Este artículo también está disponible en español.

Ethereum experienced one of the most chaotic trading days in its history last Monday, as it plunged over 30% in less than 24 hours amid escalating U.S. trade war fears. However, the market quickly rebounded after President Trump announced negotiations with Canada and Mexico, leading to a sharp recovery across crypto assets.

Related Reading

Despite this rebound, Ethereum remains significantly weaker than other altcoins, raising concerns about how long this underperformance will last. Investors are closely watching price action, as ETH continues to trade at historically low levels relative to Bitcoin and other altcoins.

Top analyst Carl Runefelt shared a technical analysis on X, revealing that Ethereum is holding onto a key horizontal support level on the ETHBTC chart. This suggests that ETH could be at a turning point, with a potential opportunity for recovery if bulls step in. However, failure to hold this level could indicate further downside ahead.

With Ethereum lagging behind its peers, sentiment remains mixed, and market participants are waiting for a clear confirmation of trend direction. Will ETH finally start catching up, or is another leg down still on the table? The next few weeks will be crucial.

Ethereum Faces Uncertainty After Record Liquidations

Ethereum has struggled after one of the most brutal liquidation events in crypto history, with over $8 billion wiped out from the market between Sunday night and Monday. ETH was one of the hardest-hit assets, with price action looking weak and uncertain compared to Bitcoin. This has sparked concerns among analysts, who fear Ethereum’s underperformance could continue.

However, top analyst Carl Runefelt remains optimistic. He shared a technical analysis on X, revealing that Ethereum is holding a crucial horizontal support level on the ETHBTC chart around 0.028. Runefelt believes that if ETH bounces from this level, it could trigger a massive parabolic move, marking the beginning of a long-awaited altseason.

Ethereum has lagged behind BTC since late 2021, failing to reclaim its dominance despite multiple market rallies. While Bitcoin continues to flirt with all-time highs, ETH remains far from its previous peak, and many traders are now questioning whether Ethereum can regain its strength.

Related Reading

For now, Ethereum remains at a make-or-break level, with key support holding but pressure building. If ETH manages to surge from this zone, it could lead to a strong recovery and shift market sentiment. However, failure to hold support could mean further downside ahead.

Can Bulls Reclaim Momentum?

Ethereum is trading at $2,780 after testing two critical moving averages—the 200-day moving average at $2,482 and the 200-day exponential moving average at $2,288. These indicators have been key long-term support levels since July 2020, confirming that Ethereum’s macro trend remains intact despite recent volatility.

For Ethereum to reverse the short-term bearish trend, bulls must reclaim the $2,800 mark and hold it as support. This level is a psychological and technical barrier that would signal renewed strength. A push above $3,000 is the next critical step, as breaking this resistance would shift sentiment from bearish to bullish and trigger a move into key supply zones.

If Ethereum fails to reclaim these levels, the market could see another wave of selling pressure, pushing ETH back toward lower demand areas. However, historical trends suggest that when ETH holds above these moving averages, it often leads to strong rallies. 

Related Reading

Investors are watching closely to see if Ethereum can recover and reestablish its bullish momentum. A breakout above $3,000 would set the stage for a push toward higher resistance levels, potentially leading to a major rally in the coming months.

Featured image from Dall-E, chart from TradingView

Source link

Ethereum has made a recovery to $2,800 during the past day as on-chain data shows the whales have been making massive withdrawals from exchanges.

Ethereum Exchange Outflows Spiked After Price Crash

According to data from the market intelligence platform IntoTheBlock, investors reacted to the latest crash in the Ethereum price by making outflows from exchanges.

The on-chain indicator of relevance here is the “Exchange Netflow,” which keeps track of the net amount of the cryptocurrency that’s entering into or exiting the wallets associated with all centralized exchanges.

When the value of this metric is positive, it means the holders are depositing a net number of coins into these platforms. As one of the main reasons why investors transfer to the exchanges is for selling-related purposes, this kind of trend can be a bearish sign for the asset’s price.

On the other hand, the indicator being negative suggests the outflows outweigh the inflows and a net number of tokens is moving out of the exchanges. Such a trend can indicate that the investors are accumulating, which is something that can naturally be bullish for ETH.

Now, here is a chart that shows the trend in the Ethereum Exchange Netflow over the past year:

As is visible in the above graph, the Ethereum Exchange Netflow observed a massive negative spike yesterday after the crash in the asset’s price took place.

In total, the investors withdrew 350,000 ETH (worth around $982 million at the current exchange rate of the token) from the exchanges in this outflow spree. “This is the highest amount of net exchange withdrawals since January 2024!” notes the analytics firm.

Given the timing of the outflows, it would appear likely that they were made by whales looking to buy Ethereum at cheap post-crash prices. The accumulation from the investors has in turn helped the cryptocurrency reach a bottom and make some recovery.

The Exchange Netflow could now be to keep an eye on in the coming days, as the upcoming trend in it might also influence the ETH price. Naturally, a continuation of the outflows would be a positive sign, while an increase in inflows could spell a bearish outcome.

In some other news, the number two stablecoin by market cap, USDC, has seen its transaction count shoot up recently, as IntoTheBlock has pointed out in another X post.

“USDC is becoming increasingly popular, with the number of daily transactions increasing by over 119% in the last year!” says the analytics firm. Stablecoins can end up acting as fuel for volatile assets like Ethereum, so increased activity related to them can be a good sign for the market.

ETH Price

At the time of writing, Ethereum is floating around $2,800, down more than 11% over the last seven days.

Source link

The on-chain analytics firm Glassnode has revealed how the Ethereum futures market is still overheated despite the long squeeze that just occurred.

Ethereum Open Interest Still Notably Above The Yearly Average

In a new post on X, Glassnode has discussed about how the Ethereum futures market has changed during the past day. ETH, like other digital assets, has witnessed significant volatility inside this window. Sharp price action usually means chaos for the derivatives side of the sector and indeed, a large amount of liquidations have piled up on the various exchanges.

Given that the price action has been majorly towards the downside for Ethereum, the long investors would be the most heavily affected. Below is the chart shared by the analytics firm that shows the trend in the long liquidations related to ETH over the past year.

From the graph, it’s visible that the Ethereum futures market has just witnessed a massive amount of long liquidations. “Yesterday, $76.4M in ETH long liquidations hit the market, with $55.8M wiped out in a single hour – the second-largest spike in a year, just behind Dec 9’s $56M,” notes Glassnode.

These liquidations have meant that a notable ETH leverage flush-out has occurred on the derivatives platforms. Here is another chart, this time for the Open Interest, which showcases the market deleveraging:

The “Open Interest” is an indicator that keeps track of the total amount of Ethereum-related futures positions that are open on all centralized derivatives exchanges. At the start of the month, this metric was sitting around $20.5 billion, but after the mass liquidation event, its value has come down to $15.9 billion.

This suggests $4.6 billion in positions have been wiped out from the market. While this represents a large decrease, it has actually not been enough to cause a sufficient cooldown in the Open Interest.

As displayed in the above chart, the 365-day moving average (MA) of the Ethereum Open Interest is currently situated at $13 billion. Thus, the metric’s daily value is around 22% higher than the average for the past year.

This could be a potential indication that the leverage in the sector is still at elevated levels, despite the massive amount of liquidations that the long investors have suffered.

Historically, an overheated futures market has generally unwound with volatility for the coin’s price, so it’s possible that more sharp action could follow for ETH in the near future.

ETH Price

Ethereum saw a crash towards the $2,100 mark yesterday, but it would appear the cryptocurrency has seen a rebound as its price is now trading around $2,800.

Source link