Ethereum
Ethereum’s Price Stalls Below $3,500 as Leverage Ratios Climb—What Next?
Ethereum has been consolidating in a tight price range for several months, trading between $3,200 and $3,500. Despite the broader market’s recent upward movement, ETH still struggles to break out of this range.
This stagnation comes after a prolonged decline from its all-time high of $4,800, recorded in late 2021. The cryptocurrency is now down roughly 32% from this peak.
Notably, even the appointment of the new pro-crypto administration and a renewed sense of regulatory clarity have done little to propel Ethereum beyond its current resistance levels.
Amid these market conditions, ShayanBTC, a contributor to CryptoQuant’s QuickTake platform, has highlighted a critical metric that could signal an impending price move for ETH.
Elevated Leverage Ratios In Ethereum And Its Implications
According to Shayan in a recent analysis uploaded on the CryptoQuant QuickTake platform, the Estimated Leverage Ratio of Ethereum—a measure of the average leverage used by futures market participants—has been climbing steadily so far.
This rise as reported by Shayan reflects an increased willingness among traders to take on risk, even as Ethereum’s price remains stuck in consolidation. With leverage at elevated levels, the stage may be set for a significant price swing, though its direction remains uncertain. Shayan noted:
The impending breakout from this range, driven by the high-leverage environment, is expected to trigger a significant and impulsive price move.
Shayan elaborated that as more traders take on higher leverage, the market becomes more susceptible to sharp price movements. This is because if these leveraged positions are liquidated—either through a short or long squeeze—it could trigger a sudden and significant price adjustment.
The ongoing consolidation around $3,200–$3,500 has heightened interest in what lies ahead for Ethereum. The CryptoQuant analyst wrote:
Given the prevailing market sentiment, a bullish breakout appears more probable. However, traders should monitor the leverage ratio closely, as any abrupt change could lead to unexpected volatility and liquidations.
ETH Market Performance
At the time of writing, ETH trades at $3,282, declining by 0.1% in the past 24 hours. Interestingly, despite this lackluster performance from ETH, the asset’s daily trading volume in the past week has been quite positive.
Last Wednesday, ETH’s trading volume sat below $20 billion, however as of today, Ethereum’s daily trading volume hovers above $24 billion. This is quite an opposite trend especially when compared to ETH’s market performance over the same period.
According to Javon Marks, a renowned crypto analyst on X, Ethereum appears to be on the verge of a significant rally to $12,000 due to a similar performance to the Fib Level as it did in a previous bull cycle.
ETH (Ethereum), with a similar performance to the 1.618 Fib Level as it did this past bull cycle, could be set for a near +240% increase from here to the $11,865.6 levels!
A 5 Figure ETH may be on the way and in-development now and this can help many Altcoins into major runs . pic.twitter.com/eJT1Fu986b
— JAVONMARKS (@JavonTM1) December 29, 2024
Featured image created with DALL-E, Chart from TradingView
Ethereum
Trump Family May Use Ethereum For New Business Ventures, Says ConsenSys CEO
ConsenSys CEO Joseph Lubin recently suggested that US President Donald Trump’s family may “build one or more giant businesses” on Ethereum (ETH). Responding to an X thread about Trump’s recent ETH purchases, Lubin stated that the Trump Administration is exploring ways the US could support Ethereum.
Trump Family To Start Businesses On Ethereum?
After a relatively subdued price performance and limited public attention in 2024, ETH may be set for a resurgence in 2025. In a post on X, crypto expert DCinvestor highlighted that Trump-backed decentralized finance (DeFi) venture World Liberty Financial has significantly increased its ETH holdings.
Data from Etherscan reveals that World Liberty Financial’s wallet currently holds 55,719 ETH, valued at over $183 million at the time of writing. Lubin’s recent comments hint at a deeper involvement by the Trump family in the cryptocurrency industry. He said:
The Trump Administration will do what is good for the USA and that will involve ETH, considerations of how the USA can support Ethereum — the most capable and largest decentralized protocol ecosystem for the benefit of the USA, and perhaps eventually use Ethereum technology in government activities just as they currently use the internet and web protocols.
