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BTC Price Holds $105,000 as Whale Activity Hits One-Year Low

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Bitcoin (BTC) price is up 3% in the last 24 hours. Still, the rally has been relatively muted despite two major developments: the SEC revoking SAB 121 policy, allowing banks to custody crypto, and Trump creating a Digital Asset Stockpile by executive order.

The 7-day MVRV Ratio indicates more room for short-term growth, while whale activity has dropped to its lowest level in a year, signaling a potential shift in large-holder behavior. With BTC’s EMA lines reflecting bullish sentiment but showing signs of consolidation, the market faces a decisive moment between testing new highs or retreating to key support levels.

MVRV Ratio Shows More Room for Growth

The 7-day MVRV (Market Value to Realized Value) Ratio for Bitcoin currently stands at 0.85%, following a period of stability near 0% over the past two days. This metric measures the average profit or loss of BTC holders who have acquired their coins within the last seven days.

A positive MVRV ratio indicates that recent holders, on average, are in profit, while a negative ratio suggests unrealized losses. The recent move into positive territory suggests that market sentiment among short-term holders is shifting toward profitability, reflecting a potential uptick in momentum.

BTC 7D MVRV Ratio.
BTC 7D MVRV Ratio. Source: Santiment

Historical trends show that Bitcoin’s 7D MVRV Ratio often rises to levels around 5-6% before experiencing a significant price correction. This indicates that BTC has historically demonstrated more room for short-term growth from current levels before encountering resistance or selling pressure.

At the current 0.85%, the metric suggests that the market is far from overextended, leaving ample space for additional upside before reaching typical profit-taking thresholds.

Bitcoin Whales Reached Its Lowest Level In One Year

The number of Bitcoin whales – wallets holding at least 1,000 BTC – dropped sharply from 2,067 on January 20 to 2,039 on January 23, reaching its lowest level since January 30, 2024.

Whale activity is a key metric to watch as these large holders often influence market trends through significant buy or sell decisions. This recent decline suggests a shift in strategy among major BTC holders, potentially signaling caution or reallocation of funds, even after SEC revoked SAB 121 policy allowing banks to custody crypto.

Number of addresses holding at least 1,000 BTC.
Number of addresses holding at least 1,000 BTC. Source: Glassnode

This drop could reflect whales awaiting further details on Bitcoin-related executive orders expected from the Trump administration. Alternatively, some whales might be rotating their capital into other assets now that BTC has stabilized above the $100,000 mark.

“The amount of Bitcoin held by long-term holders has decreased by 1.5 million BTC (approximately $150 billion) in the last year. Their selling accelerated since Trump’s election in November, with 500,000 BTC (around $50 billion) leaving long-term holder addresses since then. This trend resembles a pattern from previous bull cycles, where these holders started selling after prices reached new all-time highs and accumulated following 50%+ retracements,” Lucas Outumuro, Head of Research at IntoTheBlock, told BInCrypto.

BTC Price Prediction: Will It Stay Above $100,000?

Bitcoin’s EMA lines are currently bullish, with short-term lines positioned above long-term lines, but their lack of upward movement suggests the market may be entering a consolidation phase.

BTC Price Analysis.
BTC Price Analysis. Source: TradingView

“There is a combination of institutions and short-term speculators driving the demand-side. Onchain data shows that the amount of Bitcoin held by addresses that have been holding for under 12 months is at its highest since early 2022. This suggests high speculative activity and traders being in control of market dynamics. From the institutional side, Trump’s DeFi protocol, World Liberty Financial, bought over $47 million of wrapped Bitcoin on Ethereum, along with ETH, AAVE, and other tokens. It is unclear what the plan for these assets is, but it appears that World Liberty Financial could become an increasingly relevant player in the space,” Outumuro added.

If Bitcoin regains its strong uptrend, it could test the resistance at $108,561, and a breakout above this level could lead to BTC reaching $110,000 for the first time ever. This could be sparked as soon as more details about the Digital Asset Stockpile are out.

However, if the trend reverses and Bitcoin price enters a downtrend, it may test the support at $99,486, with a potential drop to around $95,800 if that support is broken.

Disclaimer

In line with the Trust Project guidelines, this price analysis article is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial or investment advice. BeInCrypto is committed to accurate, unbiased reporting, but market conditions are subject to change without notice. Always conduct your own research and consult with a professional before making any financial decisions. Please note that our Terms and ConditionsPrivacy Policy, and Disclaimers have been updated.



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Analyst Reveals Why The New Week Will Be ‘Dynamic’

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Este artículo también está disponible en español.

