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This is Why Bitcoin Could Face a Supply Shock Soon

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Bitcoin may face a major supply shock as exchange reserves hit the lowest point in years. CryptoQuant data shows reserves at the lowest level since it began recording this data in 2022.

Additionally, demand for Bitcoin is spiking from long-term holders despite price turmoils. This supply shock could become a major bullish signal for the coming months.

Is Bitcoin Headed for a Supply Shock?

Since Bitcoin has reached a new era of market integration and institutional acceptance, corporate and individual whales are acquiring as much as they can.

Last month, ETF issuers were buying it 20x faster than miners could produce it, and they collectively hold more than Satoshi Nakamoto. However, due to these trends, Bitcoin’s supply is in jeopardy.

Bitcoin in Exchange Reserves at New Low
Bitcoin in Exchange Reserves at New Low. Source: CryptoQuant

As CryptoQuant data shows, around 2.5 million BTC is currently held in exchange reserves. This is the lowest reserve balance in nearly 3 years.

Additionally, the US Bitcoin ETF issuers and other corporate whales are very flashy buyers, but 69% of the supply is held by individuals. In fact, ETFs recently had their first weekly outflow of 2025, showing that the problem goes beyond them.

US Spot Bitcoin ETF Net Inflows. Source: SoSoValue

In other words, the supply crisis in Bitcoin is very real right now. Additionally, the vast majority of it has been mined already, with only 5.7% remaining. On top of that, unknown quantities are lost. A slight increase in demand could kick off a fresh, bullish cycle.

This demand may be materializing despite Bitcoin’s recent price declines. This week, the market has witnessed a sharp spike in Permanent Holder Demand, signaling strong confidence from individual users. These holders are also selling BTC less frequently. These factors could combine to create a Bitcoin supply shock.

“Soon every billionaire will buy a billion dollars of Bitcoin and the supply shock will be so great that we’ll stop measuring BTC in terms of fiat,” said Michael Saylor in a recent interview.

There’s also the consideration of a Bitcoin reserve in the US and many other countries. In the US, 20 states have currently proposed bills to establish a strategic Bitcoin reserve. If such strategies are approved, state and national governments will purchase BTC, and the supply will further decline.

So, at the current level, a Bitcoin supply chain is very much imminent. However, macroeconomic factors, such as interest rates and global tariffs, will also play a critical role.

Disclaimer

In adherence to the Trust Project guidelines, BeInCrypto is committed to unbiased, transparent reporting. This news article aims to provide accurate, timely information. However, readers are advised to verify facts independently and consult with a professional before making any decisions based on this content. Please note that our Terms and ConditionsPrivacy Policy, and Disclaimers have been updated.



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XRP Price To $110? Bollinger Bands Creator Reveals Why It Will Become A Market Leader

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The XRP price could be staging a parabolic rally to new all-time highs of $110. While an analyst shares a technical analysis to back this ambitious target, Bollinger Bands creator John Bollinger declares XRP to be a market leader in the crypto space. 

Analyst Predicts New XRP Price Target To $110

In a rather lengthy X (formerly Twitter) post, market expert Egrag Crypto went deep into his analysis for the XRP price, basing his predictions on its Elliott Wave structure. The crypto analyst confidently forecasted that XRP was heading towards a new $110 ATH. This bullish target would represent a whopping 3,974% increase from its current market value.

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Firstly, Egrag Crypto outlines XRP’s five-wave structure, underscoring that each wave could push the cryptocurrency to a new target. The analyst reveals that XRP is currently in Wave 2 of its Elliott Wave structure and is closely approaching Wave 3, which is expected to trigger the most explosive increase.

In Wave 1, XRP saw an impressive 733% increase to new highs. However, in its current Wave 2, Egrag Crypto highlights that its 2017 fractal appears more profound. With the formation of a Double Bottom pattern, the analyst has predicted a potential price breakdown for the cryptocurrency. 

XRP
New target emerge for XRP at $110 | Source: Egrag Crypto on X

Egrag Crypto further forecasts that Wave 3 will trigger a reversal and cause the price to skyrocket by 1,185%. This massive price increase would effectively place the XRP price at a potential target between $22 and $24. For a more conservative target, the analyst estimates a surge of around $22 to $24. 

For Wave 4, Egrag Crypto predicts another major retracement similar to Wave 2. However, this time, the analyst believes XRP could decline by either 14.6%, 23.6%, or 38.2% from Wave 3’s price high. This correction would mark a 65% drop from Wave 3’s peak, bringing the cryptocurrency’s price down to $8. He also highlights a worse-case bearish scenario where XRP crashes as low as $3.4. 

Notably, Egrag Crypto shares three potential bullish targets for Wave 5, the final part of the Elliott Wave Structure. He forecasts that the altcoin could surge between $32 to $48, $60 to $70, or $95 to $110. The analyst has based his optimistic forecast on past cycle trends, where 2017 saw a major price rally for XRP. 

Bollinger Bands Creator Says The Asset To Become Leader

In other news, Bollinger, the creator of the renowned Bollinger Band technical analysis tool, has highlighted XRP in his latest post, questioning whether it could take a leading role in the crypto market. The technical analyst asserts that Ripple has held up better than other primary crypto vehicles.

