Market
Will It Spark Price Volatility?
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Over $2.5 billion worth of Bitcoin and Ethereum options contracts are set to expire this Friday. Moreover, markets are still reeling from US economic data this week, including CPI and PPI, but can the derivatives’ expiry event today push prices higher over the weekend?
Bitcoin (BTC) remains well below the $100,000 psychological level as the influence of macroeconomic events continues to drive sentiment.
Bitcoin and Ethereum Options Expiring Today
Around 21,362 Bitcoin options contracts will expire on Valentine’s Day, February 14. The notional value for this Friday’s tranche of expiring Bitcoin options contracts is $2.07 billion, according to data on Deribit. The put/call ratio is 0.66, suggesting a prevalence of purchase options (calls) over sales options (puts).
As the Bitcoin options expire, they have a maximum pain or strike price of $98,000, at which point the asset will cause financial losses to the greatest number of holders.
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Similarly, crypto markets will witness the expiry of 176,742 Ethereum contracts, with a notional value of $479.01 million. The put-to-call ratio for these expiring Ethereum options is 0.64, with a maximum pain of $2,725.
This week’s options expiry event is much smaller than what crypto markets witnessed last week on Friday. As BeInCrypto reported, approximately $3.12 billion worth of BTC and ETH options expired then, ascribed to US President Donald Trump’s tariffs, which stunted Bitcoin price below $100,000
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Options expiry could lead to price volatility, so traders and investors need to monitor today’s developments closely. Nevertheless, put-to-call ratios below 1 for Bitcoin and Ethereum in options trading indicate optimism in the market. It suggests that more traders are betting on price increases.
Market sentiment maintained a weak consolidation this week, commented Greeks Live, which added that implied volatility fell to its lowest level in almost a year despite multiple positive news from the US government side. This signals lower expected price swings that can affect options pricing and trading strategies.
“Since BTC effectively fell below the $100,000 mark, options majors have been consistently selling short- and intermediate-term calls, with a significant increase in Block call trading volume but a decline in Block put volume, suggesting that while the market isn’t bullish on the upside, it’s just as panicked about the downside,” Greeks.live shared.
Against this backdrop, analysts at Greeks.live indicate that institutions view February as a ‘junk time.’ This means a period of low market activity or interest could impact trading volumes and crypto market prices.
As the options contracts near expiration at 8:00 UTC today, Bitcoin and Ethereum prices could approach their respective maximum pain points. According to BeInCrypto data, BTC traded for $96,714, whereas ETH exchanged hands for $2,696.
This suggests that BTC and ETH prices might rise as smart money aims to move them toward the “max pain” level. According to the Max Pain theory, options prices tend to gravitate toward strike prices where the highest number of contracts, both calls and puts, expire worthless.
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Price pressure on BTC and ETH will likely ease after 08:00 UTC on Friday when Deribit settles the contracts. However, the sheer scale of these expirations could still fuel heightened volatility in the crypto markets.
Disclaimer
In adherence to the Trust Project guidelines, BeInCrypto is committed to unbiased, transparent reporting. This news article aims to provide accurate, timely information. However, readers are advised to verify facts independently and consult with a professional before making any decisions based on this content. Please note that our Terms and Conditions, Privacy Policy, and Disclaimers have been updated.
Market
KAITO Price Attempts Recovery as Top Holders Exit Post-Airdrop
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Unlike highly anticipated airdrops such as Berachain and Pi Network, which were expected for years, KAITO’s airdrop caught many users by surprise. The token was launched by a crypto analytics platform with the same name.
On-chain data shows that top claimers quickly sold off their tokens, leading to strong selling pressure and bearish sentiment. However, if KAITO can regain community trust and capitalize on its plans to tokenize social media content, it may recover from its recent lows and challenge key resistance levels.
KAITO Top Addresses Already Sold Almost All Their Coins
On-chain data for KAITO reveals that the users who claimed the biggest quantities of the coin are no longer holders, indicating strong selling pressure shortly after the airdrop.