A new XRP price prediction has surfaced, with a crypto analyst forecasting that the popular altcoin will experience a dynamic surge to $5.85 in the new week. Based on the Elliott Wave Theory and key technical indicators, the analysis outlines how XRP could see a significant upside after breaking out a symmetrical triangle pattern

On January 26, Dark Defender, a prominent crypto analyst on X (formerly Twitter), forecasted an XRP price surge to a new all-time high of $5.85. The analyst shared a chart illustrating an Elliott Wave pattern consisting of five waves (1 through 5) in an upward trend

XRP To Break Out To $5.85

Typically, the Elliott Wave theory suggests a cyclical price movement, where Wave 3 is presented as the strongest wave with the most explosive price increases. On the other hand, Wave 4 is highlighted as a corrective phase, while Wave 5 represents the final leg of an uptrend. 

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Dark Defender revealed that the current XRP Elliott Wave structure was established as early as August 2023, where Wave 3 has consistently targeted the $5.85 all-time high level. This price surge would translate to an impressive 261.8% increase, marking a dynamic shift in the new week. 

XRP
Elliot wave sparks move to $5.85 | Source: Dark Defender on X

Once the $5.85 target is achieved, Wave 5, which is the final wave of the Elliott wave cycle, points to a longer-term price target of $18.22. Achieving this level would signify a massive 361.8% increase, marking a historic milestone for XRP.  

In his detailed analysis, Dark Defender also pointed out a 4-hour symmetrical triangle pattern on the XRP price chart. This unique technical formation is often a precursor of a significant price movement, which, in XRP’s case, the analyst forecasts a breakout to occur within the next 16 to 20 hours following his analysis. 

The breakout from the triangle pattern is expected to align with the broader upward trend. Moreover, the green circle on the chart shows that the XRP price has retested and confirmed support after breaking past the breakeven line toward the $2.4 resistance level. This move sets the stage for the analyst’s projected rally, with a primary target of $5.85 level and a secondary goal of $4.55.

XRP Price Plummets 10% In One Day

While the broader crypto market exhibits bullish sentiments toward XRP due to its impressive performance this year, the popular altcoin is currently facing significant bearish momentum as it struggles to break through key resistance levels

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As of writing, CoinMarketCap’s data shows that XRP has plummeted from a previous price high above $3 to $2.8. The cryptocurrency recorded a 10.3% decline in the past 24 hours after experiencing severe bearish pressure that led to a 14% drop last week.

Despite this bearish performance, analysts remain increasingly bullish on XRP, predicting significant price rallies that would propel the altcoin to new heights. One notable forecast suggests that XRP could rally so high over time and potentially flip Bitcoin, the world’s largest cryptocurrency.

XRP
XRP trading at $2.79 on the 1D chart | Source: XRPUSDT on Tradingview.com

Featured image from Adobe Stock, chart from Tradingview.com



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Top 5 Crypto Airdrops to Watch This Week: Earn Free Tokens Now

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The final week of January presents an exciting opportunity for small investors to engage with emerging crypto projects, despite ongoing market volatility. Several ecosystems have announced crypto airdrops, offering participants a chance to gain exposure to novel ventures.

Here’s a curated list of the top five crypto airdrops to watch, along with key details on how to participate.

LayerEdge

LayerEdge has launched an incentivized testnet program, allowing participants to earn EDGE points by running light nodes and verifying proofs. The program, which began with Phase 1 on January 22, will conclude on January 28. Phase 2 will commence immediately afterward, marking the next stage of the project’s rollout.

Participants can earn 1 EDGE point per second of active node operation and gain additional points through daily check-ins and completing ecosystem tasks. This airdrop follows closely after the network’s incentivized testnet launch.

“The Closed Testnet is live now and will end on 28th January. This is your chance to get in early and start earning points before the next phase begins,” said a prominent crypto airdrop researcher.

LayerEdge, a Layer-2 solution, enhances Bitcoin’s ecosystem by adding programmability and scalability while maintaining its core security principles. Backed by BreakOrbit and Normie Capital, among others, the project introduces BitVM, which leverages zero-knowledge proofs (ZKPs) for trust-minimized verification and proof aggregation.

FCHAIN

FCHAIN, a Layer-1 blockchain focused on on-chain gaming and entertainment, has announced an airdrop for its RIFT token. Following a $29 million funding round led by venture capital heavyweights like Andreessen Horowitz (A16Z) and Sequoia Capital, FCHAIN aims to revolutionize gaming blockchain infrastructure.

The RIFT token distribution follows a structured allocation model:

  • Community: 54.8%
  • Treasury & Ecosystem Growth: 22.2%
  • Liquidity: 13%
  • Core Contributors: 10%

This community-focused approach encourages ecosystem development and governance. Early participants should submit applications promptly via the official website. Eligibility happens through community engagement, liquidity provision, and ecosystem contributions.

Fraction AI

Fraction AI simplifies AI agent creation, enabling users to deploy intelligent agents using natural language prompts. The platform operates on the Ethereum network’s Sepolia testnet and has secured $6 million in funding from Borderless Capital and Foresight Ventures.

