BNB has bounced off the crucial $500 support level, sparking speculation about whether this marks the beginning of a bullish resurgence or a temporary relief before another downturn. After facing sustained selling pressure, buyers have stepped in to defend this key level, fueling hopes for a potential recovery. However, with resistance levels still looming, the true strength of this rebound remains uncertain.

Market sentiment remains uncertain as bulls attempt to regain control while bears stay cautious. BNB’s next move hinges on breaking key resistance levels and sustaining higher prices. A successful breakout could confirm a bullish continuation, while fading momentum may lead to another rejection and a retest of lower support zones.

Technical indicators such as RSI and moving averages will play a crucial role in determining the next move. Bulls may have the upper hand if the RSI trends upward and key levels are reclaimed. On the other hand, if bearish pressure resurfaces, the possibility of further downside cannot be ignored.

Analyzing The Buying Pressure On Price

Currently, BNB is displaying strong upside movements as it moves toward the $605 resistance level. The coin has been steadily climbing, indicating buyers are regaining control and pushing its price higher. This move comes after a successful rebound from the key $500 support level, which has sparked renewed optimism among traders. 

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Despite the ongoing bullish momentum, the price’s position under the 100-day SMA signals that BNB has not yet fully regained a strong positive trend in the longer term. It could also indicate that there is still some selling pressure from bears that might prevent the price from maintaining a steady rise.

If BNB continues to trade below this key moving average, it could have difficulty sustaining its current upbeat momentum. The longer it remains below the SMA, the greater the risk of a reversal or consolidation.

Additionally, the RSI (Relative Strength Index) indicator remains in the oversold territory, showing no immediate signs of moving back toward neutral or the overbought zone. An RSI reading below 30% typically implies that the asset is oversold, and there may be more downside potential or a need for price correction. 

However, the RSI’s failure to exit the oversold zone suggests that the market is still under strain, with bearish pressure possibly outweighing bullish pressure. For the bulls to take control and push BNB higher, the RSI would need to gradually move back above the 30-50% range, triggering a shift toward more balanced market conditions.

Is BNB Ready For A Breakout Or Heading For Another Decline?

In conclusion, BNB’s current upward movement is an encouraging sign for the bulls, but the real test lies at the $605 resistance level. Should bulls succeed in pushing the price above this level, a stronger rally may follow, resulting in the cryptocurrency testing other resistance levels such as $680 and $724.

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Nevertheless, failure to clear the $605 zone might lead to a consolidation phase or possible pullback to the $531 and $500 support levels. Traders will need to closely monitor market conditions and technical indicators to gauge whether the current bullish sentiment can be sustained.

Featured image from Shutterstock, chart from Tradingview.com

Amid the broader market downturn, user activity on the Layer-1 (L1) network Ethereum has plummeted to its year-to-date low. This comes as the value of Ethereum’s native token, ETH, sinks below the $3,000 mark for the first time since November.

With a strengthening bearish sentiment, ETH could extend its price decline in the short term.

Ethereum Sees Decline in User Activity

On February 2, ETH fell to a five-month low of $2,143 before making a slight rebound. While this price dip is part of a broader market decline, a key factor contributing to ETH’s struggles is a reduction in the active addresses on its network. 

According to Glassnode, the daily count of active addresses on the Ethereum network fell to a year-to-date low of 420,346 on February 2. 

A decline in Ethereum’s active addresses suggests reduced user activity on the network, indicating lower transaction volumes and engagement with the decentralized applications on the blockchain.

The drop in demand can weaken ETH’s price momentum, as fewer transactions mean less network utility and a reduced burn rate, making ETH more inflationary. This has been the case for the leading altcoin, whose circulating supply has added 12,066 ETH over the past week. 

According to Ultrasoundmoney, 12,066 ETH, valued above $31 million at current market prices, have been added to the altcoin’s circulating supply in the past seven days. 

When more ETH tokens enter circulation like this, the overall supply available for purchase rises. This typically results in a price drop, especially as the increased supply can exceed demand.

ETH Price Prediction: More Pain Ahead for Coin Holders?

ETH trades at $2,595 at press time, noting a 16% price drop over the past 24 hours. The coin’s negative Balance of Power (BoP) on the daily chart reflects the strong selling pressure. At press time, the indicator stands at -0.38.

The BOP indicator measures the strength of buyers versus sellers by analyzing price movements within a given period. When BOP is negative, sellers have more control, indicating bearish momentum and potential downward pressure on the asset’s price.

If the downtrend continues, ETH’s value could fall to $2,500. If this support level fails to hold, the altcoin’s price could drop further to $2,224.

However, a positive shift in market trends could propel ETH’s price to $2,811.

• Bitcoin fell 4.72% over the weekend and another 3.50% during Monday’s Asian session as tensions driven by Trump’s tariffs have investors derisking their positions.
• Over the weekend, China responded to Trump’s tariffs by indicating interest in imposing tariffs on US goods, while Canada imposed a 25% tariff on CA$155 billion worth of US goods.

Bitcoin tumbled below $100,000 over the weekend, extending losses into today as threats of a possible trade war rock markets worldwide.

While most of Bitcoin’s price decline came this weekend, weakness began when its price failed to swing higher than the $108,000 level two weeks ago (Jan. 20).

A failure to swing higher can signify insufficient buy pressure to push prices higher. If that is the case, prices will seek the next major liquidity level, which could mean lower prices in the interim, as seen over the last two weeks.

Scaling down to a lower time frame, price continued to break lower below $99,000 before retracing to an internal supply zone between the 50.00% and 61.80% Fibonacci levels (the golden zone for retracements) on Thursday, Jan. 30.

After being rejected by internal supply, the price broke down further on Friday, Jan. 31, and over the weekend to settle at the next major demand level, between $92,000 and $96,000.

Bitcoin’s price has found some support at $92,000 and is currently up 4.92% from Asian lows of $91,176.

Wider trade wars stifle markets

Meanwhile, the wider economic landscape faces uncertainty as a brewing trade war between the US and several of its trade partners, including Canada, Mexico, and China rocks various markets.

The US tariffs on its largest trade partners, which include a 25% tariff on imports from Canada and Mexico, and a 10% tariff on Chinese imports have sparked tensions between nations.

In response, Canada imposed a 25% tariff on CA$155 billion worth of US goods, Mexico has announced tariffs on US goods but has not provided details, while China also announced plans to impose retaliatory tariffs on US goods.

The result is uncertainty around the expansion of global trade and a derisking of portfolios, with cryptos being one of the first on the chopping block.