Notably, the top 12 claimers received approximately $2.1 million worth of KAITO, but 10 of them have already sold at least a portion of their tokens, and 7 have fully exited their positions.
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Only 3 out of the 12 decided to stake their coins, reflecting a cautious approach toward long-term commitment.
This selling trend among the largest claimers suggests a lack of confidence in the token’s long-term value or a strategic move to secure profits following the initial distribution.
Claimers Are Not Holding Their Positions
The broader on-chain activity shows a similar pattern, with 76.7% of all users who claimed KAITO experiencing a balance decrease.
Although not all of them sold their entire holdings, the majority reduced their exposure, indicating a cautious or profit-taking sentiment.
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Conversely, 22% of the claimers have not moved their tokens, reflecting strong holding conviction, while only 1.3% increased their holdings, showing minimal accumulation interest.
This distribution pattern suggests that the community’s criticism of KAITO’s tokenomics and airdrop approach might have influenced users’ behavior.
The low accumulation rate combined with the high selling pressure indicates a bearish outlook. The market sentiment appears to be more focused on short-term gains rather than long-term value appreciation.
KAITO Price Prediction: Will KAITO Recover From Recent Lows?
If KAITO can restore community confidence and generate interest through its plans to tokenize social media content using artificial intelligence, its price could continue recovering from the recent lows.
KAITO was hard hit in the first hours after its launch, as was the case with many recent airdrops, such as Berachain. If it can recover from the recent strong selling pressure, it could test $1.5 or even $2 very soon.
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However, if selling pressure persists, it could face further declines, especially as Dune data shows that less than 30% of the total KAITO supply has been claimed so far.
This indicates that a significant portion of the tokens could still enter the market. That could potentially increase selling pressure and push prices lower.
If this scenario happens, KAITO could test the support at $0.89. If that level is breached, the price could drop below $0.8 or even $0.7.
Disclaimer
In line with the Trust Project guidelines, this price analysis article is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial or investment advice. BeInCrypto is committed to accurate, unbiased reporting, but market conditions are subject to change without notice. Always conduct your own research and consult with a professional before making any financial decisions. Please note that our Terms and Conditions, Privacy Policy, and Disclaimers have been updated.
Market
Analyst Says PEPE Price Must Break This Resistance Level For 150% Surge Toward ATHs
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The PEPE price is currently trading within a Falling Wedge pattern, a historically bullish indicator that suggests an imminent breakout. A crypto analyst predicts that a decisive move above key resistance levels could trigger a 150% rally towards new all-time highs for PEPE.
Key Resistance To Ignite PEPE Price Rally
Over the past few weeks, Pepe, the popular frog-themed meme coin, has been stuck in a downtrend, consistently rejecting off of a descending resistance trendline. The meme coin had initially experienced significant gains earlier this year. However, with the recent volatility and the decline in the broader market, PEPE and many other cryptocurrencies have recorded severe losses.
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Despite the bearish performance, a pseudonymous TradingView analyst called ‘MyCryptoParadise’ has shared a bullish forecast for the PEPE price. The analyst projects that it could experience a massive 150% price surge, pushing it to $0.00003 and marking new all-time highs.
For this prediction to become a reality, Pepe will have to confirm a price reversal by breaking above the descending resistance and claiming a new support, as seen on the chart. The TradingView analyst has asserted that Pepe must surpass the $0.000015 resistance, claiming it as new support and a potential launch pad to the bullish $0.00003 target.
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While breaking above a key resistance may seem like an easy feat, the PEPE price has failed to do so over the past few weeks. The meme coin has rejected multiple breakout attempts; however, technical indicators reveal that Pepe’s current price fundamentals remain bullish.
Notably, Pepe is trapped inside a Falling Wedge on its price chart, a pattern known to precede significant upward momentum once resistance is broken. If demand from buyers successfully pushes PEPE above its $0.000015 resistance level, the analyst believes that a parabolic rally may be in store for the meme coin.