Lubin further noted that, in addition to Ethereum, the Trump family might engage with other blockchain ecosystems, such as Bitcoin and Solana. The recent launch of the official Trump meme token on Solana appears to validate this statement.
Besides ETH, the World Liberty Financial wallet holds other tokens such as Aave (AAVE) and Chainlink (LINK). The DeFi project is expected to become operational soon.
Analysts Eye ETH Rally Soon
As Ethereum continues to trade in the low $3,000 range, crypto analysts are becoming increasingly confident of an imminent rally for the the second-largest digital asset by market cap.
Seasoned crypto trader Michael van de Poppe highlighted World Liberty Financial’s growing ETH exposure as a bullish signal for the cryptocurrency. Poppe added that 2025 could mark a turning point for Ethereum’s performance.
From a technical perspective, crypto analyst Jelle shared a weekly ETH chart illustrating a bullish inverse head-and-shoulders pattern in formation, along with a massive ascending triangle that Ethereum may soon break out of.
Similarly, crypto analyst TraderSZ shared the following ETH daily chart, showing a bullish descending triangle pattern. The analyst remains long-term bullish on ETH, projecting targets as high as $10,000.
However, Ethereum’s prolonged underperformance has begun to dent the confidence of some whales. At press time, ETH trades at $3,278, down 1% in the past 24 hours.
Featured Image from Unsplash.com, Charts from X and TradingView.com
Ethereum
Ethereum Leverage Ratio Continues Sharp Rise: What It Means
Data shows the Ethereum Leverage Ratio has continued to see sharp growth recently, something that could lead to volatility for ETH’s price.
Ethereum Estimated Leverage Ratio Has Been Setting New Highs Recently
As explained by an analyst in a CryptoQuant Quicktake post, the Ethereum Estimated Leverage Ratio has been following an upward trajectory for a while now. The “Estimated Leverage Ratio” here refers to an indicator that calculates the ratio between the ETH Open Interest and Derivatives Exchange Reserve.
The former of these, the Open Interest, measures the total amount of derivatives positions related to the asset that are currently open on all centralized exchanges, and the latter, the Derivatives Exchange Reserve, keeps track of the number of tokens that investors have deposited into derivatives platforms.
When the value of the Estimated Leverage Ratio rises, it means the Open Interest is going up relative to the Derivatives Exchange Reserve. Such a trend implies that, on average, the users are opting for a higher amount of leverage with their positions.
On the other hand, the indicator going down suggests the appetite for risk may be going down among the traders as they are decreasing the amount of leverage attached to their positions.
Now, here is a chart that shows the trend in the Estimated Leverage Ratio for Ethereum over the past year and a half:
The value of the metric appears to have been sharply going up over the last few months | Source: CryptoQuant
As displayed in the above graph, the Ethereum Estimated Leverage Ratio has been riding an uptrend for the past few months, implying the investors have increasingly been willing to take on higher risk.
Historically, a high amount of leverage in the market has generally led to volatile price action for the cryptocurrency. The reason behind this is the fact that mass liquidation events become probable to occur in such an environment.
During a mass liquidation event (popularly known as a squeeze), a sudden swing in the price triggers a large amount of liquidations at once. These liquidations feed back into the price move, causing even more liquidations.
Given that the Ethereum Estimated Leverage Ratio is sitting at extreme levels, the chances of traders finding liquidation are high. It’s uncertain, though, which side of the market a potential squeeze in the near future would involve.
Long investors getting wrapped up in the event would naturally lead to a bearish outcome for ETH, while a short squeeze could kickstart a wave of bullish price action. It only remains to be seen how the volatility emerging from the high leverage, if any, would end up affecting the asset.