The airdrop will reward participants with FRAC tokens based on their engagement metrics, such as the number of AI agents created, battles participated in, and overall platform activity. Active users can earn Fractal points and experience (XP), which influence their potential airdrop allocation.

“Fraction AI enables users to create AI agents with natural language prompts, no coding required. The platform provides tools for refining, risk management, and performance tracking to ensure success, making AI development accessible and focused on usability and quality,” an airdrop researcher noted.

Users can explore creative activities like rap battles and competitive agent interactions, making the platform a unique blend of AI innovation and community engagement.

ColorPool

ColorPool, powered by the Chromia blockchain, introduces the COLOR token through its novel ecosystem. The network combines trading, gaming, and asset management without gas fees. The project leverages Chromia’s relational blockchain technology to provide a seamless environment for dApp interactions.

Key features of the airdrop include:

  • Zero Gas Fees: Transactions within the ecosystem incur no blockchain gas costs.
  • Dual Rewards: Stake CHR tokens and earn COLOR for additional benefits.
  • Immediate Token Liquidity: The network unlocks tokens upon distribution with no vesting periods.

“The ColorPool Airdrop, powered by Chromia, could be one of the most significant airdrops ever on the Chromia Blockchain. And it’s all set to happen this January,” wrote Chuck, a seasoned crypto investor.

The COLOR token serves as the native currency for governance decisions, seamless transactions, and active user incentives. Early participants can secure the airdrop by engaging in ecosystem activities outlined in the ‘actions’ section on the platform’s website.

zkFinance

zkFinance plans to distribute a total of 20 million ZGT tokens over 100 days, with 200,000 tokens released daily. To qualify, participants must supply or borrow a minimum of $200. The estimated airdrop distribution date is in Q1 2025.

Built on advanced zero-knowledge technology, zkFinance offers a secure, scalable platform for decentralized finance (DeFi) applications. Its airdrop incentivizes user engagement, ensuring the project’s growth and adoption.

Whether you’re interested in Bitcoin scalability, gaming infrastructure, AI innovation, or fee-free ecosystems, these crypto airdrops provide a promising start to 2025. Stay informed, participate early, and seize the opportunity to engage with these groundbreaking projects. As always, however, investors must conduct thorough research and assess the risks before diving in.

Disclaimer

In adherence to the Trust Project guidelines, BeInCrypto is committed to unbiased, transparent reporting. This news article aims to provide accurate, timely information. However, readers are advised to verify facts independently and consult with a professional before making any decisions based on this content. Please note that our Terms and ConditionsPrivacy Policy, and Disclaimers have been updated.



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Solana Price Dips as Meme Coin Hype Fades

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Solana (SOL) has been on a downward trend since reaching an all-time high of $295.83 on January 19. The altcoin currently trades at $226, declining 23% from its peak.

With the bears regaining market control, SOL faces increasing selling pressure and waning demand.

Solana Demand Wanes as Meme Coin Hype Dwindles

The significant surge in the demand for the Solana-based meme coin TRUMP pushed SOL to a new all-time high of $295.83 on January 19. However, following Donald Trump’s January 20 inauguration and the launch of the MELANIA meme coin, TRUMP’s trading activity faded gradually. This resulted in a dip in activity on the Solana network, which has impacted SOL’s performance.

SOL trades at $226 as of this writing, noting a 9% decline over the past 24 hours. This has pushed its price below the 20-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA), a key indicator of weakening momentum. 

SOL 20-Day EMA.
SOL 20-Day EMA. Source: TradingView

The 20-day EMA measures an asset’s average price over the past 20 trading days, giving more weight to recent prices to highlight short-term trends. When an asset’s price falls below this key moving average, it signals a shift in momentum to the downside, suggesting a weakening of the uptrend amid increased selling pressure.

In addition, the setup of SOL’s Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator supports this bearish outlook. At press time, SOL’s MACD line (blue) is poised to break below its signal line (orange).

When an asset’s MACD is set up this way, it suggests a bearish crossover, indicating that selling momentum is building, hinting at a sustained price drop. 

SOL MACD.
SOL MACD. Source: TradingView

SOL Price Prediction: A Dip Below $210 Is Imminent

If SOL’s selling pressure strengthens, readings from its Fibonacci Retracement tool indicate that its price could fall below $210 to trade at $202.73.

SOL Price Analysis.
SOL Price Analysis. Source: TradingView

On the other hand, a surge in new demand for the altcoin will invalidate this bearish projection. In that case, Solana’s price could attempt to reclaim its all-time high.

Disclaimer

In line with the Trust Project guidelines, this price analysis article is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial or investment advice. BeInCrypto is committed to accurate, unbiased reporting, but market conditions are subject to change without notice. Always conduct your own research and consult with a professional before making any financial decisions. Please note that our Terms and ConditionsPrivacy Policy, and Disclaimers have been updated.



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