Pepe also forms a bullish divergence on the histogram in its chart, signaling a possible shift in momentum to the upside. The analyst has indicated that for Pepe to reach its projected ATH target, bulls will have to take control, helping to push the meme coin above the Falling Wedge pattern.
Currently, the asset is sitting at $0.000006 and $0.000012, where buyers have historically stepped in to defend prices and avoid further breakdowns. A surge from its current price of $0.00000945 to $0.00003 would represent an over 150% increase.
Bearish Scenario Unveiled
While he shared his bullish projection for the PEPE price, the TradingView analyst also presented an alternative bearish outlook for the meme coin. The analyst urged traders to remain cautious, as failing to hold the $0.000006 and $0.000012 could invalidate the previous bullish setup.
Related Reading
The analyst predicts that if the meme coin fails to break this zone, it could trigger increased downside pressure, exposing the meme coin to more risks and possibly triggering a deeper sell-off that would put bears in complete control.
Featured image from LinkedIn, chart from Tradingview.com
Market
iDEGEN’s presale enters its final week ; XRP beats other crypto majors
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As the artificial intelligence industry booms, more investors are showing interest in AI crypto projects. In fact, the sector has grown several folds to a market cap of $29 billion as seen on CoinGecko.
Fartcoin and AI16z, both launched in October 2024, are some of the newbies in the market that have grown to a valuation of over $300,000. iDEGEN, the uncensored AI agent, is set to capitalize on this boom.
Meanwhile, Ripple remains one of the top-performing crypto majors as more entities file for XRP ETFs. With a crypto-friendly US administration and increased global adoption, Ripple price is set for a breakout.
Ripple ETFs expected to yield an XRP price breakout
Ripple remains one of the top-performing crypto majors as more entities file for Ripple ETFs. In recent days, SEC acknowledged receiving proposals from Grayscale, Bitwise, and CoinShares. Cboe BZX Exchange is the latest to join the list after filing its proposal to list WisdomTree XRP Fund.
Investors are optimistic of the approval of these filings under the leadership of pro-crypto SEC Chair, Paul Atkins. Coupled with the friendly environment harnessed by President Trump and the expected surge in Ripple adoption, the crypto is set for a breakout in the ensuing months.
At its current level, the bulls are gathering enough momentum to break the resistance at $2.7450. If successful, the next target will be at $2.9100. This thesis will remain valid for as long as the crypto remains above the crucial support zone of $2.3357.
iDEGEN set for 100x growth as it positions itself in the looming US-China AI supremacy battle
Even before hitting the public shelves on 27th February, iDEGEN is already stirring the waters in the AI meme space. Since its launch in November 2024, it has raised more than $23.9 million from over 25,000 holders.
Since its inception, iDEGEN’s creators have been keen on introducing developments that will set it apart from its competitors for the good of its holders. For instance, the AI agent started on a black slate and relied on crypto degens on X to learn, adopt, and tweet.
The community took it upon itself to raise it and shape it as it desired. It is this engagement that bolstered the project’s virality; a necessary component of a successful meme coin. The hype had it trending in both the US and the UK.
Besides, its V2 and V3 upgrades have expanded iDEGEN’s reach. It has gone on to integrate the ultra-popular DeepSeek; strategically positioning itself in the looming US-China AI supremacy battle.
Additionally, there are rumors of a listing on Binance. Whether or not this will materialize, iDEGEN has the potential to record 100x growth in the coming months. Hurry up and buy iDEGEN here.
Solana price readies for recovery on the back of the filed ETFs
In one month, Solana price has plunged by about 40% amid the risk-off mood that recently swept across the cryptocurrency market. However, it is set for recovery as more companies seek SEC’s approval for Solana-based ETFs. This includes forms like Bitwise, Canary, and VanEck.
With an RSI of 33, it is bordering the oversold territory. Besides, the indicator is facing upwards; hinting at a rebound.
At its current level, the bulls are defending the support at $167.34 as they gather enough momentum to break the resistance at $186.21. It may remain within this range in the near term as the death cross pattern remains in place. However, with improved market sentiment, Solana price has the potential to rebound to the 50-day EMA at $205.
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