Considering its legal battles with the US SEC and present regulatory challenges, Ripple continues to remain resilient, aiming to gain clarity during the final stages of the five-year-long lawsuit. Meanwhile, the XRP price, which is currently trading at $2.4, has experienced a recent uptick, increasing by almost 4% in the last day, according to CoinMarketCap.

XRP
XRP trading at $2.4 on the 1D chart | Source: XRPUSDT on Tradingview.com

Featured image from Adobe Stock, chart from Tradingview.com



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Bitcoin ETF investors hold strong despite a 25% BTC price drop: Here’s why

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  • US Bitcoin ETFs collectively manage $115 billion in assets
  • Since mid-February, Bitcoin ETFs have witnessed total outflows of nearly $5 billion
  • Bitcoin’s decline continues as selling pressure intensifies

Even as Bitcoin’s price has tumbled 25% since the start of 2025, a staggering 95% of investors in US spot Bitcoin ETFs have held firm, resisting the urge to sell.

Despite market volatility and macroeconomic uncertainties, Bloomberg data suggests that the overwhelming majority of ETF holders remain unfazed, showcasing strong conviction in Bitcoin’s long-term potential.

Bitcoin ETFs show resilience 

Bloomberg ETF strategist James Seyffart reported that inflows into Bitcoin ETFs have slightly declined to $35 billion, down from their $40 billion peak.

However, this still represents over 95% of investor capital remaining in ETFs, even as Bitcoin’s price struggles.

Institutional investors, including Goldman Sachs, continue to maintain significant exposure, with more than $1.5 billion invested in Bitcoin ETFs.

As of now, US Bitcoin ETFs collectively manage $115 billion in assets, underscoring the staying power of both retail and institutional investors despite the crypto market downturn.

Bitcoin ETF outflows persist

Since mid-February, Bitcoin ETFs have witnessed total outflows of nearly $5 billion.

On March 13 alone, outflows reached $135 million, according to Farside Investors.

However, BlackRock’s iShares Bitcoin Trust (IBIT) remains an exception, attracting net inflows of $45.7 million amid the broader sell-off.

Bitcoin price faces pressure 

Bitcoin’s decline continues as selling pressure intensifies due to macroeconomic concerns, including the Trump administration’s ongoing tariff battle.

While BTC briefly surged above $84,000 following the release of US CPI data on Wednesday, it failed to hold above key resistance levels.

At press time, Bitcoin is trading at $81,953, down 1.56% on the day, with daily trading volume dropping 22% to under $30 billion.

According to Coinglass data, 24-hour liquidations have spiked to $75 million, with $52 million in long positions being wiped out.

CryptoQuant CEO Ki Young Ju noted that Bitcoin demand appears “stuck” at current levels but emphasized that it is still “too early to call it a bear market.”

Long-term Bitcoin holders continue accumulating

Despite Bitcoin ETF outflows, on-chain data reveals that long-term holders are accumulating more BTC.

Crypto analyst Ali Martinez reported that these investors have added over 131,000 BTC to their wallets in the past month alone, signaling confidence in Bitcoin’s long-term trajectory.

With Bitcoin’s price volatility and ETF outflows persisting, the coming weeks could be crucial in determining whether investors’ diamond hands will hold firm or if selling pressure will intensify.



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Bitcoin Price Steadies—Is a Meaningful Bounce on the Horizon?

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Bitcoin price started a recovery wave above the $80,500 zone. BTC is now rising and might aim for a move above the $84,000 and $85,000 levels.

  • Bitcoin started a decent recovery wave above the $81,000 zone.
  • The price is trading above $81,500 and the 100 hourly Simple moving average.
  • There was a break below a short-term bullish trend line with support at $83,000 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair (data feed from Kraken).
  • The pair could start another increase if it clears the $82,500 and $84,000 levels.

Bitcoin Price Eyes Steady Increase

Bitcoin price remained stable above the $78,000 level. BTC formed a base and recently started a recovery wave above the $80,500 resistance level.

The bulls pushed the price above the $82,000 resistance level. However, the bears were active near the $84,000 resistance zone. A high was formed at $84,200 and the price corrected some gains. There was a move below the $83,000 level.

The price dipped below the 50% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the $76,818 swing low to the $84,200 high. Besides, there was a break below a short-term bullish trend line with support at $83,000 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair.

Bitcoin price is now trading above $81,200 and the 100 hourly Simple moving average. On the upside, immediate resistance is near the $82,450 level. The first key resistance is near the $84,000 level. The next key resistance could be $85,000.

Bitcoin Price
Source: BTCUSD on TradingView.com

A close above the $85,000 resistance might send the price further higher. In the stated case, the price could rise and test the $86,500 resistance level. Any more gains might send the price toward the $88,000 level or even $96,200.

Another Drop In BTC?

If Bitcoin fails to rise above the $82,450 resistance zone, it could start a fresh decline. Immediate support on the downside is near the $80,500 level. The first major support is near the $79,600 level or the 61.8% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the $76,818 swing low to the $84,200 high.

The next support is now near the $78,500 zone. Any more losses might send the price toward the $77,000 support in the near term. The main support sits at $76,500.

Technical indicators:

Hourly MACD – The MACD is now gaining pace in the bullish zone.

Hourly RSI (Relative Strength Index) – The RSI for BTC/USD is now above the 50 level.

Major Support Levels – $80,500, followed by $79,600.

Major Resistance Levels – $82,450 and $84,000.



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