerome Powell’s Exit Planned As Trump Tariffs Spell Economic Hardship

Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent announced the Trump administration’s plans to interview candidates to replace Fed Chair Jerome Powell.

Notably, Powell’s term as Fed chair ends in May 2026, over a year out. With almost 13 months left, experts suggest the administration’s move may be a strategic response to the economic turbulence expected from Trump’s aggressive tariff policies in 2025.

The sentiment is that the Trump administration may pave the way for a new Fed Chair to steer the economy through 2026 with interest rate cuts and stimulus measures.

“The interest rates affect credit cards, they’ll affect auto loans, the bottom 50% of Americans over the past two years have gotten crushed by these high interest rates. We’re set on bringing interest rates down,” Bessent claimed in a televised interview.

Trump’s tariff proposals, including a 125% tax on Chinese imports, are projected to impact the US economy substantially. According to a Tax Foundation study published on April 11, 2025, these tariffs could reduce US GDP by 1.3% in the long run.

The study also estimates tariffs will amount to an average tax increase of $1,300 per US household in 2025. This adds pressure on consumers already grappling with inflationary concerns.

Combined with foreign retaliation affecting $330 billion of US exports, the overall GDP reduction could reach 1.0%. This highlights the economic challenges the administration anticipates in the coming year.

Trump Administration Prepares For 2026 Economic Recovery

This report comes a month after Bessent presented Fed Chair Jerome Powell as a significant obstacle. He alluded that Powell impeded the Trump administration’s determination to lower interest rates.

Indeed, the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC), led by Powell, has rejected interest rate cuts. They maintain this stance until they are comfortable with inflation cooling.

The Fed also made significant downward revisions to its 2025 economic projections. They painted a picture of weaker growth and persistent inflation.

According to economists, the Trump Administration is bracing for “economic weakness” in 2025 due to the tariffs. However, it sees 2026 as a year of recovery through monetary policy adjustments.

“This sets up perfectly for 2026 to be the year of interest rate cuts and economic stimulus, with the newly appointed Fed Chair,” The Kobeissi Letter said.

Therefore, the timing of Powell’s replacement aligns with these economic projections. A new Fed Chair, potentially more aligned with Trump’s economic agenda, could facilitate interest rate cuts and stimulus to counteract the tariff-induced slowdown.

Jerome Powell has served as Fed Chair since 2018. He has maneuvered a complex economic environment, which included high inflation and the post-pandemic recovery.

His second term, confirmed in May 2022, has been characterized by efforts to balance the Fed’s dual mandate of stable prices and full employment. However, this has been met with criticism, including from President Trump, for not being accommodative enough.

“The Fed would be much better off cutting rates as US tariffs start to transition (ease) their way into the economy. Do the right thing,” Trump shared on Truth Social.

The early search for his successor indicates the administration’s desire for a Fed Chair who might be more amenable to its policy goals.

Disclaimer

In adherence to the Trust Project guidelines, BeInCrypto is committed to unbiased, transparent reporting. This news article aims to provide accurate, timely information. However, readers are advised to verify facts independently and consult with a professional before making any decisions based on this content. Please note that our Terms and ConditionsPrivacy Policy, and Disclaimers have been updated.



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CoinGecko Conduct Survey on AI and Proof of Personhood

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CoinGecko conducted a recent survey on AI user opinions, particularly centered around Proof of Personhood (PoP). The overwhelming majority of users want to distinguish humans from AI and are open to adopting PoP.

Proof of Personhood (PoP) is a mechanism designed to verify that a user is a unique human being—not a bot, not an AI, and not a duplicate identity. Many users feel it’s increasingly critical as generative AI and autonomous agents proliferate across digital platforms.

Is Personhood the Next Big Trend in AI?

AI projects have seen declining popularity over the past months, largely due to macroeconomic factors and other narratives dominating the Web3 space. Yet, AI agent development remains strong.

AI agents are now highly integrated into crypto Twitter and social media. They are driving conversations, changing narratives, and even creating dialog. So, the concept of personhood has become a critical discussion among the crypto community.

Most recently, CoinGecko conducted a survey on AI-related opinions and identifying personhood.

Survey on AI Opinions
Survey on AI Opinions. Source: CoinGecko

CoinGecko’s data shows that most AI users firmly believe that it’s important to know if they’re interacting with a human. Nearly half of respondents think this task is “very important,” and 92% think it’s at least somewhat important.

This can help explain why Proof of Personhood (PoP), a concept pioneered by Sam Altman’s Worldcoin, has remained an enduring idea in the AI space.

What’s the problem, then? Although this survey shows that AI users want to identify personhood, that doesn’t mean that everyone is willing to adopt PoP methods as currently devised or understood.

Nearly half of users were willing or somewhat willing to try them, but it was a far smaller margin than the other question.

Survey on Proof of Personhood
Survey on Proof of Personhood. Source: CoinGecko

Furthermore, the survey determined that only 30.3% of respondents believe that it’s very important to distinguish humans from AI and are also willing to adopt Proof of Personhood methods.

On the other hand, 18.3% thought identifying humans was important but were neutral or actively opposed to PoP.

The survey did not apparently describe specific PoP protocols from any one project. PoP generally involves using non-traditional forms of verification, such as biometric data, social media profiles, or other methods that are difficult to fake or replicate, but there isn’t a single industry standard yet.

Considering that another CoinGecko survey identified declining interest in AI investment, this polling discrepancy could present a problem. AI users are mostly unified as to what the issue is, but the proposed solutions are much more controversial.

A heavy-handed approach to the personhood question could turn users away from AI. This is far from ideal in the current market.

Still, it’s important not to overstate the level of controversy. Although less than half of AI users want to adopt Proof of Personhood, the pool of hostile respondents was comparatively small.

There’s a substantial number of ambivalent people, and they may respond well to new protocols, marketing campaigns, or other incentives.

Overall, it’s evident that PoP is becoming a key discussion point in the Web3 community. As autonomous agents gain influence, PoP might serve as a firewall between digital manipulation and genuine participation.

Disclaimer

In adherence to the Trust Project guidelines, BeInCrypto is committed to unbiased, transparent reporting. This news article aims to provide accurate, timely information. However, readers are advised to verify facts independently and consult with a professional before making any decisions based on this content. Please note that our Terms and ConditionsPrivacy Policy, and Disclaimers have been updated.



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