ETH Price
At the time of writing, Ethereum is trading around $3,300, down around 1% over the past week.
Looks like the price of the coin has been trading sideways over the last few days | Source: ETHUSDT on TradingView
Featured image from Dall-E, CryptoQuant.com, chart from TradingView.com
Ethereum
Ethereum Is Ready For The Next Big Move – Analyst Shares Bullish Target
Ethereum (ETH) has been underperforming in recent weeks, with its price action leaving investors disappointed following last week’s flash crash and heightened volatility. Despite initial hopes for a recovery, ETH has struggled to regain momentum, trending downward since mid-December. This lack of bullish movement has left investors eager for a surge that could break Ethereum out of its current slump.
Related Reading
Adding to the anticipation, top analyst Carl Runefelt recently shared a technical analysis suggesting that Ethereum may be preparing for its next significant move. According to Runefelt, ETH is forming a 4-hour symmetrical triangle, a pattern often associated with periods of consolidation before a breakout. While the direction of the breakout remains uncertain, the formation indicates that a decisive move could be on the horizon.
As Ethereum hovers near key levels, market participants are closely monitoring the triangle’s resolution. A breakout to the upside could reignite bullish sentiment, while a breakdown may signal continued struggles for the largest altcoin. With the broader crypto market showing signs of recovery, the coming days will be crucial for Ethereum to prove its resilience and reestablish its position as a leading performer in the space. All eyes are now on ETH’s next move.
Ethereum Consolidates Before A Move
Ethereum is currently in a short-term consolidation phase, trading between key demand and supply levels as the market grapples with uncertainty. While analysts are anticipating a major move, the direction remains unclear due to heightened volatility and mixed sentiment among investors. ETH’s price action reflects a market in wait-and-see mode, with traders closely monitoring key technical levels for signs of a breakout.
Top analyst Carl Runefelt recently shared his technical analysis on X, highlighting Ethereum’s preparation for its next significant move. According to Runefelt, ETH is forming a 4-hour symmetrical triangle, a pattern that often precedes a decisive breakout. He noted that this setup comes with both bullish and bearish scenarios, depending on the direction of the breakout.
If ETH breaks above the triangle, the bullish target is set around $3,900, signaling the potential start of a new bullish phase. Conversely, a breakdown below the triangle would point to a bearish target near $2,720, indicating further downside. Runefelt emphasized the importance of monitoring this pattern as it unfolds, as the outcome could set the tone for Ethereum’s next trend.
Related Reading
With market sentiment still uncertain and volatility remaining high, Ethereum’s symmetrical triangle offers a clear framework for traders. Whether the breakout is upward or downward, it will likely mark the beginning of a significant move, shaping Ethereum’s trajectory in the weeks to come. For now, investors are keeping a close eye on this critical technical formation.
Volatility Driving The Market
Ethereum is currently trading at $3,317, navigating a market dominated by massive volatility. This heightened price action has become the primary force driving speculation and uncertainty among traders. As Ethereum struggles to stabilize, holding above critical support levels is essential to maintaining a bullish structure and avoiding further downside.
The $3,300 level has emerged as a key area of support that bulls need to defend to sustain momentum. If ETH can hold this mark and push above the $3,550 resistance with strength, it could solidify a bullish outlook and potentially lead to a stronger recovery. Breaking this level would also signal renewed confidence among investors, opening the door to a more sustained upward trend.
However, the market’s uncertainty also carries the risk of a deeper correction. Losing the $3,000 psychological level could trigger additional selling pressure, leading to a dramatic drop and testing lower support zones. Such a move would challenge ETH’s resilience and likely extend its consolidation phase.
Related Reading
As the market waits for clearer signals, Ethereum’s ability to hold above key levels will be closely watched. The coming days are critical for determining whether ETH can maintain its structure or face further volatility and downside pressure.
Featured image from Dall-E, chart from TradingView.
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